2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election

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2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018  
Turnout55.60% [1] (Decrease2.svg 1.85%)
  Dannel Malloy 2016.jpg Official portrait of Tom Foley, U.S. Ambassador to Ireland (cropped).jpg
Nominee Dannel Malloy Thomas C. Foley
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Independent
Running mate Nancy Wyman Heather Somers
Popular vote554,314526,295
Percentage50.73%48.16%

2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
Malloy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     80–90%
Foley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Dannel Malloy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dannel Malloy
Democratic

The 2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Connecticut, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Governor Dannel Malloy won re-election to a second term in office. Connecticut, unlike most states, holds separate primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor, with the winners then running together on the same ticket.

Malloy and incumbent Lieutenant Governor Nancy Wyman were renominated unopposed. The Republicans nominated former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland and nominee for governor in 2010 Thomas C. Foley and Groton Town Councilor Heather Somers, making the contest a rematch of the 2010 election. Independent candidate Joe Visconti, a former West Hartford Town Councilor and the Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 was running with Chester Harris, a former Republican Haddam School Board Member. Visconti suspended his campaign on November 2 and endorsed Foley. However, due to the suspension coming only two days before the election, Visconti's name remained on the ballot. Former State Representative Jonathan Pelto (D-Mansfield) [2] explored a third-party candidacy through a petition drive but was disqualified due to an inadequate number of signatures. [3]

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Malloy and Wyman ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, so no primaries were held.

Republican primary

Governor

2010 nominee Thomas C. Foley won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 57.1% of the vote. [6] Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton and State Senate Minority Leader John McKinney took 22.3% and 17.72%, respectively, meeting the 15% vote threshold and thus also qualified for the primary ballot. [7] Shelton Mayor Mark Lauretti and former West Hartford Town Councilor Joe Visconti failed to get 15% of the vote at the convention, so neither automatically qualified for the ballot. Visconti began collecting signatures to petition his way onto the ballot. He needed the signatures of 8,190 registered Republican voters by June 10 in order to qualify and he started collecting signatures when primary petitions became available at the end of April. [8] Lauretti began to collect signatures a few days after the convention, but withdrew those petitions on May 22 to instead try to petition onto the ballot for lieutenant governor. [9]

On June 6, Visconti announced that he was short of the required number of signatures, and with the filing deadline only 4 days away, was withdrawing from the race to run as an Independent instead. [10] Boughton suspended his campaign on June 18, primarily because he did not think Lauretti, his unofficial running mate, would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing. [11] He called for "party unity behind the endorsed Republican candidate, Tom Foley." [12]

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Toni
Boucher
Mark
Boughton
Lawrence F.
Cafero
Martha
Dean
Thomas C.
Foley
Mark
Lauretti
John P.
McKinney
Joe
Visconti
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac [27] May 1–6, 2014443±4.7%9%5%39%3%8%4%2%30%
Quinnipiac [28] Feb. 26–March 2, 2014477±4.5%2%11%36%6%3%3%1%37%
Quinnipiac [29] June 12–17, 2013283±5.8%8%4%36%11%1%41%

Results

Results by county:
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Foley--60-70%
Foley--50-60%
McKinney--50-60% Connecticut Governor Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Foley—60–70%
  Foley—50–60%
  McKinney—50–60%
Republican primary results [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thomas C. Foley 44,144 55.58
Republican John P. McKinney35,28244.42
Total votes79,426 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Although separate primary elections are held for governor and lieutenant governor, candidates for each office often join together to form unofficial "tickets". Heather Bond Somers had originally been running on such a "ticket" with Mark Boughton, [31] but she withdrew from the arrangement. [32] [33] Boughton later announced Mark Lauretti as his new running mate. [34] This arrangement came to an end when Boughton withdrew, primarily because he did not think Lauretti would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing. [11] David M. Walker teamed up with John P. McKinney. [35] Bacchiochi did not join any "ticket". [36]

Bacchiochi won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 50.9% of the vote. Somers took 31.5% and Walker got 17.4%, meaning they both also qualified for the primary ballot. [32] Lauretti attempted to petition his way onto the ballot; he was unsuccessful, filing only 6,723 of the required 8,190 signatures. [37]

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew

Results

Republican primary results by county
Somers
30-40%
40-50%
Bacchiochi
30-40%
40-50%
Walker
30-40% 2014 Connecticut lieutenant gubernatorial Republican primary results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county
  Somers
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Bacchiochi
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Walker
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Heather Bond Somers 26,980 34.46
Republican Penny Bacchiochi26,31133.06
Republican David M. Walker25,01431.94
Total votes78,305 100.00

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

Disqualified

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [44] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [46] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [47] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 10, 2014
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Dannel Malloy (D)$6,501,239$6,716,337$2,326,904
Thomas C. Foley (R)$7,944,883$8,230,236$4,238,039
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission [48] [49]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Thomas C.
Foley (R)
Joe
Visconti (I)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [50] October 28 – November 2, 2014926± 3.2%43%42%8%1%6%
47%44%1%7%
Public Policy Polling [51] October 30 – November 1, 2014931± 3.2%44%41%6%8%
47%44%8%
Rasmussen Reports [52] October 29–30, 2014977± 3%48%47%2%4%
Quinnipiac University [53] October 22–27, 2014838± 3.4%43%43%7%1%6%
44%46%1%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [54] October 16–23, 20141,267± 4%40%40%3%0%17%
Quinnipiac University [55] October 14–20, 20141,010± 3.1%43%42%9%1%6%
45%45%2%8%
Rasmussen Reports [52] October 14–16, 2014980± 3.5%43%50%2%4%
Quinnipiac University [56] October 1–6, 20141,085± 3%43%43%9%5%
46%46%1%7%
Public Policy Polling [57] October 2–5, 2014861± 3.3%43%35%9%14%
45%39%16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [54] September 20 – October 1, 20141,284± 3%41%41%3%1%14%
Quinnipiac University [58] September 3–8, 20141,304± 2.7%40%46%7%1%6%
43%49%1%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [59] August 18 – September 2, 20141,808± 3%42%41%3%14%
Rasmussen Reports [52] August 18–19, 2014750± 4%38%45%7%10%
Gravis Marketing [60] August 4–7, 2014440± 5%38%46%16%
Anzalone Liszt Grove [61] July 28–29, 2014900± ?46%46%8%
Vox Populi Polling [62] July 27–28, 2014550± 4.2%35%34%3% [63] 27%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [64] July 5–24, 20141,177± ?41%48%4%8%
Quinnipiac University [65] May 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%43%43%1%12%
Quinnipiac University [66] February 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%42%42%1%14%
Quinnipiac University [67] June 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%40%43%1%16%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Toni
Boucher (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [66] February 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%45%34%2%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Mark
Boughton (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [65] May 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%44%39%1%16%
Quinnipiac University [66] February 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%44%35%2%19%
Quinnipiac University [67] June 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%43%36%1%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Lawrence F.
Cafero (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [67] June 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%44%37%2%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Martha
Dean (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [65] May 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%46%37%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Mark
Lauretti (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [65] May 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%45%37%1%17%
Quinnipiac University [66] February 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%44%34%2%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
John P.
McKinney (R)
OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing [68] August 4–7, 2014440± 5%38%45%17%
Quinnipiac University [65] May 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%44%40%1%14%
Quinnipiac University [66] February 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%43%37%1%18%
Quinnipiac University [67] June 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%44%37%1%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [69] November 1–2, 20121,220± 2.8%48%37%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dannel
Malloy (D)
Joe
Visconti (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [65] May 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%46%36%1%17%
Quinnipiac University [66] February 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%45%34%2%19%

Results

2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election [70]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Dannel Malloy529,55248.46%+1.25%
Working Families Dannel Malloy24,7622.27%−0.03%
Total Dannel Malloy (incumbent) 554,314 50.73% +1.22%
Republican Thomas C. Foley503,99846.12%−2.83%
Independent Party Thomas C. Foley22,2972.04%N/A
Total Thomas C. Foley 526,29548.16%−0.79%
Independent Joe Visconti11,4561.05%N/A
Write-in 7080.06%N/A
Total votes1,092,773 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

CountyDannel Malloy

Democratic

Thomas Foley

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

Total votes cast
Fairfield 128,71449.72%128,62949.69%1,5300.59%258,873
Hartford 148,09653.51%125,72245.43%2,9471.06%276,765
Litchfield 27,28239.40%40,99259.20%9741.41%69,248
Middlesex 31,47849.45%31,34249.24%8331.31%63,653
New Haven 135,97353.37%116,06845.56%2,7131.06%254,754
New London 42,98351.30%39,66647.34%1,1321.35%83,781
Tolland 23,88745.99%27,31552.59%7381.42%66,450
Windham 15,90148.11%16,56150.11%5891.78%33,051
Total554,31450.73%526,29548.16%12,1641.11%1,092,773

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Despite his win, and managing to flip back three counties, Malloy only won two of the five congressional districts, while Foley won the other three, all of which were held by Democrats. This result exactly replicated the previous election for governor in 2010 by congressional district between Malloy and Foley. [71]

DistrictDannel Malloy
Democratic
Thomas Foley
Republican
Various candidates
Independent
Total votes castRepresentative
# %# %# %
1st 122,09754.33%100,03144.51%2,6101.16%224,738 John B. Larson
2nd 111,56047.96%117,78850.64%3,2461.40%232,594 Joe Courtney
3rd 120,93856.17%92,10742.79%2,2441.04%215,289 Rosa DeLauro
4th 100,66749.60%100,71149.62%1,5860.78%202,964 Jim Himes
5th 99,05245.60%115,65853.26%2,4781.14%217,188 Elizabeth Esty
Totals554,31450.73%526,29548.16%12,1641.11%1,092,773

See also

References

  1. "Statistics and Data". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  2. "Jonathan Pelto Announces Candidacy for Governor". June 12, 2014.
  3. "Pelto falls 3,200 signatures short of spot on CT gubernatorial ballot". August 29, 2014.
  4. "Yes, Dan Malloy is running in 2014". Ctmirror.org. March 28, 2014. Retrieved March 30, 2014.
  5. Vigdor, Neil (March 17, 2014). "Whitnum says she's running for governor". Greenwich Time . Retrieved March 19, 2014.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Vigdor, Neil (May 18, 2014). "Foley gets GOP nod, but Boughton and McKinney to primary". Connecticut Post . Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  7. "GOP Nominates Foley For Governor; Boughton, McKinney Qualify For Primary". The Courant. May 17, 2014. Retrieved May 20, 2014.
  8. Stuart, Christine (April 24, 2014). "Visconti To Petition His Way Onto Primary Ballot". CT News Junkie. Retrieved May 25, 2014.
  9. 1 2 3 Staff Report (May 22, 2014). "Lauretti Drops Down To Lieutenant Governor Race". CT News Junkie. Retrieved May 25, 2014.
  10. 1 2 3 Pazniokas, Mark (June 6, 2014). "Visconti ends GOP campaign to run as independent". The Connecticut Mirror . Retrieved June 19, 2014.
  11. 1 2 "Lauretti fails to qualify for lieutenant governor primary". The Weston Forum. June 26, 2014. Archived from the original on September 3, 2014. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  12. 1 2 "Mark Boughton Calls Off Campaign for Governor". NBC Connecticut. June 18, 2014. Retrieved July 1, 2014.
  13. Swift, Jennifer (September 9, 2013). "Tom Foley Likely to Announce He's Exploring Run for Governor Tuesday". Connecticut Magazine. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  14. "Tom Foley to Run for Governor". NBC Connecticut . January 29, 2014. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
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  16. 1 2 Keating, Christopher (27 August 2013). "Sen. Toni Boucher of Wilton Exploring Run For Governor; Facing Better-Known Opponents in 2014 Race". Hartford Courant . Archived from the original on 28 August 2013. Retrieved 28 August 2013.
  17. David Gurliacci (March 11, 2014). "Sen. Boucher Gives up Governor Bid, to Run for Re-election". Berlin Patch. Archived from the original on March 12, 2014. Retrieved March 11, 2014.
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  31. Jennifer Swift (January 28, 2014). "Mark Boughton Taps Heather Bond Somers as Running Mate". Connecticut Mag. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  32. 1 2 Mary E. O’Leary (May 22, 2014). "Somers dumps Boughton as running mate in Republican race". New Haven Register. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  33. Neil Vigdor (May 22, 2014). "Unfriendly split for Somers, Boughton". The News-Times. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  34. Bill Cummings (May 24, 2014). "Boughton and Lauretti team up". The News-Times. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  35. Mark Pazniokas (May 17, 2014). "McKinney, Walker form ticket, then each finishes third". CT Mirror. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
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  41. Mary E. O’Leary (May 20, 2014). "Former state Rep. Jonathan Pelto explores third-party run for governor". New Haven Register . Retrieved May 28, 2014.
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  43. Schoenfield, Samantha (August 29, 2014). "Jonathan Pelto Won't Appear On Ballot For Governor". FOX CT. Retrieved September 3, 2014.
  44. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
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  46. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
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  64. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
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  66. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quinnipiac University
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Official campaign websites (Archived)