2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
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  Sam Brownback by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Sam Brownback Paul Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeff Colyer Jill Docking
Popular vote433,196401,100
Percentage49.82%46.13%
2014 Kansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Brownback:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Davis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elected Governor

Sam Brownback
Republican

The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term. [1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values. [2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report , Governing , The Rothenberg Political Report , Sabato's Crystal Ball , Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. As of 2024, this is the most recent time a Republican and/or a man was elected Governor of Kansas. This was also the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman [3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner [4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran [5]

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback		Jennifer
Winn		Undecided
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014691± 3.7%60%30%9%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014508± 4.4%55%37%8%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Brownback 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Winn 50-60% Kansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Brownback
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Winn
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 166,687 63.2
Republican Jennifer Winn96,90736.7
Total votes263,594 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Paul Davis 66,357 100
Total votes66,357 100

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Keen Umbehr, attorney [14]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr [15]

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Sam Brownback (R)
Republican politicians
Democratic politicians
Other individuals
Organizations
Paul Davis (D)
Democratic politicians
Republican politicians [23] [24]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [25] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Lean D (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [27] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [28] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Paul
Davis (D)		Keen
Umbehr (L)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014963± 3.2%45%46%4%—4%
47%48%——3%
Public Policy Polling Archived January 12, 2015, at the Library of Congress Web ArchivesOctober 30–31, 2014752± ?44%48%5%—3%
YouGov October 25–31, 20141,137± 4.8%39%38%2%1%21%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014907± 3%42%48%4%<1%5%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2014623± 4%43%46%5%—7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20141,973± 4%43%40%—1%16%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014757 LV± 3.6%44%45%5%1%6%
1,055 RV± 3%43%43%6%1%7%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014960± 3%45%52%—1%2%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 20141,124± 3%44%49%——7%
Monmouth University October 16–19, 2014429± 4.7%45%50%—2%5%
Remington Research October 9–12, 20141,091± 2.97%48%45%3%—4%
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 20141,081± 3%42%42%6%—10%
44%45%——12%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014702± 3.5%46%40%2%2%11%
CNN/ORC October 2–6, 2014687± 3.5%49%49%——2%
SurveyUSA October 2–5, 2014549± 4.3%42%47%4%—7%
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014850± 3%40%48%——12%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014636 LV± 3.9%43%44%4%1%7%
1,097 RV± 3%41%43%5%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 20142,013± 3%45%42%—0%12%
Suffolk University Archived October 2, 2014, at the Wayback Machine September 27–30, 2014500± 4.4%42%46%6%—7%
Fort Hays State University September 10–27, 2014685± 3.8%37%39%9%—16%
Remington Research September 23, 2014625± 3.91%44%46%5%—5%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014750± 4%43%47%—4%6%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014604± 4%41%45%4%—8%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 20141,328± 2.7%38%42%7%—14%
39%45%——15%
KSN/SurveyUSA September 4–7, 2014555± 4.2%40%47%5%—7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014839± 5%47%40%—2%11%
SurveyUSA August 20–23, 2014560± 4.2%40%48%5%—6%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014903± 3.3%37%39%9%—15%
Rasmussen Reports August 6–7, 2014750± 4%41%51%—3%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20141,274± 6.1%52%40%—3%5%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 20141,208± 2.9%40%48%5%—7%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 20141,068± 3.1%41%47%—5%7%
Rasmussen Reports April 16–17, 2014750± 4%47%40%—6%7%
Public Policy Polling April 1–2, 2014886± 3.1%41%45%——14%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014693± 3.7%40%42%——18%
Wilson Perkins Allen January 29, 2014 ?± ?42%31%——27%
SurveyUSA October 23–24, 2013511± 4.4%39%43%—12%6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Carl
Brewer (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%44%40%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Tom
Holland (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%38%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Mark
Parkinson (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%39%—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Joe
Reardon (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%36%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Kathleen
Sebelius (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%48%43%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sam
Brownback (R)		Chad
Taylor (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%44%34%—22%

Results

Kansas gubernatorial election, 2014 [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 433,196 49.82% −13.46%
Democratic Paul Davis 401,10046.13%+13.92%
Libertarian Keen Umbehr35,2064.05%+1.37%
Total votes869,502 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

  1. 1 2 "Brownback running for re-election". Lawrence Journal-World . June 21, 2013. Retrieved August 16, 2013.
  2. ↑ "Brownback defeats Davis in Kansas Governor's race". Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Wichita woman enters governor's race". KAKE . January 12, 2014. Archived from the original on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 31, 2014.
  4. ↑ Benchaabane, Nassim (June 2, 2014). "Wichita candidate for governor announces new running mate". The Wichita Eagle . Archived from the original on June 26, 2014. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
  5. ↑ "Wikileaks Soldier to Run for Ks Lt. Governor". The Kansas City Star . February 11, 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  6. ↑ "In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014". Midwest Democracy. February 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 6, 2013. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Hanna, John (July 31, 2013). "Ex-Kan. ag chief not thinking about gov.'s race". The Wichita Eagle . Associated Press. Archived from the original on August 6, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  8. 1 2 Kraske, Steve (June 23, 2013). "Sandy Praeger finds herself an outsider among Kansas Republicans". The Kansas City Star . Archived from the original on June 27, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 Loomis, Burdett (August 4, 2013). "Burdett Loomis: Who will take on Brownback?". The Wichita Eagle . Archived from the original on September 16, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  10. 1 2 "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  11. ↑ Carpenter, Tim (September 17, 2013). "Davis launches Democratic campaign for Kansas governor". The Topeka Capital-Journal . Archived from the original on September 17, 2013. Retrieved September 17, 2013.
  12. ↑ "Brownback and His Opponents". Morning Sun. April 16, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
  13. 1 2 3 4 John Hanna (August 8, 2013). "Paul Davis forms committee for Kansas governor's race". The Wichita Eagle . Archived from the original on August 11, 2013. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  14. ↑ Carpenter, Tim (August 29, 2013). "Alma lawyer seeks Libertarian nomination for governor". CJOnline. Retrieved October 2, 2013.
  15. ↑ Kelsey Ryan (May 27, 2014). "Kansas Man Serving as Dad's Running Mate in Governor's Race". Governing. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  16. ↑ Nonpartisan report: Davis' tax-freeze plan stalls $20M in Brownback-endorsed cuts
  17. ↑ Former congresswoman endorses Brownback
  18. ↑ "Wyandotte County Democrats endorse Gov. Brownback". KSN-TV. September 26, 2014. Retrieved October 4, 2014.
  19. ↑ "Former CEO in Wichita, Touts Brownback". Archived from the original on October 20, 2014. Retrieved October 16, 2014.
  20. ↑ NFIB endorses Brownback for second term as Governor
  21. ↑ Kansas Rifle Association Endorses Brownback
  22. ↑ "Former GOP, Dem lieutenant governors join Davis campaign". The Topeka Capital-Journal. June 30, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  23. ↑ "Republicans for Kansas Values – Biographies and Memberships". Paul Davis for Governor. July 17, 2014. Archived from the original on July 19, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  24. ↑ "Who are the 104?". The Topeka Capital-Journal. July 17, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  25. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  26. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  27. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  28. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  29. ↑ "Kansas Secretary of State 2014 General Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Retrieved December 14, 2014.
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