2024 United States Senate election in Vermont

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2024 United States Senate election in Vermont
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  Bernie Sanders 2023.jpg Gerald Malloy for US Senate Vermont (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bernie Sanders Gerald Malloy
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote229,429116,512
Percentage63.16%32.07%
2024 United States Senate election in Vermont by county.svg
2024 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by municipality.svg
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Malloy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     40–50%
No data/vote:     
U.S. senator before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Senator

Bernie Sanders
Independent

The 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024. [1] Incumbent Independent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a fourth term, defeating the Republican nominee, businessman Gerald Malloy.

Contents

Sanders filed paperwork to run for re-election in 2019. On January 8, 2024, he stated he would decide whether or not to seek re-election in the "near future". [2] On May 6, Sanders formally announced that he would run for re-election. [3]

Sanders won by a margin of 31.09 percentage points, making it his weakest Senate electoral performance to date despite achieving his largest vote total ever in state. Sanders lost Essex County, marking his first election since 1994 where he lost any Vermont county, and the first in his Senate career.

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Gerald Malloy, businessman and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 [12]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Gerald Malloy 20,383 96.4%
Write-in 7723.6%
Total votes21,155 100.0%

Third-party candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Solid INovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [14] Solid INovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe INovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [16] Safe IJune 14, 2024
Elections Daily [17] Safe IMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [18] Solid INovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [19] Solid IAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [20] Safe IOctober 23, 2024
538 [21] Safe IOctober 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Bernie Sanders (I)$33,701,563$31,717,985$10,289,572
Gerald Malloy (R)$150,048$60,752$90,156
Source: Federal Election Commission [22]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Bernie
Sanders (I)		Gerald
Malloy (R)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [23] October 29 – November 2, 20241,167 (LV)± 2.9%64%27%2% [b] 6%
University of New Hampshire [24] August 15–19, 2024924 (LV)± 3.2%66%25%5% [c] 4%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Bernie Sanders (incumbent) 229,429 63.16% −4.28
Republican Gerald Malloy116,51232.07%+4.60
Independent Steve Berry 7,9412.19%N/A
Libertarian Matt Hill4,5301.25%N/A
Green Mountain Peace and Justice Justin Schoville3,3390.92%+0.49
E.P.I.C.Mark Stewart Greenstein1,1040.30%N/A
Write-in 3980.11%+0.00
Total votes363,253 100.0% N/A
Independent hold

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Hill (L) and Berry (I) with 1%
  3. ↑ Schoville (GMPJP) with 2%; Hill (L) with 1%; Berry (I) with <1%; "Another candidate" with 2%

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ↑ Solender, Andrew. "Bernie Sanders to decide on Senate re-election in "near future"". Axios. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  3. ↑ Metzger, Bryan. "Bernie Sanders is running for reelection". Business Insider. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  4. 1 2 3 4 "General Election Candidates". Vermont Secretary of State. May 13, 2024.
  5. ↑ Neukam, Stephen; Solender, Andrew (May 6, 2024). "Bernie Sanders will run for re-election". Axios . Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  6. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  7. ↑ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund . Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  8. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  9. ↑ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  10. ↑ "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
  11. ↑ "2024 General Election Candidates". The Vermont Progressive Party.
  12. ↑ Bradley, Pat (December 15, 2023). "2022 Senate candidate announces 2024 Senate bid". WAMC . Retrieved January 9, 2024.
  13. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  14. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  15. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  16. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 14, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  17. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  18. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  20. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  21. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  22. ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Vermont". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  23. ↑ "University of New Hampshire".
  24. ↑ "University of New Hampshire".
  25. ↑ "2024 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). VT SOS. Retrieved December 10, 2024.

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