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Turnout | 57.62% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Scott: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Siegel: 50–60% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Vermont |
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The 2022 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Vermont. Incumbent Republican governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Brenda Siegel. [1] [2]
This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. During the 2022 season, Scott enjoyed one of the highest approval ratings of any governor in the nation, and was expected to easily win reelection. As such, he carried every municipality in the state, this time with the largest margin in a Vermont gubernatorial race since Howard Dean's landslide in 1996. Scott's 47-point victory margin was the largest for a Republican candidate since 1950, even while Democratic congressman Peter Welch won the concurrent U.S. Senate election by a 40-point margin. This was the second most lopsided election of the 2022 Gubernatorial election cycle, only behind the election in Wyoming.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 20,319 | 68.56% | |
Republican | Stephen C. Bellows | 5,402 | 18.22% | |
Republican | Peter Duval | 3,627 | 12.24% | |
Write-in | 290 | 0.98% | ||
Total votes | 29,638 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive | Susan Hatch Davis | 470 | 87.36% | |
Write-in | 68 | 12.64% | ||
Total votes | 538 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brenda Siegel | 56,287 | 85.92% | |
Write-in | 9,227 | 14.08% | ||
Total votes | 65,514 | 100.0% |
Due to Vermont's completely unrestricted write-in laws, many high school students across the United States were legally able to run for governor.
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [17] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections [18] | Solid R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] | Safe R | August 18, 2022 |
Politico [20] | Solid R | November 3, 2022 |
RCP [21] | Safe R | November 1, 2022 |
Fox News [22] | Solid R | August 22, 2022 |
538 [23] | Solid R | August 26, 2022 |
Elections Daily [24] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Phil Scott (R) | Brenda Siegel (D/P) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | October 21–26, 2022 | 1,039 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 65% | 24% | 5% [lower-alpha 3] | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | September 29 – October 3 2022 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 31% | 9% [lower-alpha 4] | 13% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 3–7, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 68% | 15% | 5% | 12% |
University of New Hampshire | July 21–25, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 60% | 16% | 8% [lower-alpha 5] | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Phil Scott (R) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 25% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 202,147 | 70.91% | +0.75 | |
Democratic/Progressive | Brenda Siegel [lower-alpha 6] | 68,248 | 23.94% | ||
Independent | Kevin Hoyt | 6,022 | 2.06% | +0.80 | |
Independent | Peter Duval | 4,723 | 1.62% | N/A | |
Independent | Bernard Peters | 2,315 | 0.79% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,346 | 0.46% | +0.02 | ||
Total votes | 284,801 | 100% | |||
Rejected ballots | 255 | ||||
Blank ballots | 6,899 | ||||
Turnout | 291,955 | 57.62% | |||
Registered electors | 506,666 | ||||
Republican hold |
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