2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election

Last updated

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2021 November 4, 20252029 
  Mikie Sherrill, official portrait, 116th Congress 2 (cropped).jpg Jack Ciattarelli Oct 2021 crop 2.png
Nominee Mikie Sherrill Jack Ciattarelli
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Dale Caldwell Jim Gannon
Popular vote1,840,4161,394,910
Percentage56.55%42.86%

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
Sherrill:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Ciattarelli:      50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Mikie Sherrill
Democratic

The 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2025, to elect the governor of New Jersey. Democratic congresswoman Mikie Sherrill won her first term in office, defeating Republican former state assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli in a landslide. [1] [2] [3] Incumbent Democratic Governor Phil Murphy was term-limited.

Contents

Primary elections were held on June 10, 2025. [4] Sherrill won the Democratic nomination with 34% of the vote over a field of candidates that included Newark mayor Ras Baraka and Jersey City mayor Steven Fulop. Ciattarelli, the Republican nominee in 2021, won his second consecutive nomination with almost 68% of the vote over radio talk show host Bill Spadea.

Following a string of strong Republican performances in the state in 2021 and 2024, many analysts expected a close race. Some polls suggested the election was a toss-up. [5] [6] However, Sherrill outperformed expectations and won by a margin of approximately 13%, considerably higher than Phil Murphy's winning margin of 3.2% over Ciattarelli in 2021.

Sherrill is scheduled to be sworn in as the 57th governor of New Jersey on January 20, 2026. She is set to become the second female governor in New Jersey history, [7] the first Democratic female governor in New Jersey history, and the first female military veteran to serve as governor of a U.S. state. [8] This election was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1961 in which either party won the governorship for three consecutive terms. [9]

Background

New Jersey has long been considered a blue state, consistently voting Democratic at the federal level since 1992 and generally voting Democratic at the state level as well. Republicans have not won a statewide election in New Jersey since the 2013 gubernatorial election, but recent statewide elections have been notably competitive.[ citation needed ] In 2021, Governor Murphy was re-elected by a 3.2% margin, [10] considerably down from his 14.1% margin of victory in 2017. [11] A similar rightward shift was seen at the presidential level in 2024, when Democrat Kamala Harris won New Jersey by 5.9%, [12] considerably down from 2020, when Joe Biden won New Jersey by 15.9%. Most polls, analysts and ratings showed Sherrill to be the favorite, although the polls narrowed beginning in mid-September.[ citation needed ]

This election was considered to be an indicator of the popularity of Donald Trump's second presidency in the state. Until 2021, New Jersey had elected a governor of the opposite party of the sitting president of the United States in every election since 1989. [13] Until this election, New Jersey had not elected the same party to the governor's office for more than two consecutive terms since 1965. [14]

In October 2025, the Trump administration announced that the Department of Justice would deploy election monitors to polling sites in California and New Jersey ahead of the November 4 elections. The administration cited concerns raised by Republican officials about alleged voting irregularities. Democratic leaders in both states criticized the move as politically-motivated voter intimidation, while the department said the monitors would ensure transparency and compliance with federal law. [15]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ras Baraka
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Steven Fulop
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Josh Gottheimer
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Mikie Sherrill
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Labor unions
Organizations
Sean Spiller
State legislators
Mayors
Labor unions
Stephen Sweeney
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Labor unions
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Political parties
Labor unions

County conventions

County convention results
Hunterdon County Democratic convention [104]
CandidateRound 1Round 2
Votes%Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 8145.76%8956.69%
Ras Baraka 6536.73%6843.31%
Josh Gottheimer 137.35%Eliminated
Sean Spiller116.21%Eliminated
Stephen Sweeney 73.95%Eliminated
Total ballots177 ballots157 ballots
Mercer County Democratic convention [105]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 22455.45%
Ras Baraka 13332.92%
Sean Spiller4711.63%
Total ballots404 ballots
Monmouth County Democratic convention [107]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 33872.84%
Ras Baraka 9620.69%
Sean Spiller306.47%
Josh Gottheimer [f] 0 [g] 0.00%
Total ballots464 ballots
Sussex County Democratic convention [110]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 11388.28%
Ras Baraka 97.03%
Stephen Sweeney 64.69%
Sean Spiller00.00%
Total ballots128 ballots [h]
Burlington County Democratic convention [135]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Stephen Sweeney 11944.57%
Ras Baraka 6925.84%
Mikie Sherrill 5219.48%
Sean Spiller2710.11%
Total ballots267 ballots
Atlantic County Democratic convention [134]
CandidateRound 1Round 2
Votes%Votes%
Stephen Sweeney 8147.36%9052.02%
Ras Baraka 3822.22%4626.59%
Sean Spiller2916.96%3721.39%
Mikie Sherrill 2313.45%Eliminated
Total ballots171 ballots173 ballots
Ocean County Democratic convention [159] [i]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 6338.41%
Stephen Sweeney 3118.90%
Ras Baraka 2615.85%
Steven Fulop [j] 2314.02%
Sean Spiller2112.80%
Total ballots164 ballots
Bergen County Democratic convention [78]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Josh Gottheimer 61666.02%
Mikie Sherrill 14815.86%
Ras Baraka 9510.18%
Sean Spiller454.82%
Steve Sweeney 293.11%
Total ballots [k] 933 ballots
Morris County Democratic convention [108]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 38576.85%
Ras Baraka 8817.56%
Sean Spiller203.99%
Steve Sweeney 81.6%
Total ballots [l] 524 ballots
Turnout83.71% [161]
Salem County Democratic convention [139]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Steve Sweeney 2482.76%
Ras Baraka 310.34%
Mikie Sherrill 26.90%
Total ballots29 ballots
Warren County Democratic convention [79]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Josh Gottheimer 1957.58%
Ras Baraka 721.21%
Mikie Sherrill 515.15%
Steve Sweeney 26.06%
Total ballots33 ballots
Essex County Democratic convention [102]
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
Mikie Sherrill 43862.13%
Ras Baraka 23633.48%
Sean Spiller243.40%
Steve Sweeney 70.99%
Total ballots705 ballots
Democratic county party endorsements

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Gottheimer
Sherrill
Sweeney
Co-endorsement of Baraka, Gottheimer, Sherrill, Spiller, and Sweeney
Declined to endorse 2025 NJ Gubernatorial Democratic Primary County Party Endorsements Final.svg
Democratic county party endorsements
  Gottheimer
  Sherrill
  Sweeney
  Co-endorsement of Baraka, Gottheimer, Sherrill, Spiller, and Sweeney
  Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [m]
Margin
of error
Ras BarakaSteven FulopJosh GottheimerMikie SherrillSean SpillerStephen SweeneyUndecided
Emerson College [162] May 11–13, 2025386 (LV)± 4.9%11%11%11%28%10%5%24%
MDW Communications (D) [163] [A] May 11–13, 20251,100 (LV)± 3.5%17%13%7%21%7%5%30%
Global Strategy Group (D) [164] [B] May 10–13, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%15%16%11%33%6%7%12%
StimSight Research [165] May 7–10, 2025409 (LV)± 4.9%21%19%10%31%9%9%1%
MDW Communications (D) [166] [A] April 20251,200 (LV)± 3.5%14%14%9%18%11%8%26%
Rutgers-Eagleton [167] April 1–10, 2025556 (RV)9%12%9%17%10%7%32%
Global Strategy Group (D) [168] [B] April 6–8, 2025600 (LV)13%13%15%25%12%6%16%
Hart Research Associates (D) [160] [C] March – April 202512%14%11%20%9%9%26%
Global Strategy Group (D) [169] [D] April 1–3, 2025900 (LV)± 3.0%11%13%14%19%11%5%27%
MDW Communications (D) [170] [A] March 19–20, 2025935 (LV)± 3.0%12%9%5%14%8%5%47%
GBAO (D) [171] [E] February 27 – March 3, 2025800 (LV)± 3.5%14%10%9%20%15%8%24%
Hart Research Associates (D) [160] [C] February 202512%12%9%25%11%5%26%
MDW Communications (D) [172] [A] February 10, 2025789 (LV)± 3.0%10%5%5%16%10%3%52%
Public Policy Polling (D) [173] [F] January 22–23, 2025615 (LV)± 4.0%9%9%5%16%11%9%43%
Emerson College [174] January 18–21, 2025437 (LV)± 4.6%8%4%7%10%8%7%56%
Hart Research Associates (D) [160] [C] November 202412%7%6%17%10%9%39%
Upswing Research (D) [175] [G] November 23–27, 2024803 (LV)± 3.5%13%8%10%25%7%8%30%
Global Strategy Group (D) [176] [B] November 20–24, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%9%4%9%24%5%11%38%
Renaissance Campaign Strategies (D) [177] [H] July 13–14, 2024802 (LV)± 3.5%12%7%8%18%2%8%45%
GQR Research (D) [178] [I] March 7–12, 2024603 (LV)± 4.0%20%9%5%23%12%29%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 27, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ras Baraka$7,325,248$7,219,890$105,358
Steven Fulop$9,142,423$9,009,629$132,794
Josh Gottheimer$9,217,621$8,742,829$474,792
Mikie Sherrill$9,549,353$9,283,760$265,594
Sean Spiller$454,309$415,580$38,729
Steve Sweeney$9,047,708$8,633,427$414,281
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [180]

Debates

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial Democratic primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee
 W  Withdrawn
BarakaFulopGottheimerSherrillSpillerSweeney
1 [181] November 21, 2024 NJ PBS David Cruz YouTube PPAAPP
2 [182] February 2, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Laura Jones YouTube PPPPPP
3 [183] [184] May 12, 2025 NJ PBS
WNYC
Briana Vannozzi
Michael Hill
YouTube PPPPNP
4 [183] [184] May 18, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Laura Jones YouTube PPPPNP

Results

Democratic primary results by county
Sherrill
Sherrill--60-70%
Sherrill--50-60%
Sherrill--40-50%
Sherrill--30-40%
Sherrill--20-30%
Baraka
Baraka--40-50%
Baraka--30-40%
Gottheimer
Gottheimer--30-40%
Spiller
Spiller--20-30%
Sweeney
Sweeney--40-50% 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county
  Sherrill
  •   Sherrill—60–70%
  •   Sherrill—50–60%
  •   Sherrill—40–50%
  •   Sherrill—30–40%
  •   Sherrill—20–30%
  Baraka
  •   Baraka—40–50%
  •   Baraka—30–40%
  Gottheimer
  •   Gottheimer—30–40%
  Spiller
  •   Spiller—20–30%
  Sweeney
  •   Sweeney—40–50%
Democratic primary results [185]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mikie Sherrill 286,244 34.02%
Democratic Ras Baraka 173,95120.67%
Democratic Steven Fulop 134,57315.99%
Democratic Josh Gottheimer 97,38411.57%
Democratic Sean Spiller89,47210.63%
Democratic Stephen Sweeney 59,8117.11%
Total votes841,435 100.0%

Lieutenant gubernatorial nomination

Nominee

Considered but not selected

Declined to be considered

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Monica Brinson, former political strategist (continued running as an write-in candidate in general election) [193] [194]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jon Bramnick
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State assemblymembers
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Party chapters
Political parties
Newspapers
Jack Ciattarelli (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
County officials
Party chapters
Political parties
Mario Kranjac
U.S. representatives
Bill Spadea
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Party chapters
  • 10 municipal Republican committees [242]
Political parties
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Republican county chair endorsements

Bramnick
Ciattarelli
Spadea 2025 New Jersey Gubernatorial Republican primary election in New Jersey county chair endorsements.svg
Republican county chair endorsements
  Bramnick
  Ciattarelli
  Spadea

County conventions

County convention results
Cape May County Republican convention, February 5, 2025 [225]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Monmouth County Republican convention, February 20, 2025 [231]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Atlantic County Republican convention, February 22, 2025 [222]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Passaic County Republican convention, February 25, 2025 [232]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Ocean County Republican convention, February 25, 2025 [245]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Spadea 129 60.85%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 8339.15%
Total votes212 100.00%
Cumberland County Republican convention, March 1, 2025 [226]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Salem County Republican convention, March 1, 2025 [233]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Warren County Republican convention, March 2, 2025 [236]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Mercer County Republican convention, March 3, 2025 [206]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Spadea 69 42.86%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 59 36.65%
Republican Jon Bramnick 33 20.50%
Total votes161 100.00%
Somerset County Republican convention, March 4, 2025 [234]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Hunterdon County Republican convention, March 5, 2025 [229]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Union County Republican convention, March 6, 2025 [235]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 258 100.00%
Total votes258 [p] 100.00%
Burlington County Republican convention, March 8, 2025 [224]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Middlesex County Republican convention, March 8, 2025 [230]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%
Camden County Republican convention, March 10, 2025 [244]
CandidateRound 1Round 2
Votes%Votes%
Bill Spadea 3647.37%5168.00%
Jack Ciattarelli 2330.26%2432.00%
Edward Durr 2916.96%1722.37%
Total ballots7675
Bergen County Republican convention, March 11, 2025 [223]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 492 86.31%
Republican Mario Kranjac6611.58%
Republican Monica Brinson122.11%
Total votes570 100.00%
Essex County Republican convention, March 18, 2025 [227]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 15 88.24%
Republican Jon Bramnick 211.76%
Total votes17 100.00%
Gloucester County Republican convention, March 18, 2025 [228]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votesN/A [o] 100.00%

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [m]
Margin
of error
Jon
Bramnick
Jack
Ciattarelli
Edward
Durr
Mario
Kranjac
Bill
Spadea
OtherUndecided
Emerson College [162] May 11–13, 2025330 (LV)± 5.4%8%44%2%18%4% [q] 23%
National Research Inc. (R) [250] [J] May 6–8, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%10%54%2%23%11%
National Research Inc. (R) [251] [J] April 8–10, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%9%50%3%22%14%
Rutgers-Eagleton [167] April 1–10, 2025258 (RV)4%42%0%12%7% [r] 34%
March 24, 2025Durr withdraws from the race
KAConsulting (R) [252] [K] February 5–7, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%4%42%2%2%13%35%
Emerson College [174] January 18–21, 2025334 (LV)± 5.3%4%26%2%13%10% [s] 47%
KAConsulting (R) [254] [K] June 12–14, 2024606 (LV)± 4.0%3%44%2%11%38%
Regional polling
Monmouth County
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [m]
Margin
of error
Jon
Bramnick
Jack
Ciattarelli
Edward
Durr
Bill
Spadea
Undecided
Stepien Strategic Partners (R) [255] [L] December 7–10, 2024920 (LV)±3.2%1%37%3%38%22%
Morris County
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [m]
Margin
of error
Jon
Bramnick
Jack
Ciattarelli
Edward
Durr
Bill
Spadea
Undecided
Stepien Strategic Partners (R) [255] [L] December 7–10, 2024920 (LV)±3.2%5%39%2%22%32%
Ocean County
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [m]
Margin
of error
Jon
Bramnick
Jack
Ciattarelli
Edward
Durr
Bill
Spadea
Undecided
Stepien Strategic Partners (R) [255] [L] December 7–10, 2024920 (LV)±3.2%3%28%4%38%27%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 27, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Justin Barbera<$6,900<$6,900<$6,900
Jon Bramnick$5,160,140$5,015,536$144,604
Jack Ciattarelli$9,474,904$9,204,860$270,044
Edward Durr$11,775$4,591$7,184
Mario Kranjac$191,289$198,829-$7,540
Bill Spadea$4,787,792$4,572,045$215,747
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [180]

Debates

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial Republican primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee
 W  Withdrawn
BarberaBramnickCiattarelliDurrKranjacSpadea
1November 21, 2024 NJ PBS David Cruz YouTube NPAPNA
2 [182] February 4, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Save Jersey
Laura Jones YouTube NPPPNP
3 [183] [184] May 7, 2025 NJ PBS
WNYC
David Cruz
Michael Hill
YouTube NPPWNP
4 [183] [184] May 20, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Save Jersey
Laura Jones YouTube NPPWNP

Results

Republican primary results by county:
Ciattarelli
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county:
  Ciattarelli
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [185]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 316,283 67.82%
Republican Bill Spadea 101,40821.75%
Republican Jon Bramnick 29,1306.25%
Republican Mario Kranjac 12,7822.74%
Republican Justin Barbera6,7431.45%
Total votes466,346 100.0%

Lieutenant gubernatorial nomination

Nominee

Considered but not selected

Declined to be considered

Third-party candidates

Candidates

Declared

Write-in

Withdrawn

General election

The in-person early voting period ran from October 25 to November 2, 2025. [262]

Candidates

Write-in

Debates

Gubernatorial

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
SherrillCiattarelli
1 [264] September 21, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Laura Jones YouTube PP
2 [264] October 8, 2025Various [u] Tamala Edwards
Bill Ritter
YouTube PP

Lieutenant gubernatorial

2025 New Jersey lieutenant gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
CaldwellGannon
1 [264] September 30, 2025Various [v] Dan Mannarino
Henry Rosoff
YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [265] Lean DNovember 4, 2025
Inside Elections [266] Lean DNovember 4, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [267] Lean DNovember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [268] Likely DNovember 4, 2025
State Navigate [269] Likely DNovember 4, 2025
New Jersey Globe [270] Lean DNovember 4, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

Mikie Sherrill (D)
2025 gubernatorial candidates
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Jack Ciattarelli (R)
2025 gubernatorial candidates
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Lily Benavides (G) (write-in)
Political parties
Declined to endorse
2025 gubernatorial candidates
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Mikie
Sherrill (D)
Jack
Ciattarelli (R)
Other/Undecided [w] Margin
Decision Desk HQ [366] through November 3, 2025November 3, 202550.6%45.7%3.7%Sherrill +4.9%
FiftyPlusOne [367] through November 3, 2025November 3, 202550.4%44.7%4.9%Sherrill +5.7%
Race to the WH [368] through November 3, 2025November 4, 202549.7%45.1%5.2%Sherrill +4.6%
RealClearPolitics [369] October 14–30, 2025November 1, 202548.9%45.6%5.5%Sherrill +3.3%
VoteHub [370] through November 3, 2025November 3, 202549.8%44.5%5.7%Sherrill +5.3%
Average49.9%45.1%5.0%Sherrill +4.8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [m]
Margin
of error
Mikie
Sherrill (D)
Jack
Ciattarelli (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co. [371] November 2–3, 2025429 (LV)± 4.6%51%48%1% [x]
450 (LV)48%46%1% [x] 5%
John Zogby Strategies (D) [372] October 31 – November 3, 20251,205 (LV)± 2.9%55%43%2% [y]
AtlasIntel [373] October 25–30, 20251,639 (LV)± 2.0%50%49%1%
SoCal Strategies (R) [374] [M] October 28–29, 2025800 (LV)52%45%3%
Suffolk University [375] October 26–29, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%46%42%2% [z] 7%
Emerson College [376] [N] October 25–28, 20251,000 (LV)± 3.0%50% [aa] 48%1% [ab] 1%
49%48%1% [ab] 2%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Company Research (R) [377] [O]
October 24–28, 2025956 (LV)± 3.0%52%45%3%
1,107 (RV)52%43%5%
Quinnipiac University [378] October 23–28, 20251,166 (LV)± 3.8%51%43%2% [z] 4%
51% [ac] 44%4%
YouGov [379] October 17–28, 20251,153 (LV)± 4.0%54%44%2% [ad]
51%42%1% [ad] 6%
Quantus Insights (R) [380] October 26–27, 20251,380 (LV)± 2.6%49%46%5%
co/efficient (R) [381] October 23–27, 2025995 (LV)± 3.3%48%47%1% [x] 5%
A2 Insights [382] October 24–26, 2025812 (LV)51%47%2%
GQR (D) [383] [B] October 15–20, 20251,000 (LV)± 4.0%52%40%8%
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) [384] [P] October 16–18, 2025605 (LV)± 3.9%49%40%11%
Rutgers-Eagleton [385] October 3–17, 2025795 (LV)± 4.7%50%45%5%
KAConsulting (R) [386] [Q] October 15–16, 2025601 (RV/LV)± 4.0%47%44%9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)/Trafalgar Group (R) [387] October 14–15, 2025800 (LV)± 3.5%45%44%4%7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [388] October 9–15, 2025814 (RV)± 3.4%52%45%3%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Company Research (R) [389] [O]
October 10–14, 2025869 (LV)± 3.0%50%45%5%
1,002 (RV)48%44%8%
Quinnipiac University [390] October 9–13, 20251,327 (LV)± 3.6%50%44%2% [z] 4%
51% [ac] 44%4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [391] October 8–9, 2025955 (LV)± 3.0%46%40%4% [ae] 9%
Neighborhood Research (R) [392] October 6–9, 2025311 (LV)± 5.6%44%44%12%
Public Policy Polling (D) [393] [R] October 2–3, 2025703 (RV)± 3.7%49%43%8%
John Zogby Strategies (D) [394] September 30 – October 2, 2025912 (LV)± 3.3%50%42%8%
Quantus Insights (R) [395] September 29–30, 2025900 (LV)± 3.3%48%46%6%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Company Research (R) [396] [O]
September 25–28, 2025822 (LV)± 3.0%50%42%8%
1,002 (RV)48%41%11%
Global Strategy Group (D) [397] [B] September 22–25, 2025800 (LV)± 3.5%50%43%7%
Valcour/Save Jersey (R) [398] September 23–24, 20251,274 (LV)± 2.8%47%45%7%
Emerson College [399] September 22–23, 2025935 (LV)± 3.1%43%43%3%11%
yes. every kid. [400] September 20–22, 2025704 (LV)± 3.7%48%41%10%
National Research Inc. (R) [401] [J] September 16–18, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%9%
Quinnipiac University [402] September 11–15, 20251,238 (LV)± 3.9%49%41%2% [z] 6%
51% [af] 42%7%
National Research Inc. (R) [403] [J] September 8–10, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%47%45%8%
Quantus Insights (R) [404] September 2–4, 2025600 (LV)± 4.3%47%37%16%
49% [aa] 39%12%
TIPP Insights (R) [405] [S] August 25–28, 20251,524 (RV)± 3.0%37%36%27%
1,349 (LV)46%39%2% [ag] 12%
1,073 (RV) [ah] 47%43%2% [ag] 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton [406] July 31 – August 11, 20251,650 (LV)± 3.7%44%35%3%17%
47% [aa] 37%3%12%
A2 Insights [407] July 29 – August 2, 2025629 (LV)51%45%4%
StimSight Research [408] July 18–24, 20251,108 (LV)± 3.3%48%42%1%9%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [409] July 17–23, 2025806 (LV)± 3.4%45%37%3%15%
National Research Inc. (R) [403] [J] July 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%46%43%11%
KAConsulting (R) [410] [Q] June 24–27, 2025800 (RV/LV)± 3.5%47%42%11%
Cygnal (R) [411] [T] June 19–20, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%50%43%7%
Rutgers-Eagleton [412] June 13–16, 2025621 (LV)± 5.4%51%31%18%
56% [aa] 35%9%
National Research Inc. (R) [413] [J] June 11–12, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%45%42%12%
SurveyUSA (D) [414] [P] May 28–30, 2025576 (LV)± 6.1%51%38%12%

Results

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election [415]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Mikie Sherrill
Dale Caldwell
1,840,416 56.55%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli
Jim Gannon
1,394,91042.86%
Libertarian Vic Kaplan
Bruno Pereira
11,5070.35%
Socialist Workers Joanne Kuniansky
Craig Honts
7,8290.24%
Total votes3,254,662 100.00%
Democratic hold Swing

By county

CountyMikie Sherrill
Democratic
Jack Ciattarelli
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Atlantic
Bergen
Burlington
Camden
Cape May
Cumberland
Essex
Gloucester
Hudson
Hunterdon
Mercer
Middlesex
Monmouth
Morris
Ocean
Passaic
Salem
Somerset
Sussex
Union
Warren
Totals

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

DistrictSherrillCiattarelliRepresentative
1st 63.2%36.2% Donald Norcross
2nd 45.6%53.8% Jeff Van Drew
3rd 56.9%42.6% Herb Conaway
4th 35.3%64.2% Chris Smith
5th 52.9%46.7% Josh Gottheimer
6th 60.2%39.1% Frank Pallone
7th Thomas Kean Jr.
8th 74.8%24.2% Rob Menendez
9th 59.0%40.3% Nellie Pou
10th 85.9%13.2% LaMonica McIver
11th 57.0%42.6% Mikie Sherrill
12th 65.7%33.6% Bonnie Watson Coleman

Exit poll

According to a CNN exit poll, Sherrill won 94% of Black voters, 68% of Hispanic voters, and 82% of Asian voters. Sherrill also won 54% of White women. [416]

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election voter demographics (CNN) [416]
Demographic subgroupSherrillCiattarelli% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 94634
Moderates 623733
Conservatives 118833
Party
Democrats 97238
Republicans 79231
Independents 564331
Donald Trump job approval
Approve89242
Disapprove93656
Most important issue facing New Jersey
Economy663332
Taxes376234
Healthcare92716
Immigration28717
2024 presidential vote
Kamala Harris 97350
Donald Trump 79342
Another candidate63302
Did not vote65313
Gender
Men495047
Women623753
Income
$200,000 or more574319
$100,000-$199,999534733
$50,000-$99,999514926
Less than $50,000712823
Race/ethnicity
White 475270
Asian 82175
Latino 683110
Black 94510
Race/ethnicity by gender
White men415934
White women544636
Black men9274
Black women9546
Latino men61385
Latina women73266
All other voters692910
Age
18–29 years old693111
30–44 years old673219
45-64 years old514834
65 and older514835
Area type
Urban84157
Suburban544593
Education
College graduate623855
No college degree504945
Education by race
White college graduates554540
Non-white college graduates792115
Whites without college376331
Non-whites without college752315
Education by gender and race
White women with college degrees623820
White women without college degrees435716
White men with college degrees485218
White men without college degrees316915
Voters of color772230
Educational attainment
Advanced degree 683223
Bachelor's degree643631
Associate's degree554510
Some college534615
Never attended college455421

See also

Notes

  1. Vainieri's endorsement was voided by the election of Craig Guy as Hudson County Democratic chair. [50]
  2. International and New Jersey State Council
  3. National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees District 1199J
  4. Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes and Locals 641, 2906, and 3082
  5. Locals 30, 94, 351, 400, and 456
  6. Withdrew from participation in this convention but remained on ballot.
  7. Gottheimer received votes, but they were not announced due to his withdrawal at the convention.
  8. Six ballots were abstentions or voided.
  9. No candidate endorsed, as none received a majority of ballots in the only round of voting
  10. These votes were write-ins, as Fulop was not on the ballot.
  11. 41 additional delegates abstained or cast invalid ballots.
  12. 23 delegates abstained
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  14. National and New Jersey chapter
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Ciattarelli was the only candidate on the ballot.
  16. 22 votes were not counted, as they were undervotes.
  17. Justin Barbera with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. Justin Barbera with 3%; "None of them" 4%; "Someone else" with <1%
  19. Bacon and Herberg with 3%; Canfield and Fazzone with 2%
  20. Zielinski submitted enough signatures in June for ballot access but withdrew from the race in early August after missing the statutory deadline to select a lieutenant governor candidate, citing "health and personal reasons". Zielinski was replaced on the ballot by Lily Benavides, who was subsequently removed from the ballot after a petition challenge by the Morris County Democratic Committee.
  21. WABC-TV, WPVI-TV, WXTV Univision 41, Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy, Rutgers University
  22. WPIX, WPHL-TV, Kean University, New Jersey 101.5
  23. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  24. 1 2 3 Vic Kaplan (LP) with 1%
  25. "Another candidate" with 2%
  26. 1 2 3 4 Vic Kaplan (LP) and Joanne Kuniansky (SWP) with 1%
  27. 1 2 3 4 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  28. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
  29. 1 2 H2H between Sherill and Ciattarelli
  30. 1 2 Vic Kaplan (LP) and Joanne Kuniansky (SWP) with 0%
  31. "Third-party candidate" with 4%
  32. H2H between Sherill and Ciattarelli
  33. 1 2 Joanne Zielinski [sic] and David Kaplan [sic] with 1%. Note the poll incorrectly named Joanne Kuniansky as "Joanne Zielinski" and Vic Kaplan as "David Kaplan"
  34. Among "regular voters"

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Baraka's campaign
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Sherill's campaign
  3. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Fulop's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by Gottheimer's campaign
  5. Poll sponsored by Garden State Forward, a super PAC affiliated with the New Jersey Education Association, which supports Spiller
  6. Poll sponsored by Working New Jersey PAC, which supports Spiller
  7. Poll sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America, which supports Sherrill
  8. Poll sponsored by One New Jersey United, a pro-Baraka Super PAC
  9. Poll sponsored by Principled Veterans Fund, which the New Jersey Globe says "has connections" to Sherrill [179]
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by Ciattarelli's campaign
  11. 1 2 Poll commissioned by Kitchen Table Conservatives, a pro-Ciattarelli, anti-Spadea super PAC [253]
  12. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Spadea's campaign
  13. Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics, a conservative content creator who supports Ciattarelli.
  14. Poll sponsored by PIX11 and The Hill
  15. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Fox News
  16. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, which supports Sherrill
  17. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Change NJ, a pro-Ciattarelli, anti-Sherrill super PAC
  18. Poll commissioned by the Democratic Governors Association, which supports Sherrill
  19. Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  20. Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project, a conservative group

References

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  38. 1 2 Blackburn, Zach (April 28, 2025). "Muslim advocacy groups endorse Baraka for governor". New Jersey Globe . Retrieved April 28, 2025.
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