2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

←  2018 November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03) 2022  →
All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 3 1 Seats won 3 1 Seat change Popular vote 806,859 421,121 Percentage 65.71% 34.29% Swing 15.53% 8.18%
Republican   60–70%   90>% Democratic   60–70%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Mississippi; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries are scheduled for March 10, 2020.

Overview

District	Republican		Democratic		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	228,787	68.75%	104,008	31.25%	332,795	100.0%	Republican hold
District 2	101,010	33.98%	196,224	66.02%	297,234	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 3	221,064	64.67%	120,782	35.32%	341,846	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	255,971	100.00%	0	0.00%	255,971	100.0%	Republican hold
Total	806,859	65.71%	421,121	34.29%	1,227,846	100.0%

Popular vote Republican   65.71% Democratic   34.29%

House seats Republican   75.00% Democratic   25.00%

District 1

2020 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Trent Kelly Antonia Eliason Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 228,787 104,008 Percentage 68.7% 31.3%

County results Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Eliason:     50–60%

Precinct results Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Eliason:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election Trent Kelly Republican Elected U.S. Representative Trent Kelly Republican

See also: Mississippi's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent is Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 66.9% of the vote in 2018. ^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Trent Kelly, incumbent U.S. representative ^[2]

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Trent Kelly (incumbent)	56,501	100.0%
Total votes			56,501	100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Antonia Eliason, University of Mississippi law professor ^[2]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[4]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Antonia Eliason	37,830	100.0%
Total votes			37,830	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [5]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [8]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [10]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [11]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 1st congressional district, 2020 ^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Trent Kelly (incumbent)	228,787	68.7
	Democratic	Antonia Eliason	104,008	31.3
Total votes			332,795	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Bennie Thompson Brian Flowers Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 196,224 101,010 Percentage 66.0% 34.0%

Results by county Flowers:     50-60%     60-70% Thompson:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%

Precinct results Flowers:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Thompson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Tie:     50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Bennie Thompson Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Bennie Thompson Democratic

See also: Mississippi's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The incumbent is Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 71.8% of the vote in 2018 without major-party opposition. ^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Sonia Rathburn, non-profit owner ^[13]
• Bennie Thompson, incumbent U.S. representative ^[13]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county

Thompson

•   Thompson—≥90%
•   Thompson—80–90%

Democratic primary results ^[4]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bennie Thompson (incumbent)	97,921	94.0
	Democratic	Sonia Rathburn	6,256	6.0
Total votes			104,177	100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Thomas Carey, realtor ^[13]
• Brian Flowers, nuclear worker, Navy veteran ^[13]
• B.C. Hammond, volunteer firefighter, farmer and a small business owner ^[13]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary initial round results by county

Flowers

•   Flowers—60–70%
•   Flowers—50–60%
•   Flowers—40–50%
•   Flowers—30–40%

Carey

•   Carey—30–40%
•   Carey—40–50%
•   Carey—50–60%

Hammond

•   Hammond—40–50%
•   Hammond—50–60%
•   Hammond—60–70%

Republican primary results ^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Flowers	9,883	37.9
	Republican	Thomas Carey	9,456	36.1
	Republican	B.C. Hammond	6,812	26.0
Total votes			26,151	100.0%

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Flowers	3,747	70.0%
	Republican	Thomas Carey	1,607	30.0%
Total votes			5,354	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [5]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico [8]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP [10]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [11]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, 2020 ^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bennie Thompson (incumbent)	196,224	66.0
	Republican	Brian Flowers	101,010	34.0
Total votes			297,234	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 3

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Michael Guest Dorothy Benford Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 221,064 120,782 Percentage 64.7% 35.3%

Precinct results Guest:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Benford:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Tie:     50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Michael Guest Republican Elected U.S. Representative Michael Guest Republican

See also: Mississippi's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, Natchez, and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The incumbent is Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2018. ^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Michael Guest, incumbent U.S. representative ^[13]
• James Tulp, radio broadcaster ^[14]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county

Guest

•   Guest—≥90%
•   Guest—80–90%
•   Guest—70–80%

Republican primary results ^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Michael Guest (incumbent)	67,269	89.8
	Republican	James Tulp	7,618	10.2
Total votes			74,887	100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Dorothy "Dot" Benford, activist
• Katelyn Lee, veterinary medical technologist ^[13]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county

Benford

•   Benford—70–80%
•   Benford—60–70%
•   Benford—50–60%

Democratic primary results ^[4]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dorothy "Dot" Benford	38,967	64.0
	Democratic	Katelyn Lee	21,951	36.0
Total votes			60,918	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [5]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [8]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [10]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [11]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, 2020 ^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Michael Guest (incumbent)	221,064	64.7
	Democratic	Dorothy "Dot" Benford	120,782	35.3
Total votes			341,846	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Steven Palazzo Party Republican Popular vote 255,971 Percentage 100.0%

Precinct results Palazzo:     >90%

U.S. Representative before election Steven Palazzo Republican Elected U.S. Representative Steven Palazzo Republican

See also: Mississippi's 4th congressional district

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who was elected with 68.2% of the vote in 2018. ^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Carl Boyanton, businessman ^[15]
• Robert Deming, Biloxi city councilman ^[16]
• Samuel Hickman, former staffer for U.S. Representative Trent Kelly ^[15]
• Steven Palazzo, incumbent U.S. representative ^[13]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county

Palazzo

•   Palazzo—80–90%
•   Palazzo—70–80%
•   Palazzo—60–70%
•   Palazzo—50–60%

Republican primary results ^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steven Palazzo (incumbent)	54,318	66.8
	Republican	Robert Deming	11,463	14.1
	Republican	Samuel Hickman	7,981	9.8
	Republican	Carl Boyanton	7,533	9.3
Total votes			81,295	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [5]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [8]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [10]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [11]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 4th congressional district, 2020 ^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steven Palazzo (incumbent)	255,971	100.0
Total votes			255,971	100.0
	Republican hold

References

1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2019.
2. Vance, Taylor (January 13, 2020). "Antonia Eliason, Trent Kelly launch campaigns for U.S. congressional election". Daily Journal. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
3. "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
4. "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
5. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
6. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
7. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
8. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
9. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
10. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
11. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved April 29, 2020.
12. "State of Mississippi OFFICIAL 2020 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS" (PDF). State of Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
13. Ramseth, Luke (January 22, 2020). "Mississippi election 2020: Who's running for U.S. Senate, House seats?". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
14. "James Tulp to run for Mississippi's third congressional district". WJTV. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
15. Corder, Frank (January 7, 2020). "MS-4 Rep. Steven Palazzo draws 2 GOP primary challengers including former intern". Y'all Politics. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
16. Chighizola, Grant (January 9, 2020). "ROBERT DEMING ANNOUNCES CANDIDACY FOR CONGRESS". WXXV 25. Retrieved February 2, 2020.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Mississippi", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Mississippi: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Mississippi". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Mississippi at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Antonia Eliason (D) for Congress
• Trent Kelly (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Brian Flowers (R) for Congress
• Bennie Thompson (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Dorothy "Dot" Benford (D) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Michael Guest (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Steven Palazzo (R) for Congress Archived June 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine