2026 California gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 California gubernatorial election
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Incumbent Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic



The 2026 California gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of California. The nonpartisan top-two primary election will take place on June 2, 2026. Incumbent Democratic governor Gavin Newsom is term-limited and ineligible for re-election to a third term.

Contents

As of October 2025, more than a dozen candidates have declared campaigns, and the field is expected to grow. Republicans have not won a statewide race in California since 2006 and have held no statewide office since 2011.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Declined

Green Party

Declared

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Nicholas Thompson, college student [9]

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

  • Ramsey Robinson, school social worker [a] [41]

No party preference

Declared

  • Javen Allen, actor [29] [b]
  • Ethan Penner, real estate investor [43]
  • Ryan Tillman, police officer [44]
  • David Thelen, blogger [44]

Declined

Primary election

Endorsements

Ché Ahn (R)
Individuals
Organizations
Xavier Becerra (D)
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Chad Bianco (R)
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Steve Hilton (R)
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Zoltan Istvan (D)
Political parties
Katie Porter (D)
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Tony Thurmond (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)
U.S. senators
Local officials
Labor unions
Butch Ware (G)
Political parties
Betty Yee (D)
Organizations
Toni Atkins (D) (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Eleni Kounalakis (D) (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Kamala Harris (D) (declined)
State officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Xavier
Becerra
(D)		Chad
Bianco
(R)		Steve
Hilton
(R)		Katie
Porter
(D)		Tony
Thurmond
(D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		Betty
Yee
(D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [107] October 20–21, 2025900 (LV)± 3.19%5%11%16%15%3%5%2%4% [e] 39%
Emerson College [108] April 12–14, 2025899 (LV)± 3.2%3%4%–12%2%5%3%17% [f] 54%
Hypothetical polling

with Rick Caruso

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Xavier
Becerra (D)		Chad
Bianco (R)		Rick
Caruso (D)		Steve
Hilton (R)		Katie
Porter (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [109] September 15–16, 20251000 (RV)± 3%5%8%4%10%16%4%3%10% [g] 38%
Berkeley IGS [110] August 11–17, 20254950 (RV)± 1.5%9%10%4%6%17%4%2%9% [h] 38%
True Dot/
Politico [111] 		July 28–August 12, 2025875 (RV)± 2.6%9%15%6%10%21%9%6%15% [i] 9%
Emerson College [112] August 4–5, 20251000 (RV)± 3%3%7%4%12%18%5%2%13% [j] 38%

with Alex Padilla

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Xavier
Becerra (D)		Chad
Bianco (R)		Rick
Caruso (D)		Steve
Hilton (R)		Alex
Padilla (D)		Katie
Porter (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [109] September 15–16, 20251000 (RV)± 3%3%8%4%10%7%16%4%2%9% [k] 36%

with Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Toni
Atkins (D)		Chad
Bianco (R)		Kamala
Harris (D)		Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		Katie
Porter (D)		Tony
Thurmond (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [108] April 12–14, 2025911 (LV)± 3.2%1%4%31%2%8%1%2%1%11% [l] 39%

with John Cox

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Toni
Atkins (D)		Xavier
Becerra (D)		John
Cox (R)		Kamala
Harris (D)		Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		Katie
Porter (D)		Tony
Thurmond (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		Other
Capitol Weekly [113] February 3–7, 2025692 (RV)–2%4%21%23%2%16%1%2%2%27% [m]
1073 [n] 3%5%21%–5%26%2%3%3%30% [o]

with Brian Dahle

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Toni
Atkins (D)		Xavier
Becerra (D)		Chad
Bianco (R)		Brian
Dahle (R)		Steve
Hilton (R)		Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		Katie
Porter (D)		Tony
Thurmond (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		OtherUndecided
USC/CSU Long Beach/
Cal Poly Pomona [114] 		September 12–25, 20241,685 (LV)± 2.4%1%3%5%5%4%2%14%1%3%3%9% [p] 50%
Tulchin Research (D) [115] [A] August 8–12, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%–––13%10%10%4%4%13%7%–39%

with Steve Garvey

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Toni
Atkins (D)		Xavier
Becerra (D)		Chad
Bianco (R)		Steve
Garvey (R)		Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		Katie
Porter (D)		Tony
Thurmond (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		OtherUndecided
Breakthrough Campaigns [116] [B] November 22–26, 20241,228 (LV)± 2.8%1%2%6%18%8%21%3%3%3%23% [q] 12%
3%6%14%21%9%24%2%3%6%1% [r] 11%

"Democratic Primary Poll" [s]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [d] 		Margin
of error		Toni
Atkins (D)		Kamala
Harris (D)		Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		Katie
Porter (D)		Tony
Thurmond (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Betty
Yee (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [117] [C] February 10–11, 2025469 (RV)± 4.5%3%57%4%9%1%4%2%5% [t] 17%
3%–5%21%3%9%3%12% [u] 45%

Debates

2026 California gubernatorial primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
AtkinsKounalakisThurmondYee
1Sep. 29,
2024		 National Union of Healthcare Workers
Los Angeles Times ,
The Associated Press, Politico 		Laurel Rosenhall
Lisa Matthews
Melanie Mason		 YouTube PPPP

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [118] Solid DSeptember 11, 2025
Inside Elections [119] Solid DAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [120] Safe DSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [121] Safe DSeptember 16, 2025

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Robinson is a member of both the Peace and Freedom Party and the Party for Socialism and Liberation.
  2. ↑ Allen initially announced his bid as a member of the American Independent Party. [42]
  3. ↑ When the article was published, San Diego had 8 city councilors, all 8 of whom endorsed Atkins. A ninth councilor was sworn in after the 2024 election.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ↑ Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Ian Calderon (D) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ↑ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 3%; Toni Atkins (D) and Kyle Langford (R) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Brandon Jones (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Sharifah Hardie (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with <1%; "Someone else" with 5%
  7. ↑ Toni Atkins (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), Kyle Langford (R), Jimmy Parker (R), Tony Thurmond (D) and Butch Ware (G) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Daniel Mercuri (R) and Leo Zacky (R) with <.5%; "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ↑ Brian Dahle (R) and Richard Grenell (R) with 2%; Toni Atkins (D) and Tony Thurmond (D) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with <1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  9. ↑ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 7%; Toni Atkins (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Tony Thurmond (D) with 2%
  10. ↑ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 3%; Toni Atkins (D) and Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 2%; Tony Thurmond (D) with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%
  11. ↑ Tony Thurmond (D), Toni Atkins (D), Stephen Cloobeck (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Kyle Langford (R) and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Brandon Jones (R), Leo Zacky (R) and Butch Ware (G) with <.5%; "Someone else" with 2%
  12. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Kyle Langford (R) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Daniel Mercuri (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with 0%
  13. ↑ Lanhee Chen (R) with 10%; Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Rob Bonta (D) with 7%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  14. ↑ Total says 1073, but numbers add up to 1071
  15. ↑ Rob Bonta (D) and Lanhee Chen (R) with 9%; Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  16. ↑ Rob Bonta (D) with 4%; Rick Caruso (D) with 3%; Lanhee Chen (R) with 2%
  17. ↑ Brian Dahle (R) with 9%; Rob Bonta (D) with 6%; Rick Caruso with 5%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 3%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  18. ↑ Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 1%
  19. ↑ Survey asked only Democratic voters. In California, all candidates run on the same ballot in a “blanket primary.”
  20. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Michael Younger (D) with 1%
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 8%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 3%; and Michael Younger (D) with under 1%

Partisan and media clients

  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Villaraigosa's campaign
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Woman Up
  3. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Inside California Politics and The Hill

References

  1. ↑ Primack, Dan (August 25, 2025). "Exclusive: Tech entrepreneur joins California gov race". Axios . Retrieved August 26, 2025.
  2. ↑ Mason, Melanie (April 2, 2025). "Xavier Becerra announces bid for California governor". Politico . Retrieved April 2, 2025.
  3. ↑ Crosnoe, Alexandra (June 30, 2025). "UCLA student Carolina Buhler to compete in 2026 California gubernatorial primary". Daily Bruin . Retrieved July 2, 2025.
  4. ↑ Nixon, Nicole (September 23, 2025). "Former California Assembly leader Ian Calderon jumps into governor's race". The Sacramento Bee . Retrieved September 23, 2025.
  5. ↑ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (November 5, 2024). "Hospitality businessman Stephen Cloobeck launches California governor bid". The Orange County Register . Archived from the original on November 8, 2024. Retrieved November 13, 2024.
  6. ↑ Stokols, Eli (July 8, 2025). "Elon Musk's dream of a techie takeover of politics". Politico .
  7. ↑ Jones, Blake; Gardiner, Dustin (September 25, 2025). "Can Calderon ride crypto to contention?". Politico . Retrieved September 26, 2025.
  8. ↑ Rosenhall, Laurel (March 11, 2025). "Katie Porter Will Run for California Governor". The New York Times . Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  9. 1 2 3 Barraza, Paris (July 30, 2025). "Kamala Harris won't run for California governor, ending months of speculation". The Desert Sun . Retrieved August 26, 2025.
  10. ↑ Flores, Hilda (September 26, 2023). "State Superintendent Tony Thurmond officially announces run for governor". KCRA . Archived from the original on September 26, 2023. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  11. ↑ Gans, Jared (July 23, 2024). "Former LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa again running for California governor". The Hill . Archived from the original on July 23, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
  12. 1 2 Bollag, Sophia (April 24, 2023). "Former California Controller Betty Yee says she will run to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom in 2026". San Francisco Chronicle . Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
  13. ↑ Marques, Felipe (September 3, 2025). "Billionaire Caruso 'Seriously' Looking at Running for Mayor or Governor". Bloomberg News . Archived from the original on September 3, 2025. Retrieved September 5, 2025.
  14. 1 2 3 Gardiner, Dustin; Jones, Blake (August 26, 2025). "The juice behind the Alex Padilla for governor rumors". Politico . Retrieved August 26, 2025.
  15. ↑ Rosenhall, Laurel; Oreskes, Benjamin (October 11, 2025). "Katie Porter Videos Give California Rivals a New Opening". The New York Times . Archived from the original on October 12, 2025. Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  16. ↑ White, Jeremy B. (October 9, 2025). "Katie Porter's spiral and a $12M ad buy spark chatter of a Tom Steyer comeback". Politico . Retrieved October 10, 2025.
  17. ↑ Gardiner, Dustin; Jones, Blake (October 23, 2025). "Federal agents assemble across the Bay". Politico . Archived from the original on October 23, 2025. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  18. ↑ Mason, Melanie (September 29, 2025). "Toni Atkins drops out of the California governor's race". Politico . Retrieved September 29, 2025.
  19. ↑ Gardiner, Dustin (August 8, 2025). "Eleni Kounalakis drops out of California governor's race, pivots to downballot campaign". Politico . Retrieved August 8, 2025.
  20. 1 2 Gardiner, Dustin; Jones, Blake (February 5, 2025). "Rob Bonta is keeping his day job". Politico . Retrieved May 9, 2025. Attorney General Rob Bonta won't run for California governor in 2026, he told Playbook...instead, he'll seek reelection as AG and back former Vice President Kamala Harris if she jumps into the fray to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom.
  21. ↑ Mehta, Seema (November 17, 2024). "Laphonza Butler reflects on her brief Senate career, the presidential race and her future". Los Angeles Times . Archived from the original on November 26, 2024. Retrieved November 26, 2024.
  22. ↑ Reston, Maeve (July 30, 2025). "Kamala Harris will not run for California governor, opening door for 2028 run". The Washington Post . Retrieved July 30, 2025.
  23. ↑ Barabak, Mark (October 1, 2025). "He's a real pain for Gavin Newsom. And a rising Democratic star". Los Angeles Times . Retrieved October 2, 2025.
  24. ↑ Zavala, Ashley (October 27, 2025). "San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan launches statewide push to improve California's government". KCRA-TV . Retrieved October 28, 2025.
  25. ↑ Larreal, Samuel (August 1, 2025). "Kamala Harris just kicked off the California governor's race". NOTUS . Retrieved August 2, 2025– via Stocktonia. 'No, no. Definitely not,' Schiff said when NOTUS asked whether he would consider running [for governor in 2026]
  26. ↑ "Pasadena Church Leader Ché Ahn to Announce Gubernatorial Bid at Ambassador Auditorium in Pasadena". Pasadena Now . September 29, 2025. Retrieved September 30, 2025.
  27. ↑ Horseman, Jeff (February 17, 2025). "Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco announces California governor run in 2026". San Gabriel Valley Tribune . Retrieved February 17, 2025.
  28. ↑ Simon, Mark (June 26, 2025). "Notes, Quotes and Dust Motes, IRL". San Mateo Daily Journal . Retrieved August 24, 2025.
  29. 1 2 Javid, Nazy (June 9, 2025). "Bianco vows to reopen prisons, including Susanville, in 2026 governor bid". KRCR-TV . Retrieved August 26, 2025.
  30. ↑ Jones, Blake (April 21, 2025). "Former Fox News host Steve Hilton is running for California governor". Politico . Retrieved April 21, 2025.
  31. ↑ Baños, Alejandro (March 12, 2025). "Katie Porter officially announces her candidacy for California governor". VOZ . Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  32. ↑ "California gov. hopeful makes antisemitic Auschwitz comment". The Jerusalem Post . July 27, 2025. Retrieved July 27, 2025.
  33. ↑ Sparks, Jennifer; Cook, Jerry R. (March 19, 2025). "Politics and The Pulpit –Daniel Mercuri- March 19, 2025". KHTS Radio. Retrieved April 17, 2025.
  34. 1 2 Medina, Alex (July 23, 2024). "Antonio Villaraigosa announces another run for California governor". Boyle Heights Beat. Archived from the original on July 24, 2024. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
  35. ↑ "IB Republicans Hear From David Serpa". Imperial Beach Eagle & Times. April 25, 2025. Retrieved August 11, 2025.
  36. ↑ My encouragement to the middle class is to 'get out' of it, move yourself up: Grant Cardone. Fox Business . May 24, 2025. Retrieved June 27, 2025. Grant Cardone dissects the state of the country and whether a 2026 California gubernatorial run could happen
  37. ↑ Trump, Lara (August 22, 2025). Lara Trump & Jake Steinfeld, Founder of 'Body by Jake'. The Right View with Lara Trump. Event occurs at 24:40. Retrieved September 18, 2025– via YouTube.
  38. ↑ "Mel Gibson 'Flattered' by Governor Poll Favorability, but Has Zero Interest". TMZ . March 18, 2025. Retrieved March 28, 2025.
  39. ↑ Solender, Andrew (February 13, 2024). "McCarthy floats future run for office in rare Capitol Hill visit". Axios . Archived from the original on February 17, 2024. Retrieved February 17, 2024. McCarthy dismissed a run for California governor in 2026
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  41. ↑ Evans, Jordan Willow (June 20, 2025). "Three California Peace and Freedom Party Members Announce 2026 Statewide Campaigns". Independent Political Report . Retrieved August 4, 2025.
  42. ↑ "Javen Allen is the New Politician in Town & He's Not Backing Down!" (Press release). January 7, 2025. Retrieved August 26, 2025– via WWTV.
  43. ↑ Clanton, Alicia (September 18, 2025). "CMBS Pioneer Penner Launches Long-Shot Bid for California Governor". Bloomberg News . Retrieved September 16, 2025.
  44. 1 2 Weber, Lindsay (April 25, 2025). "Who is in the running for California's next governor? What to know before the next statewide election". KCRA-TV . Archived from the original on October 13, 2025. Retrieved October 10, 2025.
  45. ↑ BREAKING: Nicole Shanahan Will NOT Run For Governor Of California. The Steve Hilton Show. March 21, 2025 – via YouTube.
  46. ↑ Abby Trivett (September 29, 2025). "Pastor Bill Johnson Endorses Ché Ahn for California Governor". Charisma News . Retrieved October 12, 2025.
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  50. 1 2 3 4 5 Williams, Sam (May 28, 2025). "Bianco brings his gubernatorial campaign to Jensen Hall at 5 p.m. June 6". Lassen County Times. Retrieved June 23, 2025.
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  52. 1 2 3 Gligich, Daniel (June 6, 2024). "Coalition urges Riverside Sheriff Bianco to run for governor". San Joaquin Valley Sun. Retrieved February 18, 2025.
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  54. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Coalition Organizes to Draft Riverside Sheriff for Governor". California County News. June 19, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2025.
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  56. ↑ "Congressman Tom McClintock Endorses Steve Hilton for Governor of California". Sierra Sun Times. May 12, 2025. Retrieved June 20, 2025.
  57. ↑ @VivekGRamaswamy (April 21, 2025). "Steve Hilton represents American excellence. He's a great entrepreneur & communicator, and he'll be a dominant Governor of California. I've known him for years & enjoyed welcoming him to Ohio for our launch in Feb. He has my full endorsement. Victors, not victims, from OH to CA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  59. 1 2 Stolyarov II, Gennady (September 4, 2025). "U.S. Transhumanist Party Enters the 'All Hands for a Free Future' Coalition with the U.S. Pirate Party, Endorses Gubernatorial Candidacies of Timothy Grady and Zoltan Istvan". U.S. Transhumanist Party . Retrieved September 4, 2025.
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  62. ↑ Gardiner, Dustin; White, Jeremy; Jones, Blake (October 22, 2025). "Pelosi succession intrigue in San Francisco". Politico . Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  63. ↑ "California Construction and Manufacturing Workers Endorse Katie Porter for Governor". Western States Council of Sheet Metal Workers on ACCESS Newswire (Press release). September 23, 2025. Retrieved October 5, 2025– via MarketWatch.
  64. ↑ McQuaid, Matt; Finn, Peter; Griswold, Chris (September 4, 2025). "Proven Leader is Best Choice for California Workers". International Brotherhood of Teamsters . Retrieved September 5, 2025.
  65. ↑ Teamsters Local 396 [@teamsters396] (September 5, 2025). "JUST ANNOUNCED: Teamsters Endorses Katie Porter for Governor - Proven Leader is Best Choice for California Workers" . Retrieved September 6, 2025– via Instagram.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
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  70. ↑ Miller, Mike (August 28, 2025). "UAW Becomes First Major Union to Endorse Katie Porter for Governor of California". United Auto Workers Region 6. Retrieved September 12, 2025.
  71. ↑ Mehta, Seema (October 6, 2025). "Katie Porter gains backing of powerful Democratic women's group in 2026 governor's race". Los Angeles Times . Retrieved October 7, 2025.
  72. 1 2 3 Gardiner, Dustin; Jones, Blake (September 5, 2025). "Bay Area transit deal on the brink". Politico . Retrieved September 5, 2025.
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  74. ↑ McLaughlin, Jill (April 21, 2025). "More Candidates Emerge as California Governor's Race Gains Steam". California Insider. Retrieved June 23, 2025. Thurmond has been endorsed by several former and current state lawmakers and U.S. Rep. Laura Friedman.
  75. ↑ Holden, Lindsey (September 23, 2025). "Harris backpedals while Newsom hits late-night". Politico . Retrieved September 24, 2025.
  76. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Bajko, Matthew S. (June 17, 2024). "LPAC early endorses lesbian 2026 CA governor candidate Atkins". Bay Area Reporter . Retrieved July 24, 2024.
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  81. ↑ Loobkoff, Sasha; Doherty, John (October 14, 2025). "California Electrical Workers Endorse Antonio Villaraigosa for Governor". California State Association of Electrical Workers . Retrieved October 14, 2025.
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