2002 Iowa gubernatorial election

Last updated

2002 Iowa gubernatorial election
Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
  1998 November 5, 2002 2006  
  Tom Vilsack, official USDA photo portrait.jpg Doug Gross (cropped).jpg
Nominee Tom Vilsack Doug Gross
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote540,449456,612
Percentage52.7%44.5%

2002 Iowa gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2002 Iowa gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
Vilsack:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Gross:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Tom Vilsack
Democratic

Elected Governor

Tom Vilsack
Democratic

The 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent Democratic Governor of Iowa Tom Vilsack sought re-election to a second term as governor. He won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former and future Governor Terry Branstad, narrowly won the Republican primary in a crowded and competitive election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Vilsack (incumbent) 79,277 98.55
Democratic Write-ins1,1661.45
Total votes80,443 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Primary results by county:
Gross
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Gross--61-70%
Gross--51-60%
Gross--41-50%
Gross--31-40%
Sukup
Sukup--81-90%
Sukup--71-80%
Sukup--61-70%
Sukup--51-60%
Sukup--41-50%
Sukup--31-40%
Vander Plaats
Vander Plaats--81-90%
Vander Plaats--71-80%
Vander Plaats--61-70%
Vander Plaats--51-60%
Vander Plaats--41-50%
Vander Plaats--31-40% 2002 Iowa gubernatorial Republican primary county map.svg
Primary results by county:
Gross
  •   Gross—61-70%
  •   Gross—51-60%
  •   Gross—41-50%
  •   Gross—31-40%
Sukup
  •   Sukup—81-90%
  •   Sukup—71-80%
  •   Sukup—61-70%
  •   Sukup—51-60%
  •   Sukup—41-50%
  •   Sukup—31-40%
Vander Plaats
  •   Vander Plaats—81-90%
  •   Vander Plaats—71-80%
  •   Vander Plaats—61-70%
  •   Vander Plaats—51-60%
  •   Vander Plaats—41-50%
  •   Vander Plaats—31-40%
Republican primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Gross 71,478 35.88
Republican Steve Sukup64,49032.37
Republican Bob Vander Plaats63,07731.66
Republican Write-ins1890.09
Total votes199,234 100

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [2] TossupOctober 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball [3] Lean DNovember 4, 2002

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Tom
Vilsack (D)
Doug
Gross (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA [4] October 27–29, 2002614 (LV)± 4.1%56%42%3%

Results

Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002 [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Tom Vilsack (incumbent) 540,449 52.69% +0.39%
Republican Doug Gross456,61244.51%−2.00%
Green Jay Robinson14,6281.43%
Libertarian Clyde Cleveland13,0981.28%
Write-ins1,0250.10%
Majority83,8378.17%+2.37%
Turnout 1,025,802
Democratic hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Vilsack won four of five congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans. [6]

DistrictVilsackGrossRepresentative
1st 54%43% Jim Nussle
2nd 56%40% Jim Leach
3rd 54%44% Leonard Boswell
4th 54%43% Tom Latham
5th 44%53% Steve King

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. 1 2 "Canvass Summary - Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
  2. "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  3. "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  4. SurveyUSA
  5. "Election: 2002 General Election (11/5/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
  6. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=38