2020 Utah gubernatorial election

Last updated

2020 Utah gubernatorial election
Flag of Utah (2011-2024).svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout69.17% Increase2.svg
  DCM Reception for the Governor of Utah. September 12, 2022 47 (crop) (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Spencer Cox Christopher Peterson
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Deidre Henderson Karina Brown
Popular vote918,754442,754
Percentage62.98%30.35%

2020 Utah gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2020 Utah gubernatorial election results by congressional district.svg
UT Governor 2020.svg
Cox:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Peterson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

Governor before election

Gary Herbert
Republican

Elected Governor

Spencer Cox
Republican

The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah. Incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert declined running for re-election to a third full term.

Contents

Background

Although incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert was eligible to run for re-election to a third full term, he initially announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he would not run again, but indicated in January 2019 that he was open to the possibility of running again before ultimately deciding to retire and endorse his lieutenant governor, Spencer Cox. [1] [2] [3] Utah had not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office in January 1985. This is the second longest active streak of one-party leadership, trailing only South Dakota, which had not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979. [4] [5]

The primaries took place on June 30, 2020. The filing deadline was on June 19, 2020.

Description

The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The winner of the election was the first non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate to be elected since Jon Huntsman Jr. in 2004, who ran in this election before he was eliminated in the primaries.

Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox won the general election by defeating the Democratic nominee, University of Utah law professor and former CFPB official Christopher Peterson. This election was the first open-seat gubernatorial election in Utah since 1992.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Eliminated at the convention

Declined

Endorsements

Spencer Cox

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman and former Republican candidate in 2020 Utah gubernatorial election [37]

Organizations

Individuals

Jon Huntsman Jr.

Federal officials

Individuals

Thomas Wright

Federal officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Rob
Bishop
Jeff
Burningham
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Jan
Garbett
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Greg
Miller
Aimee
Winder Newton
Sean
Reyes
Thomas
Wright
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [45] [46] June 17–24, 20201,247 (LV)± 2.77%30%15%29%6%19% [a]
Y2 Analytics UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News [47] June 9–17, 2020797 (LV) [b] 32%23%36%9%
Y2 Analytics/Cox for Governor [48] [A] June 13–16, 2020691 (LV)± 3.72%34%20%28%9%9% [c]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [49] June 1–10, 2020676 (LV)± 3.77%32% [d] 10%37%5%4% [e]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune [50] June 4–7, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%32%10%30%8%17%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute [51] May 25–31, 2020643 (LV)28%18%24%4%26%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News [52] [53] May 9–15, 2020610 (LV) [f] 40%18%34%8%
April 25, 2020All remaining candidates except Cox, Hughes, Huntsman Jr. and Wright eliminated at convention
Y2 Analytics [54] [55] March 21–30, 2020738 (LV) [g] 5%39%< 1%17%33%4%1%< 1% [h]
Hinckley Institute [56] March 23–28, 2020326 (LV)± 5.4%7%24%1%7%26%2%2%32%
Dan Jones & Associates [57] February 28 – March 11, 2020338 (V)± 5.3%6%30%2%12%27%4%6%15%
Hinckley Institute [58] February 24 – March 1, 2020312 (LV)± 5.5%7%20%1%7%32%2%1%30%
February 21, 2020Garbett announces her candidacy [59]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune [60] January 18–22, 2020246 (LV)± 6.3%1%18%7%26%1%1%46%
Hinckley Institute/Deseret News [61] January 15–22, 2020424 (LV)± 4.8%6%25%3%35%3%3%25%
January 17, 2020Reyes announces he will not run
January 13, 2020Bishop announces he will not run
January 8, 2020Hughes announces his candidacy [62]
January 2, 2020Wright announces his candidacy [63]
Y2 Analytics [64] November 19 – December 7, 2019457 (V)± 4.6%9%5%41%5%29%5%5%1%
November 14, 2019Huntsman Jr. announces his candidacy [65]
October 23, 2019Newton announces her candidacy [66]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
[67]
October 3–10, 2019271 (V)2%34%2%30%7%25%
October 2, 2019Miller announces he will not run [68]
September 10, 2019Burningham announces his candidacy [69]
June 3, 2019Chaffetz announces he will not run
May 14, 2019Cox announces his candidacy [70]
University of Utah [71] January 15–24, 2019311 (RV)± 5.6%10%27%28%4%2%4%24%
University of Utah [72] October 3–9, 2018291 (RV)± 6.0%11%25%16%3%2%7%36%
Hinckley Institute/Salt Lake Tribune [73] June 11–18, 2018510 (V)± 4.3%9%25%16%3%9%37%

Convention results

Republican convention results [74]
Candidate/running mate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6
Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  %
Spencer Cox / Deidre Henderson 1081 30.2% 1082 30.2% 1223 34.3% 1287 36.3% 1488 42.4% 1884 55.0%
Greg Hughes /Victor Iverson 663 18.5% 674 18.8% 719 20.2% 901 25.4% 1107 31.5% 1544 45.0%
Aimee Winder Newton /John 'Frugal' Dougall 500 14.0% 508 14.2% 540 15.1% 703 19.8% 918 26.1% Eliminated
Thomas Wright/Rob Bishop 489 13.7% 494 13.8% 553 15.5% 658 18.5% Eliminated
Jeff Burningham/Dan McCay 487 13.6% 504 14.1% 530 14.9% Eliminated
Jon Huntsman Jr. /Michelle Kaufusi 315 8.8% 315 8.8% Eliminated
Jason Christensen/Drew Chamberlain 44 1.2% Eliminated
Inactive ballots 0 ballots 2 ballots 14 ballots 30 ballots 66 ballots 151 ballots

Debate

2020 Utah gubernatorial election republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Spencer Cox Greg Hughes Jon Huntsman Jr. Thomas Wright
1Jun. 1, 2020Utah Debate Commission Bruce Lindsay [75] PPPP

Primary results

Results by county:
Cox
Cox--60-70%
Cox--50-60%
Cox--40-50%
Cox--30-40%
Huntsman
Huntsman--30-40%
Huntsman--40-50%
Huntsman--50-60%
Hughes
Hughes--30-40%
Hughes--40-50% Utah Governor Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
Cox
  •   Cox—60–70%
  •   Cox—50–60%
  •   Cox—40–50%
  •   Cox—30–40%
Huntsman
  •   Huntsman—30–40%
  •   Huntsman—40–50%
  •   Huntsman—50–60%
Hughes
  •   Hughes—30–40%
  •   Hughes—40–50%
Republican primary results [76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Spencer Cox 190,565 36.15%
Republican Jon Huntsman Jr. 184,24634.95%
Republican Greg Hughes 110,83521.02%
Republican Thomas Wright 41,5327.88%
Total votes527,178 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at the convention

  • Neil Hansen, former state representative [20]
    • Running mate: Brandy Farmer, candidate for Utah House of Representatives
  • Ryan Jackson [20]
  • Zachary Moses, CEO of HeTravel.com [80]
    • Running mate: Nate Kizerian, community activist [81]
  • Nikki Pino Jr., youth counselor [82]
    • Running mate: Nikki Pino Sr., retired Army lieutenant colonel and father to Nikki Pino Jr. [81]
  • Archie A Williams, 2014 Democratic candidate for District 60 of the Utah House of Representatives III [83]

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Neil
Hansen
Ryan
Jackson
Zachary
Moses
Christopher
Peterson
Nikki
Pino
Archie
Williams III
Other /
Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News [87] March 21–30, 2020167 (LV)± 7.6%11%11%7%38%28%5%10%

Convention results

Democratic convention results [88]
CandidatePct.
Christopher Peterson88.4%
Zachary Moses4.7%
Neil Hansen 4.0%
Nikki Ray Pino1.4%
Ryan Jackson1.4%
Archie Williams III0.1%

Other candidates

Independent American Party

Nominee

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Republican write-in

Declined

General election

Campaign

An advertisement that featured both major-party candidates, calling for civility in politics, drew significant media coverage and praise. [94] [95]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [96] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
Inside Elections [97] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [98] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [99] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [100] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
RCP [101] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
270towin [102] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Spencer Cox (R)

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman and former Republican candidate in 2020 Utah gubernatorial election [37]

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox (R)
Christopher
Peterson (D)
Daniel
Cottam (L)
Gregory
Duerden (IAP)
OtherUndecided
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [103] October 15–24, 2020660 (LV)± 3.8%58%33%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [104] October 12–17, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%50%26%6%3%16%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [105] September 26 – October 4, 20201,214 (LV)± 2.8%57%29%14%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [106] September 7–12, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%52%19%4%3%22%
Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune [107] [108] August 31 – September 12, 20202,000 (RV)± 4.38%55%20%5%3%3%15%
RMG Research [109] July 27 – August 1, 20201000 (RV)± 4.0%49%17%3%3%29%
Hypothetical polling

with Spencer Eccles

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Jeff
Burningham
Spencer
Cox
Spencer
Eccles
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Thomas
Wright
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
[67]
Oct 3–10, 2019599 (LV)± 4%2%26%5%2%33%4%21%

with only Spencer Cox, Greg Hughes and Jon Huntsman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
[110]
Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019801 (LV)37%8%43%12%

with Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Aimee
Winder-Newton
Thomas
Wright
Generic
Democrat (D)
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
[110]
Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019801 (LV)33%5%32%2%5%11%13%

with Bishop, Chaffetz, Cox, Dougall, Hughes, Miller, Newton, Reyes and Generic Democrat (D)

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Rob
Bishop
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Generic
Democrat (D)
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/UtahPolicy [111] Jan 3–15, 2019822 (RV)± 3.4%7%18%24%11%39% [j]

with Jason Chaffetz, Spencer Cox, Spencer Eccles, Greg Hughes, Ben McAdams, Greg Miller and Josh Romney

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [i]
Margin
of error
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Ben
McAdams
Josh
Romney
OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Tribune/Hinkley Institute [112] Oct 10–13, 2017605 (RV)± 3.98%24%11%20%9%11% [k] 26%

Results

2020 Utah gubernatorial election [113]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican 918,754 62.98% −3.76%
Democratic
442,75430.35%+1.61%
Libertarian
  • Daniel Cottam
  • Barry Short
51,3933.52%+0.42%
Independent American
  • Gregory Duerden
  • Wayne Hill
25,8101.77%+0.36%
Write-in 20,1671.38%+1.37%
Total votes1,458,878 100%
Turnout 1,515,84569.17%
Registered electors 1,682,512
Republican hold

By county

By county
County Spencer Cox
Republican
Chris Peterson
Democratic
Daniel Cottam
Libertarian
Greg Duerden
Ind. American
Write-in MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Beaver 2,46883.272919.821023.44481.62551.862,17773.452,964
Box Elder 20,64277.753,50713.211,0383.915532.088093.0517,13564.5426,549
Cache 39,95270.6412,94322.881,9483.448351.488821.5627,00947.7556,560
Carbon 6,50672.102,09123.172713.001551.7200.004,41548.939,023
Daggett 46979.369115.40101.69152.5461.0237863.96591
Davis 115,50168.6141,10124.416,0183.574,3742.601,3590.8174,40044.19168,353
Duchesne 6,09673.937398.963083.742102.5589310.835,35764.968,246
Emery 3,91882.8248910.341052.22881.861312.773,42972.484,731
Garfield 2,12380.2642816.18732.76210.7900.001,69564.082,645
Grand 2,30345.592,49949.471583.13561.11360.71-196-3.885,052
Iron 17,65073.193,85415.981,4255.916442.675432.2513,79657.2124,116
Juab 4,60680.304708.192113.682193.822304.014,13672.115,736
Kane 2,80269.7091822.841403.48711.77892.211,88446.874,020
Millard 4,52875.575198.661833.051682.805949.914,00966.915,992
Morgan 5,19081.0977012.032293.581221.91891.394,42069.066,400
Piute 67280.96657.83364.34273.25303.6160773.13830
Rich 1,08181.0315811.84282.10161.20513.8292369.191,334
Salt Lake 266,17750.32238,24945.0416,0013.026,1371.162,4020.4527,9285.28528,966
San Juan 3,47752.842,64240.152583.921352.05681.0383512.696,580
Sanpete 10,32682.911,0128.133632.913883.123652.939,31474.7912,454
Sevier 8,36482.438828.692882.842712.673423.377,48273.7410,147
Summit 11,29044.6213,06651.645872.322050.811530.60-1,776-7.0225,301
Tooele 21,29369.477,05823.031,3834.516622.162530.8314,23546.4530,649
Uintah 10,29069.351,4829.995093.433672.472,19014.768,80859.3614,838
Utah 208,51474.0752,52418.6610,7983.845,3551.904,3071.53155,99055.41281,498
Wasatch 11,47266.344,91128.405092.942021.171991.156,56137.9417,293
Washington 61,12569.5716,69819.004,4325.042,5202.873,0873.5144,42750.5687,862
Wayne 1,11570.5232120.30553.48462.91442.7679450.221,581
Weber 68,80463.3732,97630.373,9273.621,9001.759600.8835,82833.00108,567
Totals918,75462.98442,75430.3551,3933.5225,8101.7720,1671.38476,00032.631,458,878

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Cox won all 4 congressional districts. [114]

DistrictCoxPetersonRepresentative
1st 66%25% Rob Bishop
Blake Moore
2nd 57%33% Chris Stewart
3rd 67%27% John Curtis
4th 59%35% Ben McAdams
Burgess Owens

Notes

Additional candidates

  1. "Prefer not to answer" with 19%
  2. Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  3. "Don't know/refused" with 9%
  4. Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. Undecided with 4%
  6. Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  7. Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  8. Christensen with <1%
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  10. Undecided with 26%, Reyes with 5%; "Other" with 3%; Miller and Winder-Newton with 2%; Hughes with 1%; Dougall with 0%
  11. Eccles, Hughes and "Other" with 3%; Miller with 2%

General

  1. Poll sponsored by Cox's campaign

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References

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