2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

←  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  →
Turnout	73.5% [1]
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence Electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 424,937 365,660 Percentage 52.71% 45.36%
County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct results Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Tie/No data   40–50%
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. ^[2] New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominees, incumbent President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominees, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris. New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[3]

New Hampshire is by far the most fiscally conservative state in New England, and its population has a strong disdain for taxes, historically giving Republicans an edge in its state office elections. However, like the rest of the region, it is very liberal on social issues like abortion and gay rights, and thus the Democratic Party has dominated in its federal elections in recent years. Although the state came extremely close to voting for Trump in 2016, polls throughout the 2020 campaign showed a clear Biden lead, and prior to election day, all 14 news organizations considered New Hampshire a state that Biden was favored to win.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden prevailed in the state by garnering the votes of 58% of white women, and 69% of unmarried women. ^[4] Biden carried voters prioritizing healthcare policy with 73% campaigning on protecting coverage for pre-existing conditions, ^[4] a resonant issue in a state plagued by the opioid crisis.

Corresponding Democratic victories in the Senate election and both House elections reaffirmed the Democrats' strength in what used to be a heavily contested battleground. Contrary to earlier projections however, New Hampshire Republicans took control of both the executive and legislative branches of the New Hampshire government. Republicans flipped the previously Democrat-held New Hampshire state Senate and House of Representatives. Republicans also gained control of the state's Executive Council, and Republican Gov. Chris Sununu was reelected for a third term with 65% of the vote. ^[5] Biden's best margin was in the socially liberal Connecticut River Valley, which had overwhelmingly favored Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary, while Trump's strength came in the rural Great North Woods Region. Biden was the first Democrat to ever win the White House without Coös County.

Primary elections

The New Hampshire primary, traditionally the first, was held on February 11, 2020, roughly a week after the Iowa caucuses. ^[6]

Republican primary

This section is transcluded from 2020 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. (edit | history)

The New Hampshire Republican primary took place on February 11, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 85.6 percent of the vote, clinching all of the state's 22 pledged delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention. ^[7] Typically, the top candidates of the other major party receive a large number of write-in votes.

County won by these popular vote results:

  Trump—85–90%

  Trump—80–85%

Congressional district won by these popular vote results:

  Trump—80–85%

2020 New Hampshire Republican primary ^{[8] [9]}

Candidate	Votes	%	Estimated delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)	129,734	84.42	22
Bill Weld	13,844	9.01	0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)	838	0.55	0
Mitt Romney (write-in)	632	0.41	0
Rocky De La Fuente	148	0.10	0
Robert Ardini	77	0.05	0
Bob Ely	68	0.04	0
Zoltan Istvan	56	0.04	0
Others / Write-in	2,339	1.52	0
Pete Buttigieg (write-in Democratic)	1,136	0.74	0
Amy Klobuchar (write-in Democratic)	1,076	0.70	0
Mike Bloomberg (write-in Democratic)	801	0.52	0
Bernie Sanders (write-in Democratic)	753	0.49	0
Tulsi Gabbard (write-in Democratic)	369	0.24	0
Joe Biden (write-in Democratic)	330	0.21	0
Tom Steyer (write-in Democratic)	191	0.12	0
Andrew Yang (write-in Democratic)	162	0.11	0
Elizabeth Warren (write-in Democratic)	157	0.10	0
Other write-in Democrats	963	0.63	0
Total	153,674	100%	22

Democratic primary

Main article: 2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary

Bernie Sanders won the Democratic primary with 25.6 percent of the vote, ahead of second-place Pete Buttigieg, who received 24.3 percent of the vote. Both Sanders and Buttigieg received nine delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention. Amy Klobuchar finished in third place with 19.7 percent of the vote and earned six delegates. Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden finished in fourth and fifth place, respectively, and each received zero delegates. ^[10]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary § NHresults.[ edit ]

Popular vote share by county

  Sanders—<30%

  Sanders—30–40%

  Buttigieg—<30%

Popular vote share by congressional district

  Sanders—25–30%

2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary ^{[11] [12]}

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [13] [14]
Bernie Sanders	76,384	25.60	9
Pete Buttigieg	72,454	24.28	9
Amy Klobuchar	58,714	19.68	6
Elizabeth Warren	27,429	9.19
Joe Biden	24,944	8.36
Tom Steyer	10,732	3.60
Tulsi Gabbard	9,755	3.27
Andrew Yang	8,312	2.79
Michael Bloomberg (write-in) [12] [15]	4,675	1.57
Deval Patrick	1,271	0.43
Michael Bennet	952	0.32
Cory Booker (withdrawn)	157	0.05
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)	152	0.05
Kamala Harris (withdrawn)	129	0.04
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)	99	0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn)	83	0.03
John Delaney (withdrawn)	83	0.03
Steve Bullock (withdrawn)	64	0.02
Henry Hewes	43	0.01
Ben Gleib (withdrawn)	31	0.01
Other candidates / Write-in	[a] 665	0.22
Donald Trump (write-in Republican) [12]	1,217	0.41
Bill Weld (write-in Republican) [12]	17	0.01
Mitt Romney (write-in Republican) [12]	10	0.00
Other write-in Republicans	5	0.00
Total	298,377	100%	24

Libertarian primary

Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

2020 New Hampshire Libertarian presidential primary

January 11, 2020 2024  →

IA  →

Candidate Vermin Supreme Kim Ruff Jo Jorgensen Home state Massachusetts Arizona South Carolina Popular vote 26 22 17 Percentage 17.3% 14.7% 11.3%   Candidate None of the above Dan Behrman Jacob Hornberger (write-in) Home state N/A Nevada Virginia Popular vote 13 13 9 Percentage 8.7% 8.7% 6.0%   Candidate Sam Robb Home state Pennsylvania Popular vote 8 Percentage 5.3%

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries § New Hampshire primary.[ edit ]

Mail-in ballots were due by January 11, at the state convention. The primary was tabulated using Bucklin voting. Percentages shown are percentage of ballots cast. ^{[16] [17]}

2020 New Hampshire Libertarian presidential primary ^{[18] [19]}

Candidate	1st	2nd	3rd	Total	Percentage
Vermin Supreme	10	3	13	26	17.3%
Kim Ruff	6	9	7	22	14.7%
Jo Jorgensen	5	8	4	17	11.3%
None of the Above (NOTA)	4	6	3	13	8.7%
Dan "Taxation Is Theft" Behrman	0	6	7	13	8.7%
Jacob Hornberger (write-in)	9	0	0	9	6.0%
Sam Robb	1	2	5	8	5.3%
Mark Whitney (write-in)	4	0	2	6	4.0%
Arvin Vohra	1	0	5	6	4.0%
Ken Armstrong	0	2	3	5	3.3%
Lincoln Chafee (write-in)	1	2	1	4	2.7%
Justin Amash (write-in)	1	1	1	3	2.0%
Keenan Wallace Dunham	0	0	2	2	1.3%
Max Abramson	1	0	0	1	nil
Straw Poll (write-in)	1	0	0	1	nil
Joe Bishop-Henchman (write-in)	0	0	1	1	nil
Thomas Knapp (write-in)	0	0	1	1	nil
Adam Kokesh (write-in)	0	0	1	1	nil
Nicholas Sarwark (write-in)	0	0	1	1	nil
Exhausted Ballots/Undervotes	0	5	5	10
Total	44	44	62	150

2020 New Hampshire Libertarian vice presidential primary ^{[18] [19]}

Candidate	1st	2nd	Total	Percentage
John Phillips	15	6	21	63.6%
None of the Above	9	6	15	45.5%
Spike Cohen (write-in)	2	0	2	6.1%
Larry Sharpe (write-in)	2	0	2	6.1%
Ron Paul (write-in)	1	1	2	6.1%
Darryl W Perry (write-in)	1	0	1	3.0%
Straw Poll (write-in)	1	0	1	3.0%
Nicolas Sarwark (write-in)	1	0	1	3.0%
Mark Whitney (write-in)	1	0	1	3.0%
Exhausted Ballots/Undervotes	11	20	31
Total	44	33	77

General election

Final predictions

Source	Ranking
The Cook Political Report [20]	Lean D
Inside Elections [21]	Likely D
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22]	Likely D
Politico [23]	Lean D
RCP [24]	Lean D
Niskanen [25]	Safe D
CNN [26]	Lean D
The Economist [27]	Likely D
CBS News [28]	Lean D
270towin [29]	Lean D
ABC News [30]	Lean D
NPR [31]	Likely D
NBC News [32]	Lean D
538 [33]	Likely D

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [b]	Margin
270 to Win [34]	October 14–29, 2020	November 3, 2020	53.4%	42.4%	4.2%	Biden +11.0
FiveThirtyEight [35]	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	53.9%	42.8%	3.3%	Biden +11.1
Average			53.7%	42.6%	3.8%	Biden +11.1

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios [36]	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,013 (LV)	± 4.5%	45% [d]	54%	-	–	–
American Research Group [37]	Oct 26–28, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	39%	58%	1%	–	2%
University of New Hampshire [38]	Oct 24–28, 2020	864 (LV)	± 3.3%	45%	53%	1%	1%	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [36]	Oct 1–28, 2020	1,791 (LV)	–	44%	55%	-	–	–
Saint Anselm College [39]	Oct 23–26, 2020	1,018 (LV)	± 3.1%	44%	52%	2%	–	2%
YouGov/UMass Amherst [40]	Oct 16–26, 2020	757 (LV)	± 4.5%	43%	53%	2%	1% [e]	2%
University of New Hampshire [41]	Oct 9–12, 2020	899 (LV)	± 3.3%	43%	55%	0%	0% [f]	2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe [42]	Oct 8–12, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	41%	51%	2%	3% [g]	5%
Saint Anselm College [43]	Oct 1–4, 2020	1,147 (LV)	± 2.9%	41%	53%	-	4% [h]	2%
Emerson College [44]	Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020	700 (LV)	± 3.6%	45% [i]	53%	-	2% [j]	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios [36]	Sep 1–30, 2020	637 (LV)	–	43%	55%	-	–	2%
American Research Group [45]	Sep 25–28, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	44%	53%	1%	–	2%
University of New Hampshire [46]	Sep 24–28, 2020	972 (LV)	± 3.1%	44%	53%	1%	0% [f]	3%
Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness [47] [A]	Sep 23–25, 2020	850 (LV)	± 4%	42% [i]	56%	-	1% [k]	1%
YouGov/UMass Lowell [48]	Sep 17–25, 2020	657 (LV)	± 4.6%	44% [l]	52%	1%	2% [m]	1%
				44% [n]	53%	-	0% [f]	1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot [49]	Sep 8–11, 2020	445 (LV)	± 5.5%	42%	45%	4%	2% [o]	7% [p]
SurveyMonkey/Axios [36]	Aug 1–31, 2020	444 (LV)	–	39%	60%	-	–	1%
Saint Anselm College [50]	Aug 15–17, 2020	1,042 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	51%	-	4% [h]	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [36]	Jul 1–31, 2020	574 (LV)	–	39%	60%	-	–	2%
University of New Hampshire [51]	Jul 16–28, 2020	1,893 (LV)	± 2.3%	40%	53%	-	4% [q]	3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [36]	Jun 8–30, 2020	191 (LV)	–	39%	61%	-	–	1%
University of New Hampshire [51]	Jun 18–22, 2020	936 (LV)	–	39%	52%	-	6% [r]	3%
Saint Anselm College [52]	Jun 13–16, 2020	1,072 (RV)	± 3%	42%	49%	-	5%	3%
University of New Hampshire [51]	May 14–18, 2020	790 (LV)	–	46%	44%	-	5% [s]	5%
Saint Anselm College [53]	Apr 23–27, 2020	820 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%	50%	-	2%	7%
University of New Hampshire [54]	Feb 19–25, 2020	569 (LV)	± 4.1%	46%	44%	-	8% [t]	2%
AtlasIntel [55]	Feb 8–10, 2020	1,100 (RV)	± 3%	46%	44%	-	11%	–
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal [56]	Feb 4–5, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49% [u]	45%	-	– [v]	– [v]
Marist College/NBC News [57]	Jan 20–23, 2020	2,223 (RV)	± 2.6%	43%	51%	-	2%	5%
Emerson College [58]	Nov 23–26, 2019	637 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	52%	-	–	–
		547 (RV)	± 4.1%	42%	46%	-	–	13%
Saint Anselm College [59]	Nov 13–18, 2019	512 (RV)	± 4.3%	43%	51%	-	–	6%
Emerson College [60]	Sep 6–9, 2019	1,041 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	55%	-	–	–
Gravis Marketing [61]	Aug 2–6, 2019	505 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	53%	-	–	7%
Emerson College [62]	Feb 21–22, 2019	910 (RV)	± 3.2%	45%	55%	-	–	–
American Research Group [63]	Mar 21–27, 2018	1,365 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	53%	-	–	8%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Other Undecided University of New Hampshire [54] Feb 19–25, 2020 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 46% 6% 1% AtlasIntel [55] Feb 8–10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 47% 44% 9% – McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal [56] Feb 4–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% [u] 45% – [v] – [v] Marist College/NBC News [57] Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 43% 51% 2% 4% Emerson College [58] Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 52% – – 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 49% – 9% Saint Anselm College [59] Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 46% 49% – 6% Emerson College [60] Sep 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 53% – – Gravis Marketing [61] Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 51% – 8% Emerson College [62] Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 55% – – Praecones Analytica [64] Jan 16–21, 2019 593 (RV) ± 5.3% 41% 54% – 5% American Research Group [63] Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% – 5% Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Other Undecided AtlasIntel [55] Feb 8–10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 46.8% 40.5% – 12.7% Marist College/NBC News [57] Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 44% 48% 2% 5% Inside Sources [65] Jan 16–21, 2020 593 (RV) – 41% 54% – 5% Emerson College [58] Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 49% – – Emerson College [58] Nov 23–26, 2019 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 43% 47% – 10% Saint Anselm College [59] Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 46% 47% – 7% Emerson College [60] Sep 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 49% – – Gravis Marketing [61] Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% – 7% Emerson College [62] Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 52% – – Praecones Analytica [64] Jan 16–21, 2019 593 (RV) ± 5.3% 41% 54% – 5% American Research Group [63] Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% – 9% Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Michael Bloomberg (D) Other Undecided University of New Hampshire [54] Feb 19–25, 2020 561 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 33% 16% 5% Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttegieg (D) Other Undecided University of New Hampshire [54] Feb 19–25, 2020 569 (LV) ± 4.1% 42% 48% 7% 3% AtlasIntel [55] Feb 8–10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 45.3% 46.1% – 8.6% Marist College/NBC News [57] Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 41% 51% 1% 6% Emerson College [58] Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 41% 48% – – Emerson College [58] Nov 23–26, 2019 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 41% 48% – 11% Saint Anselm College [59] Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 42% 49% – 9% Gravis Marketing [61] Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 49% – 9% Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Andrew Yang (D) Undecided Emerson College [58] November 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 49% – Emerson College [58] November 23–26, 2019 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 46% 12% Emerson College [60] September 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 54% – Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Cory Booker (D) Undecided Emerson College [62] Feb 21–22, 2019 910 ± 3.2% 49% 51% – Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Kamala Harris (D) Undecided Emerson College [60] September 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51% – Gravis Marketing [61] August 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 47% 9% Emerson College [62] Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 52% – Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Beto O'Rourke (D) Undecided Praecones Analytica [64] Jan 16–21, 2019 593 (RV) ± 5.3% 41% 48% 12%

Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Howard Schultz (I) Undecided Emerson College [62] Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 48% 10% – with Donald Trump, Elizabeth Warren, and Howard Schultz Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Howard Schultz (I) Undecided Emerson College [62] Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 44% 12% – with John Kasich and Joe Biden Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error John Kasich (R) Joe Biden (D) Undecided American Research Group [63] Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 8% with John Kasich and Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error John Kasich (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Undecided American Research Group [63] Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 37% 11% with Donald Trump and generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Democrat Other Undecided RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [66] [67] Jan 29-Feb 1, 2020 892 (V) – 36% 49% 9% [w] 7% Praecones Analytica [68] Aug 13–15, 2018 626 (RV) ± 5.4% 38% 49% – 13% with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and generic third party Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Democrat Generic third party Undecided Suffolk University [69] Apr 25–28, 2019 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 43% 6% 11% with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [c] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Opponent Other Undecided University of New Hampshire/CNN [70] Jan 15–23, 2020 1,169 (A) ± 2.9% 46% 49% [x] 2% [y] 2%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire ^[71]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	424,937	52.71%	+5.88%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	365,660	45.36%	−1.10%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	13,236	1.64%	−2.49%
	Green	Howie Hawkins (write-in) Angela Walker (write-in)	217	0.03%	−0.84%
	Independent	Bernie Sanders (write-in)	192	0.02%	−0.58%
	Republican	Mitt Romney (write-in)	170	0.02%	−0.05%
	Democratic	Tulsi Gabbard (write-in)	142	0.02%	N/A
	Independent	Kanye West (write-in)	82	0.01%	N/A
	Republican	John Kasich (write-in)	67	0.01%	−0.17%
	Democratic	Andrew Yang (write-in)	58	0.01%	N/A
	Republican	Mike Pence (write-in)	56	0.01%	N/A
	Democratic	Pete Buttigieg (write-in)	47	0.01%	N/A
	Republican	Chris Sununu (write-in)	46	0.01%	N/A
	Republican	Bill Weld (write-in)	23	0.00%	N/A
	Libertarian	Vermin Supreme (write-in)	22	0.00%	−0.01%
	Democratic	Amy Klobuchar (write-in)	19	0.00%	N/A
	Democratic	Andrew Cuomo (write-in)	14	0.00%	N/A
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (write-in)	14	0.00%	N/A
	Libertarian	Ron Paul (write-in)	13	0.00%	−0.01%
	Republican	Condoleezza Rice (write-in)	12	0.00%	N/A
	Republican	Mike Huckabee (write-in)	10	0.00%	N/A
	Democratic	Michelle Obama (write-in)	10	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			806,205	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Belknap	16,894	43.90%	20,899	54.31%	686	1.79%	-4,005	-10.41%	38,479
Carroll	16,649	50.00%	16,150	48.50%	498	1.50%	499	1.50%	33,297
Cheshire	25,522	57.52%	17,898	40.34%	950	2.14%	7,624	17.18%	44,370
Coos	7,640	46.18%	8,617	52.09%	287	1.73%	-977	-5.91%	16,544
Grafton	33,180	61.29%	19,905	36.77%	1,047	1.94%	13,275	24.52%	54,132
Hillsborough	122,344	52.81%	104,625	45.16%	4,690	2.03%	17,719	7.65%	231,659
Merrimack	48,533	53.85%	39,711	44.06%	1,889	2.09%	8,822	9.79%	90,133
Rockingham	100,064	50.20%	95,858	48.09%	3,420	1.71%	4,206	2.11%	199,342
Strafford	41,721	56.53%	30,489	41.31%	1,595	2.16%	11,232	15.22%	73,805
Sullivan	12,390	50.69%	11,508	47.08%	546	2.23%	882	3.61%	24,444
Totals	424,937	52.71%	365,660	45.36%	15,608	1.93%	59,277	7.35%	806,205

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +7.5–10%
•   Democratic — +5–7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5–5%
•   Democratic — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5–5%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +7.5–10%
•   Democratic — +5–7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5–5%
•   Democratic — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5–5%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Carroll (largest municipality: Conway) ^[72]
• Hillsborough (largest municipality: Manchester) ^[72]
• Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry) ^[72]
• Sullivan (largest municipality: Claremont) ^[72]

By congressional district

District	Biden	Trump	Representative
1st	52.2%	46.2%	Chris Pappas
2nd	53.5%	44.8%	Annie Kuster

Analysis

Biden flipped the counties of Carroll, Hillsborough, Rockingham, and Sullivan, of which Hillsborough (which houses the state's largest city of Manchester) and Sullivan had voted for Barack Obama twice before switching to Trump in 2016. Carroll and Rockingham last voted Democratic in 2008, although Rockingham last gave a Democrat a majority of the vote in 1964. Biden also significantly expanded Hillary Clinton's 2016 lead of 2,736 votes (0.37%) to 59,267 votes (7.35%).

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in New Hampshire by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) [73] [74]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	% of total vote
Total vote	52.71	45.36	100
Ideology
Liberals	93	7	24
Moderates	64	33	44
Conservatives	9	91	32
Party
Democrats	94	6	23
Republicans	10	90	31
Independents	62	35	46
Gender
Men	47	52	47
Women	58	40	53
Race/ethnicity
White	52	46	92
Non-white	56	41	8
Age
18–24 years old	50	48	9
25–29 years old	58	35	8
30–39 years old	54	42	14
40–49 years old	50	49	15
50–64 years old	51	49	31
65 and older	56	43	23
Sexual orientation
LGBT	–	–	7
Not LGBT	50	48	93
Education
High school or less	43	53	20
Some college education	45	54	26
Associate degree	44	54	13
Bachelor's degree	63	36	25
Postgraduate degree	68	30	17
Income
Under $30,000	71	28	12
$30,000–49,999	45	51	18
$50,000–99,999	54	44	30
Over $100,000	53	46	40
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality	87	10	14
Coronavirus	95	5	21
Economy	12	87	33
Crime and safety	15	83	10
Health care	89	8	13
Region
Seacoast	60	38	17
Manchester/Concord	57	42	24
Southwest/Connecticut Valley	57	41	20
Southeast	44	54	21
North	47	52	18
Area type
Urban	67	31	9
Suburban	50	48	60
Rural	54	45	31
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago	19	80	43
Worse than four years ago	82	12	19
About the same	79	20	38

See also

• Presidency of Joe Biden
• 2020 New Hampshire elections
• United States presidential elections in New Hampshire
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. Including 157 write-in votes
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
5. "Another candidate" with 1%
6. "Another candidate" with 0%
7. "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
8. "Someone else" with 4%
9. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
10. "Someone else" with 2%
11. "Some other candidate" with 1%
12. Standard VI response
13. Hawkins (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
14. With only Biden, Trump and "Another candidate" as options
15. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
16. Includes "Refused"
17. "Another candidate" with 4%
18. "Another candidate" with 6%
19. "Another candidate" with 5%
20. "Another candidate" with 8%
21. Data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
22. Data not yet released
23. "Someone else" with 9%
24. Would vote for a candidate other than Trump
25. Would not vote with 2%

Partisan clients

1. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization

References

1. DiStaso, John (November 6, 2020). "More than 73 percent of NH's voting age population cast ballots, resulting in record turnout". WMUR. Retrieved February 16, 2021.
2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. "New Hampshire Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 9, 2020.
5. "Republicans unexpectedly gain control of N.H. State government".
6. Alex Seitz-Wald (December 9, 2018). "2020 Democratic primary: California and Texas look to become the new Iowa and New Hampshire". NBC News . Retrieved December 10, 2018.
7. Steve Peoples; Kathleen Ronayne; Hunter Woodall (February 11, 2020). "President Trump wins GOP primary with more votes than any incumbent president in history". KRCR. Associated Press.
8. "2020 Presidential Primary - Republican Write-Ins - NHSOS". sos.nh.gov. Retrieved February 17, 2020.
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16. "Results – 2020 Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire . January 14, 2020. Archived from the original on February 27, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
17. Dance, George J. (January 14, 2020). "Strange doings in New Hampshire". The Nolan Chart. Archived from the original on January 15, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
18. "Congrats to Vermin Supreme for winning the LPNH Presidential Preference Primary!". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire . January 11, 2020. Retrieved January 11, 2020– via Facebook.com.
19. "Results – 2020 Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire. January 14, 2020. Archived from the original on February 27, 2020. Retrieved January 15, 2020.
20. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
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35. FiveThirtyEight
36. SurveyMonkey/Axios
37. American Research Group
38. University of New Hampshire
39. Saint Anselm College
40. YouGov/UMass Amherst
41. University of New Hampshire
42. Suffolk University/Boston Globe
43. Saint Anselm College
44. Emerson College
45. American Research Group
46. University of New Hampshire
47. Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness
48. YouGov/UMass Lowell
49. Siena College/NYT Upshot
50. Saint Anselm College
51. University of New Hampshire
52. Saint Anselm College
53. Saint Anselm College
54. University of New Hampshire
55. AtlasIntel
56. McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal
57. Marist College/NBC News
58. Emerson College
59. Saint Anselm College
60. Emerson College
61. Gravis Marketing
62. Emerson College Archived February 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
63. American Research Group
64. Praecones Analytica
65. Inside Sources
66. RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10
68. Praecones Analytica
69. Suffolk University
70. University of New Hampshire/CNN
71. "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. October 2022.
72. "Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election". The Republican . March 17, 2021. Archived from the original on January 4, 2025.
73. "New Hampshire 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
74. "New Hampshire Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.

Further reading

• Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington, D.C.: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, New Hampshire

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "New Hampshire", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "New Hampshire: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of New Hampshire". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• New Hampshire at Ballotpedia