2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey

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2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2013 (special) November 4, 2014 2020  
  Cory Booker, official portrait, 114th Congress.jpg Jeff Bell, 2014 (cropped).JPG
Nominee Cory Booker Jeff Bell
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,043,866791,297
Percentage55.84%42.33%

2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by county.svg
NJ Senate 2014 by Cong District.svg
2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by municipality.svg
Booker:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bell:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Cory Booker
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Cory Booker
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Jersey. Incumbent senator Cory Booker was first elected in a 2013 special election to complete the term of fellow Democrat Frank Lautenberg, who died in office. Booker defeated Jeff Bell (R) to win a first full term.

Contents

This is the last time that Somerset County voted Republican in a statewide election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Antonio Sabas, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2013 [1] [2] (ran as an independent)

Declined

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rob
Andrews
Cory
Booker
Rush D.
Holt Jr.
Frank
Pallone
Stephen
Sweeney
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [10] November 26–28, 2012300± 5.6%17%48%13%11%11%
Merriman-River [11] January 7–9, 20131,170± 2.9%10%48%8%6%28%
Farleigh Dickinson [12] March 4–10, 2013323± 5.5%50%7%4%6%32%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cory
Booker
Frank
Lautenberg
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [10] November 26–28, 2012300± 5.6%59%22%18%
Fairleigh Dickinson [13] January 2–6, 2013700± 3.7%42%20%17%21%
Merriman-River [11] January 7–9, 20131,170± 2.9%48%21%31%
Quinnipiac [14] January 15–21, 2013616± 4%51%30%1%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cory
Booker
Frank
Lautenberg
Frank
Pallone
Alan
Rosenthal
Stephen
Sweeney
OtherUndecided
Monmouth [15] February 6–10, 2013± 7.1%40%25%4%2%2%5%22%

Results

Democratic primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cory Booker (incumbent) 197,158 100.00%
Total votes197,158 100.00%

Republican primary

2013 nominee Steve Lonegan announced in his concession speech that he would not run again for the seat in the 2014 race. [17] The top-tier candidates for the Republican primary, Thomas Kean Jr. and Jay Webber also declined to run in early January 2014, leaving Jon Bramnick and Michael J. Doherty as the remaining candidates with established credentials and fundraising abilities able to start a United States Senate campaign. [18] [19] On January 9, 2014, Brian D. Goldberg, a West Orange resident and New Jersey businessman, announced that he would seek the Republican nomination. [20] The following week, on January 17, 2014, both Bramnick and Doherty announced that they would not be running for United States Senate. [20] [21]

On January 27, 2014, Freehold Township businessman Richard J. "Rich" Pezzullo announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination. Pezzullo had previously run for the US Senate in 1996 as the Conservative Party candidate. [22] [23] On February 4, 2014, conservative political consultant Jeff Bell announced his bid for the nomination. Bell was the nominee for the Senate in 1978, having defeated incumbent senator Clifford Case in the Republican primary and was an unsuccessful candidate for the Republican nomination in 1982. [24] Ramapo College professor Murray Sabrin, who ran for the Senate in 2000 and 2008, announced another run on February 13. [25] Former FBI agent Robert Turkavage, who ran as an Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012, had declared his candidacy. However, he got stuck in a traffic jam when he attempted to turn in his petitions shortly before the deadline, and was forced to withdraw. [26]

On March 4, Richard Pezzullo won the Union County Convention on the first ballot, going on to then win the line in Camden County and Republican stronghold Monmouth County. Opponent Brian Goldberg won the party lines in conventions in Ocean, Atlantic, Cumberland, Mercer, and Somerset Counties. Murray Sabrin won only the Middlesex line, and Jeffrey Bell made no convention appearances and contested no lines. [27] Three candidates – Brian Goldberg, Richard Pezzullo and Murray Sabrin – claimed the Burlington county line, though only Goldberg claimed to have won the line. [28] Goldberg was given the county line with no convention in Essex, Passaic, and Hudson Counties. Robert Turkavage won the convention in Hunterdon County, but the line transferred to Goldberg after Turkavage dropped out of the race.

Jeff Bell received significant support from the conservative American Principles Fund, who ran a direct mail operation that cost over $80,000, and the National Organization for Marriage, a conservative traditional marriage group, who paid for $6,000 of automated calling. [29]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jeff Bell 42,728 29.41%
Republican Richard J. Pezzullo38,13026.24%
Republican Brian D. Goldberg36,26624.96%
Republican Murray Sabrin28,18319.40%
Total votes145,307 100.00%
CountyBellPezzulloGoldbergSabrinTotal Votes
Total %Total %Total %Total %
Atlantic 1,11517.85%74411.91%4,03064.50%3595.75%6,248
Bergen 4,83356.63%1,50117.59%95311.17%1,24814.62%8,535
Burlington 4,20839.12%3,22024.58%1,57712.04%4,09731.27%13,102
Camden 2,12136.05%2,56643.62%2995.08%89715.25%5,883
Cape May 2,01160.70%74022.34%2457.40%3179.57%3,313
Cumberland 43623.34%30116.11%1,03855.58%934.98%1,868
Essex 90420.45%1,03523.42%2,16148.89%3207.24%4,420
Gloucester 1,21329.43%1,28031.06%71417.33%91422.18%4,121
Hudson 64221.89%2859.70%1,22541.71%78526.73%2,937
Hunterdon 2,42628.29%2,60430.37%2,11824.70%1,42616.63%8,574
Mercer 92726.16%37710.64%1,33137.56%90925.65%3,544
Middlesex 1,73826.31%1,33820.25%1,53123.18%1,99930.26%6,606
Monmouth 2,09619.26%5,99955.11%4974.57%2,29321.07%10,885
Morris 5,20637.09%3,19722.77%1,2809.12%4,35531.02%14,038
Ocean 3,38917.51%3,57018.45%10,84056.02%1,5528.02%19,351
Passaic 1,19420.64%1,01517.55%2,41441.74%1,16120.07%5,784
Salem 33225.50%38929.88%785.99%50338.63%1,302
Somerset 3,39936.35%1,57716.86%3,12233.39%1,25313.40%9,351
Sussex 1,46526.68%2,45144.64%2925.32%1,28223.35%5,490
Union 1,16219.37%3,11751.96%2834.72%1,43723.95%5,999
Warren 1,87148.15%79420.43%2386.12%98325.30%3,886

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Cory Booker (D)$16,534,557$14,742,187$2,583,176$5,266
Jeff Bell (R)$373,577$282,459$91,116$11,788
[49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54]

Endorsements

Cory Booker

Organizations

Jeff Bell

Current & former elected officials

Media

Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [62] Solid DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [63] Safe DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [64] Safe DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [65] Likely DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cory
Booker (D)
Jeff
Bell (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [66] June 17–18, 2014750± 4%48%35%4%13%
Monmouth University [67] June 25–29, 2014717± 3.7%43%23%15%17%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [68] July 5–24, 20142,645± 3.4%50%43%1%6%
Quinnipiac University [69] July 31 – August 4, 20141,148± 2.9%47%37%1%16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [70] August 18 – September 2, 20142,244± 3%52%37%2%10%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [71] September 1–7, 2014721± 3.7%42%29%1%27%
Richard Stockton College [72] September 5–8, 2014807± 3.5%49%36%3%12%
Quinnipiac University [73] September 25–29, 20141,058± 3%51%40%1%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [74] September 20 – October 1, 20142,011± 3%51%37%0%12%
Monmouth University [75] October 2–5, 2014477± 4.5%53%38%2%7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [76] October 13–19, 2014525± 4.3%56%40%1%3%
Richard Stockton College [77] October 18–22, 2014806± 3.5%57%33%5%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [74] October 16–23, 20141,868± 4%51%39%0%9%
Monmouth University [78] October 30 – November 2, 2014750± 3.6%54%40%1%5%
Hypothetical polling

With Andrews

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rob
Andrews (D)
Kim
Guadagno (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [10] November 26–28, 2012600± 4%35%34%31%

With Booker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cory
Booker (D)
Kim
Guadagno (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [10] November 26–28, 2012600± 4%42%39%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cory
Booker (D)
Geraldo
Rivera (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [79] February 13–17, 20131,149± 2.9%59%23%2%17%
Farleigh Dickinson University [80] March 4–10, 2013702± 3.7%52%21%26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cory
Booker (D)
Murray
Sabrin (R)
OtherUndecided
Monmouth University [81] February 19–23, 2014690± 3.7%58%25%1%15%

With Bradley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Bradley (D)
Jeff
Bell (R)
OtherUndecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University [76] October 13–19, 2014525± 4.3%57%36%0%7%

With Lautenberg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Frank
Lautenberg (D)
Kim
Guadagno (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [10] November 26–28, 2012600± 4%48%33%19%

With Pallone

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Frank
Pallone (D)
Kim
Guadagno (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [10] November 26–28, 2012600± 4%22%42%36%

Results

United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2014 [82]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Cory Booker (incumbent) 1,043,866 55.84% +0.92%
Republican Jeff Bell 791,29742.33%−1.69%
Libertarian Joseph Baratelli16,7210.89%N/A
Independent Hank Schroeder5,7040.31%N/A
Independent Jeff Boss 4,5130.24%N/A
Independent Eugene Martin Lavergne3,8900.21%+0.13%
Independent Antonio N. Sabas3,5440.19%+0.09%
Total votes1,869,535 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

CountyBooker %Booker votesBell %Bell votesOther %Other votes
Atlantic 51.4%32,56646.5%29,4222.1%1,319
Bergen 57.3%124,40941.2%89,5971.5%3,204
Burlington 54.3%64,73044.2%52,7211.5%1,755
Camden 65.3%73,88133.2%37,5431.5%1,730
Cape May 41.1%11,57257.4%16,1781.5%429
Cumberland 53.3%14,83044.8%12,4551.9%537
Essex 77.2%106,47221.4%29,5271.4%1,975
Gloucester 52.8%37,13145.1%31,7172.1%1,456
Hudson 78.4%68,16519.2%16,7072.4%2,109
Hunterdon 38.7%14,24159.0%21,7092.3%864
Mercer 65.8%52,47632.3%25,7491.9%1,524
Middlesex 60.0%83,73238.4%53,6791.6%2,244
Monmouth 44.9%67,01153.2%79,4171.9%2,863
Morris 42.9%49,92055.6%64,6881.6%1,807
Ocean 40.3%55,63157.4%79,2542.2%3,082
Passaic 60.6%52,53337.6%32,6121.7%1,508
Salem 44.5%8,06051.4%9,3044.1%733
Somerset 48.6%37,12449.5%37,8351.9%1,448
Sussex 35.3%12,72261.8%22,2922.9%1,046
Union 65.0%68,05133.2%34,7411.8%1,855
Warren 36.4%8,60959.8%14,1503.7%884

By congressional district

Booker won 7 of the 12 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican. [83]

DistrictBookerBellRepresentative
1st 62.47%35.86% Donald Norcross
2nd 47.49%50.35% Frank LoBiondo
3rd 48.02%50.08% Tom MacArthur
4th 44.27%53.8% Chris Smith
5th 49.65%48.62% Scott Garrett
6th 58.29%39.98% Frank Pallone Jr.
7th 44.21%53.7% Leonard Lance
8th 79.05%18.75% Albio Sires
9th 66.9%31.19% Bill Pascrell
10th 86.1%12.25% Donald Payne Jr.
11th 47.18%51.31% Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th 64.23%34.13% Bonnie Watson Coleman

See also

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