2018 United States Senate election in Washington

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Washington
Flag of Washington.svg
  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  
  Maria Cantwell (cropped).jpg SusanHutchison-official (cropped).jpg
Nominee Maria Cantwell Susan Hutchison
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,803,3641,282,804
Percentage58.31%41.48%

2018 United States Senate election in Washington results map by county.svg
2018 Washington Senate election by Congressional District.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Washington map by precinct.svg
Cantwell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hutchison:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalist Susan Hutchison, a Republican.

Contents

Nonpartisan blanket primary

Candidates

The primary election featured 30 candidates. [1]

Democratic Party

Declared

Republican Party

Declared
Withdrawn
  • Ron Higgins (withdrew May 19, 2018 [9] )
Endorsements
Susan Hutchison

Independents

Declared
  • Jennifer "GiGi" Ferguson [18] [19]
  • Thor Amundson
  • Dave Strider [20]
  • Charlie R Jackson
  • Jon Butler
Write-in
  • Clay Johnson, activist [19]

Minor parties

In Washington, primary candidates may declare a preference for any party, and their party preference does not imply that the candidate is nominated or endorsed by the party. Candidates may also declare a preference for new or single-candidate parties.

Declared

Notes

  1. According to Chase, FDFR stands for Fuck Democrats Fuck Republicans [1]

Results

Results by county:
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Cantwell--60-70%
Cantwell--50-60%
Cantwell--40-50%
Cantwell--30-40%
Hutchinson--30-40%
Hutchinson--40-50% 2018WASENprimary.svg
Results by county:
  Cantwell—60–70%
  Cantwell—50–60%
  Cantwell—40–50%
  Cantwell—30–40%
  Hutchinson—30–40%
  Hutchinson—40–50%
Blanket primary election results [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent) 929,961 54.68%
Republican Susan Hutchison 413,317 24.30%
Republican Keith Swank39,8182.34%
Republican Joey Gibson 38,6762.27%
Democratic Clint Tannehill35,7702.10%
Republican Dave Bryant33,9622.00%
Republican Art Coday30,6541.80%
Independent Jennifer Gigi Ferguson25,2241.48%
Republican Tim Owen23,1671.36%
Republican Matt Hawkins13,3240.78%
Democratic Don L. Rivers12,6340.74%
Libertarian Mike Luke12,3020.72%
Republican Glen R. Stockwell11,6110.68%
Independent Thor Amundson9,3930.55%
Democratic Mohammad Said8,6490.51%
Republican Matthew D. Heines7,7370.45%
Freedom Socialist Steve Hoffman7,3900.43%
Republican GoodSpaceGuy7,0570.41%
Republican John Orlinski6,9050.41%
Independent Dave Strider6,8210.40%
Republican Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente5,7240.34%
Green James Robert "Jimmie" Deal3,8490.23%
The Human Rights PartySam Wright3,7610.22%
FDFR PartyBrad Chase2,6550.16%
Democratic George H. Kalberer2,4480.14%
Independent Charlie R. Jackson2,4110.14%
Republican R. C. Smith2,2380.13%
Independent Jon Butler2,0160.12%
StandUpAmericaAlex Tsimerman1,3660.08%
Total votes1,700,840 100.00%

    General election

    Debates

    2022 United States Senate election in Washington debates
    No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
    Key:
     P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
    Maria Cantwell Susan Hutchison
    1Oct. 8, 2018 KOMO-TV
    Pacific Lutheran University
    Mary Nam
    Essex Porter
    [26] PP
    2Oct. 20, 2018 Community Colleges of Spokane
    Gonzaga University
    Eastern Washington University
    University of Washington
    Washington State University Spokane
    Whitworth University
    Hayley Guenthner
    Jane McCarthy
    [27] PP

    Predictions

    SourceRankingAs of
    The Cook Political Report [28] Safe DOctober 26, 2018
    Inside Elections [29] Safe DNovember 1, 2018
    Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
    Fox News [31] Likely DJuly 9, 2018
    CNN [32] Safe DJuly 12, 2018
    RealClearPolitics [33] Safe DNovember 5, 2018

    Polling

    Poll sourceDate(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size [lower-alpha 1]
    Margin
    of error
    Maria
    Cantwell (D)
    Susan
    Hutchison (R)
    Undecided
    Elway/Crosscut [34] October 4–9, 2018405 (RV)± 5.0%53%39%9%
    Public Policy Polling (D) [35] [upper-alpha 1] May 22–23, 2018675 (LV)± 3.8%52%36%12%
    Hypothetical polling

    Maria Cantwell vs. Rob McKenna

    Poll sourceDate(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size [lower-alpha 1]
    Margin
    of error
    Maria
    Cantwell (D)
    Rob
    McKenna (R)
    Undecided
    Public Policy Polling (D) [36] [upper-alpha 1] June 27–28, 2017887 (LV)± 3.3%53%40%6%

    Results

    United States Senate election in Washington, 2018 [37]
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%
    Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent) 1,803,364 58.31% −2.05%
    Republican Susan Hutchison 1,282,80441.48%+1.99%
    Write-in 6,4610.21%+0.06%
    Total votes3,092,629 100.00% N/A
    Democratic hold

    Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

    Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

    By congressional district

    Cantwell won 7 of 10 congressional districts. [38]

    DistrictCantwellHutchisonRepresentative
    1st 57%43% Suzan DelBene
    2nd 61%39% Rick Larsen
    3rd 49%51% Jaime Herrera Beutler
    4th 38%62% Dan Newhouse
    5th 47%53% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
    6th 57%43% Derek Kilmer
    7th 84%16% Pramila Jayapal
    8th 51%49% Kim Schrier
    9th 73%27% Adam Smith
    10th 56%44% Denny Heck

    Notes

    1. 1 2 Key:
      A – all adults
      RV – registered voters
      LV – likely voters
      V – unclear

    Partisan clients

    1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

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    References

    1. 1 2 3 Camden, Jim (May 19, 2018). "U.S. Senate primary: Cantwell and 29 challengers". The Spokesman-Review . Retrieved July 23, 2018.
    2. CANTWELL, MARIA
    3. RIVERS, DON L MR
    4. TANNEHILL, CLINT RONALD
    5. Kavanaugh, Shane Dixon (February 25, 2018). "Patriot Prayer leader Joey Gibson plans U.S. Senate run in Washington". Oregon Live. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
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    10. Susan Hutchison. "WA Secretary of State @KimWyman12 endorses @Susan4Senate. Grateful that our state's favorite elected official knows who's best for US Senate! #susan4senate". Twitter.
    11. Susan Hutchison. "I'm honored to be endorsed by @JaimeforUSRep, a fierce advocate for Southwest Washington! Let's have a strong showing from Republican voters all across the state today!". Twitter.
    12. Susan Hutchison. "Yet another important early endorsement for our campaign: Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Republicans all across Washington are rallying behind our campaign for US Senate; be sure to return your ballot by August 7th! #Susan4Senate". Facebook.
    13. Susan Hutchison. "Thank you to Congressman Dan Newhouse for his endorsement of our campaign! Proud to call him a friend and appreciate all he does for #WA04. Remember to return your ballots by Aug 7 and vote #Susan4Senate!". Twitter.
    14. Susan Hutchison. "Proudly Endorsed by Former U.S. Senator Slade Gorton". Twitter.
    15. Susan Hutchison. "Honored to have the endorsement of my friend and next WA House Speaker, @jtwilcox111". Twitter.
    16. Susan Hutchison. "The 45,000-strong Hunters Heritage Council has endorsed @susan4senate! #susan4senate #hunting #waelex". Twitter.
    17. Susan Hutchison. "I am proud to be endorsed by the Washington Farm Bureau, and will always fight to protect our private property and water rights from burdensome federal regulations. #Susan4Senate". Twitter.
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    Official campaign websites