2018 United States Senate election in Texas

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Texas
Flag of Texas.svg
  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  
Turnout53.01% Decrease2.svg (of registered voters)
42.07% Decrease2.svg (of voting age population) [1]
  Ted Cruz official 116th portrait (cropped).jpg Beto O'Rourke April 2019.jpg
Nominee Ted Cruz Beto O'Rourke
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote4,260,5534,045,632
Percentage50.89%48.33%

2018 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
2018TXSenCD.svg
Cruz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
O'Rourke:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data

U.S. senator before election

Ted Cruz
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Ted Cruz
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Ted Cruz won re-election to a second term defeating Democratic candidate Beto O'Rourke. The primary for all parties was held on March 6, 2018, making it the first primary of the 2018 season. [2] As Cruz and O'Rourke both won majorities in their primaries, they did not participate in the May 22 runoff primary that was held for some nominations in Texas. [3]

Contents

No Democrat has won a general election for statewide office in Texas since Bob Bullock was reelected as lieutenant governor in 1994, with election forecasters declaring it a safe Republican seat at the beginning of the 2018 cycle. [4] However, O'Rourke gradually closed the gap, [5] and leading up to the election, the race was considered unexpectedly competitive. [6]

On Election Day, Cruz defeated O'Rourke [7] by a margin just short of 215,000 votes, or 2.6 percent; the race was the closest U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1978. [8]

Background

In 2012, after a stunning upset victory in the Republican primary, then-Solicitor General of Texas Ted Cruz defeated former member of the Texas House of Representatives Paul Sadler by a 16-point margin (56%–40%). Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. As conservatives began turning to the Republican Party in once strongly Democratic areas, Democratic voters in the state were largely based in the majority-Hispanic communities in Southern Texas and in populous metropolitan cities, such as Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and Dallas, as well as the heavily Hispanic city of El Paso on the state's western tip, which O'Rourke represented in the U.S. House.

Since 1990, Texas has voted for Republican statewide candidates in all elections, whether it be presidential, gubernatorial, or senatorial, often by large margins. In 1998, Governor George W. Bush won re-election by 37 points over his Democratic challenger, Garry Mauro. In 2000, Governor Bush won Texas by 21 points over Vice President Al Gore. In 2004, President Bush won Texas over Senator John Kerry by 23 points, winning rural areas by landslide margins, capturing urban zones, and coming very close to winning the Latino vote (49% to Kerry's 50%). Democrat Barack Obama was defeated by margins of 12 points in 2008, against John McCain, and 16 points in 2012, against Mitt Romney, respectively. However, in 2016, Donald Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton by only a 9-point margin, demonstrating a possible shift away from the Safe Republican status it had held for over a decade. This has led Democrats to begin targeting Texas as a potential future swing state. It should also be noted that Ted Cruz defeated Donald Trump in the Texas Republican primary for U.S. President in 2016.

As of June 2018, Senator Cruz held a 49%–44% approval rating among Texans in a state Donald Trump won by 9 points against Hillary Clinton in 2016. Among groups that tend to affiliate themselves more with the Democratic Party, Senator Cruz held a 29% approval rating among Hispanics, 37% among women, and 42% among college-educated voters. [9]

Republican primary

2018 Texas Republican Senate primary
Flag of Texas.svg
  2012 March 6, 2018 (2018-03-06) 2024  
  Ted Cruz official 116th portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Candidate Ted Cruz Mary Miller
Popular vote1,322,72494,715
Percentage85.4%6.1%

2018TXUSSENGOP.svg
Cruz:     70–80%     Cruz—80–90%     Cruz—>90%
     No votes

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Bruce Jacobson, television producer [11]
  • Mary Miller, CPA [12]
  • Geraldine Sam, former mayor of La Marque [13] [14]
  • Stefano de Stefano, attorney [15]

Failed to qualify

  • Thomas Dillingham, businessman [16]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Bruce Jacobson
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Stefano
de Stefano
Bruce
Jacobson
Mary
Miller
Geraldine
Sam
Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018± 4.7%73%1%2%2%1%21%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018612± 5.3%91%1%3%3%2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Michael
McCaul
OtherUndecided
Dixie Strategies September 29 – October 1, 2016321± 3.5%52%12%7%29%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 201652251%19%31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
George P.
Bush
OtherUndecided
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 201644840%21%12%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Dan
Patrick
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 201652249%27%24%
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 201644838%23%15%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Rick
Perry
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 201652237%46%18%

Results

Republican primary results [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 1,322,724 85.36%
Republican Mary Miller94,7156.11%
Republican Bruce Jacobson Jr.64,7914.18%
Republican Stefano de Stefano44,4562.87%
Republican Geraldine Sam22,8871.48%
Total votes1,549,573 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Sema Hernandez
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sema
Hernandez
Edward
Kimbrough
Beto
O'Rourke
Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018± 5.7%6%4%38%53%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018453± 7.4%19%8%73%

Results

County results of the Democratic primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
O'Rourke
O'Rourke-->90%
O'Rourke--80-90%
O'Rourke--70-80%
O'Rourke--60-70%
O'Rourke--50-60%
O'Rourke--40-50%
O'Rourke--<40%
Kimbrough / O'Rourke--50%
O'Rourke/Hernandez tie
O'Rourke/Hernandez tie--<50%
O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie
O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie--50%
Hernandez
Hernandez-->90%
Hernandez--80-90%
Hernandez--70-80%
Hernandez--60-70%
Hernandez--50-60%
Hernandez--40-50%
Hernandez--<40%
Kimbrough
Kimbrough--<40%
Kimbrough--40-50%
Kimbrough--50-60%
Kimbrough--60-70%
Kimbrough--70-80%
Kimbrough--80-90%
Kimbrough-->90% Democratic primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018.svg
County results of the Democratic primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018
  O'Rourke
  •    O'Rourke—>90%
  •   O'Rourke—80–90%
  •   O'Rourke—70–80%
  •   O'Rourke—60–70%
  •   O'Rourke—50–60%
  •   O'Rourke—40–50%
  •   O'Rourke—<40%
  •   Kimbrough / O'Rourke—50%
  O'Rourke/Hernandez tie
  •   O'Rourke/Hernandez tie—<50%
  O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie
  •   O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie—50%
  Hernandez
  •   Hernandez—>90%
  •   Hernandez—80–90%
  •   Hernandez—70–80%
  •   Hernandez—60–70%
  •   Hernandez—50–60%
  •   Hernandez—40–50%
  •   Hernandez—<40%
  Kimbrough
  •   Kimbrough—<40%
  •   Kimbrough—40–50%
  •   Kimbrough—50–60%
  •   Kimbrough—60–70%
  •   Kimbrough—70–80%
  •   Kimbrough—80–90%
  •   Kimbrough—>90%
Democratic primary results [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 644,632 61.81%
Democratic Sema Hernandez247,42423.72%
Democratic Edward Kimbrough150,85814.47%
Total votes1,042,914 100%

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominated

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Notes

  1. American Citizen Party does not have ballot access. Appears on ballot as "Independent". [53]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [56] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [57] Likely RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [58] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
CNN [59] Lean ROctober 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [60] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] Lean ROctober 5, 2018
Fox News [62] [lower-alpha 1] Lean ROctober 30, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

Endorsements

Ted Cruz (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Texas state senators
Texas state representatives
Local officeholders
Individuals
Labor unions
  • San Antonio Police Officers Association [87]
Organizations
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Former U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Texas state senators
  • Wendy Davis, former state senator (D-10th district) and 2014 Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas [113]
Texas state representatives
  • Chris Turner, state representative (101st district) and Chair of the Texas House Democratic Caucus [114]
Local officeholders
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Fundraising

In the third quarter of 2018, O'Rourke raised $38.1 million. This amount was the largest quarterly total raised by a U.S. Senate candidate [197] until Jaime Harrison raised $57 million in the third quarter of 2020 in the South Carolina election. [198] Cruz and O'Rourke combined to raise a record-setting total of $126 million during the 2018 campaign. [199] [200]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Ted Cruz (R)$45,668,718$45,990,176$157,959
Beto O'Rourke (D)$80,344,836$80,458,720$284,816
Neal Dikeman (L)$33,732$33,398$333
Source: Federal Election Commission [200]

Polling

Polling for the 2018 Senate election in Texas.png
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Neal
Dikeman (L)
OtherUndecided
Trafalgar Group (R) November 3–5, 20182,135± 2.1%52%43%1%4%
Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC) November 1–2, 20181,21149%49%1%
Emerson College October 28–30, 2018781± 3.7%50%47%1%2%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 20181,078± 3.5%51%46%1%3%
University of Texas Tyler October 15–28, 2018905 LV47%43%4%6%
1,033 RV± 3.0%47%42%4%8%
Dixie Strategies October 25–26, 2018588± 4.0%52%42%5%
GBA Strategies (D-End Citizens United) October 18–21, 20181,000± 4.0%50%46%2%2%
University of Texas/YouGov October 15–21, 2018927± 3.2%51%45%2%2%
Ipsos October 12–18, 20181,298± 3.2%49%44%3%1%
Tulchin Research (D-MoveOn) October 10–14, 2018600± 4.0%49%45%3%3%
CNN/SSRS October 9–13, 2018716 LV± 4.5%52%45%0%2%
862 RV± 4.1%50%45%0%3%
WPA Intelligence (R-Club for Growth) October 8–13, 2018801± 3.5%52%43%1%4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–11, 2018800± 3.6%51%43%1%5%
Quinnipiac University October 3–9, 2018730± 4.4%54%45%0%2%
YouGov October 2–5, 201888150%44%2%4%
Emerson College October 1–5, 2018500± 4.5%47%42%3%8%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) September 19–20, 2018613± 4.0%48%45%8%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) September 19–20, 2018603± 4.0%49%46%5%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018508± 4.4%50%50%
Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2018807± 4.1%54%45%0%1%
Chism Strategies (D-Reform Austin) September 11–12, 20181,161± 3.0%49%45%5%
Ipsos September 6–14, 2018992± 4.0%45%47%3%5%
Crosswind Media & Public Relations September 6–9, 2018800± 4.0%47%44%
Dixie Strategies September 6–7, 2018519± 4.3%46%42%1%11%
Emerson College August 22–25, 2018550± 4.4%38%37%4%21%
NBC News/Marist August 12–16, 2018759± 3.8%49%45%1%6%
Civiqs [lower-alpha 1] August 8–11, 2018 [lower-alpha 2] 47%48%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) August 1–2, 2018797± 3.5%46%42%
Quinnipiac University July 26–31, 20181,118± 3.5%49%43%0%6%
Texas Lyceum July 9–26, 2018441 LV± 4.7%41%39%1%19%
806 RV± 3.5%36%34%3%24%
Gravis Marketing July 3–7, 2018602± 4.0%51%42%7%
YouGov June 19–22, 2018821 LV50%40%3%7%
1,025 RV± 3.6%44%36%3%13%
University of Texas/YouGov June 8–17, 20181,200± 2.8%41%36%2%3%17%
GQR Research (D-End Citizens United) May 29 – June 5, 20181,000± 3.1%49%43%8%
Quinnipiac University May 23–29, 2018961± 3.8%50%39%0%9%
Baselice & Associates (R-TLRPAC) May 21–28, 2018601± 4.1%48%36%3%1%11%
Public Policy Polling (D-Giffords) May 21–22, 2018861± 3.3%48%42%10%
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) May 19–21, 2018575± 4.1%47%40%6% [201] 7%
Quinnipiac University April 12–17, 20181,029± 3.6%47%44%1%8%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) January 17–18, 2018757± 3.6%45%37%18%
WPA Intelligence (R-Cruz) December 12–14, 2017600± 4.0%52%34%1%13%
Texas Lyceum April 3–9, 20171,000± 3.1%30%30%3%37%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Joaquin
Castro (D)
OtherUndecided
Texas Lyceum April 3–9, 20171,000± 3.1%31%35%3%31%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016944± 3.2%48%36%16%
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 20161,018± 3.1%32%31%14%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Wendy
Davis (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016944± 3.2%49%37%14%

Results

On November 6, 2018, Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke. However, O'Rourke gave Democrats their best performance in a Texas statewide election since Ann Richards was elected governor in 1990. [202] In addition, O'Rourke flipped several counties in Texas that Donald Trump carried in 2016, including Williamson (includes Round Rock and Georgetown), historically conservative Tarrant (includes Fort Worth and suburbs within the DFW metroplex), Jefferson (includes Beaumont and Port Arthur), Nueces (includes Corpus Christi), sparsely populated Brewster (includes Big Bend National Park), and Hays (includes San Marcos). Cruz only flipped one county that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, sparsely populated Kenedy (coastal region south of Corpus Christi).

2018 United States Senate election in Texas [203]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 4,260,553 50.89% −5.57%
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 4,045,63248.33%+7.71%
Libertarian Neal Dikeman65,4700.78%−1.28%
Total votes8,371,655 100% N/A
Republican hold

By county

Legend
Counties won by Cruz
Counties won by O'Rourke
2018 U.S. Senate election results by Texas county
CountyCruz
Republican
O'Rourke
Democratic
Dikeman
Libertarian
MarginTotal
votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Anderson 11,33576.92%3,30722.44%940.64%8,02854.48%14,736
Andrews 3,33880.80%77618.78%170.41%2,56262.02%4,131
Angelina 19,16672.46%7,13026.96%1530.58%12,03645.51%26,449
Aransas 6,67774.35%2,24725.02%560.62%4,43049.33%8,980
Archer 3,20889.06%37610.44%180.50%2,83278.62%3,602
Armstrong 81991.10%748.23%60.67%74582.87%899
Atascosa 7,75363.53%4,33235.50%1190.98%3,42128.03%12,204
Austin 8,77279.05%2,24120.19%840.76%6,53158.85%11,097
Bailey 1,20474.50%40525.06%70.43%79949.44%1,616
Bandera 7,64379.75%1,86519.46%760.79%5,77860.29%9,584
Bastrop 15,06754.87%12,08244.00%3121.14%2,98510.87%27,461
Baylor 1,07086.64%15612.63%90.73%91474.01%1,235
Bee 4,34260.16%2,81138.95%640.89%1,53121.21%7,217
Bell 47,43754.79%38,41744.37%7230.84%9,02010.42%86,577
Bexar 217,60039.59%326,94659.49%5,0240.91%109,34619.90%549,570
Blanco 4,18171.99%1,57027.03%570.98%2,61144.96%5,808
Borden 32093.29%226.41%10.29%29886.88%343
Bosque 5,71879.92%1,37419.20%630.88%4,34460.71%7,155
Bowie 20,15771.17%7,98228.18%1820.64%12,17542.99%28,321
Brazoria 65,69358.78%45,22840.47%8320.74%20,46518.31%111,753
Brazos 35,97155.78%27,87643.23%6400.99%8,09512.55%64,487
Brewster 1,87945.99%2,14752.55%601.47%2686.56%4,086
Briscoe 55388.62%6911.06%20.32%48477.56%624
Brooks 54328.24%1,37671.55%40.21%83343.32%1,923
Brown 10,39185.65%1,67013.77%710.59%8,72171.88%12,132
Burleson 5,07977.54%1,42621.77%450.69%3,65355.77%6,550
Burnet 13,85974.95%4,44424.03%1871.01%9,41550.92%18,490
Caldwell 6,14753.54%5,22745.53%1070.93%9208.01%11,481
Calhoun 4,19868.61%1,87430.63%470.77%2,32437.98%6,119
Callahan 4,37387.06%61012.14%400.80%3,76374.92%5,023
Cameron 28,57436.67%48,77062.60%5680.73%20,19625.92%77,912
Camp 2,74970.63%1,11928.75%240.62%1,63041.88%3,892
Carson 2,19289.14%2459.96%220.89%1,94779.18%2,459
Cass 8,14879.75%2,02419.81%450.44%6,12459.94%10,217
Castro 1,21975.11%39424.28%100.62%82550.83%1,623
Chambers 12,14680.01%2,92619.27%1090.72%9,22060.73%15,181
Cherokee 11,63177.85%3,20721.46%1030.69%8,42456.38%14,941
Childress 1,52686.21%23613.33%80.45%1,29072.88%1,770
Clay 3,71086.52%54712.76%310.72%3,16373.76%4,288
Cochran 54178.86%14020.41%50.73%40158.45%686
Coke 1,15088.67%13710.56%100.77%1,01378.10%1,297
Coleman 2,75988.26%35111.23%160.51%2,40877.03%3,126
Collin 187,24552.63%165,61446.55%2,9270.82%21,6316.08%355,786
Collingsworth 81087.28%11312.18%50.54%69775.11%928
Colorado 5,77975.67%1,82523.90%330.43%3,95451.77%7,637
Comal 44,07971.68%16,83027.37%5860.95%27,24944.31%61,495
Comanche 3,79982.41%78116.94%300.65%3,01865.47%4,610
Concho 80381.94%16316.63%141.43%64065.31%980
Cooke 11,87981.70%2,55017.54%1110.76%9,32964.16%14,540
Coryell 10,62666.99%5,06731.94%1701.07%5,55935.04%15,863
Cottle 45882.23%9717.41%20.36%36164.81%557
Crane 83679.24%21320.19%60.57%62359.05%1,055
Crockett 92872.73%34026.65%80.63%58846.08%1,276
Crosby 97868.78%43730.73%70.49%54138.05%1,422
Culberson 29735.91%52163.00%91.09%22427.09%827
Dallam 97087.00%13912.47%60.54%83174.53%1,115
Dallas 241,12433.13%481,39566.14%5,3680.74%240,27133.01%727,887
Dawson 2,19272.70%81126.90%120.40%1,38145.80%3,015
Deaf Smith 2,68070.99%1,06728.26%280.74%1,61342.73%3,775
Delta 1,56280.85%35418.32%160.83%1,20862.53%1,932
Denton 158,74453.67%134,64945.52%2,4090.81%24,0958.15%295,802
Dewitt 4,97481.13%1,12818.40%290.47%3,84662.73%6,131
Dickens 63584.22%11314.99%60.80%52269.23%754
Dimmit 84029.03%2,04270.56%120.41%1,20241.53%2,894
Donley 1,11086.79%16112.59%80.63%94974.20%1,279
Duval 1,33032.34%2,76567.23%180.44%1,43534.89%4,113
Eastland 5,37786.66%80012.89%280.45%4,57773.76%6,205
Ector 20,99668.90%9,23030.29%2480.81%11,76638.61%30,474
Edwards 60479.79%14519.15%81.06%45960.63%757
Ellis 41,02267.71%19,10631.53%4610.76%21,91636.17%60,589
El Paso 50,94325.02%151,48274.40%1,1890.58%100,53949.38%203,614
Erath 10,05579.64%2,48619.69%840.66%7,56959.95%12,625
Falls 3,21568.70%1,44530.88%200.43%1,77037.82%4,680
Fannin 8,56979.71%2,10719.60%740.69%6,46260.11%10,750
Fayette 8,22878.52%2,19820.98%530.51%6,03057.54%10,479
Fisher 1,13976.24%34022.76%151.00%79953.48%1,494
Floyd 1,39474.19%47625.33%90.48%91848.86%1,879
Foard 32173.79%11325.98%10.23%20847.82%435
Fort Bend 111,42343.62%142,39955.75%1,6160.63%30,97612.13%255,438
Franklin 3,30083.04%63916.08%350.88%2,66166.96%3,974
Freestone 5,24379.90%1,27919.49%400.61%3,96460.41%6,562
Frio 1,63644.46%2,01654.78%280.76%38010.33%3,680
Gaines 3,31786.18%51313.33%190.49%2,80472.85%3,849
Galveston 67,64159.53%45,06539.66%9160.81%22,57619.87%113,622
Garza 1,06882.98%20315.77%161.24%86567.21%1,287
Gillespie 9,89078.85%2,57220.51%810.65%7,31858.34%12,543
Glasscock 51392.60%376.68%40.72%47685.92%554
Goliad 2,32675.72%71723.34%290.94%1,60952.38%3,072
Gonzales 4,17374.19%1,42125.26%310.55%2,75248.92%5,625
Gray 5,24688.90%61510.42%400.68%4,63178.48%5,901
Grayson 31,65573.37%11,15725.86%3320.77%20,49847.51%43,144
Gregg 24,56968.37%11,13330.98%2340.65%13,43637.39%35,936
Grimes 6,49975.51%2,03723.67%710.82%4,46251.84%8,607
Guadalupe 33,93862.19%20,07936.79%5541.02%13,85925.40%54,571
Hale 5,36072.51%1,97026.65%620.84%3,39045.86%7,392
Hall 80783.11%16116.58%30.31%64666.53%971
Hamilton 2,79583.93%50715.23%280.84%2,28868.71%3,330
Hansford 1,55290.76%1388.07%201.17%1,41482.69%1,710
Hardeman 97383.73%18515.92%40.34%78867.81%1,162
Hardin 17,39186.53%2,63613.12%710.35%14,75573.42%20,098
Harris 498,90241.31%700,20057.98%8,6520.72%201,29816.67%1,207,754
Harrison 16,22671.82%6,24527.64%1220.54%9,98144.18%22,593
Hartley 1,46790.33%1539.42%40.25%1,31480.91%1,624
Haskell 1,36281.36%30218.04%100.60%1,06063.32%1,674
Hays 33,30841.77%45,58457.16%8541.07%12,27615.39%79,746
Hemphill 1,20987.93%15711.42%90.65%1,05276.51%1,375
Henderson 20,89178.80%5,41520.43%2050.77%15,47658.38%26,511
Hidalgo 46,50530.64%104,41668.81%8340.55%57,91138.16%151,755
Hill 8,92778.08%2,44321.37%630.55%6,48456.71%11,433
Hockley 4,84479.49%1,21119.87%390.64%3,63359.62%6,094
Hood 20,09080.34%4,72018.88%1950.78%15,37061.47%25,005
Hopkins 9,30678.07%2,54521.35%690.58%6,76156.72%11,920
Houston 5,55275.43%1,77224.08%360.49%3,78051.36%7,360
Howard 5,65176.32%1,69322.87%600.81%3,95853.46%7,404
Hudspeth 50954.56%40743.62%171.82%10210.93%933
Hunt 21,11574.12%7,15125.10%2220.78%13,96449.02%28,488
Hutchinson 5,85488.14%75311.34%350.53%5,10176.80%6,642
Irion 63686.18%9613.01%60.81%54073.17%738
Jack 2,49888.80%29610.52%190.68%2,20278.28%2,813
Jackson 3,99182.46%83217.19%170.35%3,15965.27%4,840
Jasper 9,50480.32%2,28219.29%470.40%7,22261.03%11,833
Jeff Davis 68358.03%46639.59%282.38%21718.44%1,177
Jefferson 36,73149.48%37,12850.01%3800.51%3970.53%74,239
Jim Hogg 41027.74%1,06071.72%80.54%65043.98%1,478
Jim Wells 4,52045.66%5,33153.85%490.49%8118.19%9,900
Johnson 39,57175.47%12,41123.67%4540.87%27,16051.80%52,436
Jones 4,11582.56%83216.69%370.74%3,28365.87%4,984
Karnes 2,90070.12%1,20329.09%330.80%1,69741.03%4,136
Kaufman 26,11868.07%12,00231.28%2520.66%14,11636.79%38,372
Kendall 15,29277.25%4,34021.92%1640.83%10,95255.32%19,796
Kenedy 10055.56%7742.78%31.67%2312.78%180
Kent 28885.46%4413.06%51.48%24472.40%337
Kerr 16,82275.76%5,19823.41%1850.83%11,62452.35%22,205
Kimble 1,49587.73%19511.44%140.82%1,30076.29%1,704
King 12494.66%64.58%10.76%11890.08%131
Kinney 82768.97%35829.86%141.17%46939.12%1,199
Kleberg 4,08147.48%4,45651.84%590.69%3754.36%8,596
Knox 85578.23%22920.95%90.82%62657.27%1,093
Lamar 12,71176.72%3,73122.52%1260.76%8,98054.20%16,568
Lamb 2,74179.29%69920.22%170.49%2,04259.07%3,457
Lampasas 5,83678.13%1,56921.00%650.87%4,26757.12%7,470
La Salle 67345.20%81354.60%30.20%1409.40%1,489
Lavaca 6,68886.44%1,01913.17%300.39%5,66973.27%7,737
Lee 4,48776.74%1,32222.61%380.65%3,16554.13%5,847
Leon 5,71186.67%85512.98%230.35%4,85673.70%6,589
Liberty 16,04177.96%4,42121.49%1140.55%11,62056.47%20,576
Limestone 5,21175.35%1,67224.18%330.48%3,53951.17%6,916
Lipscomb 94288.28%11610.87%90.84%82677.41%1,067
Live Oak 3,02982.96%60116.46%210.58%2,42866.50%3,651
Llano 7,95478.33%2,12420.92%760.75%5,83057.42%10,154
Loving 4787.04%611.11%11.85%4175.93%54
Lubbock 58,78064.19%32,06835.02%7310.80%26,71229.17%91,579
Lynn 1,36980.67%32319.03%50.29%1,04661.64%1,697
McCulloch 2,24584.05%40014.98%260.97%1,84569.08%2,671
Mclennan 45,85561.24%28,45238.00%5680.76%17,40323.24%74,875
McMullen 38790.00%419.53%20.47%34680.47%430
Madison 3,03379.17%78020.36%180.47%2,25358.81%3,831
Marion 2,44870.00%1,01829.11%310.89%1,43040.89%3,497
Martin 1,29783.46%24315.64%140.90%1,05467.82%1,554
Mason 1,56079.31%40220.44%50.25%1,15858.87%1,967
Matagorda 7,33070.10%3,04929.16%780.75%4,28140.94%10,457
Maverick 2,95127.38%7,72771.71%980.91%4,77644.32%10,776
Medina 11,44470.73%4,62128.56%1140.70%6,82342.17%16,179
Menard 63280.72%14518.52%60.77%48762.20%783
Midland 32,86778.34%8,72320.79%3650.87%24,14457.55%41,955
Milam 5,92274.15%1,99725.00%680.85%3,92549.14%7,987
Mills 1,76488.02%22911.43%110.55%1,53576.60%2,004
Mitchell 1,58582.85%32316.88%50.26%1,26265.97%1,913
Montague 6,42486.57%94112.68%560.75%5,48373.88%7,421
Montgomery 137,39572.28%51,26826.97%1,4330.75%86,12745.31%190,096
Moore 3,24880.00%78719.38%250.62%2,46160.62%4,060
Morris 2,95369.74%1,26029.76%210.50%1,69339.99%4,234
Motley 48391.65%407.59%40.76%44384.06%527
Nacogdoches 13,77563.68%7,73235.74%1260.58%6,04327.93%21,633
Navarro 10,39172.08%3,91827.18%1070.74%6,47344.90%14,416
Newton 3,66078.27%99321.24%230.49%2,66757.04%4,676
Nolan 3,12076.58%92822.78%260.64%2,19253.80%4,074
Nueces 45,95648.85%47,39250.38%7190.76%1,4361.53%94,067
Ochiltree 2,16089.44%2309.52%251.04%1,93079.92%2,415
Oldham 73289.71%8210.05%20.25%65079.66%816
Orange 21,16480.37%5,05019.18%1180.45%16,11461.20%26,332
Palo Pinto 7,54780.03%1,83719.48%460.49%5,71060.55%9,430
Panola 7,12081.38%1,59818.26%310.35%5,52263.12%8,749
Parker 44,07180.87%9,95618.27%4680.86%34,11562.60%54,495
Parmer 1,67581.43%37218.08%100.49%1,30363.34%2,057
Pecos 2,16161.39%1,33938.04%200.57%82223.35%3,520
Polk 12,79476.38%3,85022.99%1060.63%8,94453.40%16,750
Potter 16,68968.33%7,52130.79%2140.88%9,16837.54%24,424
Presidio 43626.15%1,22173.25%100.60%78547.09%1,667
Rains 3,70284.02%68115.46%230.52%3,02168.57%4,406
Randall 38,47979.41%9,61319.84%3630.75%28,86659.57%48,455
Reagan 69282.97%13616.31%60.72%55666.67%834
Real 1,31183.82%24515.66%80.51%1,06668.16%1,564
Red River 3,42777.57%97322.02%180.41%2,45455.55%4,418
Reeves 1,12847.04%1,25552.34%150.63%1275.30%2,398
Refugio 1,63665.65%84733.99%90.36%78931.66%2,492
Roberts 44195.87%194.13%00.00%42291.74%460
Robertson 4,29568.52%1,94230.98%310.49%2,35337.54%6,268
Rockwall 26,61568.77%11,75430.37%3300.85%14,86138.40%38,699
Runnels 2,84287.88%38511.90%70.22%2,45775.97%3,234
Rusk 12,59777.37%3,60922.17%760.47%8,98855.20%16,282
Sabine 3,45687.12%49612.50%150.38%2,96074.62%3,967
San Augustine 2,26675.13%73424.34%160.53%1,53250.80%3,016
San Jacinto 7,49980.30%1,78519.11%550.59%5,71461.18%9,339
San Patricio 11,33562.22%6,77737.20%1070.59%4,55825.02%18,219
San Saba 1,81187.53%24711.94%110.53%1,56475.59%2,069
Schleicher 73577.21%20921.95%80.84%52655.25%952
Scurry 3,70584.92%64214.71%160.37%3,06370.20%4,363
Shackelford 1,17491.65%1038.04%40.31%1,07183.61%1,281
Shelby 6,00879.46%1,52120.12%320.42%4,48759.34%7,561
Sherman 69284.18%8710.58%435.23%60573.60%822
Smith 53,76069.46%23,18229.95%4580.59%30,57839.51%77,400
Somervell 3,03382.17%63317.15%250.68%2,40065.02%3,691
Starr 2,44322.65%8,27376.72%680.63%5,83054.06%10,784
Stephens 2,63188.65%32410.92%130.44%2,30777.73%2,968
Sterling 44290.95%449.05%00.00%39881.89%486
Stonewall 49780.94%11218.24%50.81%38562.70%614
Sutton 93477.45%26521.97%70.58%66955.47%1,206
Swisher 1,46177.10%42022.16%140.74%1,04154.93%1,895
Tarrant 309,18949.24%313,49749.93%5,2080.83%4,3080.69%627,894
Taylor 29,81173.32%10,48925.80%3570.88%19,32247.52%40,657
Terrell 32369.16%13929.76%51.07%18439.40%467
Terry 2,16977.11%62922.36%150.53%1,54054.75%2,813
Throckmorton 61787.77%7710.95%91.28%54076.81%703
Titus 5,68571.02%2,26528.29%550.69%3,42042.72%8,005
Tom Green 24,64871.18%9,69027.98%2920.84%14,95843.19%34,630
Travis 119,27824.63%359,77274.30%5,1541.06%240,49449.67%484,204
Trinity 4,14680.12%99819.29%310.60%3,14860.83%5,175
Tyler 5,91982.91%1,18516.60%350.49%4,73466.31%7,139
Upshur 11,52982.44%2,36416.91%910.65%9,16565.54%13,984
Upton 85482.83%16916.39%80.78%68566.44%1,031
Uvalde 4,34854.80%3,52844.46%590.74%82010.33%7,935
Val Verde 5,34546.87%5,95552.21%1050.92%6105.35%11,405
Van Zandt 15,18284.66%2,63414.69%1160.65%12,54869.98%17,932
Victoria 19,00569.85%8,04629.57%1570.58%10,95940.28%27,208
Walker 11,53564.61%6,18634.65%1320.74%5,34929.96%17,853
Waller 10,16761.24%6,33538.16%1010.61%3,83223.08%16,603
Ward 2,09671.78%80027.40%240.82%1,29644.38%2,920
Washington 10,13475.11%3,26324.18%950.70%6,87150.93%13,492
Webb 13,81427.97%35,15971.20%4080.83%21,34543.23%49,381
Wharton 9,09470.27%3,79329.31%550.42%5,30140.96%12,942
Wheeler 1,67992.76%1256.91%60.33%1,55485.86%1,810
Wichita 23,64869.72%9,97129.40%2990.88%13,67740.32%33,918
Wilbarger 2,63976.74%77622.56%240.70%1,86354.17%3,439
Willacy 1,52735.31%2,77364.12%250.58%1,24628.81%4,325
Williamson 99,85747.96%105,85050.84%2,5141.21%5,9932.88%208,221
Wilson 13,02573.51%4,56725.77%1270.72%8,45847.73%17,719
Winkler 1,12377.18%32122.06%110.76%80255.12%1,455
Wise 19,02382.29%3,91516.94%1790.77%15,10865.35%23,117
Wood 13,98783.55%2,63515.74%1180.70%11,35267.81%16,740
Yoakum 1,55881.87%33517.60%100.53%1,22364.27%1,903
Young 5,54386.54%82112.82%410.64%4,72273.72%6,405
Zapata 82136.93%1,39262.62%100.45%57125.69%2,223
Zavala 58920.19%2,31379.29%150.51%1,72459.10%2,917
Total4,351,42151.43%4,044,63147.80%65,4700.77%306,7903.63%8,461,522
Cruz
Republican
O'Rourke
Democratic
Dikeman
Libertarian
MarginTotal
votes
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Cruz won 20 of 36 congressional districts; O'Rourke won the other 16, including three held by Republicans. [204]

DistrictCruzO'RourkeRepresentative
1st 71%28% Louie Gohmert
2nd 50%49% Ted Poe
Dan Crenshaw
3rd 51%48% Sam Johnson
Van Taylor
4th 74%25% John Ratcliffe
5th 60%39% Jeb Hensarling
Lance Gooden
6th 51%48% Joe Barton
Ron Wright
7th 46%53% John Culberson
Lizzie Fletcher
8th 71%28% Kevin Brady
9th 19%80% Al Green
10th 49.4%49.6% Michael McCaul
11th 78%21% Mike Conaway
12th 60%39% Kay Granger
13th 79%20% Mac Thornberry
14th 58%41% Randy Weber
15th 42%57% Vicente Gonzalez
16th 26%73% Beto O'Rourke
Veronica Escobar
17th 54%45% Bill Flores
18th 20%79% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 71%28% Jodey Arrington
20th 33%66% Joaquín Castro
21st 49.6%49.5% Lamar Smith
Chip Roy
22nd 49.9%49.3% Pete Olson
23rd 47%52% Will Hurd
24th 48%51% Kenny Marchant
25th 52%47% Roger Williams
26th 57%42% Michael Burgess
27th 60%39% Michael Cloud
28th 40%59% Henry Cuellar
29th 25%74% Gene Green
Sylvia Garcia
30th 18%82% Eddie Bernice Johnson
31st 50%48% John Carter
32nd 44%55% Pete Sessions
Colin Allred
33rd 22%77% Marc Veasey
34th 42%58% Filemon Vela Jr.
35th 27%72% Lloyd Doggett
36th 71%28% Brian Babin

Notes

  1. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  2. Not yet released

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Two-term incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz is seeking a third term in office. Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024 during Super Tuesday.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 38 U.S. representatives from Texas, one from each of the state's 38 congressional districts. The state gained two seats after the results of the 2020 census. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on March 1, with primary runoffs scheduled for May 24 for districts where no candidate received over 50% of the vote.

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Official campaign websites