2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

Last updated

2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  
  Sam Brownback by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Sam Brownback Paul Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeff Colyer Jill Docking
Popular vote433,196401,100
Percentage49.82%46.13%

2014 Kansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Brownback:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Davis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elected Governor

Sam Brownback
Republican

The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term. [1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values. [2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report , Governing , The Rothenberg Political Report , Sabato's Crystal Ball , Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. As of 2024, this is the most recent time a Republican and/or a man was elected Governor of Kansas. This was also the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman [3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner [4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran [5]

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback
Jennifer
Winn
Undecided
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014691± 3.7%60%30%9%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014508± 4.4%55%37%8%

Results

Results by county:
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Brownback
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Winn
50-60% Kansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Brownback
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Winn
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 166,687 63.2
Republican Jennifer Winn96,90736.7
Total votes263,594 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Paul Davis 66,357 100
Total votes66,357 100

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Keen Umbehr, attorney [14]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr [15]

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Sam Brownback (R)
Republican politicians
Democratic politicians
Other individuals
Organizations
Paul Davis (D)
Democratic politicians
Republican politicians [23] [24]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [25] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Lean D (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [27] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [28] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Paul
Davis (D)
Keen
Umbehr (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014963± 3.2%45%46%4%4%
47%48%3%
Public Policy Polling Archived January 12, 2015, at the Library of Congress Web ArchivesOctober 30–31, 2014752± ?44%48%5%3%
YouGov October 25–31, 20141,137± 4.8%39%38%2%1%21%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014907± 3%42%48%4%<1%5%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2014623± 4%43%46%5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20141,973± 4%43%40%1%16%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014757 LV± 3.6%44%45%5%1%6%
1,055 RV± 3%43%43%6%1%7%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014960± 3%45%52%1%2%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 20141,124± 3%44%49%7%
Monmouth University October 16–19, 2014429± 4.7%45%50%2%5%
Remington Research October 9–12, 20141,091± 2.97%48%45%3%4%
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 20141,081± 3%42%42%6%10%
44%45%12%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014702± 3.5%46%40%2%2%11%
CNN/ORC October 2–6, 2014687± 3.5%49%49%2%
SurveyUSA October 2–5, 2014549± 4.3%42%47%4%7%
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014850± 3%40%48%12%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014636 LV± 3.9%43%44%4%1%7%
1,097 RV± 3%41%43%5%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 20142,013± 3%45%42%0%12%
Suffolk University Archived October 2, 2014, at the Wayback Machine September 27–30, 2014500± 4.4%42%46%6%7%
Fort Hays State University September 10–27, 2014685± 3.8%37%39%9%16%
Remington Research September 23, 2014625± 3.91%44%46%5%5%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014750± 4%43%47%4%6%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014604± 4%41%45%4%8%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 20141,328± 2.7%38%42%7%14%
39%45%15%
KSN/SurveyUSA September 4–7, 2014555± 4.2%40%47%5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014839± 5%47%40%2%11%
SurveyUSA August 20–23, 2014560± 4.2%40%48%5%6%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014903± 3.3%37%39%9%15%
Rasmussen Reports August 6–7, 2014750± 4%41%51%3%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20141,274± 6.1%52%40%3%5%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 20141,208± 2.9%40%48%5%7%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 20141,068± 3.1%41%47%5%7%
Rasmussen Reports April 16–17, 2014750± 4%47%40%6%7%
Public Policy Polling April 1–2, 2014886± 3.1%41%45%14%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014693± 3.7%40%42%18%
Wilson Perkins Allen January 29, 2014 ?± ?42%31%27%
SurveyUSA October 23–24, 2013511± 4.4%39%43%12%6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Carl
Brewer (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%44%40%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Tom
Holland (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%38%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Mark
Parkinson (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%39%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Joe
Reardon (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%36%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Kathleen
Sebelius (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%48%43%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Chad
Taylor (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%44%34%22%

Results

Kansas gubernatorial election, 2014 [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 433,196 49.82% −13.46%
Democratic Paul Davis 401,10046.13%+13.92%
Libertarian Keen Umbehr35,2064.05%+1.37%
Total votes869,502 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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Campaign websites