2010 Iowa gubernatorial election

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2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
  Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg Gov Chet Culver.jpg
Nominee Terry Branstad Chet Culver
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Kim Reynolds Patty Judge
Popular vote592,494484,798
Percentage52.81%43.21%

2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Iowa gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
Branstad:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Culver:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

Chet Culver
Democratic

Elected Governor

Terry Branstad
Republican

The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ballot. Along with the election in Ohio, this was one of the two gubernatorial elections where the incumbent lost reelection.

Contents

The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.

Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962. [1] [2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chet Culver (incumbent) 56,293 95.69
Democratic Write-ins2,5344.31
Total votes58,827 100

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office: [4]

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTerry
Branstad
Bob
Vander Plaats
Rod
Roberts
Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines [11] June 1–3, 201057%29%8%
Public Policy Polling [12] May 25–27, 201046%31%13%

Results

Results by county:
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Branstad
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Plaats
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Roberts
70-80% Iowa gubernatorial Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
  Branstad
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Plaats
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Roberts
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Terry Branstad 114,450 50.30
Republican Bob Vander Plaats93,05840.90
Republican Rod Roberts19,8968.74
Republican Write-ins1210.05
Total votes227,525 100

General election

Branstad and Culver at a debate Debate (5103504072).jpg
Branstad and Culver at a debate

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [19] Likely R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg [20] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [21] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [23] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredChet
Culver (D)
Terry
Branstad (R)
Rasmussen Reports [24] September 23, 201037%55%
Rasmussen Reports [25] August 5, 201036%52%
Rasmussen Reports [26] June 14, 201031%57%
Public Policy Polling [27] May 25–27, 201037%52%
KCCI-TV [28] May 3–5, 201041%48%
Rasmussen Reports [29] April 29, 201038%53%
Rasmussen Reports [30] March 17, 201036%52%
Rasmussen Reports [31] February 18, 201037%53%
KCCI-TV [32] February 15–17, 201038%54%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines [33] January 31 – February 3, 201033%53%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines [34] November 8–11, 200933%57%
Daily Kos/Research 2000 [35] October 12–14, 200943%48%
Rasmussen Reports [36] September 22, 200934%54%
Iowa First Foundation [37] July 23–July 26, 200934%53%
Concordia Group LLC [38] July 200937%53%

Results

2010 Iowa gubernatorial election [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Terry Branstad 592,494 52.81% +8.43%
Democratic Chet Culver (incumbent)484,79843.21%−10.81%
Iowa Party [17] Jonathan Narcisse20,8591.86%n/a
Libertarian Eric Cooper14,3981.28%+0.74%
Independent [13] Gregory Hughes3,8840.35%n/a
Socialist Workers David Rosenfeld [18] 2,7570.25%+0.06%
Write-in 2,8230.25%n/a
Total votes1,122,013 100.00% n/a
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 "2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results" (PDF). SOS.Iowa.gov. Retrieved November 24, 2019.
  2. Boshart, Rod. "Terry Branstad 'ready to lead the charge' as Iowa's governor". The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier .
  3. 1 2 "Iowa Governor Primary Results". Iowa Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on September 29, 2011. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
  4. "Candidate Listing by Office, June 8, 2010 Primary Election" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 1, 2010.
  5. "Gov. Terry Branstad announces 2010 run for governor | Branstad – Reynolds 2010". Governorbranstad2010.com. January 19, 2010. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  6. 1 2 "Roberts claims GOP's fresh face in governor bid". Des Moines Register.[ permanent dead link ]
  7. "Paul McKinley for Iowa". Mckinleyforiowa.com. Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. "GOP's Fong withdraws, will stay active". Christian Fong. December 2, 2009. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. "Politically Speaking". Sioux City Journal. February 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. "Behn out of GOP governor race, backs Branstad | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com. December 22, 2009. Archived from the original on July 9, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today
  12. Public Policy Polling
  13. 1 2 "Polls open Tuesday for 2010 midterm general election - Mount Vernon - Lisbon Sun - www.mtvernonlisbonsun.com". www.mvlsun.com.
  14. Henderson, O. Kay (April 26, 2010). "Libertarians nominate statewide candidates for '10". RadioIowa. Retrieved July 16, 2010.
  15. Clayworth, Jason (July 1, 2010). "Narcisse: I'm an independent candidate for gov". Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 16, 2010.
  16. Deeth, John (August 26, 2010). "What's an Iowa Party?" . Retrieved April 28, 2014.
  17. 1 2 "Fifth candidate files for Iowa governor's race | Elections | qctimes.com". qctimes.com.
  18. 1 2 Boshart, Rod. "Socialist party seeks state office". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier.
  19. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  20. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  21. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  22. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  23. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  24. Rasmussen Reports
  25. Rasmussen Reports
  26. Rasmussen Reports
  27. Public Policy Polling
  28. KCCI-TV
  29. Rasmussen Reports
  30. Rasmussen Reports
  31. Rasmussen Reports
  32. KCCI-TV
  33. Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today
  34. Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today
  35. Daily Kos/Research 2000
  36. Rasmussen Reports
  37. Iowa First Foundation
  38. Concordia Group LLC

Debates

Official campaign websites (Archived)