2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election
Flag of Tennessee.svg
←  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  →
Turnout41.32% Decrease2.svg [1] 8.65 pp
  Governor Bill Haslam crop.jpg Mike McWherter 2010 crop (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bill Haslam Mike McWherter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,041,545529,851
Percentage65.03%33.08%
2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Haslam:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
McWherter:      40–50%     50–60%
Governor before election

Phil Bredesen
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bill Haslam
Republican

The 2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010, to elect the next governor of Tennessee. Incumbent Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen was term-limited, and is prohibited by the Constitution of Tennessee from seeking a third consecutive term. Knoxville mayor and Republican nominee, Bill Haslam was elected with 65.0% of the vote, defeating Democratic nominee Mike McWherter.

Contents

The primary election was held on August 5, 2010, with Haslam and McWherter winning their respective parties' nominations. [2]

With this win, Haslam flipped the state into Republican control, with the state legislature also being controlled by Republicans. The last time Republicans held a government trifecta in the state was in 1869. [3] Ever since this election, Republicans have maintained their trifecta.

News organizations The Cook Political Report , [4] CQ Politics, [5] and The New York Times [6] rated the gubernatorial election as leaning Republican, while The Rothenberg Political Report rated it as "Republican favored," [7] RealClearPolitics [8] and Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] as "Likely Republican", and Rasmussen Reports as "Solid Republican." [10]

Republican primary

A recorded debate featuring 3 of the candidates, organized by campaign coordinator James Crenshaw, was held at the Scarett-Benett Center in Nashville, TN. [11]

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBill
Haslam		Ron
Ramsey		Zach
Wamp		Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 19–21, 201036%20%25%17%
WSMV TV Channel 4 July 8, 201032%11%21%36%

Results

County results Tennessee Governor R Primary 2010.svg
County results
Republican primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Haslam341,22947.3
Republican Zach Wamp210,33229.2
Republican Ron Ramsey158,96022.1
Republican Joe Kirkpatrick6,7750.9
Republican Basil Marceaux3,5080.5
Total votes720,804 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike McWherter 284,894 100.00%
Total votes284,894 100.00%

Independents

General election

Simultaneous Haslam and McWherter rallies before the Highlands Town Hall Debate 2010-gubernatorial-rallies-tn1.jpg
Simultaneous Haslam and McWherter rallies before the Highlands Town Hall Debate

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [30] Safe R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg [31] Safe R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [32] Safe R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [33] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [34] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
McWherter (D)		Bill
Haslam (R)		OtherUnde-
cided
MTSU (report)October 24, 2010635± 4%29%51%4%6%
MTSU (report)October 14, 2010635± 4%19%41.6%4%36%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 9, 2010500± 4.5%31%59%3%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 7, 2010500± 4.5%31%59%2%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 9, 2010500± 4.5%31%56%3%10%
Mason-Dixon (report)July 19–21, 2010625± 5.0%31%49%—20%
WSMV-TV Channel 4 (report)July 8, 2010603± 4.0%34%60%—6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)June 15, 2010500± 4.5%32%50%5%14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 22, 2010500± 4.5%27%45%5%23%

Results

Tennessee gubernatorial election, 2010 [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Bill Haslam 1,041,545 65.03% +35.83%
Democratic Mike McWherter 529,85133.08%-35.24%
Independent Carl Twofeathers Whitaker6,5360.41%N/A
Independent Brandon Dodds4,7280.29%N/A
Independent Bayron Binkley4,6630.29%N/A
Independent June Griffin2,5870.16%N/A
Independent Linda Kay Perry2,0570.13%N/A
Independent Howard M. Switzer1,8870.12%N/A
Independent Samuel David Duck1,7550.11%N/A
Independent Thomas Smith II1,2070.07%N/A
Independent Toni K. Hall9930.06%N/A
Independent David Gatchell8590.05%N/A
Independent Boyce T. McCall8280.05%N/A
Independent James Reesor8090.05%N/A
Independent Mike Knois6000.03%N/A
Independent Donald Ray McFolin5830.03%N/A
Independent Write-Ins (3 candidates)610.003%N/A
Majority511,69432.21%-6.64%
Turnout 1,601,567
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

By county

County [36] Bill Haslam
Republican		Mike McWherter
Democratic		Other votesTotal
votes
 %# %# %#
Anderson 72.50%13,93824.89%4,7852.61%502
Bedford 69.50%6,80828.31%2,7732.20%215
Benton 51.36%2,59047.23%2,3821.41%71
Bledsoe 66.26%2,52731.83%1,2141.92%73
Blount 79.38%23,78618.19%5,4492.42%728
Bradley 82.10%17,52216.29%3,4771.61%344
Campbell 72.75%6,30924.78%2,1492.47%214
Cannon 61.51%2,41236.09%1,4152.40%94
Carroll 56.72%4,72441.83%3,4841.44%120
Carter 76.98%10,78321.43%3,0011.60%223
Cheatham 68.92%7,01729.16%2,9691.91%195
Chester 69.39%2,76328.80%1,1471.80%72
Claiborne 74.45%4,76822.85%1,4632.71%173
Clay 59.07%1,17938.98%7781.95%39
Cocke 75.69%6,38522.08%1,8632.24%188
Coffee 69.43%9,43628.49%3,8722.09%283
Crockett 64.49%2,81834.42%1,5041.10%48
Cumberland 77.71%15,55020.29%4,0611.98%399
Davidson 48.44%75,38149.11%76,4272.44%3,810
Decatur 56.31%1,82041.80%1,3511.89%61
DeKalb 58.40%2,87039.62%1,9471.98%97
Dickson 64.09%7,81234.04%4,1501.87%228
Dyer 66.48%6,57628.79%2,8474.72%467
Fayette 68.78%8,49029.71%3,6671.51%187
Fentress 71.44%3,63027.04%1,3741.51%77
Franklin 63.35%7,79234.73%4,2721.92%236
Gibson 57.57%8,66440.88%6,1521.55%233
Giles 60.25%4,93637.52%3,0742.22%183
Grainger 74.79%3,39922.75%1,0342.46%112
Greene 76.83%12,06621.113,3152.07324
Grundy 55.07%1,69342.03%1,2921.90%89
Hamblen 79.47%10,79819.19%2,6081.33%181
Hamilton 65.59%57,09032.81%28,5561.60%1,393
Hancock 73.25%92324.21%3052.54%32
Hardeman 50.45%3,25047.25%3,0442.28%148
Hardin 69.10%4,31528.98%1,8101.92%120
Hawkins 75.29%9,32022.76%2,8171.95%241
Haywood 45.70%2,46252.96%2,8531.34%72
Henderson 69.43%4,32828.73%1,7911.85%115
Henry 55.20%5,26143.33%4,1291.46%140
Hickman 59.80%3,15637.89%2,0001.85%122
Houston 47.90%1,01649.74%1,0552.36%50
Humphreys 53.62%2,68944.51%2,2321.88%94
Jackson 53.02%1,58744.54%1,3332.45%73
Jefferson 79.54%8,89518.24%2,0402.21%248
Johnson 75.59%3,45222.62%1,0331.80%82
Knox 81.07%84,91517.06%17,8691.87%1,958
Lake 47.38%66149.32%6883.35%46
Lauderdale 54.74%3,36943.64%2,6861.63%100
Lawrence 66.54%7,72232.00%3,7141.46%169
Lewis 63.42%2,23533.97%1,1972.61%92
Lincoln 72.30%6,19624.15%2,0703.55%304
Loudon 82.07%12,55215.78%2,4132.16%330
Macon 68.21%3,34929.84%1,4651.96%96
Madison 55.74%15,76243.20%12,2141.06%300
Marion 62.47%4,57935.69%2,6161.84%135
Marshall 63.50%4,81034.59%2,6201.93%145
Maury 65.50%15,19032.82%7,6121.67%389
McMinn 76.63%8,71121.66%2,4621.71%194
McNairy 64.05%4,35734.44%2,3431.51%103'
Meigs 68.28%1,80429.52%7802.20%58
Monroe 75.02%7,79523.09%2,3991.88%196
Montgomery 61.80%19,22735.87%11,1592.33%726
Moore 68.59%1,43527.68%5793.73%78
Morgan 69.81%3,03227.33%1,1872.85%124
Obion 53.99%5,06343.21%4,0522.80%263
Overton 58.68%3,08839.24%2,0652.08%109
Perry 55.34%1,05741.83%7992.83%54
Pickett 66.20%1,42831.66%6832.13%46
Polk 64.86%2,56932.69%1,2952.45%97
Putnam 69.83%13,03128.44%5,3061.73%323
Rhea 76.06%5,45221.58%1,5472.35%169
Roane 73.79%11,52323.74%3,7072.36%385
Robertson 67.94%12,15130.28%5,4161.78%318
Rutherford 68.77%41,99929.33%17,9121.89%1,160
Scott 74.48%3,52223.41%1,1072.10%100
Sequatchie 70.74%2,49724.37%9661.89%96
Sevier 84.01%16,59213.63%2,6922.36%467
Shelby 46.74%107,22751.86%118,9771.39%3,200
Smith 58.36%3,36939.67%2,2901.98%114
Stewart 54.91%2,12043.05%7072.04%79
Sullivan 77.44%30,52921.20%8,3591.36%535
Sumner 73.17%32,54326.12%13,6722.31%1,209
Tipton 68.63%10,88029.69%4,7061.69%267
Trousdale 56.06%1,17041.93%8752.01%42
Unicoi 75.48%3,33422.66%1.0011.85%82
Union 75.15%2,86122.83%8692.02%77
Van Buren 57.29%93140.25%6542.46%40
Warren 59.61%5,74537.77%3,6402.62%253
Washington 76.95%22,40321.63%6,2961.42%415
Wayne 73.26%2,60625.13%8941.60%57
Weakley 51.76%4,89146.49%4,3931.74%165
White 64.94%4,54232.31%2,2602.75%192
Williamson 80.06%48,51818.29%11,0851.65%1,000
Wilson 72.88%25,21725.21%8,7241.91%659

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2010". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 14, 2010. Retrieved July 30, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ↑ "Tennessee - Election Results 2010". The New York Times. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  4. ↑ "2010 governors race ratings". The Cook Political Report . August 12, 2010. Archived from the original on August 15, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ↑ "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  6. ↑ "Governor Race Ratings". The New York Times . Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ↑ "Governor Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report . July 1, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. ↑ "Tennessee Governor 2010". Sabato's Crystal Ball . June 3, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. ↑ "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. August 21, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. ↑ "Gubernatorial Debate Special! Basil Marceaux Isn't the Nuttiest Candidate — June Griffin Takes the Honor | News | nashvillescene.com".
  12. ↑ "Phil Bredesen Story Page – USATODAY.com". Content.usatoday.com. August 17, 2010. Archived from the original on March 23, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  13. ↑ "Joe4Gov.com". Joe4Gov.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  14. ↑ "Basil Marceaux Campaign Coordinator James Crenshaw Responds to Skeptics | News | nashvillescene.com".
  15. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on April 19, 2011. Retrieved July 24, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  16. ↑ "News Story". The Greeneville Sun. February 28, 2009. Archived from the original on January 2, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  17. ↑ Wilson, Matt (January 5, 2009). "Rep. Wamp will run for governor of Tennessee". Chattanooga Times Free Press . Archived from the original on August 23, 2010. Retrieved January 5, 2009.
  18. ↑ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  19. ↑ DUNLAP, STANLEY (April 24, 2009). "Former governor's son makes bid for seat". The Jackson Sun.[ permanent dead link ]
  20. ↑ Sher, Andy (April 23, 2009). "Tennessee: McWherter says he's running for governor". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Archived from the original on July 23, 2011. Retrieved April 24, 2009.
  21. ↑ "August 5, 2010 Democratic Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 8, 2022.
  22. ↑ "Binkley4Gov Blog « Binkley for Governor 2010". Binkley4governor.com. February 20, 2010. Archived from the original on October 22, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  23. ↑ "Home". DoddsForGov. Archived from the original on February 7, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  24. ↑ Samuel David Duck (August 17, 2010). "Samuel David Duck, Independent for Governor of Tennessee in 2010". Duck4gov.com. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  25. ↑ Samuel David Duck (October 3, 2010). "We can't let the UN and CFR take the governorship" (PDF). duck4gov.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 9, 2011. Retrieved October 3, 2010.
  26. ↑ "index". Jamesreesor.com. September 15, 2002. Archived from the original on July 30, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  27. ↑ Ron Noonan says. "Blog Archive » Green Party has candidate on ballot for Tennessee governor – America's #1 Source for Green Party News & Views". Green Party Watch. Archived from the original on October 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  28. ↑ Verenigde Staten. "Gebruikersprofiel: Howard Switzer". Blogger. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  29. ↑ "Elect Carl Whitaker for Tennessee Governor 2010, Carl Whitaker For Governor 2010, Tennessee's Governor Race for 2010, Tennessee Governor 2010, 2010 Governor's Race, Whitaker For Governor". Carlwhitakerforgov.com. August 9, 2010. Archived from the original on August 30, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  30. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  31. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  32. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  33. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  34. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  35. ↑ "State of Tennessee - November 2, 2010 - State General" (PDF). tn.gov. Secretary of State of Tennessee. January 10, 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 11, 2011. Retrieved April 9, 2011.
  36. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.
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