2020 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

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Turnout	67.6%
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence Electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 307,486 199,922 Percentage 59.39% 38.61%
County Results Municipality Results Precinct Results Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70% No Votes
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Rhode Island was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. ^[1] Rhode Island voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Rhode Island has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[2]

Rhode Island became one of three states where Biden won every county during the election, the other two being Massachusetts and Hawaii.

Rhode Island voted 17% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 23, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. ^[3]

Republican primary

Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 19 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention. ^[4]

Democratic primary

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Rhode Island Democratic presidential primary § Results.[ edit ]

2020 Rhode Island Democratic presidential primary ^[5]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [6]
Joe Biden	79,728	76.67	25
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)	15,525	14.93	1
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	4,479	4.31
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	802	0.77
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)	651	0.63
Write-in votes	936	0.90
Uncommitted	1,861	1.79
Total	103,982	100%	26

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [7]	Safe D	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections [8]	Safe D	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9]	Safe D	July 14, 2020
Politico [10]	Safe D	September 8, 2020
RCP [11]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
Niskanen [12]	Likely D	July 26, 2020
CNN [13]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
The Economist [14]	Safe D	September 2, 2020
CBS News [15]	Likely D	August 16, 2020
270towin [16]	Safe D	August 2, 2020
ABC News [17]	Safe D	July 31, 2020
NPR [18]	Likely D	August 3, 2020
NBC News [19]	Likely D	August 6, 2020
538 [20]	Safe D	September 9, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	62.9%	32.4%	4.7%	Biden +30.6

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	566 (LV)	± 5.5%	36% [lower-alpha 3]	62%	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	910 (LV)	–	32%	67%	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	351 (LV)	–	37%	62%	-	–	0%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	208 (LV)	–	41%	57%	-	–	3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	253 (LV)	–	39%	60%	-	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	176 (LV)	–	40%	60%	-	–	1%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Rhode Island ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	307,486	59.38%	+4.97%
	Republican	Donald Trump (incumbent) Mike Pence (incumbent)	199,922	38.61%	-0.29%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	5,053	0.98%	-2.20%
	Write-in	TBA	2,759	0.53%	-1.50%
	Alliance	Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson	923	0.18%	+0.04%
	Socialism and Liberation	Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman	847	0.16%	N/A
	American Solidarity	Brian Carroll Amar Patel	767	0.15%	N/A
Total votes			517,757	100.00%

Results by county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Bristol	18,050	63.52%	9,745	34.30%	620	2.18%	8,305	29.22%	28,415
Kent	49,113	52.76%	42,001	45.12%	1,979	2.12%	7,112	7.64%	93,093
Newport	29,486	63.89%	15,722	34.07%	940	2.04%	13,764	29.82%	46,148
Providence	165,012	60.52%	102,551	37.61%	5,104	1.87%	62,461	22.91%	272,667
Washington	44,549	58.57%	29,818	39.20%	1,693	2.23%	14,731	19.37%	76,060
Totals	307,486	59.39%	199,922	38.61%	10,349	2.00%	107,564	20.78%	517,757

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Kent (largest municipality: Warwick)

Municipalities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Lincoln (Providence County)
• Richmond (Washington County)
• West Warwick (Kent County)

Results by municipality

Municipality	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Jo Jorgensen Libertarian		Other		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Barrington	7,713	71.2%	2,889	26.7%	113	1.0%	117	1.0%	4,824	44.5%	10,832
Bristol	6,813	58.4%	4,595	39.4%	139	1.2%	110	0.9%	2,218	19.0%	11,657
Burrillville	3,434	40.2%	4,906	57.5%	126	1.5%	72	0.9%	-1,472	-17.3%	8,538
Central Falls	3,073	71.9%	1,113	26.1%	25	0.6%	61	1.4%	1,960	45.8%	4,272
Charlestown	2,909	55.7%	2,198	42.1%	64	1.2%	49	1.0%	711	13.6%	5,220
Coventry	9,123	45.6%	10,461	52.3%	232	1.2%	188	0.9%	-1,338	-6.7%	20,004
Cranston	23,039	56.1%	17,313	42.2%	311	0.8%	390	1.0%	5,726	13.9%	41,053
Cumberland	10,869	55.2%	8,418	42.8%	206	1.0%	185	0.9%	2,451	12.4%	19,678
East Greenwich	5,218	60.3%	3,227	37.3%	104	1.2%	98	1.1%	1,991	23.0%	8,647
East Providence	14,735	63.6%	7,930	34.3%	204	0.9%	284	1.3%	6,805	29.3%	23,153
Exeter	1,974	48.4%	2,009	49.2%	55	1.3%	44	1.1%	-35	-0.8%	4,082
Foster	1,224	42.7%	1,582	55.2%	34	1.2%	25	0.8%	-358	-12.5%	2,865
Glocester	2,638	43.2%	3,351	54.8%	62	1.0%	62	1.0%	-713	-11.6%	6,113
Hopkinton	2,298	47.4%	2,423	50.0%	74	1.5%	51	1.0%	-125	-2.6%	4,846
Jamestown	2,795	68.4%	1,212	29.7%	44	1.1%	33	0.8%	1,583	38.7%	4,084
Johnston	6,838	44.8%	8,222	53.9%	88	0.6%	115	0.8%	-1,384	-9.1%	15,263
Lincoln	6,633	52.3%	5,779	45.6%	130	1.0%	129	1.0%	854	6.7%	12,671
Little Compton	1,524	60.1%	951	37.5%	28	1.1%	32	1.2%	573	22.6%	2,535
Middletown	5,529	64.2%	2,885	33.5%	115	1.3%	79	0.9%	2,644	30.7%	8,608
Narragansett	5,333	59.1%	3,551	39.3%	56	0.6%	90	1.1%	1,782	19.8%	9,030
New Shoreham	748	78.3%	195	20.4%	4	0.4%	8	0.8%	553	57.9%	955
Newport	7,866	73.4%	2,662	24.9%	85	0.8%	99	0.9%	5,204	48.5%	10,712
North Kingstown	10,534	59.9%	6,633	37.7%	203	1.2%	207	1.2%	3,901	22.2%	17,577
North Providence	9,438	56.0%	7,129	42.3%	145	0.9%	139	0.8%	2,309	13.7%	16,851
North Smithfield	3,507	48.7%	3,550	49.3%	85	1.2%	64	0.9%	-43	-0.6%	7,206
Pawtucket	18,053	70.0%	7,257	28.1%	188	0.7%	290	1.2%	10,796	41.9%	25,788
Portsmouth	6,649	60.9%	3,995	36.6%	148	1.4%	125	1.1%	2,654	24.3%	10,917
Providence	45,941	80.4%	10,186	17.8%	346	0.6%	694	1.2%	35,755	62.6%	57,167
Richmond	2,346	48.8%	2,343	48.7%	66	1.4%	53	1.1%	3	0.1%	4,808
Scituate	2,735	40.9%	3,806	57.0%	69	1.0%	73	1.1%	-1,071	-16.1%	6,683
Smithfield	5,566	48.3%	5,744	49.8%	118	1.0%	100	0.9%	-178	-1.5%	11,528
South Kingstown	11,254	67.4%	5,003	30.0%	212	1.3%	219	1.3%	6,251	37.4%	16,688
Tiverton	5,123	55.1%	4,017	43.2%	84	0.9%	68	0.7%	1,106	11.9%	9,292
Warren	3,524	59.5%	2,261	38.2%	74	1.2%	67	1.1%	1,263	21.3%	5,926
Warwick	25,845	55.7%	19,578	42.2%	545	1.2%	473	1.0%	6,267	13.5%	46,441
West Greenwich	1,693	42.3%	2,242	56.0%	41	1.0%	24	0.6%	-549	-13.7%	4,000
West Warwick	7,234	51.7%	6,493	46.4%	143	1.0%	131	0.9%	741	5.3%	14,001
Westerly	7,153	55.6%	5,463	42.5%	127	1.0%	111	0.8%	1,690	13.1%	12,854
Woonsocket	7,289	52.7%	6,265	45.3%	154	1.1%	130	0.9%	1,024	7.4%	13,838
Totals	307,486	59.4%	199,922	38.6%	5,053	1.0%	5,296	1.0%	107,564	20.8%	517,757

By congressional district

Biden won both congressional districts.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	34.6%	63.9%	David Cicilline
2nd	42.5%	56%	James Langevin

Analysis

Biden flipped the reliably Democratic Kent County back into the Democratic column, after Trump narrowly flipped it in 2016. Of the fourteen towns that voted for Trump in 2016, Biden flipped back three: Lincoln, Richmond, and West Warwick. Overall, Biden won Rhode Island by 20.8 points, improving on Clinton's 15.5 point win. Rhode Island is the only state in which neither Biden nor Trump broke the all-time Democrat or all-time Republican record for most votes earned in a general election (Lyndon B. Johnson and Dwight D. Eisenhower).

Biden's best towns were Rhode Island's wealthiest (such as Barrington, Jamestown, and East Greenwich) and poorest (such as heavily Latino Central Falls). Trump performed best with middle-income voters. This strength allowed Trump to hold formerly Democratic towns like Johnston, which is largely Catholic and middle-class. ^[22] According to a post-election voter survey conducted by the Associated Press, Trump carried Catholic voters, 51% to 49%. ^[23]

Biden became the first Democrat since 1912 to win without the towns of Burrillville and North Smithfield, the first since 1916 to win without Johnston and Smithfield, and the first since 1936 to win without Coventry.^{[ citation needed ]}

See also

• 2020 Rhode Island elections
• United States presidential elections in Rhode Island
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

References

1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. "Rhode Island is the latest state to postpone its 2020 primary as coronavirus outbreak spreads". CNBC. March 23, 2020.
4. "Rhode Island Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
5. "2020 Presidential Preference Primary". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections. July 3, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
6. "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Rhode Island Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
7. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
8. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
10. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
11. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
12. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
13. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
14. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
15. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
16. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
17. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
18. Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
19. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
20. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
21. "2020 General Election Statewide summary". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
22. Patinkin, Mark. "Patinkin: Why Democratic Johnston voted for Trump, and probably will again". The Providence Journal. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
23. "Rhode Island Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 2, 2022.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Rhode Island", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Rhode Island: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Rhode Island". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Rhode Island at Ballotpedia