2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

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2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
Flag of Rhode Island.svg
←  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  →
  Lincoln Chafee official portrait (cropped 2).jpg John robitaille.jpg
Nominee Lincoln Chafee John Robitaille
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote123,571114,911
Percentage36.1%33.6%
  Frank Caprio (cropped).JPG
Nominee Frank Caprio Ken Block
Party Democratic Moderate
Popular vote78,89622,146
Percentage23.1%6.5%
2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Chafee:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%
Robitaille:     30–40%     40–50%
Caprio:     30–40%
Governor before election

Donald Carcieri
Republican

Elected Governor

Lincoln Chafee
Independent

The 2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Donald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisan Cook Political Report , The New York Times and CQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up. [1] [2] [3]

Contents

With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, Independent Lincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36.1% of the vote. [4] As of 2023, this was the last time Newport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election. Chafee had served Rhode Island in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from 1999 to 2007; he later joined the Democratic Party in 2013. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling (D)

Poll sourceDates administeredFrank CaprioPatrick C. LynchDavid CicillineElizabeth H. Roberts
Quest Research February 24–25, 200930%17.4%13%12.4%

Results

Democratic Party primary results [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Frank Caprio 73,142 100.00
Total votes73,142 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling (R)

Poll sourceDates administeredSteve LaffeyJoseph Trillo
Quest Research February 24–25, 200929.3%6.9%

Results

Republican primary results [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Robitaille 13,204 70.17
Republican Victor Moffitt5,61329.83
Total votes18,817 100.00

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when President Barack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned." [10]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [12] Lean I (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [13] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] Lean I (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [15] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredLincoln Chafee (I)Frank Caprio (D)John Robitaille (R)Ken Block (M)
WJAR Channel 10 October 23–26, 201035%25%28%2%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 201035%28%25%—
WJAR Channel 10 October 4–6, 201033%37%22%2%
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 201033%30%22%4%
Brown University September 27–29, 201023%30%14%2%
WPRI-TV September 22–26, 201030%33%19%4%
Rasmussen Reports September 16, 201033%30%23%5%
Quest Research September 15–17, 201024%36%13%2%
Rasmussen Reports August 17, 201032%38%20%—
Brown University July 27–30, 201026%28%7%3%
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 201037%30%23%—
Rasmussen Reports June 1, 201035%32%25%
Rasmussen Reports April 21, 201033%34%21%
Rasmussen Reports February 25, 201037%27%19%
Brown University February 9–12, 201034%28%12%

Results

Rhode Island gubernatorial election, 2010 [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Lincoln Chafee 123,571 36.10% +36.10%
Republican John Robitaille114,91133.57%−17.44%
Democratic Frank Caprio78,89623.05%−25.94%
Moderate Ken Block22,1466.47%
Independent Joeseph Lusi1,0910.32%
Independent Todd Giroux8820.26%
Independent Ronald Algieri7930.23%
Plurality8,6602.53%+0.51%
Turnout 342,290
Independent gain from Republican Swing

By county

Lincoln Chafee
Independent		John Robitaille
Republican		Frank Caprio
Democratic		Kenneth Block
Moderate		OthersTotal
CountyVotes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Bristol 7,32337.04%6,79634.37%3,95019.98%1,5477.82%1550.78%19,771
Kent 22,56335.62%23,30336.79%12,19919.26%4,7457.49%5330.85%63,343
Newport 11,31337.55%11,88539.45%5,16517.15%1,4974.97%2640.88%30,124
Providence 62,60834.90%55,25830.80%49,26627.46%10,8376.04%1,4170.79%179,386
Washington 19,73439.80%17,63735.57%8,19216.73%3,5187.10%3960.80%49,577

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Lincoln Chafee</span> American politician (born 1953)

Lincoln Davenport Chafee is an American politician. He was mayor of Warwick, Rhode Island, from 1993 to 1999, a United States Senator from 1999 to 2007, and the 74th Governor of Rhode Island from 2011 to 2015. He was a Democrat from 2013 to 2019; in June 2019, The Boston Globe reported that he became a Libertarian, having previously been a Republican until September 2007 and an independent and then a Democrat in the interim. He is the last non-Democrat to hold statewide and/or Congressional office in Rhode Island.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Donald Carcieri</span> American politician and corporate executive

Donald Louis Carcieri is an American politician and corporate executive who served as the 73rd Governor of Rhode Island from January 2003 to January 2011. Carcieri has worked as a manufacturing company executive, aid relief worker, bank executive, and teacher. He is the latest member of the Republican Party to have served as Governor of Rhode Island.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate election in Rhode Island</span>

The 2006 United States Senate election in Rhode Island was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Lincoln Chafee sought re-election to a second full term in office, the seat he had held since 1999 when he was appointed to fill the vacancy created by the death of his father John Chafee. He lost to Democratic nominee, former state Attorney General Sheldon Whitehouse by a 7-point margin. Lincoln Chafee later left the Republican Party in September 2007 before running successfully as an Independent for Governor of Rhode Island in 2010.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Frank T. Caprio</span> American politician (born 1966)

Frank T. Caprio is an American banker, lawyer, and politician from Rhode Island. His twenty-year political career has included being elected as the 29th General Treasurer of Rhode Island from 2007 to 2011. He was the first political candidate in the United States to use on-demand television to reach voters and one of the first candidates to launch an Internet TV channel for use in a political campaign in 2006.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Margaret E. Curran</span> American lawyer

Margaret E. "Meg" Curran served as United States Attorney for Rhode Island from 1998 to 2003.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Dan McKee</span> Governor of Rhode Island since 2021

Daniel J. McKee is an American politician and businessman serving as the 76th governor of Rhode Island since 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, he also served as Rhode Island's 69th lieutenant governor from 2015 to 2021.

Since the Great Depression, Rhode Island politics have been dominated by the Rhode Island Democratic Party, and the state is considered part of the Democrats' "Blue Wall." Democrats have won all but four presidential elections since 1928, with the exceptions being 1952, 1956, 1972, and 1984. The Rhode Island Republican Party, although virtually non-existent in the Rhode Island General Assembly, has remained competitive in gubernatorial elections, having won one as recently as 2006. Until 2014, Democrats had not won a gubernatorial election in the state since 1992, and it was not until 2018 that they won one by double digits. The Rhode Island General Assembly has continuously been under Democratic control since 1959.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">John Robitaille</span>

John Robitaille is an American politician and businessman. He was the Republican party nominee in the 2010 election for Governor of Rhode Island, which he lost to independent candidate Lincoln Chafee on November 2, 2010.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Rhode Island</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Rhode Island was on November 6, 2012, alongside the presidential election, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Allan Fung</span> American politician (born 1970)

Allan Wai-Ket Fung is an American attorney and politician who served as Mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island, from 2009 to 2021. He was the Republican nominee for Governor of Rhode Island in the 2014 and 2018 elections as well as the Republican nominee for U.S. representative for Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district in 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate election in Rhode Island</span>

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Kenneth J. Block is an American businessman, software engineer, and political reformer. He is the founder of the Moderate Party of Rhode Island, the state's third-largest political party, and ran as the Moderate candidate for Governor of Rhode Island in the 2010 election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Rhode Island elections</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Lincoln Chafee 2016 presidential campaign</span> American political campaign

The 2016 presidential campaign of Lincoln Chafee, the 74th governor of Rhode Island, and former United States senator from Rhode Island, was formally launched on June 3, 2015. His campaign for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States in the 2016 election was his first campaign as a Democrat, after having previously been elected senator as a Republican, and governor as an independent. He received zero votes either formally or by write-in, meaning he got the fewest votes of any major party candidate in the Democratic or Republican Primaries 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Rhode Island</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Rhode Island took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was reelected to a third term, defeating Republican Robert Flanders by a margin of twenty-three percent.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Rhode Island, one from each of the state's 2 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. It followed a primary election on September 13, 2022.

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References

  1. ↑ "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ↑ "CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map". Innovation.cq.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. ↑ "Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  4. ↑ "Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com". wpri.com. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
  5. ↑ "Facing difficult re-election, Chafee officially becomes a Democrat". NBC News. May 29, 2013. Archived from the original on March 9, 2024. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
  6. ↑ Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau (November 10, 2009). "R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal". projo.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. 1 2 "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on April 30, 2014. Retrieved March 7, 2014.
  8. ↑ "Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense". Moderate-ri.org. Archived from the original on March 8, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. ↑ "The Latest News". Riloveslusiforgov.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  10. ↑ Condon, Stephanie (October 25, 2010). "Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It"". CBS News.
  11. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ↑ "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on November 18, 2010. Retrieved November 25, 2010.
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