2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota
Flag of Minnesota (2023 redesign).svg
  2018 November 5, 20242030 
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Amy Klobuchar
Democratic (DFL)



The 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2018 and is running for re-election to a fourth term. Primary elections will take place on August 13, 2024. [1]

Contents

Background

Minnesota is considered to be a moderately blue state at the federal level. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Minnesota by about seven percentage points. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and both state legislative chambers. [2] [3]

Klobuchar was first elected in 2006, defeating former U.S. Representative Mark Kennedy. She won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by large margins. [4]

This race is considered to be clearly favoring Klobuchar, as she has won all three of her Senate elections by more than 20 points and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates. [5]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Derek Logan, hotel worker [7]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (DFL)$14,084,463$12,921,138$5,098,801
Source: Federal Election Commission [18]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Gene Rechtzigel, property manager and perennial candidate [22]

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [25] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [26] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27] Safe DNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [28] Safe DMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [29] Solid DNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Amy Klobuchar vs. Joe Fraser
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Joe
Fraser (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] April 3–7, 2024608 (LV)± 4.9%51%34%6%10%
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] February 23–28, 20241,603 (LV)± 3.0%49%33%5%14%

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, and KAAL

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References

  1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. "Live election results: 2020 Minnesota results". www.politico.com. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  3. Faircloth, Ryan; Tribune, Briana Bierschbach Star. "Democrats take control of the Minnesota Legislature". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  4. "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2006 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  5. Golshan, Tara (February 10, 2019). "Sen. Amy Klobuchar has won every one of her elections by huge margins. Now she's running for president". Vox. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  6. Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said she's made it 'very clear' she's running again
  7. "LOGAN, DEREK AUSTIN CANDIDATE FOR SENATE MINNESOTA ID: S4MN00528 DEMOCRATIC PARTY". fec.gov. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
  8. 1 2 "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Reelection". Giffords. January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  9. "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
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  11. 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Klobuchar for Reelection". March 30, 2023.
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  16. Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  17. "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  18. "2024 Election United States Senate - Minnesota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  19. 1 2 Frisk, Garrett (July 5, 2023). "Minnesota Democrat Amy Klobuchar Challenged by Two Republicans". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  20. Brown, Kyle (January 29, 2024). "West metro Republican launches campaign challenging Klobuchar for Senate seat". KSTP.com 5 Eyewitness News. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  21. Whalen, Eamon (August 23, 2023). "Royce White Announces Run for Senate With New Conspiracy Theory". Mother Jones . Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  22. "RECHTZIGEL, GENE ALAN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved April 20, 2024.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Van Oot, Tery (August 21, 2023). "Here's who's not running for U.S. Senate in Minnesota next year". Axios .
  24. Tillman, Scott (July 31, 2023). "Joyce Lacey Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
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  27. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  28. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  29. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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