2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election

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2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2013 November 7, 2017 2021  
Turnout38.5% [1] (Decrease2.svg1.1%)
  Phil Murphy for Governor (cropped 2).jpg Kim Guadagno 2011 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Phil Murphy Kim Guadagno
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sheila Oliver Carlos Rendo
Popular vote1,203,110 899,583
Percentage56.03%41.89%

2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
2017 NJ Governor election by municipality.svg
NJ Governor 2017.svg
Murphy:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Guadagno:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
     No votes

Governor before election

Chris Christie
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Murphy
Democratic

The 2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2017, to elect a new governor of New Jersey. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Christie was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. [2]

Contents

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017. Kim Guadagno, the incumbent lieutenant governor of New Jersey, won the Republican primary for governor and chose Woodcliff Lake Mayor Carlos Rendo as her running mate. Phil Murphy, a banker and former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, won the Democratic primary, and chose former State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver as his running mate. Seth Kaper-Dale ran as the Green Party candidate with Lisa Durden, while Pete Rohrman ran as the Libertarian Party candidate with Karrese Laguerre. Matt Riccardi ran as the Constitution Party candidate. There were two other independent candidates on the ballot.

Murphy led throughout the general election, with many analysts expecting a Democratic pickup. When polls closed on Election Day, Murphy was immediately declared the winner, based on exit polling alone. Murphy received 56.0% of the vote to Guadagno's 41.9%. [3] Murphy slightly outperformed Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential run in the state. With the election of Sheila Oliver as lieutenant governor, she became the first woman of color elected to statewide office in New Jersey. 38.5% of registered voters cast ballots, marking the lowest turnout on record for any gubernatorial election in New Jersey. [4] Guadagno later left the Republican Party in July 2021. [5]

2017 was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1989 in which the Democratic candidate won Somerset County, as well as the first since 2005 in which the Democratic candidate won Burlington County, Middlesex County, Atlantic County, or Gloucester County; the latter two counties have not voted Democratic for governor since. Murphy became the first New Jersey governor since Brendan Byrne in 1973 to win without any prior elected experience, and the first since Charles Edison in 1940 to win without having held any prior public office in the state. This is the first gubernatorial election since 1937 in which the Democratic nominee won without winning Salem County, and the first since 1981 that it voted for the losing candidate. This is the last time that the winner of the New Jersey gubernatorial election won a majority of New Jersey's counties.

Background

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017. [6] New Jersey utilizes a semi-closed primary system, meaning that only registered party members may vote in primary elections. However, unaffiliated voters can change their party registration and vote in either party primary on election day. [7] [8]

The deadline to file petitions to qualify for primary elections was April 3; eleven contenders submitted petitions satisfying the requirement of 1,000 signatures. [9] On April 18, as is required by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, the candidates' financial disclosures, showing sources of earned income (e.g. salaries) and unearned income (e.g. investments), were made public. [10]

Gubernatorial primary candidates utilized what is known as the "matching funds" program. Those who raised at least $430,000 qualified to receive two dollars in public money for every dollar raised privately. State law mandates that any primary candidates who qualify for matching funds must participate in at least two primary debates. Candidates who choose not to seek matching funds but commit to raising and spending at least $430,000 can also participate. [11] [12] As of May 8, primary candidates had received donations from ten states other than New Jersey. [13]

The first debates were held on May 9, hosted by Stockton University. The Republicans debated first followed by the Democrats. The debates were live-streamed on Facebook, the university's website via Livestream, and on News 12 New Jersey. The live stream was simulcast in Spanish. [14] The second Democratic debate was held on May 11, the second Republican debate on May 18. [15] They were co-hosted by PBS Member network NJTV and NJ Spotlight. [16]

The Republican debates included two of the five candidates: Jack Ciattarelli and Kim Guadagno, who both qualified for matching funds. [11] [17] Hirsh Singh filed a lawsuit to enter the debates, claiming to have raised over $900,000 despite missing a deadline to file; his challenge was rejected by the state courts. [18] [19]

The Democratic debates included four of the six candidates: Jim Johnson, John Wisniewski (who both qualified for matching funds), Phil Murphy (who opted out of matching funds but had spent enough to qualify), and Raymond Lesniak (who did not raise enough to qualify for matching funds but loaned his campaign enough money to qualify for the debates). [11] [17]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jack Ciattarelli$1,768,417$1,731,962$36,337
Kim Guadagno$3,540,927$3,451,743$89,184
Steven Rogers$27,522$27,522$0
Joseph Rudy Rullo$13,573$9,809$64
Hirsh Singh$1,021,387$1,016,191$5,196
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [36]

Endorsements

Jack Ciattarelli
State officials
Newspapers and publications

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jack
Ciattarelli
Kim
Guadagno
Steven
Rogers
Joseph
Rudy Rullo
Hirsh
Singh
OtherUndecided
Stockton University May 16–23, 2017389± 4.9%18%37%4%3%3%2%31%
Stockton University April 26 – May 1, 201735919%29%4%4%2%1%41%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017331± 5.4%12%23%5%3%1%51%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 22–26, 2017216± 6.7%5%24%1%1%0%14% [n 1] 54%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017315± 5.5%3%28%2%1%19% [n 2] 42%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 25–29, 2017275± 5.9%2%18%2%0%25% [n 3] 52%
  1. Dana Wefer 2%, "Someone else" 12%
  2. Joe Piscopo 18%, "Someone else" 1%
  3. Joe Piscopo 12%, "Someone else" 13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jon
Bramnick
Kim
Guadagno
OtherUndecided
FDU September 1–7, 2014721± 3.7%4%12%11%74%

Results

Results by county:
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Guadagno
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
<40%
Ciattarelli
50-60%
40-50%
<40% New Jersey Republican gubernatorial primary results by county, 2017.svg
Results by county:
  Guadagno
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
  Ciattarelli
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results [42] [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kim Guadagno 113,846 46.70%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli75,55630.99%
Republican Hirsh Singh23,7289.73%
Republican Joseph R. Rullo15,8166.49%
Republican Steven Rogers14,1875.82%
Republican Write-In6380.27%
Total votes243,771 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Paul Binetti, LGBT activist and nightclub manager (did not submit petitions) [50] [51] [52]
  • Monica Brinson, pharmaceutical sales representative (did not submit petitions) [53] [54] [55]
  • Bob Hoatson, sexual abuse victims advocate and former Catholic priest [56] [57] [58]
  • Lisa McCormick, weekly newspaper publisher (did not submit petitions) [53] [59] [55]
  • Titus Pierce, businessman and Iraq War veteran (did not submit petitions) [53] [60] [55]

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Bill Brennan$20,847$20,847$0
Jim Johnson$3,256,514$3,198,226$58,288
Raymond Lesniak$791,368$718,619$64,990
Phil Murphy$21,995,248$21,735,597$262,951
John Wisniewski$2,142,139$2,081,439$60,795
Mark Zinna$33,498$32,622$877
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [36]

Endorsements

Jim Johnson
U.S. Representative
Mayor
Individuals
Raymond Lesniak
Individuals
Lisa McCormick (withdrew)
Individual
John Wisniewski
Organizations
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Elected official

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Brennan
Jim
Johnson
Raymond
Lesniak
Phil
Murphy
John
Wisniewski
Mark
Zinna
OtherUndecided
Stockton University May 16–23, 2017403± 4.9%3%10%4%34%9%1%1%33%
Stockton University April 26 – May 1, 20173852%6%5%37%8%0%41%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017519± 4.3%3%7%4%26%5%1%1%52%
The Mellman Group April 26–30, 2017600± 4.0%0%4%3%37%7%0%49%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 22–26, 2017386± 5%2%4%3%23%4%0%10% [n 1] 53%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017450± 4.6%2%4%4%23%6%57%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 25–29, 2017410± 4.8%2%7%17%6%17%50%
Lake Research Partners (D-Johnson) November 17–21, 2016400± 4.9%8%22%10%59%
  1. Lisa McCormick 2%, Monica Brinson 1%, Bob Hoatson 1%, Titus Pierce 0%, "Someone else" 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
Margin of
error
Richard
Codey
Steven
Fulop
Stephen M.
Sweeney
OtherUndecided
FDU September 1–7, 2014721± 3.7%27%3%9%6%55%

Results

Results by county:
Murphy
50-60%
40-50%
<40%
Wisniewski
<40% New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial primary results by county, 2017.svg
Results by county:
Murphy
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Wisniewski
  •   <40%
Democratic primary results [42] [88]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Phil Murphy 243,643 48.37%
Democratic Jim Johnson110,25021.89%
Democratic John Wisniewski108,53221.55%
Democratic Raymond J. Lesniak24,3184.83%
Democratic William Brennan11,2632.24%
Democratic Mark Zinna5,2131.03%
Democratic Write-In4630.09%
Total votes503,682 100.00%

Third parties and independents

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

General election

Seven candidates were on the ballot in the November general election, the lowest number in a New Jersey gubernatorial contest since six ran in 1989. [100]

Candidates

Major

The following candidates have qualified to appear in the state-sponsored debates: [101]

Minor

The following third-party or independent candidates qualified for the ballot but did not raise enough money to qualify for state-sponsored debates:

Debates

DatesLocationMurphyGuadagnoLink
October 10, 2017 Newark, New Jersey ParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 18, 2017 Wayne, New Jersey ParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN

Fundraising

General election campaign finance activity through November 24, 2017
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kim Guadagno$5,748,740$5,616,120$132,621
Phil Murphy$14,715,173$14,517,279$197,895
Pete Rohrman [n 1] $7,765$6,142$1,623
Seth Kaper-Dale$104,321$114,221–$2,701
Matt RiccardiN/AN/AN/A
Gina Genovese$52,146$50,558$0
Vincent Ross<$5,100<$5,100<$5,100
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [107]
  1. Campaign finance activity through October 24, 2017 only

Endorsements

Kim Guadagno (R)
Federal politician
State politicians
NJ state legislators
County Freeholders
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
County Republican Party organizations
Newspapers (primary)
Newspapers (general)
Phil Murphy (D)
Federal politicians
State politicians
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
NJ state legislators
Mayors
Individuals
County Democratic Party organizations
Organizations
Newspapers (primary)
Newspapers (general)
Declined to endorse
Newspapers

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [222] Likely D (flip)October 6, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball [223] Safe D (flip)October 13, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report [224] Likely D (flip)October 27, 2017

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Guadagno (R)
Phil
Murphy (D)
OtherUndecided
Change Research November 1–5, 20172,040± 2.8%42%58%
Quinnipiac University Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 30 – November 5, 2017662± 5.2%41%53%5%
Rasmussen Reports October 31 – November 1, 2017800± 4%35%50%5%10%
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2017611± 4%32%46%7% [n 1] 15%
Monmouth University October 27–31, 2017529± 4.3%39%53%2%7%
Emerson College [ permanent dead link ]October 26–28, 2017540± 4.2%31%47%8%14%
Suffolk University Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 25–28, 2017500± 4.4%33%49%6% [n 2] 12%
Quinnipiac University October 19–24, 20171,049± 4.2%37%57%1%5%
Stockton University October 18–24, 2017525± 4.3%37%51%4%7%
FOX News October 14–16, 2017679 LV± 3.5%33%47%8%11%
804 RV± 3.5%31%46%9%13%
Fairleigh Dickinson University October 11–15, 2017658± 4.5%32%47%5%13%
Stockton University October 4–12, 2017585± 4.1%33%51%7%7%
Monmouth University September 28 – October 1, 2017452± 4.6%37%51%2%9%
Emerson College Archived 2019-04-13 at the Wayback Machine September 28 – October 1, 2017300± 5.6%35%46%7% [n 3] 12%
Suffolk University Archived January 22, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 19–23, 2017500± 4.4%25%44%6% [n 4] 24%
FOX News September 17–19, 2017804± 3.5%29%42%9% [n 5] 19%
Quinnipiac University September 7–12, 2017875± 4.5%33%58%2%7%
Marist College July 13–18, 2017817± 3.4%33%54%1%12%
Monmouth University July 6–9, 2017758± 3.6%26%53%6%14%
National Research Inc. (R-Guadagno) June 25–27, 2017600± 4.0%28%42%9%21%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 20171,103± 3.8%26%55%3%14%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 20171,209± 2.8%25%50%1%21%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 20171,098± 3%25%47%1%25%
Quinnipiac University January 26–30, 20171,240± 2.8%29%45%1%22%
  1. Gina Genovese (I) 4%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 3%
  2. Gina Genovese (I) 2%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 1%, Matt Riccardi (C) 1%, Pete Rohrman (L) 1%, Vincent Ross (I) 1%
  3. Gina Genovese (I) 2%, "Someone else" 5%
  4. Gina Genovese (I) 2%, Pete Rohrman (L) 2%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 1%, Vincent Ross (I) 1%, Matt Riccardi (C) <1%
  5. Gina Genovese (I) 4%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 2%, Pete Rohrman (L) 1%, Other 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Guadagno (R)
Phil
Murphy (D)
Joe
Piscopo (I)
Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 20171,209± 2.8%21%41%14%21%

Results

Results by state legislative district 2017gov.png
Results by state legislative district
New Jersey gubernatorial election, 2017 [225]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Phil Murphy 1,203,110 56.03% Increase2.svg17.84
Republican Kim Guadagno 899,58341.89%Decrease2.svg18.41
Independent Gina Genovese12,2940.57%N/A
Libertarian Peter J. Rohrman10,5310.49%Decrease2.svg 0.08
Green Seth Kaper-Dale10,0530.47%Increase2.svg 0.08
Constitution Matthew Riccardi6,8640.32%N/A
Independent Vincent Ross4,9800.29%N/A
Total votes2,147,415 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county

CountyMurphy %Murphy votesGuadagno %Guadagno votesOther %Other votes
Atlantic 55.1%36,95242.5%28,4562.4%1,607
Bergen 56.7%129,26541.6%94,9041.6%3,760
Burlington 56.5%70,45341.8%52,1911.7%2,070
Camden 67.2%81,26830.7%37,1132.1%2,534
Cape May 44.8%13,56653.2%16,1182.0%600
Cumberland 55.3%15,68641.8%11,8762.9%828
Essex 79.6%129,47018.8%30,6331.6%2,598
Gloucester 55.2%42,34942.3%32,4482.5%1,898
Hudson 80.5%88,27117.5%19,2362.0%2,170
Hunterdon 39.0%17,69758.9%26,7082.1%945
Mercer 64.9%59,99233.1%30,6452.0%1,846
Middlesex 57.2%100,84740.3%70,9402.5%4,418
Monmouth 43.0%79,43255.0%101,5251.9%3,572
Morris 45.1%65,50753.1%77,2031.8%2,617
Ocean 35.8%56,58262.1%98,1352.1%3,279
Passaic 60.1%57,41538.0%36,2301.9%1,810
Salem 45.3%7,81450.1%8,6294.6%794
Somerset 49.8%45,93547.9%44,2312.3%2,107
Sussex 36.3%15,43159.7%25,4014.0%1,717
Union 65.2%79,11332.6%39,5522.2%2,594
Warren 35.4%10,06561.2%17,4093.4%958

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Murphy won 9 of 12 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.

DistrictMurphyGuandagnoRepresentative
1st 64.5%33.3% Donald Norcross
2nd 49.7%47.6% Frank LoBiondo
3rd 46.7%51.3% Tom MacArthur
4th 42.1%55.9% Chris Smith
5th 48.2%48.1% Josh Gottheimer
6th 54.9%43.0% Frank Pallone
7th 45.5%52.2% Leonard Lance
8th 81.8%16.9% Albio Sires
9th 65.6%31.6% Bill Pascrell
10th 85.1%13.3% Donald Payne Jr.
11th 49.2%48.5% Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th 62.9%35.2% Bonnie Watson Coleman

[226]

See also

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Official campaign websites
Former campaign websites