2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  

All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election41
Seats won50
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote1,044,175475,731
Percentage67.31%30.66%
SwingIncrease2.svg 5.34%Decrease2.svg 5.69%

2020 U.S. House elections in Oklahoma.svg
2020 United States House of Representatives Elections in Oklahoma by county.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Overview

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 213,70063.70%109,64132.68%12,1303.62%335,471100.0%Republican hold
District 2 216,51175.04%63,47222.00%8,5442.96%288,527100.0%Republican hold
District 3 242,67778.49%66,50121.51%00.00%309,178100.0%Republican hold
District 4 213,09667.79%90,45928.78%10,8033.44%314,358100.0%Republican hold
District 5 158,19152.06%145,65847.94%00.00%303,849100.0%Republican gain
Total1,044,17567.31%475,73130.66%31,4772.03%1,551,383100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
67.31%
Democratic
30.66%
Other
2.03%
House seats
Republican
100.00%

District 1

2020 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018
2022  
  Rep. Kevin Hern official photo, 116th congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Kevin Hern Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote213,700109,641
Percentage63.7%32.7%

2020 United States House of Representatives election in OK-01.svg
Precinct and county-level results
Hern:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
Caesar:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Kevin Hern
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kevin Hern
Republican

The 1st district was located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and included Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent Republican, Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018. [1] He won reelection with 63.7% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kojo Asamoa-Caesar, entrepreneur [2]
Eliminated in primary
  • Mark A. Keeter, businessman [3]

Endorsements

Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Organizations
  • #VoteProChoice [4]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kojo Asamoa-Caesar 34,868 63.6
Democratic Mark A. Keeter19,92436.4
Total votes54,792 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Evelyn L. Rogers, perennial candidate [3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [7] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [9] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [10] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [11] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [12] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D)Kevin Hern (R)Evelyn Rogers (I)Undecided
SoonerPoll October 15–20, 20201,492 (LV)± 1.32%29.83%58.8%5.64%5.8%

Results

Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2020 [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kevin Hern (incumbent) 213,700 63.7
Democratic Kojo Asamoa-Caesar109,64132.7
Independent Evelyn L. Rogers12,1303.6
Total votes335,471 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018
2022  
  Markwayne Mullin official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Markwayne Mullin Danyell Lanier
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote216,51163,472
Percentage75.0%22.0%

2020 United States House of Representatives election in OK-02.svg
Precinct and county-level results
Mullin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
Lanier:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Markwayne Mullin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Markwayne Mullin
Republican

The 2nd district encompassed eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent was Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018. [1] He was reelected with 75% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Markwayne Mullin

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) 53,149 79.9
Republican Joseph Silk 8,44512.7
Republican Rhonda Hopkins4,9177.4
Total votes66,511 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Danyell Lanier, project analyst [3]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Richie Castaldo, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2018 [3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [7] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [9] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [10] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [11] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [12] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) 216,511 75.0
Democratic Danyell Lanier63,47222.0
Libertarian Richie Castaldo8,5443.0
Total votes288,527 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2020 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018
2022  
  Frank Lucas (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Frank Lucas Zoe Midyett
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote242,67766,501
Percentage78.5%21.5%

2020 United States House of Representatives election in OK-03.svg
Precinct and county-level results
Lucas:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
Midyett:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Lucas
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Lucas
Republican

The 3rd district encompassed Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Pawnee, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018. [1] He was reelected with 78.5% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrew

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Zoe Midyett, rancher [17]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [7] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [9] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [10] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [11] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [12] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Frank D. Lucas (incumbent) 242,677 78.5
Democratic Zoe Midyett66,50121.5
Total votes309,178 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2020 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018
2022  
  Rep-Tom-Cole-117thCong (cropped).jpeg 3x4.svg
Nominee Tom Cole Mary Brannon
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote213,09690,459
Percentage67.8%28.8%

2020 United States House of Representatives election in OK-04.svg
Precinct and county-level results
Cole:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
Brannon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Cole
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Cole
Republican

The 4th district was located in South Central Oklahoma and took in parts of the Oklahoma City suburbs, including in Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent was Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018. [1] He was reelected with 67.8% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional [3]
  • Trevor Sipes, businessman [3]
  • James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018 [3]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 55,699 76.3
Republican James Taylor11,08115.2
Republican Trevor Sipes4,3576.0
Republican Gilbert O. Sanders1,8332.5
Total votes72,970 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mary Brannon, retired educator and nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2018 [3]
Eliminated in primary
  • John D. Argo, metalworker [3]
  • David R. Slemmons, retired librarian [3]

Withdrew

  • Wyndi Brown, activist and entrepreneur [18]
  • Wesley Forbes, energy program assistant [19]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mary Brannon 32,199 63.9
Democratic David R. Slemmons9,79319.4
Democratic John D. Argo8,43616.7
Total votes50,428 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [7] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [9] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [10] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [11] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [12] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2020 [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 213,096 67.8
Democratic Mary Brannon90,45928.8
Libertarian Bob White10,8033.4
Total votes314,358 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2020 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018
2022  
  Stephanie Bice 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg Kendra Horn official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Stephanie Bice Kendra Horn
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote158,191145,658
Percentage52.1%47.9%

2020 United States House of Representatives election in OK-05.svg
Precinct and county-level results
Bice:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Horn:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Kendra Horn
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Stephanie Bice
Republican

The 5th district was based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018. [1] She lost reelection to Republican challenger Stephanie Bice, who received 52.1% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Tom Guild, perennial candidate [20]

Endorsements

Tom Guild
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kendra Horn (incumbent) 60,168 85.7
Democratic Tom Guild10,05014.3
Total votes70,218 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
  • Dan Belcher, entrepreneur [37]
  • David Greene, former horse stall cleaner [38]
  • Merideth VanSant, businesswoman [39]
Declined

Endorsements

Stephanie Bice
Organizations
Terry Neese (eliminated)
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
  • RightNOW Women PAC [53]
David Hill (eliminated)
Individuals
Organizations
  • Conservative Leadership PAC [54]
  • FRC Action [56]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Terry Neese 24,828 36.5
Republican Stephanie Bice 17,292 25.4
Republican David Hill12,92219.0
Republican Janet Barresi 6,79910.0
Republican Jake A. Merrick 1,7362.6
Republican Michael Ballard1,6912.5
Republican Miles V. Rahimi9671.4
Republican Shelli Landon9121.3
Republican Charles Tuffy Pringle9081.3
Total votes68,055 100.0

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results [57]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Stephanie Bice 27,402 52.9
Republican Terry Neese 24,36947.1
Total votes51,771 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [58] TossupSeptember 11, 2020
Inside Elections [59] TossupSeptember 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [60] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [61] TossupSeptember 9, 2020
Daily Kos [62] TossupApril 29, 2020
RCP [63] TossupSeptember 14, 2020
Niskanen [12] TossupJune 7, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kendra
Horn (D)
Stephanie
Bice (R)
Other/
Undecided
Change Research October 29 – November 1, 2020607 (LV)± 4.4%47%47%7% [lower-alpha 2]
Amber Integrated October 22–25, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%44%49%8%
Sooner Poll October 15–20, 2020943 (LV)49%47%4% [lower-alpha 3]
Cole, Snodgrass & Associates/SoonerPoll September 25–30, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%45%49%6% [lower-alpha 4]
SoonerPoll September 2–10, 2020318 (LV)±  5.49%44%45%11%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived September 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 31 – September 3, 2020400 (LV)±  4.9%52%44%4% [lower-alpha 3]
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D) [upper-alpha 2] August 5–9, 2020500 (LV)±  4.4%51%46%11%
Hypothetical polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

with Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin of
error
Kendra
Horn (D)
Generic RepublicanUndecided
Amber Integrated June 1–4, 202095 (LV)42%41%18%
Amber Integrated March 5–8, 202089 (LV)40%44%16%
Amber Integrated (R) December 18–20, 2019500 (RV)± 4.4%40%45%15%
with Generic Opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin of
error
Kendra
Horn (D)
Generic OpponentOtherUndecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3] December 3–4, 2019300 (LV)± 5.66%37%49% [lower-alpha 5] 2% [lower-alpha 6] 12% [lower-alpha 7]
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin of
error
Generic DemocratGeneric RepublicanUndecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [upper-alpha 3] December 3–4, 2019300 (LV)± 5.66%42%49%9% [lower-alpha 8]

Results

Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2020 [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Stephanie Bice 158,191 52.1
Democratic Kendra Horn (incumbent)145,65847.9
Total votes303,849 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Did not vote, "Don't recall," and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  3. 1 2 Undecided with 4%
  4. Undecided with 6%
  5. "It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 49% as opposed to "Horn has performed her job as Congresswoman well enough to deserve re-election"
  6. "Refused" with 2%
  7. "Unsure/depends" with 12%
  8. "Undecided" with 7%; "don't know/refused" with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Horn's campaign.
  2. Poll conducted for the DCCC.
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Parscale, the manager of Trump's 2020 presidential campaign

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Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates