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Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota, concurrently with other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tina Smith declined to seek election to a second full term. Smith was elected to her first full term with 48.74% of the vote in 2020 after winning a special election in 2018 to complete the term of former Senator Al Franken who resigned amid sexual harassment allegations. [1] [2]
This will be the first U.S. Senate election in Minnesota without an incumbent since 2006. [3]
Minnesota is considered to be a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal and state levels. Kamala Harris won the state by four percentage points in the 2024 presidential election, while the last time a statewide race was won by a Republican was in 2006, when Republican Tim Pawlenty narrowly defeated DFL candidate Mike Hatch. However, elections are generally close in the state, typically decided by single-digit margins.[ citation needed ] The most recent Senate election, in 2024, saw DFL incumbent Amy Klobuchar defeat Republican Royce White by nearly 16 points. [4] The most recent election for this seat, held in 2020, saw incumbent Democrat Tina Smith win her first full term in the Senate by five points over Republican Jason Lewis. [5] Smith had originally been nominated by Governor Mark Dayton to take the vacant seat following the resignation of incumbent Al Franken; she had been Dayton's lieutenant governor. [6] Smith won the special election to serve the balance of Franken's term in 2018. [7]
Despite the competitive nature, Democrats have had considerably more success in the state in recent years. Democrats control all statewide offices, both U.S. Senate seats and the Minnesota Senate, while the Minnesota House of Representatives and the U.S. House delegation are both evenly split. [8] [9]
On February 13, 2025, Smith announced that she would not run for a second full term as senator. [2] That same day, DFL Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican former basketball player and nominee for senate in 2024 Royce White both announced their campaigns. [10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Angie Craig | Peggy Flanagan | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [24] | February 14–15, 2025 | 668 (LV) | – | 22% | 52% | 27% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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Inside Elections [35] | Battleground | February 13, 2025 |
The Cook Political Report [36] | Lean D | February 13, 2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Lean D | February 13, 2025 |
Attorney General Keith Ellison, who was mentioned as a possible Democratic candidate for Minnesota's newly open Senate seat, confirmed Friday that he's thinking about it
One name to cross off the list of potential candidates: first-term Democratic Rep. Kelly Morrison, who said in a brief interview she was staying put
Republican state Sen. Julia Coleman told WCCO she is considering running for the seat.
In a post Saturday on X, state Sen. Zach Duckworth (R) ruled himself out of the [Senate] race
Two more Republicans, state Sen. Zach Duckworth and attorney Chris Madel, each took their names out of contention for the Senate race.