2024 United States Senate election in New York

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2024 United States Senate election in New York
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←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
  Kirsten Gillibrand, official photo, 116th Congress (4x5 crop).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Mike Sapraicone
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote4,711,2983,246,114
Percentage58.91%40.59%
2024 United States Senate election in New York results map by county.svg
County results
Gillibrand:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Sapraicone:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

The 2024 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a third term, defeating Republican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024. [1]

Contents

Gillibrand's victory was significantly closer than her previous two, and followed Chuck Schumer's narrower victory in 2022. This was the state's second consecutive Senate election in which the Republican garnered over 40% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Di²squalified

  • Khaled Salem, nonprofit executive [3]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Kirsten
Gillibrand		Andrew
Cuomo		Undecided
American Pulse & Research Polling (R) [29] [A] November 30 – December 1, 2023417 (V)± 4.8%49%35%16%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)$13,181,513$13,105,874$10,391,040
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Mike Sapraicone, businessman and retired NYPD detective [31]

Disqualified

Endorsements

Mike Sapraicone

Executive branch officials

Governors

U.S. representatives

Party chapters

Cara Castronuova (disqualified)

U.S. Representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Party chapters

Josh Eisen (disqualified)

Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mike Sapraicone (R)$738,958$494,680$244,277
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Diane Sare, political organizer and perennial candidate [37]

Endorsements

Diane Sare

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Diane Sare (I)$331,307$331,025$6,726
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [39] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [40] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] Safe DNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [42] Safe DJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [43] Safe DMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [44] Solid DNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [45] Solid DAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [46] Safe DOctober 23, 2024
538 [47] Solid DOctober 23, 2024

Endorsments

Mike Sapraicone (R)

Executive branch officials

Governors

U.S. representatives

Party chapters

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)$15,120,750$23,896,091$1,540,060
Michael Sapraicone (R)$1,110,275 [b] $771,871$338,403
Diane Sare (I)$457,732 [c] $455,244$8,933
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		Mike
Sapraicone (R)		Undecided
[d] 		Margin
538 [49] through November 3, 2024November 4, 202457.2%33.9%8.9%Gillibrand +23.2%
RealClearPolitics [50] September 23 – October 27, 2024October 29, 202455.0%34.3%10.7%Gillibrand +20.7%
270ToWin [51] September 30 - November 4, 2024November 4, 202455.8%32.8%11.4%Gillibrand +23.0%
TheHill/DDHQ [52] through November 3, 2024November 4, 202458.9%34.8%6.3%Gillibrand +24.1%
Average56.7%34.0%9.3%Gillibrand +22.7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		Mike
Sapraicone (R)		OtherUndecided
Research Co. [53] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%61%33%2% [e] 4%
ActiVote [54] October 4–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%60%40%––
Cygnal (R) [55] October 26–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%58%39%1% [f] 2%
Siena College [56] October 13–17, 2024872 (LV)± 4.1%57%31%2% [g] 9%
YouGov [57] [B] October 7–17, 20241,089 (RV)± 3.41%57%32%–11%
Emerson College [58] [C] September 23–25, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%33%1% [h] 15%
ActiVote [59] August 24 – September 25, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%60%40%––
Siena College [60] September 11–16, 20241,003 (LV)± 4.3%54%31%3% [i] 13%
ActiVote [61] July 8 – August 5, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%63%37%––
Siena College [62] July 28 – August 1, 20241,199 (LV)± 4.0%56%33%1% [j] 10%
Hypothetical polling

Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		Generic
opponent		Undecided
Siena College [63] June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024805 (RV)± 4.1%42%42%16%
Siena College [64] May 13–15, 20241,191 (RV)± 3.9%39%41%20%
Siena College [65] April 15–17, 2024806 (RV)± 4.1%42%39%19%
Siena College [66] February 12–14, 2024806 (RV)± 4.2%39%37%23%
Siena College [66] January 14–17, 2024807 (RV)± 4.5%43%38%19%
Siena College [67] November 12–15, 2023893 (RV)± 4.6%40%35%25%
Siena College [68] October 15–19, 20231,225 (RV)± 3.4%39%38%23%
Siena College [69] September 10–13, 2023804 (RV)± 4.3%41%37%22%
Siena College [70] August 13–16, 2023803 (RV)± 4.4%40%41%19%
Siena College [71] June 20–25, 2023817 (RV)± 3.9%40%40%20%
Siena College [72] May 7–11, 2023810 (RV)± 4.1%43%38%19%
Siena College [73] March 19–22, 2023802 (RV)± 4.6%43%38%19%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in New York [74]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand4,318,90354.01%−8.01%
Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand392,3954.91%+2.27%
Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) 4,711,298 58.91% –8.09%
Republican Mike Sapraicone2,917,04436.48%+7.90%
Conservative Mike Sapraicone329,0704.12%+0.05%
TotalMike Sapraicone3,246,11440.59%+7.59%
LaRouche Diane Sare39,4130.49%N/A
Total votes7,996,825 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ $550,050 of this total was self-funded by Sapraicone
  3. ↑ $6,000 of this total was self-funded by Sare
  4. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  6. ↑ Sare (I) with 1%
  7. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  8. ↑ Sare (I) with 1%
  9. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  10. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Save the Senate
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Hill and WPIX

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ↑ Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023). "N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign". New York Daily News . Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 4 Roy, Yancey (May 1, 2024). "NYS elections board disqualifies primary challengers for Gillibrand, Sapraicone". Newsday . Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  4. 1 2 3 Otterbein, Holly; Gibson, Brittany (April 30, 2023). "AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024". Politico . Retrieved April 30, 2023. Former New York Rep. Mondaire Jones, a progressive, has decided he won't run for Gillibrand's seat...Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) also told POLITICO they are not interested in the race.
  5. ↑ Bocanegra, Michelle (January 25, 2024). "NY Rep. Jamaal Bowman launches re-election campaign in Yonkers, facing primary challenge". Gothamist . Retrieved January 25, 2024.
  6. ↑ Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022). "Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
  7. ↑ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023). "Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York". POLITICO. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  8. ↑ Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023). "Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term". The New York Times . Asked by text on Wednesday if he was considering a primary, [Ritchie] Torres said, 'The answer to your question is no.'
  9. 1 2 3 4 Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023). "Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  10. 1 2 "District Council 37 Political Action and Legislation". District Council 37. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  11. 1 2 "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  12. 1 2 "2024 Primary Election Endorsements". New York State Nurses Association. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
  13. 1 2 "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC . Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  14. 1 2 Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico . Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  15. 1 2 Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  16. 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection". End Citizens United. August 10, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
  17. 1 2 "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  18. 1 2 "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  19. 1 2 "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  20. 1 2 "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  21. 1 2 "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  22. 1 2 "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  23. 1 2 Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  24. ↑ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  25. 1 2 "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  26. 1 2 "Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC". Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  27. 1 2 "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  28. 1 2 Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  29. ↑ American Pulse & Research Polling (R)
  30. 1 2 3 4 "2024 Election United States Senate - New York". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  31. ↑ Campanile, Carl (February 18, 2024). "Retired NYC detective Mike Sapraicone winning GOP support in bid to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Post . Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  32. 1 2 "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Endorsements" . Retrieved November 28, 2024.
  34. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Coltin, Jeff (February 20, 2024). "Gillibrand vs. Who?". Politico . Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  35. ↑ "Former NY Gov. Pataki backs GOP hopeful Eisen in Senate race against Gillibrand". February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  36. ↑ Kiprilov, Nicole (January 22, 2024). "Endorsement: Josh Eisen for United States Senate in New York". New York Young Republican Club. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  37. ↑ Danielle Wallace, Houston Keene (August 31, 2023). "NYC voters explain why they're voting for RFK Jr. over Biden: 'Going to unify the nation'". Fox News. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  38. ↑ "2024 TLO Endorsements: So Far, There's Only One! | The LaRouche Organization". www.laroucheorganization.com. November 8, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  39. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  40. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  41. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  42. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  43. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  44. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  45. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  46. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. May 25, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  47. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 11, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  48. ↑ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  49. ↑ 538
  50. ↑ RealClearPolitics
  51. ↑ 270ToWin
  52. ↑ TheHill/DDHQ
  53. ↑ Research Co.
  54. ↑ ActiVote
  55. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  56. ↑ Siena College
  57. ↑ YouGov
  58. ↑ Emerson College
  59. ↑ ActiVote
  60. ↑ Siena College
  61. ↑ ActiVote
  62. ↑ Siena College
  63. ↑ Siena College
  64. ↑ Siena College
  65. ↑ Siena College
  66. 1 2 Siena College
  67. ↑ Siena College
  68. ↑ Siena College
  69. ↑ Siena College
  70. ↑ Siena College
  71. ↑ Siena College
  72. ↑ Siena College
  73. ↑ Siena College
  74. ↑ "Certified November 5, 2024 General Election Results, approved 12.09.2024". Ny.gov. Retrieved December 9, 2024.

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