2026 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

Last updated

2026 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2020 November 3, 20262032 
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election in New Hampshire will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire. Primary elections will be held on September 8, 2026. Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen declined to seek re-election to a fourth term. [1]

Contents

This will be the first open Senate election in New Hampshire since 2010, and the first for this seat since 1990. [a]

Background

New Hampshire is considered to be a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level, with Kamala Harris carrying the state by roughly 3 percentage points in the 2024 presidential election. The state's congressional delegation has been entirely Democratic since 2017. However, Republicans control the governorship, both state legislative chambers, and a majority in the executive council. [2] [3]

Shaheen was first elected in 2008, defeating then-incumbent senator John E. Sununu in a rematch of 2002, and was re-elected in 2014 and 2020. [4] Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate race in New Hampshire since 2010.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Karishma Manzur
State legislators
Chris Pappas

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Chris Pappas (D)$2,470,766$862,563$2,015,788
Source: Federal Election Commission [21]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas
Karishma
Manzur
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [22] September 17–23, 2025508 (LV)± 4.3%65%14%1%20%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John E. Sununu (not declared)
State legislators

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Scott
Brown
Dan
Innis
John
Sununu
OtherUndecided
September 25, 2025Innis withdraws from the race
University of New Hampshire [22] September 17–23, 2025555 (LV)± 4.2%19%7%42%4% [c] 28%
co/efficient (R) [33] September 10–12, 2025346 (LV)23%8%40%5% [d] 24%
Saint Anselm College [34] August 26–27, 2025791 (RV)± 3.5%48%13%39%

Independents

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Matt Giovonizzi [35]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [36] Lean DAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [37] Lean DAugust 18, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [38] Lean DAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [39] Tilt DSeptember 15, 2025

Polling

Chris Pappas vs. Scott Brown

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [22] September 17–23, 20251,235 (LV)± 2.8%52%37%2% [e] 8%
co/efficient (R) [33] September 10–12, 2025904 (LV)± 3.3%50%40%10%
Saint Anselm College [40] August 26–27, 20251,776 (RV)± 2.3%48%37%15%
Hypothetical polling

Chris Pappas vs. Dan Innis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Dan
Innis (R)
Undecided
co/efficient (R) [33] September 10–12, 2025904 (LV)± 3.3%49%37%14%
Saint Anselm College [40] August 26–27, 20251,776 (RV)± 2.3%48%30%22%

Chris Pappas vs. Chris Sununu

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Undecided
Quantus Insights (R) [41] [A] March 17–19, 2025650 (RV)± 3.8%44%53%3%

Jeanne Shaheen vs. Chris Sununu

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Undecided
Praecones Analytica [42] [B] February 26 – March 1, 2025626 (RV)± 4.5%46%54%

Jeanne Shaheen vs. Frank Edelblut

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Frank
Edelblut (R)
Undecided
Praecones Analytica [42] [B] February 26 – March 1, 2025626 (RV)± 4.5%59%41%

Chris Pappas vs. John E. Sununu

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
John
Sununu (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [22] September 17–23, 20251,235 (LV)± 2.8%49%43%1% [f] 7%
co/efficient (R) [33] September 10–12, 2025904 (LV)± 3.3%46%43%11%
1892 Polling (R) [43] [C] September 2–4, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%45%43%12%

Jeanne Shaheen vs. Scott Brown

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
Undecided
Praecones Analytica [42] [B] February 26 – March 1, 2025626 (RV)± 4.5%55%45%

Notes

  1. Bob Smith, the incumbent senator at the time, ran for re-election to a third term in 2002, but lost in the Republican primary to John E. Sununu.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 4%
  4. "Someone else" with 5%
  5. "Another candidate" with 2%
  6. "Another candidate" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for the NHJournal
  2. Poll sponsored by One Nation, a group aligned with the Senate Leadership Fund

References

  1. 1 2 Belman, Felice (March 12, 2025). "Senator Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire Democrat, Won't Run Again in 2026". The New York Times . Retrieved March 12, 2025.
  2. "New Hampshire keeps all-Democratic delegation with Pappas, Goodlander wins in US House races". AP News. November 5, 2024. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  3. "NH Republicans claim big State House wins and strengthen majorities in House and Senate". New Hampshire Public Radio. November 6, 2024. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  4. Castronuovo, Celine (November 4, 2020). "Shaheen wins reelection in New Hampshire". The Hill. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  5. 1 2 3 Graham, Michael (August 17, 2025). "Progressive Manzur To Challenge Pappas in Dem Senate Primary". NH Journal. Retrieved August 18, 2025.
  6. Sexton, Adam (April 3, 2025). "News 9 Exclusive: Chris Pappas announces he will run for U.S. Senate". WMUR-TV . Retrieved April 3, 2025.
  7. Blechl, Robert (September 26, 2025). "Bethlehem State Rep. Announces U.S. Senate Run". The Caledonian-Record . Archived from the original on September 27, 2025. Retrieved September 27, 2025.
  8. 1 2 Sexton, Adam (April 17, 2025). "US Rep. Maggie Goodlander decides against run for US Senate in 2026". WMUR-TV . Retrieved April 17, 2025.
  9. 1 2 Solender, Andrew (March 12, 2025). "Scoop: Rep. Chris Pappas eyes Jeanne Shaheen's newly open N.H. Senate seat". Axios . Retrieved March 12, 2025. Former Rep. Annie Kuster (D-N.H.), who retired from Congress this year, told Axios she 'will take a serious look if Pappas does not run.'
  10. 1 2 Sexton, Adam (April 24, 2025). "Shaheen endorses Pappas to replace her in Senate". WMUR-TV . Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  11. Sexton, Adam (March 30, 2025). Andru Volinsky debuts new book on fight for education funding. WMUR-TV . Retrieved March 30, 2025. [Adam Sexton]: Are you interested in running for U.S. Senate at all in 2026? [Andru Volinsky]: My focus is the book.
  12. Lips, Evan (April 4, 2025). "Both Parties Optimistic About NH01 Fight in 2026". NH Journal. Retrieved April 4, 2025.
  13. "Hassan backs Pappas as Dems unite in N.H."
  14. 1 2 3 Landrigan, Kevin (April 28, 2025). "Former Gov. John Lynch and wife Susan endorse Pappas for Senate". New Hampshire Union Leader . Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  15. 1 2 "LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses Chris Pappas for U.S. Senate". LGBTQ+ Victory Fund. Retrieved April 3, 2025.
  16. "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Rep. Chris Pappas for Senate". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees. May 6, 2025. Retrieved May 6, 2025.
  17. "AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  18. "End Citizens United Endorses Representative Chris Pappas for U.S. Senate". April 3, 2025. Retrieved April 7, 2025.
  19. "GIFFORDS PAC endorses Chris Pappas for US Senate". giffords.org. July 17, 2025. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  20. Booth, Colin (August 11, 2025). "Exclusive: Leading climate group endorses Rep. Chris Pappas for US Senate". Granite Post. Retrieved August 11, 2025.
  21. "2026 Election United States Senate - New Hampshire". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  22. 1 2 3 4 McKinley, Sean P.; Smith, Andrew E.; Azem, Zachary S.; Keirns, Tracy (September 29, 2025). "Early Look at 2026 NH Races". UNH Scholars Repository. Retrieved September 29, 2025.
  23. Sexton, Adam (June 25, 2025). "News 9 Exclusive: Scott Brown jumping into 2026 race for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire". WMUR-TV . Retrieved June 25, 2025.
  24. Graham, Michael (April 8, 2025). "2026 NH Senate Race: Sununu's Out, So Who's In?". NHJournal. Retrieved July 9, 2025. Another businessman, Jack Franks of Avanru Development Group, told NHJournal Tuesday night he's still considering entering the race as well.
  25. "Top of the Hour". The Hotline . June 13, 2025. Retrieved June 29, 2025. Attorney Philip Taub (R) is considering a run to replace retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D). Taub told Hotline in a statement that he sees the Senate as 'another opportunity to serve' the Granite State
  26. Sexton, Adam (June 22, 2025). Walter McFarlane eyes U.S. Senate run, highlights fiscal issue. WMUR-TV . Retrieved July 9, 2025.
  27. Gorman, Reese (September 3, 2025). "Former New Hampshire Sen. John Sununu Exploring Senate Bid". NOTUS . Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  28. 1 2 Graham, Michael (September 25, 2025). "Innis Suspends US Senate Campaign, Backs John E. Sununu". NH Journal. Retrieved September 25, 2025.
  29. Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (March 13, 2025). "Morning Digest: Jeanne Shaheen, a New Hampshire institution, will retire from the Senate". The Downballot. Retrieved March 13, 2025. Gov. Kelly Ayotte, though, unequivocally said she wasn't interested in returning to the Senate this cycle.
  30. Porter, Steven (April 8, 2025). "Former N.H. governor Chris Sununu says he won't run for US Senate in 2026". The Boston Globe . Retrieved April 8, 2025.
  31. Graham, Michael (March 17, 2025). "NH Republicans Eying Possible Open Congressional Seats Amid Goodlander-Pappas Chatter". NH Journal. Retrieved March 18, 2025. 2024 nominee Lily Tang Williams told NHJournal she is 'open minded' to the possibilities of running for either the House or Senate.
  32. Lips, Evan (April 10, 2025). "Lily Tang Williams Enters 2nd CD Race as Goodlander Considers Senate Run". NH Journal. Retrieved April 10, 2025.
  33. 1 2 3 4 "New Hampshire Senate 2026 Election" (PDF). co/efficient. September 12, 2025. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
  34. Levesque, Neil; Sisco, Tauna (September 5, 2025). "A Survey of Registered NH Voters" (PDF). Saint Anselm College . Retrieved September 9, 2025.
  35. "GIOVONIZZI, MATTHEW S. FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1885748".
  36. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  37. "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  38. "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  39. "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  40. 1 2 Sexton, Adam (September 3, 2025). "Poll shows Pappas leading potential Republican nominees in Senate racep". WMUR . Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  41. "Sununu Leads Pappas in Hypothetical New Hampshire Senate Matchup". Quantus Insights. March 20, 2025. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  42. 1 2 3 Graham, Michael (March 2, 2025). "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Age Issue Dogs Shaheen, Trails Sununu by 9 Points". NHJournal. Retrieved March 3, 2025.
  43. "NH SEN: Sununu Would Flip the Script in New Hampshire Senate Race" (PDF). 1892 Polling. September 6, 2025. Retrieved September 9, 2025.
Official campaign websites