2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

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2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
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  Lincoln Chafee official portrait (cropped 2).jpg John robitaille.jpg
Nominee Lincoln Chafee John Robitaille
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote123,571114,911
Percentage36.10%33.57%
  Frank Caprio (cropped).JPG 3x4.svg
Nominee Frank Caprio Ken Block
Party Democratic Moderate
Popular vote78,89622,146
Percentage23.05%6.47%
2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Chafee:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%
Robitaille:     30–40%     40–50%
Caprio:     30–40%
Governor before election

Donald Carcieri
Republican

Elected Governor

Lincoln Chafee
Independent

The 2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Donald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisan Cook Political Report , The New York Times and CQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up. [1] [2] [3]

Contents

With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, Independent Lincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36.1% of the vote. [4] As of 2023, this was the last time Newport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election. Chafee had served Rhode Island in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from 1999 to 2007; he later joined the Democratic Party in 2013. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling (D)

Poll sourceDates administeredFrank CaprioPatrick C. LynchDavid CicillineElizabeth H. Roberts
Quest Research [7] February 24–25, 200930%17.4%13%12.4%

Results

Democratic Party primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Frank Caprio 73,142 100.00
Total votes73,142 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling (R)

Poll sourceDates administeredSteve LaffeyJoseph Trillo
Quest Research [7] February 24–25, 200929.3%6.9%

Results

Republican primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Robitaille 13,204 70.17
Republican Victor Moffitt5,61329.83
Total votes18,817 100.00

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when President Barack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned." [11]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [12] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [13] Lean I (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [14] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean I (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [16] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredLincoln Chafee (I)Frank Caprio (D)John Robitaille (R)Ken Block (M)
WJAR Channel 10 [17] October 23–26, 201035%25%28%2%
Rasmussen Reports [18] October 21, 201035%28%25%—
WJAR Channel 10 [19] October 4–6, 201033%37%22%2%
Rasmussen Reports [18] October 6, 201033%30%22%4%
Brown University [20] September 27–29, 201023%30%14%2%
WPRI-TV [21] September 22–26, 201030%33%19%4%
Rasmussen Reports [22] September 16, 201033%30%23%5%
Quest Research [23] September 15–17, 201024%36%13%2%
Rasmussen Reports [24] August 17, 201032%38%20%—
Brown University [25] July 27–30, 201026%28%7%3%
Rasmussen Reports [26] July 21, 201037%30%23%—
Rasmussen Reports [27] June 1, 201035%32%25%
Rasmussen Reports [28] April 21, 201033%34%21%
Rasmussen Reports [29] February 25, 201037%27%19%
Brown University [30] February 9–12, 201034%28%12%

Results

Rhode Island gubernatorial election, 2010 [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Lincoln Chafee 123,571 36.10% +36.10%
Republican John Robitaille114,91133.57%−17.44%
Democratic Frank Caprio78,89623.05%−25.94%
Moderate Ken Block22,1466.47%
Independent Joeseph Lusi1,0910.32%
Independent Todd Giroux8820.26%
Independent Ronald Algieri7930.23%
Plurality8,6602.53%+0.51%
Turnout 342,290
Independent gain from Republican Swing

By county

Lincoln Chafee
Independent		John Robitaille
Republican		Frank Caprio
Democratic		Kenneth Block
Moderate		OthersTotal
CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Bristol 7,32337.04%6,79634.37%3,95019.98%1,5477.82%1550.78%19,771
Kent 22,56335.62%23,30336.79%12,19919.26%4,7457.49%5330.85%63,343
Newport 11,31337.55%11,88539.45%5,16517.15%1,4974.97%2640.88%30,124
Providence 62,60834.90%55,25830.80%49,26627.46%10,8376.04%1,4170.79%179,386
Washington 19,73439.80%17,63735.57%8,19216.73%3,5187.10%3960.80%49,577
Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

References

  1. ↑ "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ↑ "CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map". Innovation.cq.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. ↑ "Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  4. ↑ "Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com". wpri.com. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
  5. ↑ "Facing difficult re-election, Chafee officially becomes a Democrat". NBC News. May 29, 2013. Archived from the original on March 9, 2024. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
  6. ↑ Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau (November 10, 2009). "R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal". projo.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. 1 2 Quest Research
  8. 1 2 "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on April 30, 2014. Retrieved March 7, 2014.
  9. ↑ "Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense". Moderate-ri.org. Archived from the original on March 8, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. ↑ "The Latest News". Riloveslusiforgov.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  11. ↑ Condon, Stephanie (October 25, 2010). "Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It"". CBS News.
  12. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. ↑ WJAR Channel 10
  18. 1 2 Rasmussen Reports
  19. ↑ WJAR Channel 10
  20. ↑ Brown University
  21. ↑ WPRI-TV
  22. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  23. ↑ Quest Research
  24. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  25. ↑ Brown University
  26. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  27. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  28. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  29. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  30. ↑ Brown University
  31. ↑ "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on November 18, 2010. Retrieved November 25, 2010.

Debate

Official campaign sites (Archived)

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