| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Little: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Jordan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Idaho |
---|
The 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election took place on November 6 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican governor Butch Otter chose not to run for a fourth term, [1] and the state's primaries were held on May 15. [2]
Former state representative Paulette Jordan was the Democratic Party's nominee. She was the first Democratic nominee from Northern Idaho since Cecil Andrus, who was first elected governor in 1970. [3]
Jordan lost to incumbent lieutenant governor Brad Little by 21.6 percentage points, for a seventh consecutive Republican victory.
A record 605,131 votes were cast for governor in 2018, a 37.6% increase over the previous election in 2014 (439,830 votes).The previous high was 452,535 votes in 2010.
Incumbent governor Butch Otter chose not to run for reelection for a fourth term in office. [1]
Lieutenant Governor Brad Little indicated in June 2016 that he would run for governor, a decision described as "early" by the Idaho Statesman . [14] Little was characterized as a politician favored by members of the party establishment, including Otter and U.S. senator Jim Risch. [15]
Representative Raúl Labrador chose to forgo reelection in the 1st district in favor of a gubernatorial candidacy. Labrador, a founding member of the Freedom Caucus, was considered the most conservative candidate in the primary. [16] As a candidate, Labrador suggested that he would be open to overruling Medicaid expansion in the event the state's 2018 ballot measure on the issue passed. [17]
Physician and Boise-area property developer Tommy Ahlquist, a first time candidate, touted his non-political background and pledged to cut regulations to encourage growth. [18] Ahlquist notably received the support of 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney. [19]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tommy Ahlquist | Raul Labrador | Brad Little | Lisa Marie | Lawrence Wasden* | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates [55] | February 26 – March 15, 2018 | – | – | 21% | 25% | 17% | – | – | 6% | 31% |
Dan Jones & Associates [56] | November 8–15, 2017 | 619 | ± 3.9% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 36% |
Magellan Strategies (R-Labrador) [57] | October 11–12, 2017 | 714 | ± 3.7% | 21% | 37% | 23% | – | – | – | 19% |
*–Denotes candidates who did not enter the race.
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Tommy Ahlquist | Raúl Labrador | Brad Little | |||||
1 | Apr. 10, 2018 | Greater Idaho Falls Chamber of Commerce KIDK Compass Academy | Todd Kunz | [58] | P | N | P |
2 | Apr. 23, 2018 | Idaho Public Television | Melissa Davlin | [59] | P | P | P |
3 | May 1, 2018 | KTVB Northwest Nazarene University | Dee Sarton | [60] | P | P | P |
Little ultimately won the primary with 37.3% of the vote, with Labrador taking 32.6% and Ahlquist taking 26.2%. Little's campaign performed best in the Boise metropolitan area and agrarian communities in the southwestern part of the state. Labrador performed best in areas in the 1st congressional district, located in the northern part of the state. Ahlquist, a Mormon, saw a better performance in eastern counties, which has a notable Latter Day Saint (LDS) presence. [61]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brad Little | 72,518 | 37.3 | |
Republican | Raúl Labrador | 63,460 | 32.6 | |
Republican | Tommy Ahlquist | 50,977 | 26.2 | |
Republican | Lisa Marie | 3,390 | 1.7 | |
Republican | Steve Pankey | 2,701 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Harley Brown | 874 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Dalton Cannady | 528 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 194,448 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
A.J. Balukoff | Paulette Jordan | |||||
1 | May 1, 2018 | KTVB Northwest Nazarene University | Dee Sarton | [92] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 38,483 | 58.4 | |
Democratic | A.J. Balukoff | 26,403 | 40.1 | |
Democratic | Peter Dill | 964 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 65,850 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [93] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [94] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [95] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [96] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [97] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [98] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [99] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [100] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [101] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [102] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Dates | Location | Little | Jordan | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 15, 2018 | Boise, Idaho | Participant | Participant | Full debate [103] - C-SPAN |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brad Little (R) | Paulette Jordan (D) | Bev Boeck (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research [104] | November 2–4, 2018 | 838 | – | 55% | 39% | 3% | 2% [105] | – |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) [106] | August 2–5, 2018 | 826 | ± 3.2% | 36% | 28% | – | 5% | 31% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) [107] | July 12–15, 2018 | 1,061 | ± 2.8% | 38% | 28% | – | 7% | 26% |
Dan Jones & Associates [108] | June 22 – July 9, 2018 | 606 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 31% | 5% | 8% [109] | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brad Little | 361,661 | 59.76% | +6.24% | |
Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 231,081 | 38.19% | −0.36% | |
Libertarian | Bev "Angel" Boeck | 6,551 | 1.08% | −2.99% | |
Constitution | Walter L. Bayes | 5,787 | 0.96% | −0.23% | |
Independent | Lisa Marie (write-in) | 51 | 0.0% | N/A | |
Total votes | 605,131 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Little won both congressional districts. [110]
District | Little | Jordan | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 63% | 35% | Raúl Labrador (115th Congress) |
Russ Fulcher (116th Congress) | |||
2nd | 56% | 42% | Mike Simpson |
James Elroy Risch is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the junior United States senator from Idaho since 2009. A member of the Republican Party, he served as lieutenant governor of Idaho under governors Dirk Kempthorne and Butch Otter. He also served from May 2006 to January 2007 as the 31st governor of Idaho.
Benito 'Ben' T. Ysursa is an American attorney and politician who served as the Secretary of State of Idaho from 2003 to 2015. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Bradley Jay Little is an American politician serving as the 33rd governor of Idaho since January 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 42nd lieutenant governor of Idaho from 2009 to 2019 and as an Idaho state senator from 2001 to 2009.
The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
Russell Mark Fulcher is an American businessman and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Idaho's 1st congressional district since 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he represented the 21st district in the Idaho Senate from 2005 to 2012 and the 22nd district from 2012 until 2014.
Raúl Rafael Labrador is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the 33rd attorney general of Idaho since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he was the U.S. representative for Idaho's 1st congressional district from 2011 to 2019 and chaired the Idaho Republican Party from 2019 to 2020. Prior to this, Labrador represented the 14B district in the Idaho House of Representatives from 2006 to 2010.
Sheryl L. Nuxoll is an American politician from the state of Idaho. A Republican, Nuxoll was an Idaho State Senator from 2010 to 2012 representing District 8 and then District 7 from 2012 until 2016, when she lost her bid for renomination in the primary.
The 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Idaho, concurrently with the election to Idaho's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Idaho on November 4, 2014. All of Idaho's executive officers are up for election as well as a United States Senate seat, and both of Idaho's two seats in the United States House of Representatives. Primary elections was held on May 20, 2014.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Idaho was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held May 17.
Paulette E. Jordan is an American politician who served in the Idaho House of Representatives as a member of the Idaho Democratic Party from December 1, 2014, until February 14, 2018. She previously served on the Coeur d’Alene Tribal Council, its sovereign government. During her final term she was the only Democrat serving in the Idaho Legislature from North Idaho. She was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Idaho in the 2018 election, losing against Lieutenant Governor Brad Little. She was the Democratic nominee in 2020 for the United States Senate, losing to incumbent Republican Jim Risch.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House elections, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Angus King won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Zak Ringelstein and Republican nominee Eric Brakey. This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 16 U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Ohio, one from each of the state's 16 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Idaho; one from each of the state's two congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Idaho on November 6, 2018. All of Idaho's executive officers were up for election as well as both of Idaho's two seats in the United States House of Representatives.
John Thomas Ahlquist III is an American businessman, commercial real-estate developer, and retired physician from Idaho. He is the CEO of the development firm, Ball Ventures Ahlquist (BVA) and founder and medical director of MN Solutions. Prior to that, he was the COO of the Gardner Company where he helped develop projects like the Eighth & Main building and City Center Plaza in downtown Boise. He was a candidate for the Republican Party nomination for Governor of Idaho in the 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election.
The 2022 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 8 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Brad Little, first elected in 2018, was re-elected for a second term, the eighth consecutive win by a Republican.
The 2022 Idaho Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next attorney general of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Lawrence Wasden sought a sixth term in office, but was defeated in the Republican primary on May 17. Former Republican congressman Raúl Labrador won the general election, defeating Democratic candidate Tom Arkoosh.
The 2022 Idaho lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next lieutenant governor of Idaho. It coincided with various other statewide races, including U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor. Idaho is one of 17 states that elect their lieutenant governor separately in both the primary and general elections.
Debates
Official campaign websites