2026 United States Senate elections

Last updated

2026 United States Senate elections
Flag of the United States (Web Colors).svg
  2024 November 3, 2026 2028  
  2020
2032 

35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51 [a] seats needed for a majority
  John Thune 117th Congress portrait cropped.jpg Chuck Schumer official photo (3x4a).jpg
Leader John Thune Chuck Schumer
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 3, 2025 January 3, 2017
Leader's seat South Dakota New York
Current seats5345 [b]
Seats neededSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg 4
Seats up2213

 
Party Independent
Current seats2 [b]
Seats up0

2026 United States Senate elections retirements map.svg
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent     Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent     Republican incumbent retiring
     No election

Incumbent Majority Leader

John Thune
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections. In these elections, voters will elect candidates to six-year terms that begin on January 3, 2027, and expire on January 3, 2033. Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every other year. Class 2 senators were last elected in 2020 and are up for election in this cycle.

Contents

Two special elections are also scheduled for November 3, 2026. One will be held in Ohio to fill the remaining two years of former Senator JD Vance's unexpired term following his resignation to become vice president of the United States, and one will be held in Florida to fill the remaining two years of former Senator Marco Rubio's unexpired term after he resigned in 2025 to become United States Secretary of State. With the election of John Thune as leader of the Republican Conference, this will be the first election year since 2006 in which the Republicans are not led by Mitch McConnell.

Partisan composition

All 33 Class 2 Senate seats and two Class 3 seats are up for election in 2026. Class 2 currently consists of 20 Republicans and 13 Democrats. If vacancies occur in Class 1 or 3 Senate seats, additional special elections could be scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Democrats are defending two seats in states won by Donald Trump in 2024 (in both cases, by less than 3 percentage points): Michigan, where incumbent Gary Peters is not running for reelection; and Georgia, where the incumbent is Jon Ossoff. Michigan elected Democrat Elissa Slotkin to the Senate in 2024 by 0.3 percentage points; Georgia did not have a Senate election in 2024, although in the most recent Senate election, in 2022, Democrat Raphael Warnock won by three points in a runoff. [1] [2]

Five incumbent Democratic senators represent states won by Kamala Harris by single-digit margins in 2024: New Hampshire's Jeanne Shaheen, Minnesota's Tina Smith, Virginia's Mark Warner, New Jersey's Cory Booker, and New Mexico's Ben Ray Luján. [1] Shaheen and Smith are not running for reelection. [3]

Susan Collins's seat in Maine is the only seat being defended by a Republican in a state that Kamala Harris won in 2024. [4] Republican Thom Tillis of North Carolina is retiring [5] from the Senate in a state won by Trump by a single-digit margin in 2024. [1]

The 2026 Senate map is considered favorable to Republicans. In this cycle, Democrats are defending 13 seats, while Republicans are defending 22 seats. The makeup of the seats up for reelection means that Republicans are heavily favored to retain their Senate majority. Only two Republican-held seats are considered competitive by most rating groups, and Democrats need to flip a minimum of four seats to win a majority. Furthermore, two to four Democratic-held Senate seats are considered vulnerable. [6] [7] [8]

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1D2D3D4D5D6D7D8D9D10
D20D19D18D17D16D15D14D13D12D11
D21D22D23D24D25D26D27D28D29D30
D40
Va.
Running
D39
R.I.
Running
D38
Ore.
Running
D37
N.M.
Running
D36
N.J.
Running
D35
Mass.
Running
D34
Ga.
Running
D33
Colo.
Running
D32D31
D41
Del.
Undeclared
D42
Ill.
Retiring
D43
Mich.
Retiring
D44
Minn.
Retiring
D45
N.H.
Retiring
I1I2R53
N.C.
Retiring
R52
Ky.
Retiring
R51
Iowa
Retiring
Majority →R50
Ala.
Retiring
R41
Tenn.
Running
R42
Texas
Running
R43
Kan.
Undeclared
R44
Maine
Undeclared
R45
Mont.
Undeclared
R46
Okla.
Undeclared
R47
S.D.
Undeclared
R48
W.Va.
Undeclared
R49
Wyo.
Undeclared
R40
S.C.
Running
R39
Ohio (sp.)
Running
R38
Neb.
Running
R37
Miss.
Running
R36
La.
Running
R35
Idaho
Running
R34
Fla. (sp.)
Running
R33
Ark.
Running
R32
Alaska
Running
R31
R21R22R23R24R25R26R27R28R29R30
R20R19R18R17R16R15R14R13R12R11
R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10

After the elections

D1D2D3D4D5D6D7D8D9D10
D20D19D18D17D16D15D14D13D12D11
D21D22D23D24D25D26D27D28D29D30
Fla. (sp.)
TBD
Del.
TBD
Colo.
TBD
Ark.
TBD
Alaska
TBD
Ala.
TBD
I2I1D32D31
Ga.
TBD
Idaho
TBD
Ill.
TBD
Iowa
TBD
Kan.
TBD
Ky.
TBD
La.
TBD
Maine
TBD
Mass.
TBD
Mich.
TBD
Majority TBD →
Minn.
TBD
Ore.
TBD
Okla.
TBD
Ohio (sp.)
TBD
N.C.
TBD
N.M.
TBD
N.J.
TBD
N.H.
TBD
Neb.
TBD
Mont.
TBD
Miss.
TBD
R.I.
TBD
S.C.
TBD
S.D.
TBD
Tenn.
TBD
Texas
TBD
Va.
TBD
W.Va.
TBD
Wyo.
TBD
R31
R21R22R23R24R25R26R27R28R29R30
R20R19R18R17R16R15R14R13R12R11
R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10
Key
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Retirements

As of September 2025, eight senators—four Democrats and four Republicans—have announced that they will not seek reelection in 2026. Tommy Tuberville is the only one to seek election to another office, governor of Alabama.

StateSenatorAge at
end of term
Ref
Alabama Tommy Tuberville 72 [9]
Illinois Dick Durbin 82 [10]
Iowa Joni Ernst 56 [11]
Kentucky Mitch McConnell 84 [12]
Michigan Gary Peters 68 [13]
Minnesota Tina Smith 68 [14]
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen 79 [15]
North Carolina Thom Tillis 66 [16]

Predictions

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors used:

ConstituencyIncumbentRatings
State PVI [17] SenatorLast
election [c]
Cook
Aug. 18,
2025
[18]
IE
Aug. 12,
2025
[19]
Sabato
Aug. 12,
2025
[20]
WH
Sep. 4,
2025
[21]
Alabama R+15 Tommy Tuberville
(retiring)
60.10% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Alaska R+6 Dan Sullivan 53.90% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Lean R
Arkansas R+15 Tom Cotton 66.53% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Colorado D+6 John Hickenlooper 53.50% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
Delaware D+8 Chris Coons 59.44% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
Florida
(special)
R+6 Ashley Moody Appointed
(2025) [d]
Solid R Solid R Safe R Lean R
Georgia R+1 Jon Ossoff 50.62% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
Idaho R+18 Jim Risch 62.62% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Illinois D+6 Dick Durbin
(retiring)
54.93% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D
Iowa R+6 Joni Ernst
(retiring)
51.74% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Kansas R+8 Roger Marshall 53.22% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R
Kentucky R+15 Mitch McConnell
(retiring)
57.76% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Louisiana R+11 Bill Cassidy 59.32% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Maine D+4 Susan Collins 50.98% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Tossup
Massachusetts D+14 Ed Markey 66.15% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
Michigan EVEN Gary Peters
(retiring)
49.90% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Minnesota D+3 Tina Smith
(retiring)
48.74% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D
Mississippi R+11 Cindy Hyde-Smith 54.11% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+10 Steve Daines 55.01% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R
Nebraska R+10 Pete Ricketts 62.58% R
(2024 sp.) [e]
Solid R Solid R Likely R Likely R
New Hampshire D+2 Jeanne Shaheen
(retiring)
56.64% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D
New Jersey D+4 Cory Booker 57.23% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico D+4 Ben Ray Luján 51.73% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D
North Carolina R+1 Thom Tillis
(retiring)
48.69% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Tilt D (flip)
Ohio
(special)
R+5 Jon Husted Appointed
(2025) [f]
Lean R Lean R Lean R Tilt R
Oklahoma R+17 Markwayne Mullin 61.77% R
(2022 sp.) [g]
Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Oregon D+8 Jeff Merkley 56.91% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
Rhode Island D+8 Jack Reed 66.48% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
South Carolina R+8 Lindsey Graham 54.44% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R
South Dakota R+15 Mike Rounds 65.74% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee R+14 Bill Hagerty 62.20% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Texas R+6 John Cornyn 53.51% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Tilt R
Virginia D+3 Mark Warner 55.99% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
West Virginia R+21 Shelley Moore Capito 70.28% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Wyoming R+23 Cynthia Lummis 72.85% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Overall [h] D/I - 45
R - 52
3 tossups
D/I - 45
R - 52
3 tossups
D/I - 45
R - 52
3 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 51
2 tossups

Polls

AggregatorUpdatedRepublicansDemocratsUnsure/OtherLead
Real Clear Politics September 2, 202541.3%44.2%14.5%Democrats +2.9%
Decision Desk HQ September 3, 202539.1%42.0%20.9%Democrats +2.9%
Average40.2%43.1%16.7%Democrats +2.9%

Potentially competitive seats

These are seats which polling and predictions currently have listed as being at least somewhat close.

Republican incumbents

Two of the four Senate races expected to be the most competitive feature Republican incumbents in Maine (Susan Collins) and North Carolina (Thom Tillis). [22] Maine's 2026 race is regarded as being competitive due to the state's blue lean, but Collins previously kept her seat during cycles favorable to Democrats nationally (2008 and 2020). [23] [24] North Carolina's race is also considered competitive since the state has a slight right lean, and Tillis never won a majority of votes in his races. [25] [26] On June 29, 2025, Tillis announced that he would not seek a third term. [16] In July 2025, Democratic former Governor Roy Cooper announced his candidacy for the open seat; Cooper is the best-polling of all potential Democratic candidates for this seat. [27]

Incumbents in Ohio (Jon Husted), Texas (John Cornyn), and Alaska (Dan Sullivan) are also expected to have somewhat competitive races. [22] Joni Ernst, the incumbent in Iowa, has announced that she will not seek a third term. [11] The incumbent in Nebraska (Pete Ricketts) could also face a competitive race with the entrance of independent Dan Osborn, who ran against Republican Deb Fischer in the Class I race in 2024. Osborn was the most successful challenger of a Republican-held seat during the 2024 election cycle, having lost by only 6 points compared to Kamala Harris's loss by 20 points in Nebraska in the concurrent presidential election. Democrats did not contest the seat in 2024, and it is unclear whether they will do so in 2026.

Democratic incumbents

The other half of the Senate races expected to be the most competitive are those in Georgia and Michigan. [22] Georgia's incumbent Democratic senator (Jon Ossoff) is expected to be in a highly competitive race, though not as competitive as it could have been since Republican Governor Brian Kemp declined to run for the seat. [28] Ossoff narrowly beat out former Senator David Perdue in 2021 to win his first term. [29] In Michigan, senator Gary Peters has announced his retirement, setting a scramble for the state with an even PVI score. [30]

The seats in Minnesota (vacated by Tina Smith), and New Hampshire (vacated by Jeanne Shaheen) are expected to be only marginally close races—especially the latter, with popular former Republican governor Chris Sununu declining to run. [20] [31] But Sununu's brother John E. Sununu is considering a run for the Senate seat he lost to Shaheen in 2008, with his decision expected in November. Despite this, Republican former United States Senator from Massachusetts and U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa Scott Brown announced his candidacy for the open seat; Brown was the Republican nominee in 2014, narrowly losing the general election to Shaheen. [32]

Race summary

Special elections during the preceding Congress

In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.

Elections are sorted by date then state.

ConstituencyIncumbentStatusCandidates
State PVI [17] SenatorPartyElectoral history
Florida
(Class 3)
R+5 Ashley Moody Republican2025 (appointed)Interim appointee running
Ohio
(Class 3)
R+5 Jon Husted Republican2025 (appointed)Interim appointee running

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2027.

ConstituencyIncumbentResultsCandidates
State
(linked to
summaries below)
PVI [17] SenatorPartyElectoral historyLast race
Alabama R+15 Tommy Tuberville Republican 2020 60.1% RIncumbent retiring
to run for governor [9]
Alaska R+6 Dan Sullivan Republican 2014
2020
53.9% RIncumbent running
Arkansas R+15 Tom Cotton Republican 2014
2020
66.5% RIncumbent running
Colorado D+6 John Hickenlooper Democratic 2020 53.5% DIncumbent running
Delaware D+8 Chris Coons Democratic 2010 (special)
2014
2020
59.4% DIncumbent's intent unknown
  • TBD
Georgia R+1 Jon Ossoff Democratic 2021 50.6% DIncumbent running
Idaho R+18 Jim Risch Republican 2008
2014
2020
62.6% RIncumbent running
Illinois D+6 Dick Durbin Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
2020
54.9% DIncumbent retiring [10]
Iowa R+6 Joni Ernst Republican 2014
2020
51.7% RIncumbent retiring [11]
Kansas R+8 Roger Marshall Republican 2020 53.2% RIncumbent's intent unknown
  • Christy Davis (Democratic) [81]
  • Anne Parelkar (Democratic) [82]
  • Michael Soetaert (Democratic) [82]
Kentucky R+15 Mitch McConnell Republican 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
2014
2020
57.8% RIncumbent retiring [12]
Louisiana R+11 Bill Cassidy Republican 2014
2020
59.3% RIncumbent running
Maine D+4 Susan Collins Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
2020
51.0% RIncumbent's intent unknown
  • Natasha Alcala (Democratic) [93]
  • David Costello (Democratic) [94]
  • Tucker Favreau (Democratic) [95]
  • Dan Kleban (Democratic) [96]
  • Graham Platner (Democratic) [97]
  • Phillip Rench (Independent) [98]
  • Dan Smeriglio (Republican) [99]
  • Jordan Wood (Democratic) [100]
Massachusetts D+14 Ed Markey Democratic 2013 (special)
2014
2020
66.2% DIncumbent running
Michigan EVEN Gary Peters Democratic 2014
2020
49.9% DIncumbent retiring [13]
Minnesota D+3 Tina Smith DFL2018 (appointed)
2018 (special)
2020
48.7% DFLIncumbent retiring [14]
Mississippi R+11 Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican2018 (appointed)
2018 (special)
2020
54.1% RIncumbent running
Montana R+10 Steve Daines Republican 2014
2020
55.0% RIncumbent's intent unknown
Nebraska R+10 Pete Ricketts Republican2023 (appointed)
2024 (special)
62.6% RIncumbent running
New Hampshire D+2 Jeanne Shaheen Democratic 2008
2014
2020
56.6% DIncumbent retiring [15]
New Jersey D+4 Cory Booker Democratic 2013 (special)
2014
2020
57.2% DIncumbent running
New Mexico D+4 Ben Ray Luján Democratic 2020 51.7% DIncumbent running
North Carolina R+1 Thom Tillis Republican 2014
2020
48.7% RIncumbent retiring [16]
Oklahoma R+17 Markwayne Mullin Republican 2022 (special) 61.8% RIncumbent's intent unknown
  • N’Kiyla Thomas (Democratic) [131]
Oregon D+8 Jeff Merkley Democratic 2008
2014
2020
56.9% DIncumbent running
Rhode Island D+8 Jack Reed Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
2020
66.5% DIncumbent running
South Carolina R+8 Lindsey Graham Republican 2002
2008
2014
2020
54.4% RIncumbent running
South Dakota R+15 Mike Rounds Republican 2014
2020
65.7% RIncumbent running
Tennessee R+14 Bill Hagerty Republican 2020 62.2% RIncumbent running
Texas R+6 John Cornyn Republican 2002
2008
2014
2020
53.5% RIncumbent running
Virginia D+3 Mark Warner Democratic 2008
2014
2020
56.0% DIncumbent running
West Virginia R+21 Shelley Moore Capito Republican 2014
2020
70.3% RIncumbent's intent unknown
Wyoming R+23 Cynthia Lummis Republican 2020 72.8% RIncumbent's intent unknownTBD

Alabama

One-term Republican Tommy Tuberville previously said he planned to seek reelection, [156] but announced on May 27, 2025, that he would instead run for governor of Alabama in 2026. [9] He was elected in 2020 with 60.1% of the vote.

Former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson, state Attorney General Steve Marshall, Congressman Barry Moore, businessman Jeremy Spratling, and fuel company CEO Rodney Walker have announced their candidacies for the Republican nomination. [39] [41] [43] [157] [158]

Potential Republican candidates include former Secretary of State John Merrill, former state Department of Veterans Affairs Commissioner Kent Davis, [159] state House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter, and former Congressman from Alabama's 5th District Mo Brooks, who was also a candidate for Alabama's other U.S. Senate seat in 2022. [160]

On the Democratic side, small business owners Dakarai Larriett and Kyle Sweetser and chemist Mark Wheeler II have all announced campaigns. [40] [44] [45] Sweetser, a former Republican, also spoke at the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Former U.S. Senator from this seat Doug Jones (2018–2021), who was defeated for reelection by Tuberville in 2020, is seen as a potential Democratic candidate. [161]

Sportscaster and former University of Alabama Crimson Tide football head coach Nick Saban has been cited as a potential candidate for Senate, though his party preference is unknown. [162]

Alaska

Two-term Republican Dan Sullivan was reelected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a third term. [46]

Despite filing paperwork to run for her old seat, [163] former Democratic Congresswoman Mary Peltola has also expressed interest in running for the Senate. [164] [165] Former state senator Tom Begich has also been mentioned as a potential candidate for the Democrats, [166] but he is currently running for governor.

Arkansas

Two-term Republican Tom Cotton was reelected in 2020 with 66.5% of the vote. Cotton is running for reelection.

Democratic activist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022, Dan Whitfield, has announced his campaign, as has rice farmer Hallie Shoffner. [167] [168] [169]

Colorado

One-term Democrat John Hickenlooper, elected with 53.5% of the vote in 2020, has said he plans to run for reelection for a third term, and that it will be his last term. [50] [170] [171]

For the Republicans, former state Representative Janak Joshi announced his candidacy on August 13, 2025. [172]

Delaware

Three-term Democrat Chris Coons was reelected in 2020 with 59.4% of the vote.

Florida (special)

Three-term Republican Marco Rubio was reelected in 2022 with 57.68% of the vote. He resigned on January 20, 2025, following his confirmation as Secretary of State. Governor Ron DeSantis announced he would appoint Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody as an interim successor to serve until the vacancy is filled by a special election in 2026. [173] Moody has announced her candidacy for the special election to finish Rubio's term. [34] Podcaster and participant in the January 6 U.S. Capitol attack Jake Lang is challenging Moody in the Republican primary. [174]

Former Congressman from Florida's 9th congressional district Alan Grayson has filed paperwork to run for the Democratic nomination. [175] Alexander Vindman, former director of European affairs for the U.S. National Security Council, whistleblower in the 2019 Trump–Ukraine scandal, and twin brother of Congressman from Virginia Eugene Vindman, has expressed interest in mounting a campaign. [176]

Teacher Josh Weil, the nominee for Florida's 6th congressional district in the 2025 special election and a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022, had announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination. [177] On August 1, 2025, Weil withdrew his candidacy due to his rhabdomyolysis. [178]

Georgia

One-term Democrat Jon Ossoff is running for a second term in office. [58] He was narrowly elected in a 2021 runoff with 50.6% of the vote.

For the Republicans, Congressman for the 1st congressional district Buddy Carter has announced his candidacy. [179] Congressman Mike Collins announced his candidacy on July 28, 2025. [180] Former University of Tennessee football head coach Derek Dooley announced his candidacy on August 4. [181] Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger is seen as a potential Republican contender. [182] [183]

Outgoing Governor Brian Kemp, who will be term-limited in 2026, was widely seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination but has since declined to run. [184] Congresswoman for the 14th congressional district Marjorie Taylor Greene was reported to be considering running for the seat, but declined to run on May 9, 2025. [185] Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones was considered a potential candidate but is instead running for governor. [186] [187] State Insurance Commissioner John F. King announced his candidacy on May 12, 2025, but suspended his campaign on July 24. [188]

Idaho

Three-term Republican Jim Risch was reelected in 2020 with 62.6% of the vote. He is running for a fourth term. [60] Former Democratic state Representative Todd Achilles is running as an independent. [59]

Illinois

Five-term Democrat and Senate Democratic Whip Dick Durbin was reelected in 2020 with 54.9% of the vote. On April 23, 2025, Durbin announced he will not be running for reelection. [189] On April 24, 2025, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton became the first major Democratic candidate to announce her intention to run to replace Durbin. [70] On May 6, 2025, Congresswoman Robin Kelly of the 2nd congressional district announced that she would be a candidate. [190] On May 7, 2025, Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi of the 8th congressional district announced his candidacy. [191] Also running are Awisi Quartey Bustos, CEO of the Illinois Alliance of Boys & Girls Clubs and daughter-in-law of former U.S. Representative Cheri Bustos; Marine Corps veteran Kevin Ryan; and pastor Anthony Williams, who was a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022. [192] [193] [72]

Congresswoman Nikki Budzinski of 13th congressional district is seen as a potential Democratic candidate. [194] [195] Other potential candidates for the Democratic nomination include state Attorney General Kwame Raoul, Secretary of State Alexi Giannoulias, state Comptroller Susana Mendoza, state Treasurer Mike Frerichs [196] and former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel. [197]

On April 25, 2025, Governor J. B. Pritzker announced that he would not be a candidate, and endorsed Stratton. [198] Congresswoman Lauren Underwood announced on May 20, 2025, that she would run for reelection, and not the U.S. Senate. [199]

Among Republicans, Doug Bennett, computer engineer and nominee for Illinois's 10th congressional district in 2018, R. Cary Capparelli, former member of the Illinois International Port District board (2000–2009), Casey Chlebek, national director for the Polish American Congress PAC and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022, former police officer John Goodman, and Dr. Pamela Denise Long, a media personality, [200] political columnist [201] and organizational development consultant have all announced candidacies. [202] [203] [204] [205] [206] [207] Potential Republican candidates include state representative Tom Demmer. [208] On August 4, 2025, Congressman of the 15th congressional district Darin LaHood, who had been considered a potential candidate, [196] announced that he would run for reelection and not for the U.S. Senate. [209]

Former Governor Rod Blagojevich, who was convicted of corruption and later pardoned by Republican President Donald Trump, has publicly expressed interest in mounting a campaign. Previously elected as a Democrat, since his pardon he has described himself as a "Trumpocrat". [210]

Iowa

Two-term Republican Joni Ernst was reelected in 2020 with 51.7% of the vote. [211] She is not seeking reelection to a third term. [11] On September 2, 2025, Congresswoman Ashley Hinson announced that she would be a candidate. [212] Before Ernst announced that she would not seek reelection, former state senator Jim Carlin and former vice chair of the Libertarian National Committee and Libertarian candidate for president in 2024 Joshua Smith announced that they would challenge her in the Republican primary. [213] [214] Talk show host Steve Deace has expressed interest in running. [215]

On the Democratic side, U.S. Marine Corps veteran Nathan Sage was the first to announce a campaign. [216] By August 2025, Democratic state Senator Zach Wahls, Des Moines School Board chair Jackie Norris, and state representatives J.D. Scholten and Josh Turek had all announced their candidacies. [217] Scholten later withdrew and endorsed Turek. [218] Other Democratic candidates included former state representative Bob Krause and marketing director Nathan Sage. [219] [220]

On May 30, 2025, Ernst hosted a town hall. When someone charged that a proposed Medicare bill would cause people to die, Ernst replied, "Well, we all are going to die", causing much criticism. [221] Two days later, Scholten announced his candidacy and denounced Ernst's remark. [222] On June 11, Wahls announced his candidacy and also cited her remarks as a factor in his decision. [223]

Kansas

One-term Republican Roger Marshall was elected in 2020 with 53.2% of the vote. He has announced that he plans to run for reelection. [224]

Among Democrats, former Kansas state USDA Director Christy Davis is running. [225] Also running are art gallery owner Mike Soetaert and attorney Anne Parelkar. [226]

There was some speculation that outgoing Democratic Governor Laura Kelly might run against Marshall, but she has said she does not intend to run. [227] Democratic State Senator Cindy Holscher publicly expressed interest in running, [228] but on June 12, 2025, announced that she would run for governor of Kansas in 2026. [229]

Kentucky

Seven-term Republican and former Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell was reelected in 2020 with 57.8% of the vote. McConnell retired as leader after the 2024 elections with plans to serve out the remainder of his term. [230] On February 20, 2025, McConnell announced he will not seek reelection. [12]

Hours after McConnell's announcement, former state Attorney General and 2023 Republican gubernatorial nominee Daniel Cameron announced that he was running to succeed McConnell. [231] On April 22, Congressman Andy Barr of Kentucky's 6th congressional district announced his candidacy for the seat. [232] On June 26, businessman Nate Morris declared he was entering the race. [233]

Potential Republican candidates include state Auditor Allison Ball,[ citation needed ] state Attorney General Russell Coleman,[ citation needed ] Secretary of State Michael Adams,[ citation needed ] and former United Nations Ambassador and 2023 Republican gubernatorial candidate Kelly Craft.[ citation needed ]

Democratic state Representative Pamela Stevenson declared her candidacy for the seat. [234] Though there was some speculation that Democratic Governor Andy Beshear might seek the open seat, he has said he does not intend to run, citing his desire to finish his second term as governor. [235] [236]

Louisiana

Two-term Republican Bill Cassidy was reelected in 2020 with 59.3% of the vote in the first round of the "Louisiana primary" and is running for reelection to a third term. [88] The "Louisiana primary" has since been eliminated, and this election will use partisan primaries. [237] State Treasurer and former Congressman John Fleming and State Senator Blake Miguez have announced primary campaigns against Cassidy. [89] [238] Congressman Clay Higgins is considered a potential Republican challenger. [239]

Former Governor John Bel Edwards is considered a potential Democratic candidate. [240] [241]

This will be the first election under a new law which abolished the state's open primary system. Party primaries will be closed off to members of other parties, though voters not affiliated with a party can vote in them. [237]

Maine

Five-term Republican Susan Collins was reelected with 51% of the vote in 2020. She plans to run for a sixth term. Should Collins be reelected and serve through May 26, 2027, she would become the longest-serving senator from Maine, surpassing Senator William P. Frye, who served one partial term, four full terms, and another partial term before he died in 1911. [242]

Collins is being challenged in the Republican primary by former police officer Dan Smeriglio. [99]

On the Democratic side, candidates include Jordan Wood, the chief of staff to former Congresswoman Katie Porter; oysterman, Sullivan Harbormaster, and Marine veteran Graham Platner; fashion designer Natasha Alcala; attorney David Costello, the 2024 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate; cybersecurity professional Tucker Favreau; and businessman Dan Kleban. [93] [95] [243] [96] [97] [100] Former state senator Cathy Breen, and state House Speaker Ryan Fecteau have publicly expressed interest in running. [244] [245] Governor Janet Mills, who is term-limited, and Chief of the Penobscot Nation Kirk Francis are viewed as potential Democratic candidates. [246] [247] Congressman Jared Golden was seen as a potential candidate, but chose to run for reelection to the House instead. [248]

Philip Rench, an independent former member of the Maine Space Corporation, has also announced a campaign. [98]

Massachusetts

Two-term Democrat Ed Markey was reelected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote and is running for reelection to a third full term. [101] [249] The longest-serving Democrat in Congress, he will be 80 years old on Election Day. Markey faced multiple calls to retire due to his age during the Democratic primary for the seat in 2020. [250] [251] [252] He is being challenged in the Democratic primary by teacher and fantasy sports journalist Alex Rikleen. [253] Congressman Jake Auchincloss of the 4th congressional district has not ruled out challenging Markey in the Democratic primary. [254]

Among Republicans, attorney and 2024 U.S. Senate nominee John Deaton has expressed interest in running. [255] State Representative Michael Soter was seen as a potential candidate, [256] but in May 2025 the Boston Herald reported that Soter was interested only in running for a statewide constitutional office, not for the U.S. Senate. [257]

Michigan

Two-term Democrat Gary Peters was narrowly reelected in 2020 with 49.9% of the vote. On January 28, 2025, he announced that he will not seek reelection. [13]

State Senator Mallory McMorrow, [105] former Wayne County Health, Human, and Veterans Services Department Director Abdul El-Sayed, [104] and Congresswoman Haley Stevens of the 11th congressional district [107] have announced their candidacies. Research health specialist Rachel Howard is also running. [258] State Attorney General Dana Nessel may choose to run. [259] Former state House Speaker Joe Tate announced his candidacy on May 11, 2025, but suspended his campaign on August 8, 2025 and endorsed Stevens. [260] [261]

For the Republicans, Mike Rogers, former U.S. Representative for the 8th congressional district and 2024 Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, has announced his candidacy. [106] Other Republicans running include engineer Fred Heuterbise and dentist Kent Benham. [103] Potential Republican candidates include 2022 Republican gubernatorial nominee Tudor Dixon [262] and state senator Jonathan Lindsey. [263]

Minnesota

One-term Democrat Tina Smith was reelected in 2020 with 48.7% of the vote after being appointed by Governor Mark Dayton in 2018 following the resignation of Al Franken and subsequently winning a special election that same year. On February 13, 2025, she announced she would not seek a second full term in 2026. [14] Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan announced her candidacy the same day. [264] Congresswoman Angie Craig announced her candidacy on April 29. [265] State Senator Melisa López Franzen had announced a campaign, but withdrew on May 17. [266]

2024 Republican U.S. Senate nominee Royce White [267] and former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze have announced their candidacies. [268] Potential Republican candidates include sportscaster Michele Tafoya, [269] state senator Julia Coleman, state senator Karin Housley, [270] state representative Kristin Robbins, [271] and attorney Ryan Wilson, who ran for Minnesota State Auditor in 2022. [272]

Mississippi

One-term Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith was reelected in 2020 with 54.1% of the vote after being appointed in 2018 and subsequently winning a special election that same year. She is running for a second full term in office. [115] She is being challenged by physician Sarah Adlakha in the Republican primary. [113]

Among Democrats, Lowndes County District Attorney Scott Colom and lawyer Ty Pinkins have announced their candidacies. [273] [114]

Montana

Two-term Republican Steve Daines was reelected in 2020 with 55% of the vote.

Former state Representative Reilly Neill is running for the Democratic nomination. [117] Former Democratic U.S. Senator Jon Tester, who was defeated in 2024, has said he will not seek election. [274]

Nebraska

Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned early in the 118th Congress to become president of the University of Florida. [275] Former Governor Pete Ricketts was appointed as interim senator on January 12, 2023, by Governor Jim Pillen. [276] He won the 2024 special election to serve the remainder of Sasse's term, defeating college professor Preston Love Jr. [277] Ricketts is running for reelection to his first full term. [119]

Former labor union leader Dan Osborn, who challenged Republican Deb Fischer in the election for Nebraska's Class I seat, has announced his candidacy as an independent. [278] The Nebraska Democratic Party is not recruiting a candidate to challenge Ricketts as a Democrat, [279] and the party's chairperson has endorsed Osborn. [280]

New Hampshire

Three-term Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was reelected in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. On March 12, 2025, Shaheen announced that she would not seek reelection to a fourth term. [15]

Democratic Congressman Chris Pappas declared his candidacy on April 3, 2025, becoming the first major candidate to the enter the race. [281] Karshmina Manzur, a member of the New Hampshire Democratic Party's rule committee, has announced her candidacy, calling Pappas insufficiently progressive. [282]

On June 25, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2010–2013) and U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa (2017–2020) Scott Brown announced he was entering the race for the seat; in 2014, Brown won the Republican primary and narrowly lost the general election against Shaheen. [32] State Senator Dan Innis announced his candidacy on August 22, 2025. [283] Former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu has expressed interest in mounting a campaign to return to the Senate; he lost this seat to Shaheen in 2008. [284] Sununu's brother, former Governor Chris Sununu, was considered a possible candidate, but on April 8, 2025, he announced that he would not run. [285] [286]

New Jersey

Two-term Democrat Cory Booker was reelected in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote and is running for reelection to a third full term. [124]

Among Republicans, former Tabernacle deputy mayor Justin Murphy is "seriously thinking" of running against Booker. [287] Former state senator and 2025 gubernatorial candidate Ed Durr has also expressed interest in running. [288]

New Mexico

One-term Democrat Ben Ray Luján was elected in 2020 with 51.7% of the vote. On April 23, 2025, Luján announced that he would seek a second term. [289]

Among Republicans, electrician Ben Luna is a candidate. [290]

North Carolina

Two-term Republican Thom Tillis was narrowly reelected in 2020 with 48.7% of the vote. On June 29, 2025, he announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term. [16] Republican candidates include attorney and author Don Brown, who was a candidate for North Carolina's 8th congressional district in 2024, and former Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley. [130]

On June 10, 2023, the North Carolina Republican Party censured Tillis for his bipartisan support on gun control and same-sex marriage, and he was seen as vulnerable to a primary challenge. [291] Brown announced a primary campaign against Tillis in March 2025. [292] Lara Trump, former co-chair of the Republican National Committee and Wilmington native, was considered a potential candidate to challenge Tillis. In December 2024, after publicly withdrawing from consideration to be appointed to Florida's Senate seat, she said she would make a "big announcement" in January, but she never announced anything about a possible candidacy, [293] and in July announced that she would not run. [294] Former lieutenant governor and 2024 Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson had been considered a potential candidate to challenge Tillis in the primary, he has said that running for any future political office is "not on my radar at all." [295] In June 2025, Tillis voted against President Donald Trump's signature One Big Beautiful Bill Act, leading Trump to announce that he was looking for a primary challenger to Tillis. The next day, Tillis withdrew his reelection bid. [16] After Tillis's withdrawal, Trump endorsed Whatley, who announced his campaign on July 31. [130]

Other Republicans who are potential candidates include Dan Bishop, the deputy director of the Office of Management and Budget, former U.S. representative from North Carolina's 8th congressional district, and 2024 nominee for attorney general; former Congressman George Holding; Congressman Tim Moore; State Senate Majority Leader Phil Berger; and State House Speaker Destin Hall. [296]

Congressmen Pat Harrigan and Richard Hudson have announced they will not seek the seat. [297] [298]

On the Democratic side, former Congressman Wiley Nickel declared his candidacy in April 2025. [299] Former Governor Roy Cooper announced his candidacy on July 28, 2025. [27] The next day, Nickel dropped out and endorsed Cooper. [300]

Ohio (special)

One-term Republican JD Vance was elected in 2022 with 53% of the vote. [301] On January 10, 2025, he resigned from the Senate following his election as Vice President of the United States alongside then-former President Donald Trump in 2024. Governor Mike DeWine announced Vance's replacement in the Senate would be then-Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted on January 17. [302] Husted is running to finish out the remainder of Vance's six-year term. [303]

Vivek Ramaswamy withdrew himself from consideration for the pending Senate appointment, later declaring his candidacy in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. [304] [305] [306]

On the Democratic side, former U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown, who was unseated in 2024, is running for the seat. [307] [35]

Oklahoma

Incumbent Republican Markwayne Mullin won a special election in 2022 with 61.8% of the vote to complete the remainder of the term vacated by Republican Jim Inhofe, who resigned on January 3, 2023. [308]

Oregon

Three-term Democrat Jeff Merkley was reelected in 2020 with 56.9% of the vote. On July 20, 2025, Merkley announced that he would run for reelection. [309]

Restaurant owner Timothy Skelton has announced his candidacy as a Republican. [310]

Rhode Island

Five-term Democrat Jack Reed was reelected in 2020 with 66.5% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a sixth term. [134] He is being challenged in the Democratic primary by elder care worker Connor Burbidge. [311]

South Carolina

Four-term Republican Lindsey Graham was reelected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a fifth term. [139] Former South Carolina Lieutenant Governor André Bauer and Project 2025 author Paul Dans were both challenging Graham in the Republican primary, [312] [138] but Bauer withdrew his candidacy on August 8, 2025. [313]

Annie Andrews, pediatrician and nominee for South Carolina's 1st congressional district in 2022, and Catherine Fleming Bruce, Democratic activist, author, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022, are declared candidates. [314] Former U.S. Representative and 2020 presidential candidate Joe Walsh is considered a potential candidate as well following a relocation from Illinois to South Carolina. [315]

Democratic Former Congressman Robin Tallon has expressed interest in running for the seat as an Independent. [316]

South Dakota

Two-term Republican Mike Rounds was reelected in 2020 with 65.7% of the vote. He has said he plans to run for a third term. [144]

Businessman and former South Dakota state trooper Julian Beaudion has announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination. [317] U.S. Navy and Air Force veteran, former Northern State University political science professor, and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 Brian Bengs has announced his candidacy as an independent. [318]

Tennessee

One-term Republican Bill Hagerty was elected in 2020 with 62.2% of the vote. He is running for reelection. [145]

Texas

Four-term Republican John Cornyn was reelected in 2020 with 53.5% of the vote and is running for a fifth term in 2026. [319] He faces Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton. [320] Republican Congressman Ronny Jackson has reportedly been interested in running. [321] Congresswoman for Texas's 24th congressional district Beth Van Duyne and state Land Commissioner Dawn Buckingham are seen as potential Republican candidates if Cornyn retires. [319]

Among Democrats, media personality and retired astronaut Terry Virts and former Congressman Colin Allred, who ran unsuccessfully for the Class I Senate seat in 2024, have announced their candidacies. [146] [150] In recent remarks, former Congressman, nominee for Senate in 2018, and nominee for governor in 2022 Beto O'Rourke did not rule out running for this seat. [322] State Representative James Talarico has publicly expressed interest in running for the seat, as has Congressman for Texas's 20th congressional district Joaquin Castro. [323] [324]

Virginia

Three-term Democrat Mark Warner was reelected in 2020 with 56% of the vote. He is running for reelection. [325]

On July 28, 2025, CPA Kim Farrington announced her candidacy as a Republican. [326] Governor Glenn Youngkin, who will leave office in early 2026, is considered a potential candidate for Republicans. [327] [328]

West Virginia

Two-term Republican Shelley Moore Capito was reelected in 2020 with 70.3% of the vote. State senator Tom Willis is challenging Capito. [329]

Democratic political organizer Zach Shrewsbury, who was a candidate for Senate in 2024, is running. [330]

Former U.S. Senator Joe Manchin, who served from 2010 to 2024 as a Democrat and from 2024 to 2025 as an Independent, and was widely floated as a potential presidential nominee for the No Labels Presidential ticket in 2024, has not ruled out a run for office in 2026. [331]

Wyoming

One-term Republican Cynthia Lummis was elected in 2020 with 72.8% of the vote. She is eligible for reelection.

See also

Notes

  1. Majority control in an evenly divided Senate is determined by the Vice President of the United States, who has the power to break tied votes in their constitutional capacity as President of the Senate; accordingly, Senate control requires 51 seats or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency.
  2. 1 2 Both independent senators (Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and Angus King of Maine) caucus with the Democrats.
  3. The last elections for this group of senators were in 2020, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or death of a sitting senator, as noted.
  4. Republican Marco Rubio won with 57.7% of the vote in 2022, but resigned on January 20, 2025, after being confirmed to become Secretary of State.
  5. Republican Ben Sasse won with 67.2% of the vote in 2020, but resigned on January 8, 2023, to be president of the University of Florida.
  6. Republican JD Vance won with 53.0% of the vote in 2022, but resigned on January 10, 2025, to become Vice President of the United States.
  7. Republican Jim Inhofe won with 62.9% of the vote in 2020, but resigned at the end of the 117th United States Congress.
  8. Democratic total includes Independents who caucus with the Democrats.

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