2014 United States Senate election in Iowa

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2014 United States Senate election in Iowa
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  Joni Ernst Official photo portrait 114th Congress (cropped).jpg Bruce Braley official 110th Congress photo portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joni Ernst Bruce Braley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote588,575494,370
Percentage52.10%43.76%
2014 United States Senate election in Iowa results map by county.svg
IA Senate 2014.svg
Ernst:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Braley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Tom Harkin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Joni Ernst
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Harkin did not run for reelection to a sixth term in office. [1]

Contents

U.S. Representative Bruce Braley was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; the Republicans nominated State Senator Joni Ernst in a June 3 primary election. [2] Douglas Butzier, who was the Libertarian nominee, died on October 14 in a single engine plane crash near Key West, Iowa. He was the pilot and the only person aboard the plane. [3] [4] [5] He still appeared on the ballot, alongside Independents Bob Quast, Ruth Smith and Rick Stewart. Ernst defeated Braley in the general election. This was the first open Senate seat in Iowa since 1974. Ernst was the first Republican to win this seat since Roger Jepsen in 1978. Joni Ernst's inauguration marked the first time since 1985 where Republicans held both United States Senate seats from Iowa.

Democratic primary

Bruce Braley ultimately faced no opposition in his primary campaign and became the Democratic nominee on June 3, 2014. [6]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Bob Quast, businessman (running as an independent) [8]

Declined

Endorsements

Bruce Braley

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

State legislators

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Brad
Anderson		Bruce
Braley		Kevin
McCarthy		Undecided
Harper Polling [20] January 29, 2013 ? ?3.83%49.73%3.83%42.62%

Results

Democratic primary results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bruce Braley 62,623 99.2%
Democratic Write-ins5040.8%
Total votes63,127 100.0%

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on June 3, 2014. If no candidate won more than 35% of the vote, the nominee would have been chosen at a statewide convention. It would have been only the second time in 50 years that a convention picked a nominee and the first time since 2002, when then-State Senator Steve King won a convention held in Iowa's 5th congressional district to decide the Republican nominee for Congress. Having the nominee chosen by a convention led to fears that the increasingly powerful Ron Paul faction of the state party, led by Party Chairman A. J. Spiker, could have nominated an unelectable candidate. [22] [23]

The convention was scheduled to be held on June 14 but was then moved to July 12. Republican leaders, including Governor Terry Branstad and U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, as well as four of the candidates for the nomination, criticized the move. Candidates Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Matthew Whitaker and David Young signed a letter to the Republican Party of Iowa asking them to move the convention date back, saying that "Essentially gifting [Bruce] Braley an additional 30 days to campaign in a vacuum, while reducing our nominee's time to raise funds and campaign as the general election candidate by an entire month – only serves to strengthen Braley's viability". Spiker responded that the move was necessary to accommodate the 27-day period that the Iowa Secretary of State's office requires to certify the results of the primary. [24] Spiker reiterated his position in September 2013, rejecting calls for a vote by the central committee to move the convention date. He said that nominating a candidate before the primary had been certified would break state law, "which outlines that a ballot vacancy does not exist until the canvass is completed and certified." [25]

Secretary of State Matt Schultz was highly critical of Spiker, saying that "no political party should use the excuse of the final date of the statewide canvass to determine the date of its special nominating convention. Furthermore, to state that it is necessary to hold a special nominating convention after the conclusion of the state canvass is not only misleading, it is false." [26] Following efforts by members of the central committee to call a special meeting to move the date back to June, Spiker agreed and a meeting was held on September 23. [27] The central committee voted 16–1 to move the convention date back to June 14. [28] Statewide Republican leaders and activists and members of the National Republican Senatorial Committee believe that the real reason for the attempt to delay the convention was to give the Ron Paul faction time to organize an insurgent effort to push through a candidate they support, which could have even been Spiker himself or State Party Co-chair David Fischer. [23] The infighting has been traced back to the failure of the NRSC and allies of Governor Branstad and Senator Grassley to recruit a "top-tier" candidate for the race. [23]

Ernst received widespread attention for a campaign ad she released in March 2014 where she employed a tongue-in-cheek comparison between her experience castrating pigs and her ability to cut "pork" in Congress. [29] [30] Many found the ad to be humorous [31] [32] and it was spoofed by late-night comedians including Jimmy Fallon and Stephen Colbert, [33] [34] while some found it to be in bad taste. [35] [36] Before the ad aired, Ernst had struggled in fundraising, [37] [38] and two polls of the Republican primary taken in February 2014 had shown her in second place, several points behind opponent Mark Jacobs. [39] [40] After it aired, a Suffolk University poll in early April showed her with a narrow lead and a Loras College poll showed her essentially tied with Jacobs. [36] [41] [42] [43] By May, she was being described by the media as the "strong front-runner". [44]

In May 2014, Roll Call reported that the Republican primary campaign had become a proxy for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, with Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio supporting Ernst, Rick Perry endorsing Whitaker and Rick Santorum backing Clovis. [45] Jacobs, who had no such high-profile endorsements, ran as the "outsider". [46]

Ultimately, Ernst won the primary with 56% of the vote, negating the need for a convention.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Sam Clovis

Individuals

Organizations

Joni Ernst

National figures

Statewide politicians

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Matthew Whitaker

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Clovis		Joni
Ernst		Mark
Jacobs		Paul
Lunde		Scott
Schaben		Matthew
Whitaker		OtherUndecided
Hill Research Consultants* [114] February 12–13, 2014300± 4%6%11%22%——8%3%50%
Public Policy Polling [115] February 20–23, 2014283± 5.8%8%13%20%3%3%11%—42%
Suffolk University [116] April 3–8, 2014224± 6.55%6.7%25%22.77%—1.34%4.02%—40.18%
Loras College [117] April 7–8, 2014600± 4%7.3%18.1%18.8%—3.5%4%—48.2%
Harper Polling^ [118] April 30 – May 1, 2014500± 4.38%14%33%23%—1%3%—26%
Loras College [119] May 12–13, 2014600± 4%9.5%30.8%19.3%—2.3%7.3%—30.7%
Public Policy Polling [120] May 15–19, 2014303± ?14%34%18%2%1%6%—26%
Des Moines Register [121] May 27–30, 2014400± 4.9%11%36%18%—2%13%—16%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Clovis		Joni
Ernst		Mark
Jacobs		Paul
Lunde		Scott
Shaben		Bob
Vander Plaats		Matthew
Whitaker		David
Young		Undecided
The Polling Company [122] November 22–23, 2013400± 4.9%8%8%5%1%1%28%7%4%39%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Drew
Ivers		Steve
King		Tom
Latham		Bill
Northey		Kim
Reynolds		Matt
Schultz		Bob
Vander Plaats		David
Vaudt		Brad
Zaun		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013326± 5.4%—41%22%—10%—9%——17%
—42%23%———19%——15%
—50%27%——————23%
Wenzel Strategies [124] February 1–2, 2013800± 3.44%—34.3%18.7%3.2%9.8%1.4%9.2%0.5%—19.5%
—42.9%34.7%——————22.4%
Harper Polling [20] January 29, 20124.52%31.16%26.13%———16.08%—6.03%16.08%
—35.35%21.72%———19.70%—3.03%20.20%
—46%29%——————25%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Ernst 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Clovis 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Jacobs 40-50% Iowa Republican Senate primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Ernst
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Clovis
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Jacobs
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Joni Ernst 88,692 56.12%
Republican Sam Clovis 28,43417.99%
Republican Mark Jacobs26,58216.82%
Republican Matthew Whitaker 11,9097.54%
Republican Scott Schaben2,2701.44%
Republican Write-ins1440.09%
Total votes158,031 100.00%

General election

Endorsements

Bruce Braley (D)

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

Organizations

State legislators

Debates

On August 29, Ernst and Braley announced their agreement to hold three televised debates in Davenport, Des Moines, and Sioux City, the first debate on September 28, the second on October 11, and the last on October 16. [126]

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Bruce Braley (D)$9,918,362$10,069,945$707,302
Joni Ernst (R)$9,206,690$7,660,912$2,244,366

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [127] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [128] Lean R (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [129] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [130] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Joni
Ernst (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [131] November 1–3, 20141,265± 2.8%45%48%2% [132] 5%
46%49%—5%
Quinnipiac University [133] October 28 – November 2, 2014778± 3.5%47%47%2%4%
Public Policy Polling [134] October 30–31, 2014617± ?47%48%—5%
Selzer & Co/Des

Moines Register [135]

October 28–31, 2014701± 3.7%44%51%1%4%
YouGov [136] October 25–31, 20141,112± 4.4%43%42%3%13%
Fox News [137] October 28–30, 2014911± 3%44%45%4%8%
Rasmussen Reports [138] October 28–30, 2014990± 3%47%48%3%3%
CNN/ORC [139] October 27–30, 2014647 LV± 4%47%49%—4%
887 RV± 3.5%49%43%—7%
Reuters/Ipsos [140] October 23–29, 20141,129± 3.3%45%45%4%7%
Quinnipiac [141] October 22–27, 2014817± 3.4%45%49%2%5%
Loras College [142] October 21–24, 20141,121± 2.93%45%44%2%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [143] October 16–23, 20142,322± 3%44%44%1%11%
NBC News/Marist [144] October 18–22, 2014772 LV± 3.5%46%49%1%4%
1,052 RV± 3%46%46%2%6%
Gravis Marketing [145] October 20–21, 2014964± 3%43%49%—8%
Monmouth University [146] October 18–21, 2014423± 4.8%46%47%5%2%
Quinnipiac University [147] October 15–21, 2014964± 3.2%46%48%3%4%
Public Policy Polling [148] October 15–16, 2014714± ?%48%47%—5%
Suffolk University [149] October 11–14, 2014500± 4.4%43%47%2% [150] 7%
Quinnipiac University [151] October 8–13, 2014967± 3.2%45%47%3%5%
Rasmussen Reports [138] October 8–10, 2014957± 3%45%48%1%5%
Selzer & Co/Des

Moines Register [152]

October 3–8, 20141,000± 3.1%46%47%3%4%
Morey Group [153] October 4–7, 20141,000± 3.1%39%38%2%21%
Magellan [154] October 3, 20141,299± 2.8%41%50%—9%
Loras College [155] October 1–3, 2014600± 4%42%42%4%12%
NBC News/Marist [156] September 27 – October 1, 2014778 LV± 3.5%44%46%1%9%
1,093 RV± 3%45%44%1%11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [157] September 25 – October 1, 20141,000± 2.09%44%45%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [143] September 20 – October 1, 20142,359± 2%44%43%1%12%
Gravis Marketing [158] September 29–30, 2014522± 4%41%50%—10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [159] September 25–30, 2014800± 3.46%47%46%—7%
Public Policy Polling [160] September 25–28, 20141,192± 2.8%42%44%4% [161] 10%
43%45%—12%
Harstad Research [162] September 21–25, 2014809± ?42%42%—16%
Selzer & Co/ Des

Moines Register [163]

September 21–24, 2014546± 4.2%38%44%6% [164] 12%
Rasmussen Reports [138] September 17–18, 2014750± 4%43%43%4%14%
Fox News [165] September 14–16, 2014600± 4%41%41%6%12%
Quinnipiac University [166] September 10–15, 20141,167± 2.9%44%50%1%4%
CNN/ORC [167] September 8–10, 2014608 LV± 4%49%48%1%2%
904 RV± 3.5%50%42%—7%
Loras College [168] September 2–5, 20141,200± 2.82%45%41%—14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [169] August 18 – September 2, 20141,764± 3%44%42%2%13%
Public Policy Polling [170] August 28–30, 2014816± 3.4%43%45%—12%
Suffolk [171] August 23–26, 2014500± 4%40%40%5% [172] 15%
Public Policy Polling [173] August 22–24, 2014915± 3.2%41%40%5% [174] 14%
42%42%—16%
Rasmussen Reports [138] August 11–12, 2014750± 4%43%43%6%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [175] July 5–24, 20142,056± 2.7%45%46%2%8%
Gravis Marketing [176] July 17–18, 20141,179± 3%44%43%—13%
NBC News/Marist [177] July 7–13, 20141,599± 2.5%43%43%1%14%
Quinnipiac University [178] June 12–16, 20141,277± 2.7%44%40%—16%
Vox Populi Polling [179] June 4–5, 2014665± 3.8%44%49%—7%
Loras College [180] June 4–5, 2014600± 4%42%48%—10%
Rasmussen Reports [138] June 4–5, 2014750± 4%44%45%3%9%
Public Policy Polling [120] May 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%45%39%—16%
Hickman Analytics [181] April 24–30, 2014500± 4.4%44%40%—16%
Suffolk University [182] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%30%—33%
Rasmussen Reports [138] March 24–25, 2014750± 4%40%37%—23%
Quinnipiac University [183] March 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%42%29%1%27%
Public Policy Polling [115] February 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%41%35%—23%
Quinnipiac University [184] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%44%38%1%17%
Harper Polling [185] November 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%42%36%—22%
Public Policy Polling [186] July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%45%33%—22%
Hypothetical polling

with Braley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Mark
Jacobs (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [120] May 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%42%36%—22%
Hickman Analytics [181] April 24–30, 2014500± 4.4%43%42%—15%
Magellan Strategies [187] April 14–15, 2014808± 3.45%40%41%7%12%
Suffolk University [188] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%37%31%—33%
Rasmussen Reports [138] March 24–25, 2014750± 4%41%38%—21%
Quinnipiac University [183] March 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%40%31%1%28%
Public Policy Polling [115] February 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%41%35%—24%
Quinnipiac University [184] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%46%37%1%16%
Harper Polling [185] November 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%41%37%—22%
Public Policy Polling [186] July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%44%32%—24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Scott
Schaben (R)		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University [189] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%25%—38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Matthew
Whitaker (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [120] May 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%43%36%—21%
Suffolk University [190] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%27%—35%
Rasmussen Reports [138] March 24–25, 2014750± 4%40%36%—24%
Quinnipiac University [183] March 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%42%30%1%26%
Public Policy Polling [115] February 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%40%34%—26%
Quinnipiac University [184] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%43%40%1%17%
Harper Polling [185] November 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%41%38%—22%
Public Policy Polling [186] July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%43%34%—23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%49%38%—13%
Harper Polling [20] January 29, 2013523± 4.3%39%34%—27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Sam
Clovis (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [120] May 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%43%34%—23%
Suffolk University [191] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%25%—36%
Rasmussen Reports [138] March 24–25, 2014750± 4%44%31%—25%
Quinnipiac University [183] March 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%42%27%1%29%
Public Policy Polling [115] February 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%42%34%—24%
Quinnipiac University [184] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%45%34%1%20%
Harper Polling [185] November 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%40%35%—25%
Public Policy Polling [186] July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%43%31%—25%
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%49%38%—13%
Harper Polling [20] January 29, 2013523± 4.3%39%34%—27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%44%41%—15%
Harper Polling [20] January 29, 2013523± 4.3%33%36%—31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Kim
Reynolds (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%44%37%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		Bob
Vander Plaats (R)		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [184] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%46%40%1%14%
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%51%33%—16%
Harper Polling [20] January 29, 2013523± 4.3%41%26%—32%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bruce
Braley (D)		David
Young (R)		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [184] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%44%36%1%19%
Harper Polling [185] November 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%41%35%—24%
Public Policy Polling [186] July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%45%32%—24%

with Culver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Chet
Culver (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%48%41%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Chet
Culver (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%41%45%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Chet
Culver (D)		Kim
Reynolds (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%42%41%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Chet
Culver (D)		Bob
Vander Plaats (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%50%36%—14%

with Harkin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Harkin (D)		Terry
Branstad (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [192] May 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85%46%41%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Harkin (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [192] May 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85%48%37%—15%
Public Policy Polling [193] October 7–10, 2011749± 3.6%49%42%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Harkin (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [192] May 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85%46%37%—17%
Public Policy Polling [193] October 7–10, 2011749± 3.6%45%42%—13%

with Loebsack

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Dave
Loebsack (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%47%40%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Dave
Loebsack (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%40%43%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Dave
Loebsack (D)		Kim
Reynolds (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%41%39%—20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Dave
Loebsack (D)		Bob
Vander Plaats (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%49%34%—17%

with Vilsack

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Vilsack (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%49%39%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Vilsack (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%46%42%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Vilsack (D)		Kim
Reynolds (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%46%38%—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Vilsack (D)		Bob
Vander Plaats (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [123] February 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%52%35%—14%

Results

United States Senate election in Iowa, 2014 [194]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Joni Ernst 588,575 52.10% +14.84%
Democratic Bruce Braley 494,37043.76%−18.90%
Independent Rick Stewart26,8152.37%N/A
Libertarian Douglas Butzier8,2320.73%N/A
Independent Bob Quast5,8730.52%N/A
Independent Ruth Smith4,7240.42%N/A
Write-in 1,1110.10%+0.02%
Total votes1,129,700 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ernst won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat. [195]

DistrictErnstBraleyRepresentative
1st 48.3%47.87% Rod Blum
2nd 48.91%47.06% Dave Loebsack
3rd 52.19%43.89% David Young
4th 59.43%36.17% Steve King

See also

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  127. ↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  128. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  129. ↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  130. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  131. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  132. ↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  133. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  134. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  135. ↑ Iowa Poll
  136. ↑ YouGov
  137. ↑ Fox News
  138. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Rasmussen Reports
  139. ↑ CNN/ORC
  140. ↑ Reuters/Ipsos
  141. ↑ Quinnipiac
  142. ↑ Loras College
  143. 1 2 CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  144. ↑ NBC News/Marist
  145. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  146. ↑ Monmouth University
  147. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  148. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  149. ↑ Suffolk University Archived October 17, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  150. ↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  151. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  152. ↑ Iowa Poll
  153. ↑ Morey Group Archived October 11, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  154. ↑ Magellan
  155. ↑ Loras College
  156. ↑ NBC News/Marist
  157. ↑ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [ permanent dead link ]
  158. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  159. ↑ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
  160. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  161. ↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  162. ↑ Harstad Research
  163. ↑ Iowa Poll
  164. ↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Other 1%
  165. ↑ Fox News
  166. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  167. ↑ CNN/ORC
  168. ↑ Loras College
  169. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  170. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  171. ↑ Suffolk Archived September 3, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  172. ↑ Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 1%
  173. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  174. ↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 0%
  175. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  176. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  177. ↑ NBC News/Marist
  178. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  179. ↑ Vox Populi Polling
  180. ↑ Loras College
  181. 1 2 Hickman Analytics
  182. ↑ Suffolk University Archived November 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  183. 1 2 3 4 Quinnipiac University Archived March 13, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  184. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine
  185. 1 2 3 4 5 Harper Polling
  186. 1 2 3 4 5 Public Policy Polling
  187. ↑ Magellan Strategies
  188. ↑ Suffolk University Archived November 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  189. ↑ Suffolk University Archived November 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  190. ↑ Suffolk University Archived November 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  191. ↑ Suffolk University Archived November 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  192. 1 2 3 Public Policy Polling
  193. 1 2 Public Policy Polling
  194. ↑ 2014 General Election Canvass Summary Iowa Secretary of State
  195. ↑ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
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