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All 30 seats of the Arizona Senate 16 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results: Republican gain Republican hold Democratic hold | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2024 Arizona Senate election was held on November 5, 2024. Voters elected members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections were held on July 30, 2024. [1]
Prior to the elections, the Republican Party held a narrow majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 16 seats to their 14 seats.
In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. Senate District 13, centered around the city of Chandler, which Biden won by 3% in 2020, is the only district Biden won in 2020 which is currently held by a Republican going into the 2024 Arizona Senate Election.
Arizona, located along the United States border with Mexico, has a unique political history. Upon its admission to the Union in 1912, the state was dominated by Democrats who had migrated there from the South, and aside from the landslide victories of Republicans Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, and Herbert Hoover, the state voted for Democrats until 1952, when Dwight Eisenhower carried it, and began a lengthy streak of Republican victories interrupted only by Bill Clinton's narrow victory in 1996. Since then, Arizona was considered a Republican stronghold, but has become a critical swing state and is seen as a purple state. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump won Arizona by 3.5% in 2016, [2] while Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden prevailed by 0.3% in 2020. [3]
The Arizona Democratic Party has not won outright control of either state legislative chamber since the 1990s. The last time the party won control of both chambers was in the 1960s. [4] Since then, the state's trend towards Democrats and a consolidated effort on flipping control of the legislature has made this election seen as a tossup with both parties having an equal chance to win control of one or both chambers.
This election is expected to be one of the most competitive state legislative races in the 2024 election cycle. Most ratings suggest the race to be a toss-up or having Democrats as the slight favorite to win the chamber. Additionally, the state Democratic Party's fundraising advantage is also expected to play a major role in which party wins control of the chamber. [4] If Democrats win both chambers, it will be the first time that Democrats have had a trifecta in the state since 1966. [5]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
270toWin [6] | Tilt D (flip) | November 1, 2024 |
CNalysis [7] | Tilt D (flip) | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] | Tossup | June 18, 2024 |
District | Incumbent | Last Result [9] | CNalysis [10] November 2024 |
---|---|---|---|
2nd | Shawnna Bolick [a] | 51.84% R | Tilt D (flip) |
4th | Christine Marsh | 50.48% D | Tilt D |
9th | Eva Burch | 52.47% D | Likely D |
13th | J. D. Mesnard | 51.73% R | Lean R |
16th | T. J. Shope | 55.71% R | Very Likely R |
17th | Justine Wadsack | 51.24% R | Tilt D (flip) |
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | Before | After | +/– | ||||||||
Republican | 25 | 16 | ||||||||||
Democratic | 26 | 14 | ||||||||||
Green | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||
Independent | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||
Total | 30 |
* - Incumbent lost renomination
† - Incumbent not seeking re-election
District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5 • District 6 • District 7 • District 8 • District 9 • District 10 • District 11 • District 12 • District 13 • District 14 • District 15 • District 16 • District 17 • District 18 • District 19 • District 20 • District 21 • District 22 • District 23 • District 24 • District 25 • District 26 • District 27 • District 28 • District 29 • District 30 |
Incumbent Senator Ken Bennett faced a strong primary challenge after voting multiple times against conservative bills and stymieing Republican legislation. [19] [20] [21] The first challenger being Steve Zipperman, a previous primary opponent from 2022, and the second coming in the form of Mark Finchem, Republican nominee for Secretary of State two years prior. Despite the strong possibility of splitting the vote, both Finchem and Zipperman stayed in the race with Finchem ultimately prevailing by 15.07% over Bennett. [22] This defeat represented the worst primary performance of any incumbent legislator this cycle in either chamber from either party.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Mark Finchem | 26,660 | 48.39% | |
Republican | Ken Bennett (incumbent) | 18,356 | 33.32% | |
Republican | Steve Zipperman | 10,081 | 18.30% | |
Total votes | 55,097 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Mike S. Fogel | 17,334 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 17,334 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mark Finchem | 94,947 | 65.9% | |
Democratic | Mike S. Fogel | 49,108 | 34.1% | |
Total votes | 144,055 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Shawnna Bolick (incumbent) | 10,469 | 53.72% | |
Republican | Josh Barnett | 9,018 | 46.28% | |
Total votes | 19,487 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Judy Schwiebert | 14,351 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 14,351 | 100.00% | ||
Green Party Primary Results | ||||
Green | Dennis Pugsley | 10 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 10 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Shawnna Bolick (incumbent) | 52,100 | 50.82% | |
Democratic | Judy Schwiebert | 48,333 | 47.15% | |
Green | Dennis Pugsley | 2,076 | 2.03% | |
Total votes | 106,276 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | John Kavanagh (incumbent) | 43,471 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 43,471 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | John Skirbst [a] [b] | 219 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 219 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Kavanagh (incumbent) | 110,048 | 100% | |
Total votes | 100% | |||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Christine Marsh (incumbent) | 23,558 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 23,558 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Carine Werner | 18,651 | 61.10% | |
Republican | Kenneth R. Bowers, Jr. | 11,874 | 38.90% | |
Total votes | 30,525 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carine Werner | 76,079 | 51.9% | |
Democratic | Christine Marsh (incumbent) | 70,614 | 48.1% | |
Total votes | 146,693 | 100% | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Lela Alston (incumbent) | 23,236 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 23,236 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Joshua Ortega | 9,092 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 9,092 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lela Alston (incumbent) | 67,425 | 68.3% | |
Republican | Joshua Ortega | 31,296 | 31.7% | |
Total votes | 98,721 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Theresa Hatathlie (incumbent) | 25,254 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 25,254 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Theresa Hatathlie (incumbent) | 72,721 | 100% | |
Total votes | 72,721 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican primary | ||||
Republican | Wendy Rogers (incumbent) | 21,978 | 55.33% | |
Republican | David Cook | 17,743 | 44.67% | |
Total votes | 39,721 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary | ||||
Democratic | Haley Creighton | 8,004 | 54.23% | |
Democratic | Roberto Apodaca Reveles | 6,755 | 45.77% | |
Total votes | 14,759 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Wendy Rogers (incumbent) | 80,750 | 65% | |
Democratic | Haley Creighton | 43,406 | 35% | |
Total votes | 124,156 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Lauren Kuby [24] | 14,762 | 99.91% | |
Democratic | Ivan Pemberton [a] | 13 | 0.09% | |
Total votes | 14,775 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Roxana Holzapfel | 9,366 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 9,366 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lauren Kuby | 53,111 | 60.6% | |
Republican | Roxana Holzapfel | 34,528 | 39.4% | |
Total votes | 87,639 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Eva Burch (incumbent) | 11,033 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 11,033 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Robert Scantlebury | 9,778 | 64.73% | |
Republican | Christopher Stapley | 5,327 | 35.27% | |
Total votes | 15,105 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eva Burch (incumbent) | 42,072 | 51.7% | |
Republican | Robert Scantlebury | 39,261 | 48.3% | |
Total votes | 81,333 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | David Christian Farnsworth (incumbent) | 27,134 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 27,134 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Robert Doyle | 13,400 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 13,400 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Christian Farnsworth (incumbent) | 70,561 | 61.5% | |
Democratic | Robert Doyle | 44,170 | 38.5% | |
Total votes | 114,731 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Catherine Miranda (incumbent) | 14,626 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 14,626 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Joshua Ayala | 4,564 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 4,564 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Catherine Miranda (incumbent) | 52,106 | 72.2% | |
Republican | Joshua Ayala | 20,095 | 27.8% | |
Total votes | 72,201 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent) | 20,221 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 20,221 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Cara Vicini | 17,187 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 17,187 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent) | 70,499 | 58.1% | |
Republican | Cara Vicini | 50,796 | 41.9% | |
Total votes | 121,295 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
|-
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | J.D. Mesnard (incumbent) | 22,669 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 22,669 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Sharon Lee Winters | 15,619 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 15,619 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | J.D. Mesnard (incumbent) | 62,670 | 53.1% | |
Democratic | Sharon Lee Winters | 55,287 | 46.9% | |
Total votes | 117,957 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Warren Petersen (incumbent) | 26,019 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 26,019 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Elizabeth Brown | 12,112 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 12,112 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Warren Petersen (incumbent) | 76,251 | 60.1% | |
Democratic | Elizabeth Brown | 50,554 | 39.9% | |
Total votes | 126,805 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Jake Hoffman (incumbent) | 30,095 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 30,095 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Alan Smith | 11,008 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 11,008 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jake Hoffman (incumbent) | 87,580 | 63.7% | |
Independent | Evan Olson | 6,061 | 4.41% | |
Democratic | Alan Smith | 43,769 | 31.9% | |
Total votes | 137,410 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Thomas "T.J." Shope Jr. (incumbent) | 19,630 | 99.87% | |
Republican | Judy Nganga [a] | 26 | 0.13% | |
Total votes | 19,656 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Stacey Seaman | 14,235 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 14,235 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas "T.J." Shope Jr. (incumbent) | 58,386 | 56% | |
Democratic | Stacey Seaman | 45,888 | 44% | |
Total votes | 104,274 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Venden "Vince" Leach | 19,363 | 52.66% | |
Republican | Justine Wadsack (incumbent) | 17,409 | 47.34% | |
Total votes | 36,772 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | John McLean | 26,428 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 26,428 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Venden "Vince" Leach | 77,714 | 51% | |
Democratic | John McLean | 74,669 | 49% | |
Total votes | 152,383 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Priya Sundareshan (incumbent) | 29,643 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 29,643 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Priya Sundareshan (incumbent) | 100% | ||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | David Gowan (incumbent) | 30,350 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 30,350 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Bob Karp | 16,873 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 16,873 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Gowan (incumbent) | 71,192 | 62.6% | |
Democratic | Bob Karp | 42,555 | 37.4 | |
Total votes | 113,747 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Sally Ann Gonzales (incumbent) | 20,253 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 20,253 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sally Ann Gonzales (incumbent) | 100% | ||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Rosanna Gabaldón (incumbent) | 18,562 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 18,562 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rosanna Gabaldón (incumbent) | 100% | ||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Eva Diaz (incumbent) | 7,826 | 76.19% | |
Democratic | Leezah Sun | 2,446 | 23.81% | |
Total votes | 10,272 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Steve Robinson | 5,243 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 5,243 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eva Diaz (incumbent) | 45,253 | 64.6% | |
Republican | Steve Robinson | 24,812 | 35.4% | |
Total votes | 70,065 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Brian Fernandez (incumbent) | 6,943 | 60.35% | |
Democratic | Jesus Arnulfo Lugo Jr. | 4,562 | 39.65% | |
Total votes | 11,505 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Michelle Altherr | 9,657 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 9,657 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brian Fernandez (incumbent) | 42,658 | 53.8% | |
Republican | Michelle Altherr | 36,602 | 46.2% | |
Total votes | 79,260 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Analise Ortiz | 8,539 | 86.67% | |
Democratic | Mario Garcia | 1,313 | 13.33% | |
Total votes | 9,852 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Analise Ortiz | |||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Timothy "Tim" Dunn | 25,578 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 25,578 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Timothy "Tim" Dunn | 100% | ||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Flavio Bravo (incumbent) | 8,526 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 8,526 | 100.00% | ||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Victor "Vic" Harris | 4,285 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 4,285 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Flavio Bravo (incumbent) | 31,198 | 66.3% | |
Republican | Victor "Vic" Harris | 15,826 | 33.7% | |
Total votes | 47,024 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Kevin Payne | 20,673 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 20,673 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Payne | 100% | ||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Frank Carroll (incumbent) | 40,105 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 40,105 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Frank Carroll (incumbent) | |||
Democratic | Shauna Dempsey [a] | |||
Total votes | 100% | |||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Janae Shamp (incumbent) | 25,306 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 25,306 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Eric Stafford | 13,498 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 13,498 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Janae Shamp (incumbent) | 70,924 | 59.3% | |
Democratic | Eric Stafford | 48,608 | 40.7% | |
Total votes | 119,532 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Hildy Angius | 19,874 | 51.63% | |
Republican | Ashley Gerich | 10,663 | 27.70% | |
Republican | Kimberly Zanon | 7,956 | 20.67% | |
Total votes | 38,493 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | J'aime MorgAine | 7,926 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 7,926 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Hildy Angius | 92,213 | 78.5% | |
Democratic | J'aime MorgAine | 25,295 | 21.5% | |
Total votes | 117,508 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
The 1912–13 United States Senate elections were held on various dates in various states. They were the last U.S. Senate elections before the ratification of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913, establishing direct elections for all Senate seats. Senators had been primarily chosen by state legislatures. Senators were elected over a wide range of time throughout 1912 and 1913, and a seat may have been filled months late or remained vacant due to legislative deadlock. Some states elected their senators directly even before passage of Seventeenth Amendment. Oregon pioneered direct election and experimented with different measures over several years until it succeeded in 1907. Soon after, Nebraska followed suit and laid the foundation for other states to adopt measures reflecting the people's will. By 1912, as many as 29 states elected senators either as nominees of their party's primary or in conjunction with a general election.
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The 2024 Idaho Senate election was held on November 5, 2024, alongside the 2024 United States elections. For the first time in thirty years, the Idaho Democratic Party ran candidates in each legislative district on the ballot.
The 2024 South Carolina Senate election was held on November 5, 2024, alongside the 2024 United States elections. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.
The 2024 Wyoming House of Representatives election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect members of the Wyoming Legislature for its 68th session. Partisan primaries were held on August 20. Part of the 2024 United States elections, the election was held alongside races for state senate, U.S. House, U.S. Senate, and the presidential election.
The 2012 Arizona House of Representatives election took place on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, with the primary election held on Tuesday, August 28, 2012. Arizona voters elected all 60 members of the Arizona House of Representatives in multi-member districts to serve two-year terms.
The 2014 Arizona House of Representatives election took place on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, with the primary election held on Tuesday, August 26, 2014. Arizona voters elected all 60 members of the Arizona House of Representatives in multi-member districts to serve two-year terms.