2010 Vermont gubernatorial election

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2010 Vermont gubernatorial election
Flag of Vermont.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Peter Shumlin (cropped).jpg Brian Dubie headshot.jpg
Nominee Peter Shumlin Brian Dubie
Party Democratic Republican
Electoral vote14528
Popular vote119,543115,212
Percentage49.48%47.69%

2010 Vermont gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Vermont gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Shumlin:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Dubie:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%

Governor before election

Jim Douglas
Republican

Elected Governor

Peter Shumlin
Democratic

The 2010 Vermont gubernatorial general election took place on November 2. [1] Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states where the governor serves a two-year term instead of four. [2] Primary elections took place on August 24. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Republican governor Jim Douglas was not a candidate for re-election. [3] Brian Dubie, the incumbent Lieutenant Governor, was the Republican nominee. [1] The Democratic nomination was won by Peter Shumlin, the President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate. [1]

The result was a 119,543 (49.5 percent) to 115,212 (47.7 percent) plurality for Shumlin. [1] Several minor candidates got between 600 and 2,000 votes each. [1] In accordance with the Vermont Constitution, if no candidate receives a majority, the contest is decided by the Vermont General Assembly. [4] In such races, the combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. [4] Dubie indicated on November 3 that he did not intend to ask for a recount or contest the election in the legislature, and conceded to Shumlin. [5] On January 6, 2011, with 173 of 180 members voting, 87 votes were necessary for a choice. [6] The General Assembly elected Shumlin on the first ballot, 145-28. [6]

Republican primary

Candidate

Democratic primary

Candidates

Peter Shumlin won the Democratic primary according to the uncertified tabulation of statewide votes released by the Office of the Secretary of State on August 27, 2010, by 197 votes over Doug Racine, who requested a recount. [12] The recount began September 8. [13] Racine conceded on September 10. [14]

Results

Results by county:
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Shumlin--50-60%
Shumlin--30-40%
Racine--30-40%
Markowitz--30-40%
Dunne--30-40%
Dunne--40-50% 2010 VT GOV Dem primary.svg
Results by county:
  Shumlin—50–60%
  Shumlin—30–40%
  Racine—30–40%
  Markowitz—30–40%
  Dunne—30–40%
  Dunne—40–50%
Democratic primary results [12] [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter Shumlin 18,276 24.8
Democratic Doug Racine18,07924.6
Democratic Deborah Markowitz17,57923.9
Democratic Matt Dunne15,32320.8
Democratic Susan Bartlett3,7595.1
Democratic Write-in5600.8
Total votes73,576 100

Progressive primary

Candidates

Results

Vermont Progressive primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Progressive Martha Abbott 257 69.6
Progressive Write-in11230.4
Total votes369 100

Independent and third-party candidates

General Election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [18] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [19] Tilt D (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [20] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Lean D (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [22] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBrian
Dubie (R)
Peter
Shumlin (D)
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 201045%50%
Vermont Public Radio October 12, 201044%43%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 201046%49%
Rasmussen Reports June 17, 201055%36%
Rasmussen Reports March 18, 201051%33%

Results

2010 Vermont gubernatorial election [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Peter Shumlin 119,543 49.48% +27.8%
Republican Brian Dubie 115,21247.69%-5.7%
Independent Dennis Steele1,9170.79%n/a
Marijuana Cris Ericson 1,8190.75%n/a
Independent Dan Feliciano1,3410.56%n/a
Independent Emily Peyton6840.28%n/a
Liberty Union Ben Mitchell4290.18%-0.33%
Write-in 6600.27%n/a
Plurality4,331
Total votes241,605 100.00%
Democratic gain from Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

General Assembly Results

Vermont's Constitution requires the Vermont General Assembly to select if no candidate obtains a majority. The combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. The legislature officially elected Peter Shumlin on January 6, 2011.

2010 gubernatorial election results, Legislative Joint Assembly
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Peter Shumlin 145 80.6% N/A
Republican Brian Dubie 2815.6%N/A
Total votes173 of 180 96.2% N/A

See also

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References

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Official campaign websites (Archived)