2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
Flag of Massachusetts.svg
  2013 (special) November 4, 2014 2020  
  Edward Markey, official portrait, 114th Congress (1).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ed Markey Brian Herr
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,289,944791,950
Percentage61.87%37.98%

2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts results map by county.svg
2014 United States Senate Election in Massachusetts by Town.svg
MA Senate 2014.svg
Markey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Herr:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Ed Markey
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ed Markey
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Massachusetts, other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey ran for re-election to a first full term in office. [1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. Markey was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; Hopkinton Selectman Brian Herr was also unopposed for the Republican nomination.

Background

Incumbent Democratic Senator John Kerry, serving since 1985, had planned to run for re-election to a sixth term, but on December 15, 2012, it was announced that the long-time Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee would be nominated as United States Secretary of State under President Barack Obama. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick appointed Mo Cowan as a temporary replacement for Kerry, after he was confirmed as secretary of state and therefore resigned his senate seat. There was a special election on June 25, 2013, to finish the term, which was won by Ed Markey, the 37-year Democratic incumbent from Massachusetts's 5th congressional district .

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not qualify

Declined

Independent

Candidates

Withdrew

  • Bruce Skarin, government research scientist [9] [17]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [20] Safe DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [21] Safe DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Brian
Herr (R)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [22] July 5–24, 20141,846± 4.9%61%34%2%3%
Boston Globe [23] September 14–16, 2014407± 4.85%53%27%21%
Rasmussen Reports [24] September 16–17, 2014750± 4%49%31%5%15%
WBUR/MassINC [25] September 16–21, 2014502± 4.4%58%30%1%11%
WNEU [26] September 20–28, 2014416 LV± 5%56%34%10%
536 RV± 4%52%34%14%
Suffolk University [27] September 25–28, 2014500± 4.4%54%30%16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [28] September 20 – October 1, 20142,389± 2%54%31%1%14%
WBUR/MassINC [29] October 1–4, 2014504± 4.4%56%30%1%13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [28] October 16–23, 20142,218± 3%54%32%0%14%
WBUR/MassINC [30] October 22–25, 2014494± 4.4%57%32%1%9%
Umass Amherst [31] October 20–27, 2014591 LV± 4.4%53%37%9%
800 RV± 3.8%52%32%15%
Suffolk University [32] October 27–29, 2014500± 4.4%49%34%17%
WNEU [33] October 21–30, 2014430 LV± 5%54%34%12%
522 RV± 4%53%31%17%
Public Policy Polling [34] October 30 – November 2, 2014887± 3.3%52%38%10%
Hypothetical polling

With Markey

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Frank
Addivinola (R)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [22] July 5–24, 20141,901± 4.9%59%34%2%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [28] August 18 – September 2, 20143,361± 2%53%28%2%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
MassInc [35] July 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%43%38%2%17%
Public Policy Polling [36] September 20–23, 2013616± 4%46%45%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Gabriel
Gomez (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [36] September 20–23, 2013616± 4%53%35%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [36] September 20–23, 2013616± 4%54%27%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Bill
Weld (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [36] September 20–23, 2013616± 4%47%41%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC [37] March 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%50%29%21%

With Kerry

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kerry (D)
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [38] September 13–16, 20121,051± 3.3%54%33%13%
Public Policy Polling [39] October 9–11, 20121,051± 3.0%53%32%15%
Public Policy Polling [40] November 1–2, 20121,089± 3.0%54%30%15%

Results

United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2014 [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ed Markey (incumbent) 1,289,944 61.87% +7.07%
Republican Brian Herr791,95037.98%−6.62%
Write-in 3,0780.15%-0.06%
Total votes2,084,972 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Markey won all 9 congressional districts. [42]

DistrictHerrMarkeyRepresentative
1st 37.63%62.37% Richard Neal
2nd 41.99%58.01% Jim McGovern
3rd 42.04%57.96% Niki Tsongas
4th 41.38%58.62% Joe Kennedy III
5th 30.65%69.35% Katherine Clark
6th 42.06%57.94% John F. Tierney
7th 15.62%84.38% Michael Capuano
8th 39.06%60.96% Stephen Lynch
9th 44.54%55.46% Bill Keating

See also

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