2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

Last updated

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012  

All 5 Connecticut seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election50
Seats won50
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote667,983460,286
Percentage58.69%40.44%
SwingDecrease2.svg 6.6%Increase2.svg 7.71%

2010 U.S. House elections in Connecticut.svg
2010 Congressional Election in Connecticut.svg

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the five Congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's five Congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including governor, U.S. Senate, and state legislature races.

Contents

The incumbent state Congressional delegation, elected in 2008, consisted of five Democratic representatives. All were re-elected in the 2010 elections.

Primary elections were necessary to select Republican candidates in all districts except the Third, while no Democratic candidates faced primary challenges. The GOP primaries took place on Tuesday, August 10, 2010.

Overview

The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Connecticut. In addition, the voter turnout and the number of votes not valid will be listed below.

United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2010 [1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats
Democratic 667,98358.69%5
Republican 460,286 ‡40.44%0
Green 8,8920.78%0
Socialist Action 9550.08%0
Write-in candidates 86<0.01%0
Total1,138,202100%5

† Includes 33,036 votes received on the line of the Connecticut Working Families Party, which cross-endorsed the Democratic candidate in each of the five districts.
‡ Includes 2,310 votes received by Republican Sam Caliguiri on the independent line in the Fifth District.

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut by district: [2]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 130,53857.75%84,07637.20%11,4245.05%226,038100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 140,88857.08%95,67138.76%10,2504.15%246,809100.0%Democratic hold
District 3 134,54460.97%74,10733.58%12,0105.44%220,661100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 110,74650.94%102,03046.93%4,6152.12%217,391100.0%Democratic hold
District 5 118,23152.01%102,09244.91%6,9803.07%227,303100.0%Democratic hold
Total634,94755.78%457,97640.24%45,2793.98%1,138,202100.0%

District 1

Incumbent Democratic Congressman John B. Larson was challenged by Republican Ann Brickley, Green Party candidate Kenneth J. Krayeske, and Socialist Action candidate Christopher J. Hutchinson.

Polling

October polls conducted by the website CT Capitol Report showed Larson leading Brickley by seven- and 18-point margins.

Poll sourceDates administeredJohn Larson (D)Ann Brickley (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [3] October 24–26, 201055.8%38.3%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [4] October 3–5, 201051.8%44.7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [6] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [8] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [9] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [10] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [10] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Representative in Congress (CT-1), November 2, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ann Brickley84,07637.20
Democratic John B. Larson 138,440 61.25
Green Kenneth J. Krayeske2,5641.13
Socialist Action Christopher J. Hutchinson9550.42
Write-In Daniel J. Stepanek3<0.1
Total votes226,038 100

Note: Larson also appeared on the line of the Connecticut Working Families Party and received 7,902 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 2

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Joe Courtney was challenged by Republican Janet Peckinpaugh, a former NBC Connecticut anchorwoman. [11] Also running was Green Party candidate Scott Deshefy. Courtney was also cross-endorsed by the Connecticut Working Families Party.

Polling

October polls conducted by the website CT Capitol Report had shown Courtney leading Peckinpaugh by 14- and 19-point margins.

Poll sourceDates administeredJoe Courtney (D)Janet Peckinpaugh (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [3] October 24–26, 201057.2%38%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [12] October 3–5, 201055.041.3%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [6] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [8] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [9] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [10] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [10] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Representative in Congress (CT-2), November 2, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Janet Peckinpaugh95,67138.76
Democratic Joe Courtney 147,748 59.86
Green G. Scott Deshefy3,3441.35
Write-In Daniel Reale27<0.1
Write-In Muriel P. Bianchi19<0.1
Total votes246,809 100

Note: Courtney also appeared on the line of the Connecticut Working Families Party and received 6,860 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 3

Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Rosa L. DeLauro was challenged by Connecticut Republican Party treasurer Jerry Labriola Jr. and Green Party nominee Charles Pillsbury.

Polling

October polls conducted by the website CT Capitol Report had shown DeLauro leading Labriola by the largest margins of any of the state's five congressional districts.

Poll sourceDates administered Rosa DeLauro (D)Jerry Labriola (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [13] October 24–26, 201056%37.9%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [12] October 3–5, 201058.1%36.5%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [6] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [8] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [9] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [10] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [10] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Representative in Congress (CT-3), November 2, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rosa L. DeLauro 143,565 65.06
Republican Jerry Labriola, Jr.74,10733.58
Green Charles A. Pillsbury2,9841.35
Write-In Boaz Itshaky5<0.1
Total votes220,661 100

Note: DeLauro also appeared on the line of the Connecticut Working Families Party and received 9,021 votes on it. Her Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 4

2010 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2008
2012  
  Jim Himes official portrait, 113th Congress (3x4).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Himes Dan Debicella
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote115,351102,030
Percentage53.1%46.9%

2010 CT-04 election results.svg
Municipality results
Himes:     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Debicella:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Himes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Himes
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Himes was challenged by Republican State Senator Dan Debicella.

Polling

October polling had shown this race to have essentially been a toss-up.

Poll sourceDates administeredJim Himes (D)Dan Debicella (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [14] October 24–26, 201046.1%48%
National Research [15] October 17–18, 201042%46%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [16] October 3–5, 201049.4%47.2%
National Research [15] September 27–28, 201042%42%
National Research [15] August 17–18, 201042%38%
American Action Forum [17] July 28-Aug. 1, 201046%42%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [6] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [8] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [9] Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [10] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [10] Lean DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Representative in Congress (CT-4), November 2, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Debicella102,03046.93
Democratic Jim Himes 115,351 53.06
Write-In Eugene Flanagan10<0.1
Total votes217,391 100

Note: Himes also appeared on the line of the Connecticut Working Families Party and received 4,605 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table.

District 5

2010 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2008
2012  
  Chris Murphy, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg Sam S.F. Caligiuri.jpg
Nominee Chris Murphy Sam Caligiuri
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote122,879104,402
Percentage54.1%45.9%

2010 CT-05 election results.svg
Municipality results
Murphy:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Caligiuri:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy was challenged by Republican State Senator Sam Caligiuri.

Polling

The last polling in this district before the election, as conducted by the website CT Capitol Report, had essentially indicated this race was a toss up.

Poll sourceDates administeredChris Murphy (D)Sam Caligiuri (R)
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [18] October 28–31, 201043.8%51.5%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [14] October 24–26, 201045.5%46.9%
Gotham Research Group [19] October 4–6, 201048%34%
CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group [20] October 3–5, 201044.3%49.7%
Gotham Research Group [21] September 19–21, 201050%37%
National Research [15] August 30–31, 201040%39%

† Internal poll commissioned for Murphy campaign

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [6] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [8] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [9] Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [10] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [10] TossupNovember 1, 2010

Results

Representative in Congress (CT-5), November 2, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Sam S. F. Caligiuri104,40245.93
Democratic Chris Murphy 122,879 54.06
Write-In Elmon Smith2<0.1
Write-In John Pistone20<0.1
Total votes227,303 100

Note: Murphy also appeared on the line of the Connecticut Working Families Party and received 4,648 votes on it. His Working Families and Democratic votes have been aggregated together on this table. Caligiuri also appeared on the independent line and received 2,310 votes on it. His independent and Republican votes have been aggregated together on this table.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Election Results for Representative in Congress". State of Connecticut, Secretary of the State. Archived from the original on June 19, 2011. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
  2. Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. 1 2 CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  4. CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  11. "Former News Anchor Running for Congress". NBC Connecticut. May 5, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  12. 1 2 CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  13. CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  14. 1 2 CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  15. 1 2 3 4 National Research
  16. CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  17. American Action Forum
  18. CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  19. Gotham Research Group
  20. CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group
  21. Gotham Research Group

General references

Official campaign sites

Preceded by
2008 elections
United States House elections in Connecticut
2010
Succeeded by
2012 elections