2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election
Flag of Tennessee.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
Turnout41.32% Decrease2.svg [1] 8.65 pp
  Bill-haslam-highlands-debate-tn1 (cropped).jpg Mike McWherter 2010 crop (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bill Haslam Mike McWherter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,041,545529,851
Percentage65.03%33.08%

2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Tennessee Gubernatorial Election by congressional district.svg
Haslam:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
McWherter:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

Phil Bredesen
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bill Haslam
Republican

The 2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010, to elect the next governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic governor Phil Bredesen was term-limited, and is prohibited by the Constitution of Tennessee from seeking a third consecutive term. Knoxville mayor and Republican nominee, Bill Haslam was elected with 65.0% of the vote, defeating Democratic nominee Mike McWherter.

Contents

The primary election was held on August 5, 2010, with Haslam and McWherter winning their respective parties' nominations. [2]

Haslam received endorsements from former U.S. senator Howard Baker and Congressman Jimmy Duncan. [3] [4] The Tennessean wrote, "Haslam appears most likely to be able to ride Gov. Phil Bredesen's pro-business coattails, despite the different party affiliation." [4]

Haslam campaigned on his executive experience as both Knoxville's mayor and the president of a major company. His opponents attacked him as an oil executive, especially in the wake of price-gouging allegations levied against Pilot in the wake of the post-Hurricane Katrina fuel shortages, and criticized his refusal to release information related to his income while at Pilot. [5]

With this win, Haslam flipped the state into Republican control, with the state legislature also being controlled by Republicans. The last time Republicans held a government trifecta in the state was in 1869. [6] Ever since this election, Republicans have maintained their trifecta.

News organizations The Cook Political Report , [7] CQ Politics, [8] and The New York Times [9] rated the gubernatorial election as leaning Republican, while The Rothenberg Political Report rated it as "Republican favored," [10] RealClearPolitics [11] and Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] as "Likely Republican", and Rasmussen Reports as "Solid Republican." [13]

Republican primary

A recorded debate featuring 3 of the candidates, organized by campaign coordinator James Crenshaw, was held at the Scarett-Benett Center in Nashville, TN. [14]

From July 1, 2009, until January 15, 2010, Haslam collected $1.8 million, Ramsey raised $1,412,593 including a $200,000 loan, Wamp raised $1,373,078 including a $61,000 loan, and Gibbons raised $225,218.

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBill
Haslam
Ron
Ramsey
Zach
Wamp
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [21] July 19–21, 201036%20%25%17%
WSMV TV Channel 4 [22] July 8, 201032%11%21%36%

Results

County results
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Haslam
<40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
>70%
Wamp
<40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Ramsey
<40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Tie
30-40% Tennessee Governor R Primary 2010.svg
County results
  Haslam
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   >70%
  Wamp
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Ramsey
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Tie
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Haslam341,22947.34%
Republican Zach Wamp210,33229.18%
Republican Ron Ramsey158,96022.05%
Republican Joe Kirkpatrick6,7750.94%
Republican Basil Marceaux3,5080.49%
Total votes720,804 100.00%

Democratic primary

From July 1, 2009, until January 15, 2010, State Senate Minority Leader Jim Kyle collected $741,485 including a $300,000 personal loan, McWherter raised $402,868, and McMillan raised $159,981. [24]

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike McWherter 284,894 100.00%
Total votes284,894 100.00%

Independents

General election

Simultaneous Haslam and McWherter rallies before the Highlands Town Hall Debate 2010-gubernatorial-rallies-tn1.jpg
Simultaneous Haslam and McWherter rallies before the Highlands Town Hall Debate

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [36] Safe R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg [37] Safe R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [38] Safe R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [39] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [40] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
McWherter (D)
Bill
Haslam (R)
OtherUnde-
cided
MTSU (report)October 24, 2010635± 4%29%51%4%6%
MTSU (report)October 14, 2010635± 4%19%41.6%4%36%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 9, 2010500± 4.5%31%59%3%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 7, 2010500± 4.5%31%59%2%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 9, 2010500± 4.5%31%56%3%10%
Mason-Dixon (report)July 19–21, 2010625± 5.0%31%49%20%
WSMV-TV Channel 4 (report)July 8, 2010603± 4.0%34%60%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)June 15, 2010500± 4.5%32%50%5%14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 22, 2010500± 4.5%27%45%5%23%

Results

2010 Tennessee Gubernatorial County Flips.svg

See also

References

  1. "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2010". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 14, 2010. Retrieved July 30, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. "Haslam Endorsed By U.S. Rep. John J. Duncan". The Chattanoogan . May 8, 2010. Archived from the original on May 11, 2010. Retrieved May 11, 2010.
  4. 1 2 Underwood, Ryan; Michael Cass; Chas Sisk; Clay Carey (December 28, 2009). "Tennessee political movers". The Tennessean. p. 2.[ dead link ]
  5. Flory, Josh (January 19, 2011). "Building on Experience as Knoxville's Mayor, 'Optimistic and Enthusiastic' Haslam Begins Leading State". Knoxville News Sentinel. Archived from the original on January 23, 2011. Retrieved September 22, 2011.
  6. "Tennessee - Election Results 2010". The New York Times. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  7. "2010 governors race ratings". The Cook Political Report . August 12, 2010. Archived from the original on August 15, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. "Governor Race Ratings". The New York Times . Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. "Governor Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report . July 1, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  12. "Tennessee Governor 2010". Sabato's Crystal Ball . June 3, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  13. "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. August 21, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  14. "Gubernatorial Debate Special! Basil Marceaux Isn't the Nuttiest Candidate — June Griffin Takes the Honor | News | nashvillescene.com".
  15. "Phil Bredesen Story Page – USATODAY.com". Content.usatoday.com. August 17, 2010. Archived from the original on March 23, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  16. "Joe4Gov.com". Joe4Gov.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  17. "Basil Marceaux Campaign Coordinator James Crenshaw Responds to Skeptics | News | nashvillescene.com".
  18. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on April 19, 2011. Retrieved July 24, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  19. "News Story". The Greeneville Sun. February 28, 2009. Archived from the original on January 2, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  20. Wilson, Matt (January 5, 2009). "Rep. Wamp will run for governor of Tennessee". Chattanooga Times Free Press . Archived from the original on August 23, 2010. Retrieved January 5, 2009.
  21. Mason-Dixon
  22. WSMV TV Channel 4
  23. "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  24. Humphrey, Tom (February 3, 2010). "Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam gathers $5.8 million so far for governor's race". Knoxville News Sentinel. Archived from the original on February 5, 2010.
  25. DUNLAP, STANLEY (April 24, 2009). "Former governor's son makes bid for seat". The Jackson Sun.[ permanent dead link ]
  26. Sher, Andy (April 23, 2009). "Tennessee: McWherter says he's running for governor". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Archived from the original on July 23, 2011. Retrieved April 24, 2009.
  27. "August 5, 2010 Democratic Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 8, 2022.
  28. "Binkley4Gov Blog « Binkley for Governor 2010". Binkley4governor.com. February 20, 2010. Archived from the original on October 22, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  29. "Home". DoddsForGov. Archived from the original on February 7, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  30. Samuel David Duck (August 17, 2010). "Samuel David Duck, Independent for Governor of Tennessee in 2010". Duck4gov.com. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  31. Samuel David Duck (October 3, 2010). "We can't let the UN and CFR take the governorship" (PDF). duck4gov.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 9, 2011. Retrieved October 3, 2010.
  32. "index". Jamesreesor.com. September 15, 2002. Archived from the original on July 30, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  33. Ron Noonan says. "Blog Archive » Green Party has candidate on ballot for Tennessee governor – America's #1 Source for Green Party News & Views". Green Party Watch. Archived from the original on October 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  34. Verenigde Staten. "Gebruikersprofiel: Howard Switzer". Blogger. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  35. "Elect Carl Whitaker for Tennessee Governor 2010, Carl Whitaker For Governor 2010, Tennessee's Governor Race for 2010, Tennessee Governor 2010, 2010 Governor's Race, Whitaker For Governor". Carlwhitakerforgov.com. August 9, 2010. Archived from the original on August 30, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  36. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  37. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  38. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  39. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  40. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  41. "State of Tennessee - November 2, 2010 - State General" (PDF). tn.gov. Secretary of State of Tennessee. January 10, 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 11, 2011. Retrieved April 9, 2011.
  42. "2022 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.

Debates

Official campaign websites (Archived)