2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election

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2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018  
  Ricketts, Pete 2013-11-04a.JPG Chuck Hassebrook.jpg
Nominee Pete Ricketts Chuck Hassebrook
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Mike Foley Jane Raybould
Popular vote308,751211,905
Percentage57.15%39.23%

2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Ricketts:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hassebrook:     40–50%     50–60%

Governor before election

Dave Heineman
Republican

Elected Governor

Pete Ricketts
Republican

The 2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election took place on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the 40th Governor of Nebraska. Republican Candidate and former COO of TD Ameritrade Pete Ricketts defeated Democratic candidate and former Regent of the University of Nebraska Chuck Hassebrook, receiving 57.2% of the vote to Hassebrook's 39.2% [1] This was the first open seat election, and the first time a Democrat won a county for governor since 1998.

Contents

Republican primary

Lieutenant Governor Rick Sheehy first declared his intention to run for governor in July 2011. [2] Considered to be the "hand-picked" successor to incumbent Governor Dave Heineman, he was endorsed by him. [3] Sheehy was joined in the Republican primary by Speaker of the Nebraska Legislature Mike Flood in November 2012. [4] Flood withdrew from the race less than a month later after his wife was diagnosed with breast cancer. [5]

Sheehy resigned as Lieutenant Governor and withdrew from the race in February 2013 after the Omaha World-Herald discovered that he had made 2,300 phone calls on a state-issued phone, many of them long and at night, to four women, none of whom were his wife. [6] At the end of the month, Flood was reported to be reconsidering his decision with his wife progressing well in her treatment. In July he announced that he would not re-enter the race. [7]

Cattle rancher Charles W. Herbster, who had not formally entered the race but had been campaigning since July, became the third Republican to withdraw when he withdrew on August 23. He cited the health of his wife, who had recently undergone heart surgery. [8]

In September 2013, Omaha businessman Pete Ricketts joined the race. Ricketts, a former chief operating officer of TD Ameritrade and the son of company founder Joe Ricketts, had run unsuccessfully in 2006 for the U.S. Senate seat held by Ben Nelson. [9]

State Senator Charlie Janssen, who had lagged in endorsements and fundraising, withdrew from the race on February 3, 2014. He said: "The way the field was shaping up, I didn't see a clear path to victory." [10] He later declared his candidacy for State Auditor.

In February 2014, state attorney general Jon Bruning announced that he was joining the race. His entry made him the perceived front-runner, supplanting Ricketts, who had been regarded as the leading contender up to that time. [11]

In the May 13 Republican primary, Ricketts narrowly defeated Bruning, with 26.5% of the vote to Bruning's 25.5%. His 1-point margin of victory made this the closest Republican gubernatorial primary in 92 years, since the 1922 primary in which Charles Randall defeated Adam McMullen by 0.6 points. [12]

Candidates

Declared

Buffalo County Republican Party candidate event in November 2013. From left to right: Charlie Janssen, Pete Ricketts, Mike Foley and Tom Carlson. Beau McCoy was not present at the event; Jon Bruning had not yet declared his candidacy. Kearney Repn meeting 2013-11-04 gov candidates 1.JPG
Buffalo County Republican Party candidate event in November 2013. From left to right: Charlie Janssen, Pete Ricketts, Mike Foley and Tom Carlson. Beau McCoy was not present at the event; Jon Bruning had not yet declared his candidacy.

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Jon Bruning
Tom Carlson

Individuals

Organizations

  • National Association of Insurance and Financial Advisors [41]
Mike Foley
Beau McCoy
  • Charles Herbster, businessman [43]
Pete Ricketts
Bryan Slone

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jon
Bruning
Tom
Carlson
Mike
Foley
Charlie
Janssen
Beau
McCoy
Pete
Ricketts
Bryan
Slone
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [51] May 8, 2014525±4.28%24%5%18%16%25%5%1%6%
Harper Polling [52] February 3–4, 2014565±4%34.7%5.3%14.2%5.6%4.7%16.2%0.9%18.4%

Results

Results by county:
Ricketts
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Ricketts--<40%
Ricketts--40-50%
Bruning
Bruning--<40%
Bruning--40-50%
Bruning--50-60%
McCoy
McCoy--<40%
McCoy--40-50%
Foley
Foley--<40%
Foley--40-50%
Carlson
Carlson--<40%
Slone
Slone--<40% 2014 Nebraska gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
Ricketts
  •   Ricketts—<40%
  •   Ricketts—40–50%
Bruning
  •   Bruning—<40%
  •   Bruning—40–50%
  •   Bruning—50–60%
McCoy
  •   McCoy—<40%
  •   McCoy—40–50%
Foley
  •   Foley—<40%
  •   Foley—40–50%
Carlson
  •   Carlson—<40%
Slone
  •   Slone—<40%
Republican primary results [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Pete Ricketts 57,936 26.48
Republican Jon Bruning55,76125.49
Republican Beau McCoy45,82020.94
Republican Mike Foley42,03919.22
Republican Tom Carlson9,0364.13
Republican Bryan Slone8,1793.74
Total votes218,771 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Chuck Hassebrook

Individuals

Organizations

  • Nebraska Farmers Union [64]
  • Nebraska Fraternal Order of Police [65]
  • Omaha Police Officers Association [66]
  • Omaha Professional Fire Fighters Association, IAFF L385 [67]
  • Planned Parenthood Voters of Nebraska [68]

Results

Democratic primary results [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chuck Hassebrook 64,509 100
Total votes64,509 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Libertarian primary results [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Mark G. Elworth, Jr. 396 100
Total votes396 100

General election

Debates

September 1 debate

Chuck Hassebrook and Pete Ricketts sparred over education policy, economics and full-time residency in Lincoln at the Nebraska State Fair. Hassebrook opposed school vouchers for public school students, suggesting that tax dollars should be used to improve public schools. Ricketts countered that a gradual voucher policy would help students while keeping money in public schools. The duo showed stark differences in economic policy, with Hassebrook supporting a minimum wage increase and Ricketts opposing an increased wage. Moderator Mike'l Severe asked both candidates if they would reside in the governor's mansion full-time if elected. Ricketts, who has three children attending school in Omaha, said that he had not made a final decision on the question. Hassebrook stated that Nebraska needs a "full-time governor" and that he would live in Lincoln because "40 hours a week is a vacation." [70]

October 2 debate

The two candidates traded barbs over past positions in a debate sponsored by Nebraska Educational Communications. Hassebrook accused Ricketts of supporting Gov. Dave Heineman's (R) tax proposal in 2013, which would have increased sales tax rates. The Platte Institute, a conservative think-tank created by Ricketts, supported the tax proposal, which ultimately failed to pass in the face of increasing public criticism. Hassebrook argued that Ricketts tried to hide his support for the measure when he decided to run for governor. Ricketts denied support for the bill, noting that he did not agree with every position taken by the institute. [71]

Ricketts countered by bringing up a report co-authored by Hassebrook in 1990 that called for a ban on exports of genetically modified crops. The issue of biotechnology in farming has grown in prominence due to the importance of Nebraska's agricultural sector. Hassebrook responded that he provided little assistance to the authors of the report, and was wrongly credited as a co-author. He also noted that he supported biotechnology research since the early 1990s, when he served on the University of Nebraska Board of Regents. [71]

Debate viewers also saw Hassebrook and Ricketts stake out distinct positions on immigration and the proposed Keystone XL pipeline that would run through Nebraska. Hassebrook advocated for allowing driving licenses for children brought to the country illegally, while Ricketts opposed issuing licenses as a matter of protecting existing laws. Ricketts suggested that the XL Pipeline would bring jobs to the state and securely transport oil across the country, citing problems with rail transportation of oil. Hassebrook opposed the pipeline because he suggested the project would contribute to climate change. [71]

Candidates

In Nebraska, gubernatorial nominees select their running mates after the primary elections.

  • Running mate: Mike Foley, Nebraska Auditor of Public Accounts. Ricketts had initially selected incumbent Lieutenant Governor Lavon Heidemann as his running mate, but Heidemann resigned from office and withdrew from the election on September 9, 2014, after allegations of domestic abuse. Ricketts named Foley as his new running mate within hours and, after some initial confusion as to whether Heidemann's name would still appear on the ballot, [72] [73] Secretary of State John A. Gale confirmed that the switch had been made to ensure "the accurate reflection of candidates on the ballot." [74]
  • Running mate: Scott Zimmerman [76]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [77] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [78] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [79] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [80] Likely RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pete
Ricketts (R)
Chuck
Hassebrook (D)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [81] October 16–23, 2014681± 5%55%35%0%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [82] September 20 – October 1, 2014721± 4%55%35%1%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [83] August 18 – September 2, 2014987± 4%54%34%1%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [84] July 5–24, 2014855± 4.4%49%41%0%9%
Public Policy Polling [85] 1 June 11–12, 2014902± 3.3%42%38%8% 2 13%
Rasmussen Reports [86] May 14–15, 2014750± 4%47%40%5%8%
1. ^ Poll conducted on behalf of Chuck Hassebrook's campaign.
2. ^ Mark Elworth (Libertarian)

Results

Nebraska gubernatorial election, 2014 [87]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Pete Ricketts 308,751 57.15% −16.75%
Democratic Chuck Hassebrook 211,90539.23%+13.13%
Libertarian Mark Elworth 19,0013.52%N/A
Write-in 5450.10%N/A
Total votes540,202 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Rickets won all 3 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat. [88]

DistrictRickettsHassebrookRepresentative
1st 55%42% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 53%44% Lee Terry (113th Congress)
Brad Ashford (114th Congress)
3rd 65%32% Adrian Smith

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