2010 Vermont gubernatorial election

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2010 Vermont gubernatorial election
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  Peter Shumlin 2012 (cropped).jpg Brian Dubie headshot.jpg
Nominee Peter Shumlin Brian Dubie
Party Democratic Republican
Electoral vote14528
Popular vote119,543115,212
Percentage49.48%47.69%
2010 Vermont gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Vermont gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Shumlin:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Dubie:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Governor before election

Jim Douglas
Republican

Elected Governor

Peter Shumlin
Democratic

The 2010 Vermont gubernatorial general election took place on November 2. [1] Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states where the governor serves a two-year term instead of four. [2] Primary elections took place on August 24. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Republican governor Jim Douglas was not a candidate for re-election. [3] Brian Dubie, the incumbent Lieutenant Governor, was the Republican nominee. [1] The Democratic nomination was won by Peter Shumlin, the President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate. [1]

The result was a 119,543 (49.5 percent) to 115,212 (47.7 percent) plurality for Shumlin. [1] Several minor candidates got between 600 and 2,000 votes each. [1] In accordance with the Vermont Constitution, if no candidate receives a majority, the contest is decided by the Vermont General Assembly. [4] In such races, the combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. [4] Dubie indicated on November 3 that he did not intend to ask for a recount or contest the election in the legislature, and conceded to Shumlin. [5] On January 6, 2011, with 173 of 180 members voting, 87 votes were necessary for a choice. [6] The General Assembly elected Shumlin on the first ballot, 145–28. [6]

Republican primary

Candidate

Democratic primary

Candidates

Peter Shumlin won the Democratic primary according to the uncertified tabulation of statewide votes released by the Office of the Secretary of State on August 27, 2010, by 197 votes over Doug Racine, who requested a recount. [12] The recount began September 8. [13] Racine conceded on September 10. [14]

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Shumlin--50-60% Shumlin--30-40% Racine--30-40% Markowitz--30-40% Dunne--30-40% Dunne--40-50% 2010 VT GOV Dem primary.svg
Results by county:
  Shumlin—50–60%
  Shumlin—30–40%
  Racine—30–40%
  Markowitz—30–40%
  Dunne—30–40%
  Dunne—40–50%
Democratic primary results [12] [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter Shumlin 18,276 24.8
Democratic Doug Racine18,07924.6
Democratic Deborah Markowitz17,57923.9
Democratic Matt Dunne15,32320.8
Democratic Susan Bartlett3,7595.1
Democratic Write-in5600.8
Total votes73,576 100

Progressive primary

Candidates

Results

Vermont Progressive primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Progressive Martha Abbott 257 69.6
Progressive Write-in11230.4
Total votes369 100

Independent and third-party candidates

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [18] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [19] Tilt D (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [20] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Lean D (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [22] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBrian
Dubie (R)		Peter
Shumlin (D)
Rasmussen Reports [23] October 28, 201045%50%
Vermont Public Radio [24] October 12, 201044%43%
Rasmussen Reports [25] September 13, 201046%49%
Rasmussen Reports [26] June 17, 201055%36%
Rasmussen Reports [27] March 18, 201051%33%

Results

2010 Vermont gubernatorial election [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Peter Shumlin 119,543 49.48% +27.8%
Republican Brian Dubie 115,21247.69%−5.7%
Independent Dennis Steele1,9170.79%n/a
Marijuana Cris Ericson 1,8190.75%n/a
Independent Dan Feliciano1,3410.56%n/a
Independent Emily Peyton6840.28%n/a
Liberty Union Ben Mitchell4290.18%−0.33%
Write-in 6600.27%n/a
Plurality4,331
Total votes241,605 100.00%
Democratic gain from Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

General Assembly results

Vermont's Constitution requires the Vermont General Assembly to select if no candidate obtains a majority. The combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. The legislature officially elected Peter Shumlin on January 6, 2011.

2010 gubernatorial election results, Legislative Joint Assembly
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Peter Shumlin 145 80.6% N/A
Republican Brian Dubie 2815.6%N/A
Total votes173 of 180 96.2% N/A

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Vermont Gubernatorial Election, 2010". Ballotpedia. Middleton, WI: Lucy Burns Institute. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  2. ↑ Allen, Anne Wallace (February 3, 2019). "Vermont governors are divided on question of 4-year terms". VT Digger. MOntpelier, VT.
  3. ↑ "Vermont Governor Douglas will not seek re-election". Vermont Biz.com. South Burlington, VT: Vermont Business Magazine. August 27, 2009.
  4. 1 2 Dobbs, Taylor (November 6, 2014). "Wait, The Legislature Is Choosing The Governor?". Vermont Public Radio. Colchester, VT.
  5. ↑ Galloway, Anne (November 3, 2010). "Dubie concedes; Shumlin holds victory presser at noon". VT Digger. Montpelier, VT.
  6. 1 2 Remsen, Nancy (January 7, 2011). "'Regular Guy' Phil Scott sworn in as lt. governor". The Burlington Free Press . Burlington, VT. p. 4 – via Newspapers.com.
  7. ↑ Sneyd, Ross (October 1, 2009). "Dubie will run for governor". Vermont Public Radio.
  8. ↑ "Sen. Bartlett Enters 2010 Governor's Race". WCAX News. May 4, 2009. Archived from the original on February 24, 2012. Retrieved May 4, 2009.
  9. ↑ "Dunne will run: Times Argus Online". Timesargus.com. November 3, 2009. Archived from the original on August 21, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. 1 2 Hallenbeck, Terri (February 24, 2009). "Democrats crowd race for governor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2009.[ permanent dead link ]
  11. ↑ "Sen. Shumlin Confirms He'll Run for Governor | www.rherald.com | Randolph Herald". www.rherald.com. November 19, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  12. 1 2 "Shumlin wins; Racine calls for recount". The Burlington Free Press . August 27, 2010. Retrieved August 27, 2010.[ dead link ]
  13. ↑ Judge will speed up Vt. primary recount Archived September 9, 2010, at the Wayback Machine , Bennington Banner , September 3, 2010
  14. ↑ Remsen, Nancy (September 10, 2010). "Racine concedes". The Burlington Free Press . Archived from the original on January 18, 2013. Retrieved September 11, 2010.
  15. 1 2 "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 1, 2010. Retrieved August 31, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  16. ↑ "Abbott drops out of governor's race". The Burlington Free Press. August 28, 2010. Retrieved August 29, 2010.[ dead link ]
  17. ↑ Molly Worthen (April 5, 2014). "As Vermont Goes, So Goes the Nation?". The New York Times. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
  18. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  19. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  20. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  21. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  22. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  23. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  24. ↑ Vermont Public Radio
  25. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  27. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  28. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 1, 2010. Retrieved March 13, 2015.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

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