2010 Iowa gubernatorial election

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2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
  Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg Gov Chet Culver.jpg
Nominee Terry Branstad Chet Culver
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Kim Reynolds Patty Judge
Popular vote592,494 [1] 484,798 [1]
Percentage52.81%43.21%

2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Branstad:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Culver:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

Chet Culver
Democratic

Elected Governor

Terry Branstad
Republican

The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ballot. Along with the election in Ohio, this was one of the two gubernatorial elections where the incumbent lost reelection.

Contents

The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.

Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962. [1] [2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chet Culver (incumbent) 56,293 95.69
Democratic Write-ins2,5344.31
Total votes58,827 100

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office: [4]

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTerry
Branstad
Bob
Vander Plaats
Rod
Roberts
Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today June 1–3, 201057%29%8%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 201046%31%13%

Results

Results by county:
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Branstad
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Plaats
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Roberts
70-80% Iowa gubernatorial Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
  Branstad
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Plaats
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Roberts
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Terry Branstad 114,450 50.30
Republican Bob Vander Plaats93,05840.90
Republican Rod Roberts19,8968.74
Republican Write-ins1210.05
Total votes227,525 100

General election

Branstad and Culver at a debate Debate (5103504072).jpg
Branstad and Culver at a debate

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Likely R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg [18] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [19] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [21] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredChet
Culver (D)
Terry
Branstad (R)
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 201037%55%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 201036%52%
Rasmussen Reports June 14, 201031%57%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 201037%52%
KCCI-TV May 3–5, 201041%48%
Rasmussen Reports April 29, 201038%53%
Rasmussen Reports March 17, 201036%52%
Rasmussen Reports February 18, 201037%53%
KCCI-TV February 15–17, 201038%54%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today January 31 – February 3, 201033%53%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today November 8–11, 200933%57%
Daily Kos/Research 2000 October 12–14, 200943%48%
Rasmussen Reports September 22, 200934%54%
Iowa First Foundation July 23–July 26, 200934%53%
Concordia Group LLC July 200937%53%

Results

2010 Iowa gubernatorial election [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Terry Branstad 592,494 52.81% +8.43%
Democratic Chet Culver (incumbent)484,79843.21%−10.81%
Iowa Party [15] Jonathan Narcisse20,8591.86%n/a
Libertarian Eric Cooper14,3981.28%+0.74%
Independent [11] Gregory Hughes3,8840.35%n/a
Socialist Workers David Rosenfeld [16] 2,7570.25%+0.06%
Write-in 2,8230.25%n/a
Total votes1,122,013 100.00% n/a
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Terry Branstad</span> American politician & diplomat (born 1946)

Terry Edward Branstad is an American politician and former diplomat. A member of the Republican Party, he served three terms in the Iowa House of Representatives from 1973 to 1979 before serving as governor of Iowa from 1983 to 1999 and again from 2011 to 2017. He is the longest-serving governor in United States history. Branstad served as the United States Ambassador to China from 2017 to 2020 under President Donald Trump.

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Chester John Culver is an American politician who served from 2007 through 2011 as the 41st governor of Iowa. A member of the Democratic Party, he had previously served as the 29th Secretary of State of Iowa from 1999 to 2007. He was elected governor in the 2006 Iowa gubernatorial election and ran unsuccessfully for reelection in 2010, losing to former governor Terry Branstad.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Jerry Behn</span> American politician (born 1954)

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References

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Debates
Official campaign websites (Archived)