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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including Governor of Iowa and United States Senate. Primary elections were held on June 4, 2014. As no candidate won more than 35% of the vote in the 3rd district Republican primary, that nomination was decided at a party convention on June 21.
2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa [1] | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Republican | 595,865 | 53.19% | 2 | 3 | +1 | |
Democratic | 509,189 | 45.45% | 2 | 1 | -1 | |
Libertarian | 9,054 | 0.81% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Independents | 4,360 | 0.39% | 0 | 0 | — | |
Write-ins | 1866 | 0.17% | 0 | 0 | — | |
Totals | 1,120,334 | 100.00% | 4 | 4 | - |
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district: [2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 147,762 | 51.07% | 141,145 | 48.79% | 399 | 0.14% | 289,306 | 100% | Republican gain |
District 2 | 129,455 | 47.36% | 143,431 | 52.48% | 443 | 0.16% | 273,329 | 100% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 148,814 | 52.76% | 119,109 | 42.23% | 14,143 | 5.01% | 282,066 | 100% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 169,834 | 61.62% | 105,504 | 38.28% | 295 | 0.11% | 275,633 | 100% | Republican hold |
Total | 595,865 | 53.19% | 509,189 | 45.45% | 15,280 | 1.36% | 1,120,334 | 100% |
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![]() County results Blum: 50–60% 60–70% Vernon: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic Representative Bruce Braley won re-election in 2012. He would not run for re-election in 2014, as he instead ran for the United States Senate seat being vacated by fellow Democrat Tom Harkin, who was retiring. [3]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Swati Dandekar | Anesa Kajtazovic | Pat Murphy | Dave O'Brien | Monica Vernon | Undecided |
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Loras College [23] | May 14–15, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 11% | 9% | 35% | 3% | 11% | 30% |
Loras College [24] | April 10–11, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 9% | 11% | 30% | 6% | 9% | 35% |
Myers Research (D-Murphy) [25] | February 11–13, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 13% | 11% | 36% | 8% | 17% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Pat Murphy | 10,189 | 36.7 | |
Democratic | Monica Vernon | 6,559 | 23.6 | |
Democratic | Swati Dandekar | 5,076 | 18.3 | |
Democratic | Anesa Kajtazovic | 4,067 | 14.7 | |
Democratic | Dave O'Brien | 1,846 | 6.7 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 18 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 27,755 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rod Blum | Gail Boliver | Steve Rathje | Undecided |
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Loras College [41] | May 15, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 31% | 2% | 16% | 51% |
Loras College [24] | April 8–9, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 17% | 2% | 12% | 69% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Rod Blum | 16,886 | 54.9 | |
Republican | Steve Rathje | 11,420 | 37.1 | |
Republican | Gail Boliver | 2,413 | 7.9 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 42 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 30,761 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Murphy (D) | Rod Blum (R) | Undecided |
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Loras College [44] | October 21–24, 2014 | 282 | ± 5.9% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [45] | October 16–23, 2014 | 633 | ± 7.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
The Polling Company (R-Blum) [46] | October 1–2, 2014 | 300 | – | 39% | 40% | 21% |
Loras College [47] | September 2–5, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 35% | 33% | 32% |
The Polling Company (R-Blum) [48] | August 11–12, 2014 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 35% | 24% |
Myers Research (D-Murphy) [49] | July 31–August 4, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 40% | 8% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [50] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [51] | Tossup | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [52] | Lean D | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Tossup | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [53] | Tossup | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Rod Blum | 147,762 | 51.1 | |
Democratic | Pat Murphy | 141,145 | 48.8 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 399 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 289,306 | 100 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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![]() County results Loebsack: 50–60% 60–70% Peters: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic representative David Loebsack had represented Iowa's 2nd district since 2007. He was elected to a fourth term in 2012 against Republican John Archer with 56% of the vote.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | David Loebsack (incumbent) | 17,154 | 99.3 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 117 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 17,371 | 100 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mark Lofgren | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | Matthew C. Waldren | Undecided |
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Loras College [58] | May 13–14, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 12% | 36% | — | 52% |
Loras College [24] | April 9–10, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 11% | 18% | 1% | 70% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 15,043 | 49.4 | |
Republican | Mark S. Lofgren | 11,634 | 38.2 | |
Republican | Matthew C. Waldren | 3,746 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 52 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 30,475 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dave Loebsack (D) | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | Undecided |
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Loras College [44] | October 21–24, 2014 | 279 | ± 5.85% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [45] | October 16–23, 2014 | 552 | ± 7.0% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Loras College [47] | September 2–5, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Miller-Meeks) [59] | August 3–5, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [50] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [51] | Lean D | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [52] | Lean D | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Lean D | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [53] | Lean D | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 143,431 | 52.5 | |
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 129,455 | 47.4 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 443 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 273,329 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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![]() County results Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Appel: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Prior to the 2012 elections, Republican Representative Tom Latham and Democratic Representative Leonard Boswell were redistricted into the same district. Though Barack Obama carried the district in the 2012 presidential election, Latham defeated Boswell. Latham planned to retire in 2014. [60]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert Cramer | Joe Grandanette | Matt Schultz | Monte Shaw | David Young | Brad Zaun | Undecided |
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Loras College [85] | May 14, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 17% | 51% |
Loras College [24] | April 8–10, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 59% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Brad Zaun | 10,522 | 24.7 | |
Republican | Robert Cramer | 9,032 | 21.2 | |
Republican | Matt Schultz | 8,464 | 19.9 | |
Republican | Monte Shaw | 7,220 | 17.0 | |
Republican | David Young | 6,604 | 15.5 | |
Republican | Joe Grandanette | 661 | 1.6 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 42 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 42,545 | 100.0 |
The Republican nomination was decided by a convention after none of the six candidates reached the 35 percent threshold required to make the general election ballot. This was the second time in 50 years that a convention picked a nominee and the first time since 2002, when then-State Senator Steve King won a convention held in Iowa's 5th congressional district to decide the Republican nominee for Congress. [86] A poll conducted by the conservative website Caffeinated Thoughts of 118 of the 513 delegates was held on June 9–10. David Young and Brad Zaun took 27% each, with Robert Cramer on 19%, Monte Shaw on 14%, Matt Schultz on 8% and Joe Grandanette on 3% with another 3% undecided. 34% chose Young as their second choice, with 17% choosing Cramer, Schultz or Zaun, 10% picking Shaw and 3% picking Grandanette with 8% undecided. [87]
On June 21, in what was described as a "stunning upset", David Young won the nomination on the fifth ballot of the convention. [88]
On July 4, Zaun voiced his disappointment and suggested he would leave the Republican Party, leading some to encourage him to run for the seat as an independent. He had previously announced that he would introduce legislation to hold primary runoff elections instead of conventions. [89] On July 10, Zaun announced that despite his frustrations, he would not leave the Republican Party or run as an independent. [90]
Iowa Republican Convention, 2014 [91] | ||||||||||||
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Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | |||||||
David Young | 86 | (16.8%) | 81 | (15.8%) | 102 | (19.9%) | 171 | (33.3%) | 276 | (53.8%) | ||
Brad Zaun | 130 | (25.3%) | 157 | (30.6%) | 188 | (36.6%) | 206 | (40.2%) | 221 | (43.1%) | ||
Monte Shaw | 118 | (23%) | 122 | (23.8%) | 126 | (24.6%) | 120 | (23.4%) | — | |||
Matt Schultz | 95 | (18.5%) | 88 | (17.2%) | 85 | (16.6%) | — | |||||
Robert Cramer | 75 | (14.6%) | 60 | (11.7%) | — | |||||||
Joe Grandanette | 7 | (1.4%) | 2 | (0.4%) | — | |||||||
Abstentions | 2 | (0.4%) | 3 | (0.6%) | 12 | (2.3%) | 16 | (3.1%) | 16 | (3.1%) | ||
Total | 513 | (100%) | 513 | (100%) | 513 | (100%) | 513 | (100%) | 513 | (100%) |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Staci Appel | 9,233 | 99.2 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 75 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 9,308 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
David Young | Staci Appel | |||||
1 | Sep. 11, 2014 | Iowa Public Television | Dean Borg | C-SPAN | P | P |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Young (R) | Staci Appel (D) | Edward Wright (L) | Undecided |
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Loras College [44] | October 21–24, 2014 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 46% | 44% | 0% | 10% |
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [45] | October 16–23, 2014 | 653 | ± 6.0% | 40% | 40% | 1% | 18% |
Remington Research [105] | October 11–13, 2014 | 663 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 42% | 5% | 7% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [106] | October 1–2, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 49% | — | 9% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [107] | September 15–17, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 44% | 47% | — | 9% |
Loras College [47] | September 2–5, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 34% | 40% | — | 25% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [50] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [51] | Tossup | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [52] | Lean R | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Tossup | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [53] | Tossup | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | David Young | 148,814 | 52.8 | |
Democratic | Staci Appel | 119,109 | 42.2 | |
Libertarian | Edward Wright | 9,054 | 3.2 | |
Independent | Bryan Jack Holder | 4,360 | 1.5 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 729 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 282,066 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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![]() County results King: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Weaver: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Representative Steve King won re-election in the 4th district in 2012, after serving in the now defunct Iowa's 5th congressional district .
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 43,098 | 99.1 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 382 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 43,480 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jim Mowrer | 9,900 | 99.6 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 42 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 9,942 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve King (R) | Jim Mowrer (D) | Undecided |
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Loras College [44] | October 21–24, 2014 | 280 | ± 5.85% | 51% | 39% | 11% |
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [45] | October 16–23, 2014 | 484 | ± 7.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
The Polling Company (R-King) [110] | October 1–2, 2014 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
DFM Research [111] | September 20–23, 2014 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Loras College [47] | September 2–5, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [50] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [51] | Safe R | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [52] | Safe R | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Likely R | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [53] | Likely R | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 169,834 | 61.6 | |
Democratic | Jim Mowrer | 105,504 | 38.3 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 295 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 275,633 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |