2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Washington.svg
  2016 March 10, 2020 2024  
  ND
MP  

107 Democratic National Convention delegates (89 pledged, 18 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count4643
Popular vote591,403570,039
Percentage37.94%36.57%

  Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Elizabeth Warren
(withdrawn) [a]
Michael Bloomberg
(withdrawn) [b]
Home state Massachusetts New York
Delegate count00
Popular vote142,652122,530
Percentage9.15%7.86%

Washington Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Joe Biden
  Bernie Sanders

The 2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The state-run semi-open primary, which was used instead of party-run caucuses for the first time by Washington's Democrats, awarded 109 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 89 were pledged delegates allocated according to the results of the primary. [1]

Contents

On March 16, 2020, almost a week after the primary, major news outlets including CNN, NBC, The New York Times , and the Associated Press called the narrow race for former vice president Joe Biden, who won 37.9% of the vote and 46 delegates, around 20,000 votes ahead of senator Bernie Sanders. Sanders reached 36.6% of the vote and received 43 delegates, adding another crucial loss to his campaign, while a win, widely expected in polls, had been seen as vital for him to remain a realistic contender for the presidential nomination. [2] Senator Elizabeth Warren and former mayor Michael Bloomberg, who had already withdrawn from the race, came close to 10% of the vote due to early votes, winning no delegates.

Procedure

Washington was one of six states (along with Democrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday. [3] As a primary totally done by mail-in voting, it took place from February 21 to March 10, 2020. [4] On March 14, 2019, Governor Jay Inslee had signed a bill moving the state's previously non-binding presidential primary up from May to the second Tuesday in March, roughly the typical time frame Democrats had already been using for their caucuses in the past. [5] A month later, on April 7, 2019, the Washington Democratic Party's central committee historically approved the usage of the hybrid vote-by-mail presidential primary in a 121–40 vote, marking the first time in the state's history that Democrats used a primary. [6]

In Washington, a vote-by-mail state, there was an 18-day voting period and all ballots had to be either dropped off by 8:00 p.m. at a designated ballot box or postmarked by the date of the primary. For people's votes to be counted, they had to select either a Democratic or Republican ballot. Both ballots were distributed to every registered voter, as Washington State did not track party registration; no independent ballots existed. In the primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level to be considered viable. The 89 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 3 and 11 were allocated to each of the state's 10 congressional districts and another 12 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 19 at-large delegates. The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date. [7]

Following legislative district caucuses on April 26, 2020, to choose delegates to congressional district caucuses and the state convention, or county conventions on May 3, 2020, also to choose delegates to congressional district caucuses and the state convention, the congressional district caucuses met on May 30, 2020, to select national convention district delegates. The state party committee subsequently met at the state convention between June 13 and June 14, 2020, to vote on the 19 at-large and 12 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 20 unpledged PLEO delegates: 10 members of the Democratic National Committee, 9 members of Congress (both Senators and 7 representatives), and the governor Jay Inslee.

Candidates

The following individuals qualified for the ballot in Washington: [8]

Running

Withdrawn

There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot. [8]

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Un-
decided [e]
270 to Win [9] Mar 10, 2020Feb 15 – Mar 9, 202033.5%34.0%1.3%34.7%
RealClear Politics [10] Mar 9, 2020No averages at this time
FiveThirtyEight [11] Mar 10, 2020until Mar 9, 2020 [f] 39.8%37.1%1.4%21.7%
Average36.65%36.55%1.35%28.2%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Washington Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Jay
Inslee
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
OtherUndecided
Swayable [12] Mar 9, 20201,840 (LV)± 3.0%39%37%25% [h]
Data for Progress [13] Mar 7–9, 2020497 (LV)± 5.1%49%43%6%2% [i]
Survey USA/KING-TV [14] Mar 4–6, 2020550 (LV)± 5.4%36%35%10%13% [j] 5%
Mar 5, 2020Warren withdraws from the race
Data for Progress [15] Mar 4–5, 2020737 (LV)± 3.6%47%44%5% [k] 3% [l]
Mar 4, 2020Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Elway Research/Cascade Public Media [16] Feb 15–18, 2020404 (LV)± 5.0%10%15%9%11%21%11%0%2% [m] 22%
Feb 11, 2020Yang withdraws from the race
Survey USA/KING-TV [17] Jan 26–28, 2020536 (LV)± 6.2%21%12%8%3%26%16%4%2% [n] 7%
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Aug 21, 2019Inslee withdraws from the race
Zogby Analytics [18] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%19%5%9%6%1%18%14%2%11% [o] 16%

Results

Popular vote share by county
Biden--30-40%
Biden--40-50%
Sanders--30-40%
Sanders--40-50% 2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary election results map by county (vote share).svg
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary [19] [20]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [21]
Joe Biden 591,40337.9446
Bernie Sanders 570,03936.5743
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) [c] 142,6529.15
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) [c] 122,5307.86
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [d] 63,3444.06
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [d] 33,3832.14
Tulsi Gabbard 13,1990.85
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)6,4030.41
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [d] 3,4550.22
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)2,0440.13
Cory Booker (withdrawn)1,3140.08
John Delaney (withdrawn)5730.04
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)5080.03
Write-in votes1,4790.09
Uncommitted6,4500.41
Total1,558,776100%89

Results by county

2020 Washington Democratic primary

(results per county) [22]

CountyJoe BidenBernie SandersElizabeth WarrenMichael BloombergPete ButtigiegAmy KlobucharTulsi GabbardAndrew YangTom SteyerMichael BennetCory BookerJohn DelaneyDeval PatrickUncommittedTotal write-insTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Adams 31534.3132235.08606.5413114.27262.83242.61111.2070.7660.6530.330050.5410.1170.7600918
Asotin 1,14839.7073025.242037.0241414.321776.12913.15411.42200.69190.6640.1440.1430.1020.07280.9780.282,892
Benton 9,00338.957,45832.271,6547.162,32910.081,1655.046192.683431.481210.52850.37410.18310.13200.09100.041670.72670.2923,113
Chelan 4,81338.414,19233.469807.821,1719.356635.293592.871341.07500.40470.38290.23120.1030.0250.04640.5180.0612,530
Clallam 7,25538.915,58829.971,7899.601,91010.249214.946323.392201.18650.35650.35310.17170.09100.0580.041140.61190.1018,644
Clark 32,52537.7330,34135.206,7177.798,2969.624,3325.031,8012.098631.003700.432500.291370.16660.08330.04360.043230.371100.1386,200
Columbia 19037.9213526.95346.796913.77265.19234.5981.6020.4020.4020.4020.4010.200040.8030.60501
Cowlitz 6,45939.844,92430.371,0616.542,09112.907474.613392.091861.15930.57840.52470.29110.07100.06150.091200.74250.1516,212
Douglas 1,90540.581,54632.942886.1448510.332334.961042.22491.04230.49150.32110.2370.1540.0910.02190.4040.094,694
Ferry 30631.7434736.00757.7812412.86505.19313.22141.4530.3100000010.1020.21111.1400964
Franklin 2,47734.932,86540.403995.6372810.272543.581442.03791.11390.55210.30270.3890.13110.1630.04310.4450.077,092
Garfield 10740.236223.31269.773011.28207.52134.8941.500020.7510.380000000010.38266
Grant 2,27633.342,28533.474386.4295113.933815.582133.12911.33340.50350.51230.34170.2540.0620.03590.86170.256,826
Grays Harbor 4,09735.273,86533.278537.341,49512.876325.443052.631110.96530.46590.51240.21130.1190.0850.04740.64210.1811,616
Island 8,39440.206,24629.911,9919.531,8738.971,0825.187503.592331.12690.33600.29170.08130.06100.0580.041150.55200.1020,881
Jefferson 5,08636.825,16337.381,46910.649306.734743.433862.791140.83310.22270.20110.08110.0860.0450.04850.62140.1013,812
King 235,65538.26232,57537.7667,09610.8936,9786.0021,2783.4512,1301.973,7010.602,3700.388140.135600.094590.071280.021490.021,5450.254240.07615,862
Kitsap 23,99838.9620,02932.525,7139.285,3888.753,1715.151,7152.785940.962580.421770.29650.11450.07190.03220.043410.55590.1061,594
Kittitas 2,56134.162,88338.466678.905977.963284.382242.991071.43360.48210.28130.17110.1540.0530.04400.5320.037,497
Klickitat 1,47535.501,52636.733568.573458.302044.911142.74451.08130.31180.4350.1250.1250.1210.02380.9150.124,155
Lewis 3,51235.663,45335.067197.301,12011.374884.952162.191131.15390.40370.38210.21140.14120.1250.05860.87140.149,849
Lincoln 41436.3229525.88837.2818316.05756.58393.42242.1150.4430.2640.3510.090000121.0520.181,140
Mason 4,61338.203,89232.238457.001,44211.946185.123072.541351.12390.32600.50200.17100.0840.0330.02730.60150.1212,076
Okanogan 1,99633.392,32738.935649.435449.102203.681312.19621.04270.45100.17170.2880.1330.0520.03540.90130.225,978
Pacific 1,82638.001,43329.824048.4158912.262695.601192.48470.98240.50180.37110.2360.1250.1010.02481.0050.104,805
Pend Oreille 68438.5656031.571015.6920811.72975.47422.37221.24100.56130.7340.2320.1110.0620.11231.3050.281,774
Pierce 61,09740.2354,38535.8110,9387.2013,3408.785,8563.862,4891.641,4010.926710.443500.232320.151430.09620.04530.036900.451670.11151,874
San Juan 2,63335.722,78037.7187411.864225.723054.142112.86791.07160.22140.1950.0740.0530.0430.04230.31007,372
Skagit 10,14539.368,51433.032,0908.112,3719.201,2274.767602.952741.06820.32710.28410.16230.0990.0380.031290.50320.1225,776
Skamania 82237.8379436.541647.551878.61863.96602.76311.4380.3710.0510.050020.0900120.5550.232,173
Snohomish 64,87139.6459,77936.5212,6427.7212,7187.776,5804.023,1021.901,5930.977110.433640.222330.141110.07630.04640.046640.411720.11163,667
Spokane 30,61835.6829,75034.676,5207.609,88011.514,5815.342,0012.338280.963900.452520.291150.131040.12460.05230.035960.691020.1285,806
Stevens 1,95435.951,73731.953947.2569312.752955.431723.16611.12210.39250.46150.2880.1580.1530.06370.68130.245,436
Thurston 23,35035.6924,83337.956,1849.455,0727.752,7764.241,5832.425930.912840.431790.27760.12520.08240.04170.033510.54540.0865,428
Wahkiakum 34538.3328531.67626.8910611.78495.44232.56111.2240.4410.1130.3310.11000070.7830.33900
Walla Walla 3,54739.252,92532.378018.868349.233774.172933.241031.14450.50330.37210.2380.0940.0400450.50009,036
Whatcom 18,75231.6827,29546.115,3549.043,1755.362,0683.491,1691.975720.972560.431150.19610.10550.09200.03310.052280.39420.0759,193
Whitman 2,05030.093,04044.6372710.673835.622914.271442.11721.06370.54120.1850.0730.040060.09370.5450.076,812
Yakima 8,12934.728,88037.931,3175.632,92812.519223.945052.162300.98770.33900.381080.46280.12210.0990.041500.64180.0823,412
Total591,40337.94570,03936.57142,6529.15122,5307.8663,3444.0633,3832.1413,1990.856,4030.413,4550.222,0440.131,3140.085730.045080.036,4500.411,4790.091,558,776

Analysis

Joe Biden won the Washington primary by a narrow 1.4 point margin, a regression for Bernie Sanders who in 2016 had beat Hillary Clinton in the state by a large 45 point margin in a caucus. Men made up 42% of the electorate, and Sanders won this group 41–28, while among women, who made up 58% of the electorate, Biden won 36–27. [23] Sanders ran most strongly among voters ages 18–44, as he won this group 59–16. In contrast, Biden won among voters over the age of 45, 39–23. [23]

See also

Notes

  1. Warren withdrew on March 5, 2020, five days before the primary. Ballots had already been mailed to voters on February 21.
  2. Bloomberg withdrew on March 4, 2020, six days before the primary. Ballots had already been mailed to voters on February 21.
  3. 1 2 3 4 Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday when all-mail voting had already begun.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Candidate withdrew before Super Tuesday when all-mail voting had already begun.
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  6. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  7. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. Gabbard with 1%; Other with 24%
  9. Gabbard with 2%
  10. "Some Other Democrat" with 13%
  11. Estimated early vote share; respondents in the poll who indicated Warren as their first choice but that they had not yet voted were assigned to their indicated second choice.
  12. Gabbard with 3%
  13. Gabbard with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Booker with no voters; "other" with 1%
  14. Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 0%; "Some Other Democrat" with 0%
  15. Castro, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1% ; Someone else with 1%

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  15. Data for Progress
  16. Elway Research/Cascade Public Media
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  18. Zogby Analytics
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  21. "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press . Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  22. "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – County Results". Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
  23. 1 2 "Washington Polls: Who Different Groups Supported". The New York Times. June 24, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved August 17, 2020.