2008 United States presidential election in Kansas

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2008 United States presidential election in Kansas
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2004 November 4, 2008 2012  
  John McCain 2009 Official.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote60
Popular vote699,655514,765
Percentage56.48%41.55%

Kansas Presidential Election Results 2008.svg
Kansas 2008.svg

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Kansas was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 14.9% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. He won all but three counties and one congressional district in the state. Obama still performed significantly better than Kerry, and his 41.55% of the vote remains the highest for a Democrat in the 21st century, although his running mate Joe Biden nearly matched that percentage 12 years later, with a slight reduction in margin of defeat.

As of 2024, this is the last time that Crawford County voted for the Democratic candidate in a presidential election.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report [1] Likely R
Cook Political Report [2] Solid R
The Takeaway [3] Solid R
Electoral-vote.com [4] Solid R
Washington Post [5] Solid R
Politico [6] Solid R
RealClearPolitics [7] Solid R
FiveThirtyEight [5] Solid R
CQ Politics [8] Solid R
The New York Times [9] Solid R
CNN [10] Safe R
NPR [5] Solid R
MSNBC [5] Solid R
Fox News [11] Likely R
Associated Press [12] Likely R
Rasmussen Reports [13] Safe R

Polling

McCain won every pre-election poll. Since March 16, McCain won each poll with a double-digit margin and at least 47% of the vote. [14]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $1,219,074 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,548,322. [15]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $62,108. McCain and his interest groups spent $13,693. [16] Neither campaign visited the state. [17]

Analysis

Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry Kansas was Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide in 1964. Although the state did receive attention from Barack Obama, whose mother was born in Kansas, it wasn't enough to overcome the deeply planted GOP roots in the state. John McCain carried Kansas by a comfortable 15-percent margin of victory. McCain's margin of victory in Kansas, however, was less than that of George W. Bush who carried the state in 2004 with 62% of the vote over John Kerry's 36.62% showing in the state - a 10-point swing to the Democrats in 2008.

Obama only won three counties - Crawford (home to Pittsburg), Douglas (home to Lawrence), and Wyandotte (home to Kansas City). The first two were home to large college populations, while Wyandotte had a significant African-American population. He did, however, succeed in winning 41% of the state's popular vote. The other Democrats to have cracked the 40 percent barrier in the state since Johnson's 1964 landslide are Jimmy Carter in 1976, Michael Dukakis in 1988, and Joe Biden in 2020.

To highlight its status as a reliably red state, former State Treasurer Lynn Jenkins, a Republican, ousted incumbent Democratic U.S. Representative Nancy Boyda to win back Kansas's 2nd Congressional District seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Jenkins received 50.80% of the vote to Boyda's 45.97%. At the same time, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Roberts was reelected with 60.06% of the vote over former Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Slattery. Republicans also made gains in the Kansas Senate, picking up one seat.

As of the 2020 presidential election , this is the last election in which Crawford County voted for the Democratic candidate. Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Atchison County since John F. Kennedy in 1960.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Kansas [18]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 699,65556.48%6
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 514,76541.55%0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 10,5270.85%0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 6,7060.54%0
Reform Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle4,1480.33%0
Write-insWrite-ins3,0370.24%0
Green Cynthia McKinney (write-in) Rosa Clemente 350.00%0
Totals1,238,873100.00%6
Voter turnout (Voting age population)60.8%

Results by county

County [19] John McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Ralph Nader
Independent
Bob Barr
Libertarian
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %
Allen 3,55260.67%2,18937.39%671.14%300.51%170.29%1,36323.28%5,855
Anderson 2,36265.14%1,17532.40%501.38%240.66%150.41%1,18732.74%3,626
Atchison 3,79152.72%3,24145.07%991.38%370.51%230.32%5507.65%7,191
Barber 1,83374.45%59824.29%140.57%90.37%80.32%1,23550.16%2,462
Barton 7,80270.56%3,02727.38%1421.28%520.47%340.31%4,77543.18%11,057
Bourbon 4,24062.53%2,39435.30%801.18%320.47%350.52%1,84627.23%6,781
Brown 2,98568.21%1,31730.10%420.96%160.37%160.37%1,66838.11%4,376
Butler 18,15565.13%9,15932.86%2530.91%1700.61%1360.49%8,99632.27%27,873
Chase 97670.52%38327.67%120.87%90.65%40.29%59342.85%1,384
Chautauqua 1,41876.57%40121.65%170.92%80.43%80.43%1,01754.92%1,852
Cherokee 5,88660.90%3,59437.19%1181.22%450.47%220.23%2,29223.71%9,665
Cheyenne 1,14876.64%32321.56%130.87%70.47%70.47%82555.08%1,498
Clark 89777.39%24521.14%60.52%20.17%90.78%65256.25%1,159
Clay 2,99873.95%1,00924.89%280.69%130.32%60.15%1,98949.06%4,054
Cloud 3,12170.12%1,23327.70%511.15%260.58%200.45%1,88842.42%4,451
Coffey 3,05472.16%1,12126.49%280.66%190.45%100.24%1,93345.67%4,232
Comanche 76578.54%19419.92%121.23%10.10%20.21%57158.62%974
Cowley 8,49261.59%5,01236.35%1621.18%720.52%490.36%3,48025.24%13,787
Crawford 7,73548.12%7,95749.50%2271.41%940.58%620.39%-222-1.38%16,075
Decatur 1,18976.81%34322.16%90.58%30.19%40.26%84654.65%1,548
Dickinson 6,08170.16%2,42227.95%750.87%600.69%290.33%3,65942.21%8,667
Doniphan 2,37266.55%1,11531.29%320.90%250.70%200.56%1,25735.26%3,564
Douglas 17,92933.42%34,39864.13%6221.16%3070.57%3850.71%-16,469-30.71%53,641
Edwards 99573.32%33324.54%151.11%120.88%20.15%66248.78%1,357
Elk 1,04272.66%36325.31%100.70%151.05%40.28%67947.35%1,434
Ellis 8,20765.94%4,01032.22%1281.03%630.51%390.31%4,19733.72%12,447
Ellsworth 2,02168.79%85128.97%391.33%180.61%90.31%1,17039.82%2,938
Finney 6,92666.89%3,27531.63%780.75%480.46%270.26%3,65135.26%10,354
Ford 5,73064.64%2,99133.74%570.64%560.63%300.34%2,73930.90%8,864
Franklin 7,07960.04%4,43337.60%1211.03%660.56%920.78%2,64622.44%11,791
Geary 4,49255.50%3,49143.13%680.84%230.28%200.25%1,00112.37%8,094
Gove 1,13680.11%26118.41%100.71%30.21%80.56%87561.70%1,418
Graham 1,06074.49%32522.84%271.90%70.49%40.28%73551.65%1,423
Grant 1,99574.97%63523.86%120.45%90.34%100.38%1,36051.11%2,661
Gray 1,64377.54%43620.58%180.85%150.71%70.33%1,20756.96%2,119
Greeley 59179.33%15120.27%20.27%10.13%00.00%44059.06%745
Greenwood 1,61971.04%62227.29%160.70%140.61%80.35%99743.75%2,279
Hamilton 84477.01%23321.26%70.64%80.73%40.36%61155.75%1,096
Harper 1,99971.49%73626.32%351.25%150.54%110.39%1,26345.17%2,796
Harvey 9,00657.40%6,31840.27%1651.05%770.49%1250.80%2,68817.13%15,691
Haskell 1,27781.34%27817.71%80.51%40.25%30.19%99963.63%1,570
Hodgeman 86578.92%21119.25%90.82%60.55%50.46%65459.67%1,096
Jackson 3,81160.95%2,30836.91%831.33%290.46%220.35%1,50324.04%6,253
Jefferson 5,22058.32%3,54239.58%1181.32%540.60%160.18%1,67818.74%8,950
Jewell 1,23177.71%31319.76%221.39%100.63%80.51%91857.95%1,584
Johnson 152,62753.70%127,09144.72%1,4690.52%1,5400.54%1,4840.52%25,5368.98%284,211
Kearny 1,15978.21%30920.85%100.67%30.20%10.07%85057.36%1,482
Kingman 2,60371.04%96326.28%401.09%350.96%230.63%1,64044.76%3,664
Kiowa 91280.35%20017.62%161.41%50.44%20.18%71262.73%1,135
Labette 5,00155.38%3,83942.51%890.99%560.62%460.51%1,16212.87%9,031
Lane 81479.26%19318.79%80.78%90.88%30.29%62160.47%1,027
Leavenworth 16,79154.89%13,25543.33%2630.86%1620.53%1200.39%3,53611.56%30,591
Lincoln 1,20475.91%34721.88%221.39%60.38%70.44%85754.03%1,586
Linn 3,08666.84%1,42530.86%571.23%290.63%200.43%1,66135.98%4,617
Logan 1,18782.43%22515.63%181.25%50.35%50.35%96266.80%1,440
Lyon 6,69851.88%5,92445.88%1691.31%680.53%520.40%7746.00%12,911
Marion 4,15968.64%1,80129.72%590.97%230.38%170.28%2,35838.92%6,059
Marshall 3,15762.69%1,78435.42%541.07%260.52%150.30%1,37327.27%5,036
McPherson 8,93766.76%4,21831.51%1070.80%700.52%540.40%4,71935.25%13,386
Meade 1,54079.75%35718.49%140.73%120.62%80.41%1,18361.26%1,931
Miami 9,38261.01%5,74237.34%1160.75%680.44%690.45%3,64023.67%15,377
Mitchell 2,44076.18%70121.89%341.06%160.50%120.37%1,73954.29%3,203
Montgomery 9,30966.94%4,33831.19%1451.04%700.50%450.32%4,97135.75%13,907
Morris 1,87566.00%90731.93%280.99%160.56%150.53%96834.07%2,841
Morton 1,15382.24%22916.33%80.57%110.78%10.07%92465.91%1,402
Nemaha 3,81771.23%1,43226.72%671.25%200.37%230.43%2,38544.51%5,359
Neosho 4,47362.19%2,56335.64%951.32%310.43%300.42%1,91026.55%7,192
Ness 1,20779.15%28918.95%211.38%50.33%30.20%91860.20%1,525
Norton 1,87877.76%49720.58%230.95%130.54%40.17%1,38157.18%2,415
Osage 4,82063.89%2,53433.59%961.27%590.78%350.46%2,28630.30%7,544
Osborne 1,49077.20%40320.88%261.35%70.36%40.21%1,08756.32%1,930
Ottawa 2,32375.28%70422.81%280.91%180.58%130.42%1,61952.47%3,086
Pawnee 1,94667.59%88230.64%391.35%60.21%60.21%1,06436.95%2,879
Phillips 2,10578.93%52519.69%291.09%50.19%30.11%1,58059.24%2,667
Pottawatomie 6,92970.15%2,59926.31%790.80%500.51%2202.22%4,33043.84%9,877
Pratt 2,82267.35%1,29430.88%400.95%240.57%100.24%1,52836.47%4,190
Rawlins 1,24780.50%27317.62%140.90%80.52%70.45%97462.88%1,549
Reno 16,11260.57%9,91637.28%2320.87%1360.51%2060.78%6,19623.29%26,602
Republic 1,97874.05%64023.96%271.01%150.56%110.41%1,33850.09%2,671
Rice 2,78069.14%1,16328.92%441.09%230.57%110.27%1,61740.22%4,021
Riley 12,11152.43%10,49545.43%1860.81%1480.64%1600.70%1,6167.00%23,100
Rooks 2,06879.91%46818.08%311.20%110.43%100.39%1,60061.83%2,588
Rush 1,22568.78%50428.30%291.63%120.67%110.62%72140.48%1,781
Russell 2,50976.19%73622.35%230.70%140.43%110.33%1,77353.84%3,293
Saline 14,16562.16%8,18635.92%1870.82%1840.81%660.29%5,97926.24%22,788
Scott 1,82383.66%32114.73%190.87%70.32%90.41%1,50268.93%2,179
Sedgwick 106,84955.15%82,33742.50%1,5890.82%1,2310.64%1,7240.89%24,51212.65%193,730
Seward 3,79171.05%1,49327.98%150.28%240.45%130.24%2,29843.07%5,336
Shawnee 41,47649.05%41,23548.77%8230.97%4180.49%5980.70%2410.28%84,550
Sheridan 1,10880.52%25418.46%110.80%20.15%10.07%85462.06%1,376
Sherman 1,95972.45%68825.44%301.11%160.59%110.41%1,27147.01%2,704
Smith 1,71977.78%44620.18%231.04%100.45%120.54%1,27357.60%2,210
Stafford 1,49572.08%54226.13%211.01%80.39%80.39%95345.95%2,074
Stanton 62875.94%18822.73%60.73%30.36%20.24%44053.21%827
Stevens 1,81585.33%28313.31%90.42%110.52%90.42%1,53272.02%2,127
Sumner 6,73765.17%3,35332.44%1241.20%740.72%490.47%3,38432.73%10,337
Thomas 2,83777.24%78721.43%290.79%90.25%110.30%2,05055.81%3,673
Trego 1,22573.31%42025.13%181.08%20.12%60.36%80548.18%1,671
Wabaunsee 2,39568.02%1,03629.42%361.02%140.40%401.14%1,35938.60%3,521
Wallace 69085.82%9611.94%81.00%50.62%50.62%59473.88%804
Washington 2,24875.44%65922.11%301.01%200.67%230.77%1,58953.33%2,980
Wichita 84082.43%16316.00%80.79%30.29%50.49%67766.43%1,019
Wilson 2,85069.16%1,17028.39%491.19%200.49%320.78%1,68040.77%4,121
Woodson 1,05565.98%51232.02%211.31%60.38%50.31%54333.96%1,599
Wyandotte 16,50628.75%39,86569.44%4090.71%1900.33%4390.76%-23,359-40.69%57,409
Totals699,65556.48%514,76541.55%10,5270.85%6,7060.54%7,2200.58%184,89014.93%1,238,873
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold Kansas County Flips 2008.svg
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

McCain carried three of the state's four congressional districts.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st 68.60%29.61% Jerry Moran
2nd 54.87%43.20% Nancy Boyda (110th Congress)
Lynn Jenkins (111th Congress)
3rd 48.01%50.59% Dennis Moore
4th 58.38%39.72% Todd Tiahrt

Electors

Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. [20] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin: [21]

  1. Tom Arpke
  2. Jeff Colyer
  3. David Kensinger
  4. Kris Kobach
  5. Mike Pompeo
  6. Helen Van Etten

See also

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  18. "Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections" . Retrieved January 13, 2013.
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  20. "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved November 1, 2008.
  21. Kansas Secretary of State - 2008 Presidential Electors