2018 United States Senate election in Arizona

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Arizona
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  →
Turnout64.85% Increase2.svg [1]
  Kyrsten Sinema (cropped).jpg Martha McSally official portrait cropped-2 115th congress.jpg
Nominee Kyrsten Sinema Martha McSally
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,191,1001,135,200
Percentage49.96%47.61%
2018 United States Senate election in Arizona results map by county.svg
AZ-2018-sen-districts.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Arizona by State Senate District.svg
AZ Senate 2018 Precinct Results.svg
Sinema:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
McSally:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Jeff Flake
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona took place on November 6, 2018. [2] Incumbent Republican Senator Jeff Flake did not seek a second term. The election was held concurrently with a gubernatorial election, other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, and various other state and local elections.

Contents

Primaries were held on August 28, 2018, [3] three days after the death of longtime U.S. Senator John McCain. [4] Martha McSally won the Republican nomination, while Kyrsten Sinema won the Democratic nomination. Green Party candidate Angela Green was also on the ballot, but ended her campaign and endorsed Sinema before Election Day. [5]

The Associated Press called the race for Sinema on November 12, 2018, [6] and McSally conceded that day. [7] Sinema became the first Democrat to win a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona since 1988. McSally was subsequently appointed by Governor Doug Ducey to the other vacant Senate seat in Arizona, left open after McCain's death and then held on an interim basis by Jon Kyl.

Background

Arizona, located along the United States border with Mexico, has a unique political history. Upon its admission to the Union in 1912, the state was dominated by Democrats who had migrated there from the South, and aside from the landslide victories of Republicans Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, and Herbert Hoover, the state voted for Democrats until 1952, when Dwight Eisenhower carried it, and began a lengthy streak of Republican victories interrupted only by Bill Clinton's narrow victory in 1996. Since then, the state had remained Republican, and was won by Donald Trump with a 3.5% margin in 2016, although Trump's margin of victory was much smaller than that of past Republican presidential nominees. [8] [ better source needed ]

Incumbent Republican Senator Jeff Flake announced in October 2017 that he would retire at the end of his current term instead of seeking reelection for another term in 2018. [9] Flake had previously indicated his intent to run for reelection in March 2017. However, he was considered vulnerable due to persistently low approval ratings, a poor relationship with President Trump, and the threat of a primary challenge from former state senator Kelli Ward, who promised to run on a more pro-Trump platform. Additionally, he had won his first term in 2012 by only 3 percentage points, even though Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney won Arizona by 9. [10] [11] [12]

Republican primary

Candidates

On the ballot

U.S. Representative Martha McSally at the launch of her senatorial bid in January 2018 Martha McSally (39626251902).jpg
U.S. Representative Martha McSally at the launch of her senatorial bid in January 2018
Former State Senator Kelli Ward at a campaign event prior to the Republican primary in August 2018 Kelli Ward (30392756898).jpg
Former State Senator Kelli Ward at a campaign event prior to the Republican primary in August 2018

Failed to file

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Martha McSally

Federal officials

United States Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Mayors

Individuals

  • Suzanne Klapp, Scottsdale city councilwoman [49]

Organizations

Kelli Ward

U.S. Senators

U.S. representatives

Local officials

U.S. military personnel

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Arpaio		Martha
McSally		Kelli
Ward		OtherUndecided
Data Orbital [74] August 21–22, 2018600± 4.0%18%48%22%1%8%
OH Predictive Insights [75] August 14–15, 2018578± 4.1%13%47%27%–12%
OH Predictive Insights [76] July 23–25, 2018576± 4.1%15%35%27%–23%
Gravis Marketing [77] June 27 – July 2, 2018501± 4.4%24%36%27%–14%
Emerson College [78] June 21–22, 2018305± 5.9%18%32%19%7% [79] 23%
Data Orbital [80] June 19–21, 2018550± 4.2%17%38%23%2%21%
Marist College [81] June 17–21, 2018371± 6.7%21%30%28%<1%21%
OH Predictive Insights [82] June 11–12, 2018600± 4.0%14%39%25%–22%
Remington (R) [83] [A] May 23–24, 20182,011± 2.3%25%42%23%–10%
Magellan Strategies (R) [84] April 11–12 and 15, 2018755± 3.6%26%36%25%6%7%
OH Predictive Insights [85] April 10–11, 2018302± 5.6%22%27%36%–15%
Data Orbital [86] January 11–15, 2018500± 4.4%22%31%19%–27%
OH Predictive Insights [87] January 9, 2018504± 4.4%29%31%25%–15%
WPA Intelligence (R) [88] [A] November 15–16, 2017500± 4.4%–38%36%–26%
OH Predictive Insights [89] November 9, 2017323± 5.5%–34%42%–24%
Revily (R) [90] [B] October 28–31, 2017380± 3.0%–21%32%15% [91] 34%
Hypothetical polling

with Jay Heiler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Jay
Heiler		Martha
McSally		Matt
Salmon		David
Schweikert		John
Shadegg		Kelli
Ward		Undecided
Data Orbital [92] October 26–28, 2017500± 4.4%1%19%10%5%4%26%28%

with Jeff Flake

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Jeff
Flake		Jeff
DeWit		Nicholas
Tutora		Kelli
Ward		OtherUndecided
GBA Strategies [93] August 30 – September 7, 2017500± 4.4%31%––58%–11%
JMC Analytics (R) [94] August 26–27, 2017500± 4.4%21%–3%47%–29%
HighGround Public Affairs [95] August 18–19, 2017273± 5.9%28%––43%5%24%
Political Marketing International (R-Ward) [96] February 7, 2017921± 5.0%23%––30%–47%
Remington Research Group [97] November 15–16, 20161,122± 2.9%30%38%–15%–17%
33%42%–––25%
35%35%–––30%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} McSally 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Arpaio 30-40% 2018 AZ US Senate GOP primary.svg
Results by county:
  McSally
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Arpaio
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [98]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Martha McSally 357,626 54.57%
Republican Kelli Ward 180,92627.61%
Republican Joe Arpaio 116,55517.79%
Write-in 1910.03%
Total votes655,298 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

On the ballot

U.S. Representative Kyrsten Sinema at a campaign event in October 2018 Kyrsten Sinema (30603638257).jpg
U.S. Representative Kyrsten Sinema at a campaign event in October 2018
Attorney Deedra Abboud at a campaign event in April 2017 Deedra Abboud (33963983436).jpg
Attorney Deedra Abboud at a campaign event in April 2017

Failed to file

Withdrew

  • Jim Moss, businessman, activist and former teacher [106] [107]

Declined

Endorsements

Kyrsten Sinema

Federal officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State and local politicians

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Deedra
Abboud		Kyrsten
Sinema		OtherUndecided
Data Orbital [168] June 25–27, 2018550± 4.2%7%63%2%29%
Emerson College [169] June 21–22, 2018260± 6.2%8%51%12% [170] 30%

Results

Results by county: Sinema 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 2018 AZ US Senate Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Sinema
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results [98]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 404,170 79.25%
Democratic Deedra Abboud105,80020.75%
Total votes509,970 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Removed

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

Removed

Results

Results by county: Green 90-100% No votes 2018 AZ US Senate Green primary.svg
Results by county:
  Green
  •   90-100%
No votes
  •   
Green primary results [98]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Angela Green (write-in) 389 100.00%
Total votes389 100.00%

General election

Debates

Sinema and McSally in a 2018 senatorial debate Kyrsten Sinema and Martha McSally in a debate for Senate's election of 2018.png
Sinema and McSally in a 2018 senatorial debate

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [174] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [175] Tilt D (flip)November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [176] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
CNN [177] TossupOctober 30, 2018
RealClearPolitics [178] TossupNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [179] Lean D (flip)November 6, 2018
Daily Kos [180] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Fox News [181] TossupOctober 30, 2018

Endorsements

Martha McSally (R)

U.S. executive branch Officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

State officials

Local-level officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Kyrsten Sinema (D)

Former U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State and local politicians

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Kyrsten Sinema (D)$19,287,249$20,249,341$1,301,542
Martha McSally (R)$16,211,836$13,688,178$2,523,657
Source: Federal Election Commission [225]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Martha
McSally (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		Angela
Green (G)		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [226] November 4–5, 20181,217± 2.8%47%45%–2%6%
HarrisX [227] November 3–5, 2018600± 4.0%44%49%–––
HarrisX [228] November 2–4, 2018600± 4.0%46%47%–––
OH Predictive Insights [229] November 2–3, 2018631± 3.9%49%48%0%–1%
Emerson College [230] November 1–3, 2018758± 3.7%48%49%2%–2%
HarrisX [231] November 1–3, 2018600± 4.0%48%46%–––
Research Co. [232] November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%44%45%–1%10%
HarrisX [233] October 31 – November 2, 2018600± 4.0%49%44%–––
Gravis Marketing [234] October 24 – November 2, 20181,165± 2.9%47%46%––7%
HarrisX [235] October 30 – November 1, 2018600± 4.0%48%42%–––
The Trafalgar Group (R) [236] October 30 – November 1, 20182,166± 2.1%47%50%–2%1%
HarrisX [237] October 29–31, 2018600± 4.0%49%42%–––
Vox Populi Polling [238] October 27–30, 2018677± 3.7%48%52%–––
HarrisX [239] October 24–30, 20181,400± 2.6%48%43%–––
FOX News [240] October 27–29, 2018643 LV± 3.5%46%46%–3%5%
710 RV± 3.5%44%45%–4%6%
CNN/SSRS [241] October 24–29, 2018702 LV± 4.4%47%51%–0%1%
867 RV± 4.0%45%48%–0%3%
HighGround Public Affairs [242] October 26–28, 2018400± 4.9%47%45%4%–5%
NBC News/Marist College [243] October 23–27, 2018506 LV± 5.4%44%47%6%<1%3%
44%50%–2%4%
793 RV± 4.4%43%45%7%<1%5%
43%49%–2%6%
CBS News/YouGov [244] October 23–26, 2018972± 4.1%44%47%–3%5%
Ipsos [245] October 17–26, 2018799± 4.0%48%46%–3%3%
OH Predictive Insights [246] October 22–23, 2018600± 4.0%52%45%1%–2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [247] October 15–19, 2018606± 4.2%48%46%1%–6%
Data Orbital [248] October 16–17, 2018600± 4.0%41%47%3%1%8%
Change Research (D) [249] October 9–10, 2018783–44%44%––11%
CBS News/YouGov [250] October 2–5, 2018898–44%47%–3%6%
OH Predictive Insights [251] October 1–2, 2018600± 4.0%47%41%4%–8%
FOX News [252] September 29 – October 2, 2018716 LV± 3.5%45%47%–2%6%
806 RV± 3.5%44%45%–2%8%
Vox Populi Polling [253] September 29 – October 1, 2018702± 3.5%52%49%–––
Suffolk University [254] September 27–30, 2018500± 4.4%42%45%2%0%11%
Latino Decisions [255] September 10–25, 2018463 LV–41%47%––11%
610 RV–37%43%––17%
Emerson College [256] September 19–21, 2018650± 4.4%39%45%–4%13%
NBC News/Marist College [257] September 16–20, 2018564 LV± 4.7%43%45%6%<1%6%
45%48%–<1%7%
763 RV± 4.2%41%44%6%<1%8%
44%47%–<1%9%
CNN/SSRS [258] September 11–15, 2018761 LV± 4.3%43%50%–0%3%
854 RV± 4.1%41%48%–1%6%
Ipsos [259] September 5–14, 20181,016± 4.0%44%47%–4%5%
TargetSmart (D) [260] September 8–13, 2018800± 4.0%46%51%–1%3%
FOX News [261] September 8–11, 2018710 LV± 3.5%44%47%–2%5%
801 RV± 3.5%42%46%–3%7%
Gravis Marketing [262] September 5–7, 2018882± 3.3%49%48%––3%
OH Predictive Insights [263] September 5–6, 2018597± 4.0%49%46%––6%
Data Orbital [264] September 4–6, 2018550± 4.2%42%46%–2% [265] 9%
OH Predictive Insights [76] July 23–24, 2018600± 4.0%44%48%––8%
Gravis Marketing [266] June 27 – July 2, 2018925± 3.2%39%43%––19%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [267] June 11 – July 2, 20181,290± 4.5%44%48%––7%
Emerson College [268] June 21–22, 2018650± 4.0%32%40%–9%20%
CBS News/YouGov [269] June 19–22, 2018869 LV–37%45%–7%10%
998 RV± 3.7%34%41%–8%14%
NBC News/Marist College [270] June 17–21, 2018839± 4.5%38%49%–2%11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [271] April 2–23, 20181,667± 4.0%42%51%––7%
OH Predictive Insights [272] April 10–11, 2018600± 4.0%42%48%––10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [273] [C] March 15–16, 2018547± 4.2%41%46%––13%
OH Predictive Insights [89] November 9, 2017600± 4.0%45%46%––9%
Revily (R) [90] [B] October 28–31, 2017850± 3.4%29%33%––37%
Hypothetical polling

with Kelli Ward

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kelli
Ward (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		OtherUndecided
OH Predictive Insights [76] July 23–24, 2018600± 4.0%41%51%–8%
Gravis Marketing [274] June 27 – July 2, 2018925± 3.2%37%46%–17%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [267] June 11 – July 2, 20181,290± 4.5%41%52%–7%
Emerson College [275] June 21–22, 2018650± 4.0%26%43%8%23%
YouGov [276] June 19–22, 2018867 LV± 3.7%38%46%6%9%
996 RV35%43%7%14%
Marist College [81] June 17–21, 2018839± 4.5%38%48%2%12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [271] April 2–23, 20181,667± 4.0%43%51%–6%
OH Predictive Insights [272] April 10–11, 2018600± 4.0%40%50%–10%
OH Predictive Insights [89] November 9, 2017600± 4.0%43%46%–11%
Revily (R-Ward) [277] October 28–31, 2017850± 3.4%34%33%–33%
HighGround Public Affairs [278] October 23–26, 2017500± 4.4%27%34%–39%
HighGround Public Affairs [95] August 18–19, 2017400± 4.9%31%32%–38%

with Joe Arpaio

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Arpaio (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		OtherUndecided
OH Predictive Insights [76] July 23–24, 2018600± 4.0%36%54%–10%
Gravis Marketing [279] June 27 – July 2, 2018925± 3.2%33%52%–14%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [267] June 11 – July 2, 20181,290± 4.5%34%57%–9%
Emerson College [280] June 21–22, 2018650± 4.0%30%54%8%9%
YouGov [276] June 19–22, 2018868 LV± 3.7%29%49%13%8%
996 RV28%45%13%11%
Marist College [81] June 17–21, 2018839± 4.5%32%57%2%9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [271] April 2–23, 20181,667± 4.0%32%61%–7%
OH Predictive Insights [272] April 10–11, 2018600± 4.0%33%59%–8%

with generic Republican and generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Morning Consult [281] June 29 – July 9, 20181,641± 2.0%35%42%23%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) [282] March 15–16, 2018547± 4.2%47%45%8%

with Jeff Flake

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Jeff
Flake (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		Undecided
GBA Strategies [93] August 30 – September 7, 2017600± 4.0%40%47%13%
HighGround Public Affairs [95] August 18–19, 2017400± 4.9%33%41%27%
Public Policy Polling [283] May 13–15, 2016896± 3.3%38%36%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Jeff
Flake (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Our Lives on the Line) [284] July 31 – August 1, 2017704± 2.0%31%47%22%

with Matt Salmon

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Matt
Salmon (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		Undecided
Revily (R-Ward) [277] October 28–31, 2017850± 3.4%30%32%38%

Results

The race was too close to call on election day. [285] On November 7, 2018 (one day after the election), KGUN 9 reported that McSally held a narrow lead of 0.9%, with thousands of ballots still uncounted. [286] On November 8, Politico reported that Sinema had taken a 9,610-vote lead. [287] Due to the closeness of the vote count, the Associated Press and other major news outlets did not call the race for Sinema until November 12, 2018, six days after the election. [288] McSally conceded the race to Sinema that day. [289] The results were certified on December 3, 2018. [290]

This was the first Senate election won by a Democrat in Arizona since 1988. [289] Sinema is the first woman to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Arizona. [291]

United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 1,191,100 49.96% +3.76%
Republican Martha McSally 1,135,20047.61%−1.62%
Green Angela Green57,4422.41%N/A
Write-in 5660.02%N/A
Total votes2,384,308 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican
By county
County [292] Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic 		Martha McSally
Republican 		Angela Green
Green 		Write-inMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Apache 16,29864.977,81031.139613.83180.078,48833.8325,087
Cochise 17,38338.1626,92959.121,2122.66250.05-9,546-20.9645,549
Coconino 34,24061.9419,24934.821,7573.18340.0614,99127.1255,280
Gila 7,64337.2812,18059.426743.2920.01-4,537-22.1320,499
Graham 3,36831.766,87064.773633.4250.05-3,502-33.0210,606
Greenlee 1,04240.591,41655.161084.2110.04-374-14.572,567
La Paz 1,60931.723,26564.361993.9200.00-1,656-32.645,073
Maricopa 732,76150.96672,50546.7732,3712.253150.0260,2564.191,437,952
Mohave 19,21426.8850,20970.252,0272.84190.03-30,995-43.3771,469
Navajo 16,62445.3718,76751.221,2383.38110.03-2,143-5.8536,640
Pima 221,24256.65160,55041.118,7102.23660.0260,69215.54390,568
Pinal 50,39542.9363,78254.333,1832.71350.03-13,387-11.40117,395
Santa Cruz 9,24168.513,82828.384183.1010.015,41340.1313,488
Yavapai 40,16037.0665,30860.262,8702.65300.03-25,148-23.21108,368
Yuma 19,88045.4222,53251.481,3513.0940.01-2,652-6.0643,767
Totals1,191,10049.961,135,20047.6157,4422.415660.0255,9002.342,384,308

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Sinema won 5 of 9 congressional districts. [293]

DistrictSinemaMcSallyRepresentative
1st 50.64%46.47% Tom O'Halleran
2nd 52.63%45.23% Ann Kirkpatrick
3rd 63.9%32.93% Raúl Grijalva
4th 32.85%64.49% Paul Gosar
5th 42.35%55.54% Andy Biggs
6th 47.4%50.81% David Schweikert
7th 75.43%21.19% Ruben Gallego
8th 42.88%54.89% Debbie Lesko
9th 61.37%36.41% Greg Stanton

Aftermath

On December 18, 2018, Governor Doug Ducey appointed McSally to fill Arizona's other Senate seat. The seat was left vacant after the resignation of Jon Kyl, who himself had been appointed following the August 25, 2018 death of John McCain. [294] Both Sinema and McSally were sworn in with the 116th United States Congress on January 3, 2019, [295] marking the first time in history that Arizona was represented by two women in the United States Senate and making Arizona the second state to be represented by two women from different parties. Ducey stipulated that Sinema would be sworn in first, making her the senior senator; this way, he said, the decision of Arizona's voters would be respected.[ citation needed ]

Under Arizona law, McSally's appointment was only valid for the duration of the 116th Congress, and a special election for her seat was held in November 2020 to determine who would finish the remainder of McCain's unexpired term (which expired in 2023). McSally was defeated by Democrat Mark Kelly in that special election. [296] [297]

Sinema would later leave the Democratic Party to become an independent in December 2022, although she would continue to caucus with them in the Senate until the end of her term.

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroupSinemaMcSallyNo
answer		 % of
voters
Gender
Men4949247
Women5147253
Age
18–24 years oldN/AN/AN/A4
25–29 years oldN/AN/AN/A4
30–39 years old5739417
40–49 years old5048217
50–64 years old4455129
65 and older5148129
Race
White 4553275
Black N/AN/AN/A2
Latino 6830218
Asian N/AN/AN/A1
OtherN/AN/AN/A3
Race and gender
White men4255334
White women4752141
Black menN/AN/AN/A1
Black womenN/AN/AN/A1
Latino men663229
Latina women702829
OthersN/AN/AN/A4
Education
High school or less5046425
Some college education4554128
Associate Degree 4353410
Bachelor's Degree 5247323
Advanced degree6237114
Education and race
White college graduates5545N/A27
White no college degree3958348
Non-white college graduates722719
Non-white no college degree6533216
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees5644N/A15
White women without college degrees4256226
White men with college degrees5347N/A12
White men without college degrees3561422
Non-whites6831125
Military service
Veteran3859314
Non-veteran5445186
Income
Under $30,0006234415
$30,000-$49,9996336118
$50,000-$99,9994849333
$100,000-$199,9994158124
Over $200,0004456N/A9
Party ID
Democrats 973N/A32
Republicans 1286238
Independents 5047331
Party by gender
Democratic men946N/A14
Democratic women991N/A17
Republican men691315
Republican women1683123
Independent men5047318
Independent women5047313
Ideology
Liberals 946N/A22
Moderates 6335238
Conservatives 1484240
First-time midterm election voter
Yes5344315
No4850285
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 7720342
Immigration 1683131
Economy 3960118
Gun policy N/AN/AN/A7
Area type
Urban6039143
Suburban4454251
RuralN/AN/AN/A6
Source: CNN [298]

Notes

    Partisan clients

    1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by McSally's campaign.
    2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Ward's campaign.
    3. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Protect Our Care, an Affordable Care Act advocacy group, and is affiliated with Democratic candidates.

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    158. 1 2 "Endorsed Candidates – Equality PAC". Equality PAC.
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    162. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Jason Kander Refuses To Let Notorious Racist Joe Arpaio (R) Into Another Position Of Power". Daily Kos. January 10, 2018. Archived from the original on January 12, 2018. Retrieved January 12, 2018.
    163. 1 2 Ricketts, Laura (February 13, 2018). "LESBIAN SUPER PAC (LPAC) ENDORSES KEY CANDIDATES IN ARIZONA, FLORIDA AND TEXAS – LPAC". LPAC. Archived from the original on March 28, 2018. Retrieved March 28, 2018.
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    185. ↑ "Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice Endorses Martha McSally For US Senate". McSally for Senate. November 2, 2018. Archived from the original on November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 2, 2018.
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    187. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Martha McSally is an extraordinary woman. She was a very talented fighter jet pilot and is now a highly respected member of Congress. She is Strong on Crime, the Border and our under siege 2nd Amendment. Loves our Military and our Vets. Has my total and complete Endorsement!". Twitter. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
    188. ↑ John Boozman. "As a USAF fighter pilot, @MarthaMcSally served bravely & honorably—blazing a bold trail for girls and young women. In Congress she's a leader and powerful advocate for our military, veterans & border security. She'd be a great addition to the US Senate. Good luck Martha! #AZSen". Twitter.
    189. ↑ McSally For Senate. "Excited to have Senator Susan Collins in town this week! #AZSEN". Twitter.
    190. ↑ Joni Ernst. ".@MarthaMcSally and I wore uniforms – not tutus ... #Veterans need strong voices for them in the Senate. Vote for Martha! #AZSEN". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 26, 2018. Retrieved October 26, 2018.
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    193. ↑ "Mitt Romney, Gov. Doug Ducey rally for Martha McSally". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 17, 2018.
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    199. ↑ Kimberly Guilfoyle. "Great to campaign with ⁦@MarthaMcSally⁩ AZ deserves a strong conservative that supports ⁦@realDonaldTrump⁩ ... Trump Jr. attends GOP Get Out the Vote rally". Twitter. Archived from the original on November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 4, 2018.
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    205. ↑ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
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    207. ↑ Brian Schatz. "I'm also sending money to @kyrstensinema because she's in a very tough race for Senate in Arizona. Please help". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 9, 2018. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
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    209. ↑ Grant Woods. ".@KyrstenSinema is a strong and principled leader who will be a great senator for Arizona. As a former Attorney General, I'm proud to endorse Kyrsten because I know that when it comes to keeping our families safe, Kyrsten is tough as nails. #AZsen". Twitter. Archived from the original on September 29, 2018. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
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