2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska

Last updated

2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2020
November 5, 2024
2026  
  Sen. Pete Ricketts official portrait, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg Preston Love Jr., 2020.jpg
Nominee Pete Ricketts Preston Love Jr.
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote585,103349,902
Percentage62.58%37.42%

2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska results map by congressional district.svg
2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska by precinct.svg
Ricketts:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     90%+
Love Jr.:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%

U.S. senator before election

Pete Ricketts [a]
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Pete Ricketts
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the Class 2 member of the United States Senate from Nebraska, to complete the term of Ben Sasse, who resigned on January 8, 2023, to become the president of the University of Florida. [1] On January 12, 2023, Governor Jim Pillen appointed Republican former governor Pete Ricketts to fill the seat until the election. [2] Ricketts won the special election, defeating Democratic nominee Preston Love Jr. with about 63% of the vote. This was the first time since 1954 where both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently up for election. Primary elections took place on May 14, 2024. [3]

Contents

Ricketts outperformed other Republicans who faced contested statewide elections in this cycle.

Appointment

Republican Pete Ricketts, former governor of Nebraska (2015–2023) and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006, was appointed on January 12, 2023 by Governor Jim Pillen. [2] Ricketts' appointment was met with controversy as Ricketts had financially supported Pillen's 2022 gubernatorial campaign. [4]

Applied to be appointed

In total, 111 individuals submitted applications for Sasse's seat, and nine candidates were interviewed by Pillen. [5] Applicants included:

Republican primary

Candidates

Endorsements

John Glen Weaver
Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Pete Ricketts (R)$3,507,567$2,076,443$1,431,125
John Glen Weaver (R)$52,789$36,280$16,509
Source: Federal Election Commission [17]

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Ricketts
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
>90% 2024 United States Senate special Republican primary election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Ricketts
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Pete Ricketts (inc.) 173,118 78.16%
Republican John Glen Weaver32,52914.69%
Republican Mac Stevens13,6696.17%
Total votes219,316 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Preston Love Jr.
State legislators

Party officials

Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Preston Love Jr. (D)$127,850$119,254$8,595
Source: Federal Election Commission [17]

Results

Democratic primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Preston Love Jr. 85,114 100.00%
Total votes85,114 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [23] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [24] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [26] Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [27] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [28] Solid RNovember 21, 2023
Split Ticket [29] Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538 [30] Solid ROctober 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Pete Ricketts (R)$4,294,715$2,586,199$1,708,516
Preston Love Jr. (D)$164,288 [b] $157,747$6,542
Source: Federal Election Commission [17]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Pete
Ricketts (R)
Preston
Love Jr. (D)
Undecided
Economist/YouGov [31] October 21–28, 20241,202 (LV)± 3.5%54%36%7%
NYT/Siena College [32] October 23–26, 20241,194 (LV)± 3.2%56%38%6%
1,194 (RV)± 3.1%56%37%7%
SurveyUSA [33] [A] October 9–12, 2024563 (LV)± 4.7%53%37%9%
SurveyUSA [34] [A] September 20–23, 2024558 (LV)± 4.8%53%35%12%
SurveyUSA [35] [B] August 23–27, 20241,293 (RV)± 3.6%50%33%16%

Results

2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Pete Ricketts (inc.) 585,103 62.58% −0.16%
Democratic Preston Love Jr. 349,90237.42%+12.99%
Majority 235,20125.16%−13.15%
Total votes935,005 100.0%
Republican hold

By county

CountyPete Ricketts
Republican
Preston Love Jr.
Democratic
Total
votes
%#%#
Adams 73.8%10,43826.2%3,71514,153
Antelope 90.0%3,06610.0%3423,408
Arthur 93.7%2676.3%18285
Banner 93.5%3576.5%25372
Blaine 90.0%26110.0%29290
Boone 85.9%2,56914.1%4232,992
Box Butte 79.7%3,87620.3%9854,861
Boyd 80.4%84919.6%2071,056
Brown 89.6%1,46710.4%1701,637
Buffalo 75.4%17,70724.6%5,79123,498
Burt 75.2%2,69624.8%8883,584
Butler 83.4%3,75816.6%7494,507
Cass 70.1%10,80829.9%4,50615,314
Cedar 87.4%4,25312.6%6144,867
Chase 91.0%1,6699.0%1651,834
Cherry 89.7%2,67110.3%3062,977
Cheyenne 83.4%3,68916.6%7334,422
Clay 84.5%2,76715.5%5063,273
Colfax 77.8%2,71322.2%7723,485
Cuming 84.9%3,72015.1%6644,384
Custer 89.2%5,20610.8%6325,838
Dakota 67.2%5,20632.8%1,9817,187
Dawes 76.8%2,92223.2%8843,806
Dawson 77.7%6,57922.3%1,8878,466
Deuel 85.6%85114.4%143994
Dixon 81.7%2,31418.3%5202,834
Dodge 69.2%11,19530.8%4,99116,186
Douglas 47.3%127,72652.7%142,256269,982
Dundy 91.3%8348.7%79913
Fillmore 81.4%2,43518.6%5572,992
Franklin 87.7%1,39512.3%1951,590
Frontier 88.6%1,23111.4%1581,389
Furnas 87.2%2,09612.8%3082,404
Gage 72.1%7,79527.9%3,01510,810
Garden 88.1%97211.9%1311,103
Garfield 91.4%9028.6%85987
Gosper 86.1%97113.9%1571,128
Grant 96.4%3453.6%13358
Greeley 86.9%1,04913.1%1581,207
Hall 72.0%16,10028.0%6,27322,373
Hamilton 83.2%4,58516.8%9275,512
Harlan 87.0%1,55813.0%2331,791
Hayes 95.7%4724.3%21493
Hitchcock 89.4%1,27110.6%1501,421
Holt 89.1%4,81810.9%5895,407
Hooker 88.1%37011.9%50420
Howard 83.2%2,92516.8%5903,515
Jefferson 77.4%2,78622.6%8133,599
Johnson 73.4%1,55626.6%5622,118
Kearney 82.5%2,96317.5%6273,590
Keith 84.2%3,48615.8%6564,142
Keya Paha 93.6%4986.4%34532
Kimball 85.6%1,44414.4%2421,686
Knox 84.9%3,72715.1%6624,389
Lancaster 49.5%77,18950.5%78,598155,787
Lincoln 79.8%13,03420.2%3,29616,330
Logan 94.3%4175.7%25442
Loup 85.0%36415.0%64432
Madison 80.2%12,37619.8%3,05415,430
McPherson 96.1%2683.9%11279
Merrick 84.8%3,64515.2%6544,299
Morrill 86.0%2,04714.0%3322,379
Nance 82.8%1,47317.2%3061,779
Nemaha 74.1%2,49025.9%8693,359
Nuckolls 85.2%1,89414.8%3282,222
Otoe 71.0%5,71729.0%2,3318,048
Pawnee 79.3%1,07820.7%2821,360
Perkins 88.8%1,24711.2%1581,405
Phelps 86.7%4,28313.3%6574,940
Pierce 89.7%3,47110.3%3983,869
Platte 81.9%12,70918.1%2,81815,527
Polk 84.0%2,36016.0%4482,808
Red Willow 74.5%3,91925.5%1,3385,257
Richardson 77.9%2,98022.1%8473,827
Rock 92.1%7457.9%64809
Saline 68.3%3,80931.7%1,7655,574
Sarpy 58.4%57,90741.6%41,33299,239
Saunders 75.7%10,08124.3%3,2404,321
Scotts Bluff 75.8%11,30224.2%3,59914,901
Seward 76.4%6,98123.6%2,1579,138
Sheridan 86.9%2,12313.1%3192,442
Sherman 82.7%1,36717.3%2861,653
Sioux 91.1%6128.9%60672
Stanton 85.3%2,59914.7%4473,046
Thayer 84.1%2,38415.9%4522,836
Thomas 89.4%34610.6%41387
Thurston 59.9%1,23440.1%8252,059
Valley 85.8%1,93514.2%3212,256
Washington 73.8%9,14526.2%3,23912,384
Wayne 77.9%3,16022.1%8944,054
Webster 84.9%1,47715.1%2621,739
Wheeler 89.5%41910.5%49468
York 79.1%5,47020.9%1,4486,918
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Ricketts won all three congressional districts. [37]

DistrictRickettsLove Jr.Representative
1st 59%41% Mike Flood
2nd 50.2%49.8% Don Bacon
3rd 79%21% Adrian Smith

See also

Notes

  1. In January 2023, Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Ben Sasse, who had become the president of University of Florida.
  2. $58,832 of this total was self-funded by Love Jr.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the campaign of Dan Osborn, an independent candidate for Nebraska's other Senate seat
  2. Poll sponsored by Split Ticket

References

  1. 1 2 Hammel, Paul (December 5, 2022). "Ben Sasse makes it official, will resign U.S. Senate seat Jan. 8". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved December 6, 2022.
  2. 1 2 Bradner, Eric (January 12, 2023). "Nebraska Gov. Pillen appoints Pete Ricketts to Sasse's Senate seat". CNN .
  3. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  4. Sanderford, Aaron (January 12, 2023). "Pillen, as expected, taps former Gov. Pete Ricketts to succeed Sasse in Senate • Nebraska Examiner". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved April 7, 2025.
  5. 1 2 3 Stoddard, Martha; Bamer, Erin (January 12, 2023). "Pillen appoints former Gov. Pete Ricketts to U.S. Senate". Omaha World-Herald . Retrieved January 13, 2023.
  6. Hammel, Paul (December 12, 2022). "Democrat Ann Ashford is among applicants to fill vacancy in U.S. Senate". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved December 12, 2022.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Sanderford, Aaron (January 10, 2023). "Ricketts, Lindstrom, Dinsdale, Slone, Ashford among Nebraska U.S. Senate applicants". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  8. Mastre, Brian (December 15, 2022). "Nebraska Senate candidates feeling optimistic as Pillen mulls appointment". WOWT . Retrieved January 13, 2023.
  9. KRVN News (December 7, 2022). "West-central Nebraska journalist applies for U.S. Senate seat". KRVN . Retrieved December 30, 2022.
  10. Everett, Burgess (January 12, 2023). "Ricketts tapped to fill Nebraska's open Senate seat". Politico . Retrieved January 12, 2023.
  11. "Nebraska Statewide Candidate List". Nebraska Secretary of State. January 5, 2024.
  12. "Lt. Col. (ret.) John Glen Weaver running for Nebraska's open Class II U.S. Senate seat". Nebraska Television Network . February 6, 2023. Retrieved February 8, 2023.
  13. Emilee (July 19, 2023). "Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 U.S. Senate Races". Americans for Prosperity Action. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  14. NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Nebraska". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  15. "Ricketts Endorsed by Nebraska Farm Bureau". KRVN . February 17, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  16. Sanderford, Aaron (January 27, 2024). "Nebraska GOP fight with delegation spills over into its endorsements". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved January 28, 2024.
  17. 1 2 3 "2024 Election United States Senate - Nebraska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  18. 1 2 Evnen, Robert B. (2024). The Nebraska Board of State Canvassers, Official Report, Primary Election, May 14, 2024 (PDF).
  19. Sanderford, Aaron (January 11, 2023). "Democrat Preston Love, a North Omaha advocate, to run for U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts' seat". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved January 11, 2023.
  20. Sanderford, Aaron (July 14, 2023). "Democrat Paul Theobald decides not to challenge Sen. Pete Ricketts; Republican Herbster still mulling his options". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved July 15, 2023.
  21. 1 2 Beck, Margery A. (January 17, 2024). "Nebraska Democrats back Omaha activist Preston Love Jr. to challenge Ricketts for US Senate seat". Midland Daily News . Retrieved January 17, 2024.
  22. "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  23. "2024 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report . Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  24. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  25. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  26. "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  27. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily . August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  28. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis . Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  29. "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  30. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  31. Economist/YouGov
  32. NYT/Siena College
  33. SurveyUSA
  34. SurveyUSA
  35. SurveyUSA
  36. Evnen, Robert B. (2024). The Nebraska Board of State Canvassers, Official Report, General Election, November 5, 2024 (PDF).
  37. https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::9de1188c-2169-4c5a-a4f3-76179d22b279

Official campaign websites