2024 United States Senate election in New York

Not to be confused with 2024 New York State Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in New York

←  2018 November 5, 2024 2030  →

Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Mike Sapraicone Party Democratic Republican Alliance Working Families Conservative Popular vote 4,711,298 3,246,114 Percentage 58.91% 40.59%

County results Gillibrand:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Sapraicone:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic

The 2024 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a third full term, defeating Republican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024. ^[1]

Gillibrand's victory was significantly closer than her previous two, and followed Chuck Schumer's narrower victory in 2022. This was the state's second consecutive Senate election in which the Republican garnered over 40% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. senator ^[2]

Disqualified

• Khaled Salem, nonprofit executive ^[3]

Declined

• Jamaal Bowman, U.S. representative from New York's 16th congressional district (2021–2025) ^[4] (unsuccessfully ran for re-election) ^[5]
• Al Franken, former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009–2018) ^[6]
• Mondaire Jones, member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (2023–present) and former U.S. representative from New York's 17th congressional district (2021–2023) ^[4] (ran for U.S. House) ^[7]
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election) ^[4]
• Ritchie Torres, U.S. representative from New York's 15th congressional district (2021–present) ^[8]

Endorsements

Kirsten Gillibrand

Individuals

• Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Jewish Labor Committee (1998–present) and board member of the National Endowment for Democracy (2022–present) ^[9]

Labor unions

• District Council 37 ^[10]
• New York State AFL–CIO ^[11]
• New York State Nurses Association ^[12]
• Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union ^[9]

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) ^[13]
• Democratic Majority for Israel ^[14]
• EMILY's List ^[15]
• End Citizens United ^[16]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[17]
• Giffords ^[18]
• Humane Society Legislative Fund ^[19]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America ^[20]
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs ^[21]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[22]
• Natural Resources Defense Council ^[23]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[24]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[25]
• Stonewall Democratic Club of New York City ^[26]
• Vote Mama ^[27]

Political parties

• New York State Democratic Committee ^[28]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Kirsten Gillibrand	Andrew Cuomo	Undecided
American Pulse & Research Polling (R) [29] [A]	November 30 – December 1, 2023	417 (V)	± 4.8%	49%	35%	16%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	$13,181,513	$13,105,874	$10,391,040
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Sapraicone, businessman and retired NYPD detective ^[31]

Disqualified

• David Bellon, attorney ^[3]
• Cara Castronuova, Newsmax reporter and former professional boxer ^[3]
• Josh Eisen, businessman ^[3]

Endorsements

Mike Sapraicone

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[32]

Governors

• Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas (2015–present) ^[33]

U.S. representatives

• Nick LaLota, U.S. representative NY-01 ^[33]
• Anthony D'Esposito, U.S. representative NY-04 ^[33]
• Mike Lawler, U.S. representative NY-17 ^[33]

Party chapters

• Nassau County Republican Party ^[34]
• Queens Republican Party ^[34]
• Suffolk County Republican Party ^[34]
• Westchester County Republican Party ^[34]

Cara Castronuova (disqualified)

U.S. Representatives

• George Santos, former U.S. Representative for New York's 3rd congressional district (Independent) ^[34]

Local officials

• Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City ^[34]

Individuals

• Roger Stone, former advisor to Donald Trump ^[34]

Party chapters

• Staten Island Republican Party ^[34]

Josh Eisen (disqualified)

Statewide officials

• George Pataki, former Governor of New York ^[35]

Organizations

• New York Young Republican Club ^[36]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Mike Sapraicone (R)	$738,958	$494,680	$244,277
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Diane Sare, political organizer and perennial candidate ^[37]

Endorsements

Diane Sare

Organizations

• The LaRouche Organization ^[38]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Diane Sare (I)	$331,307	$331,025	$6,726
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [39]	Solid D	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections [40]	Solid D	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41]	Safe D	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [42]	Safe D	June 8, 2024
Elections Daily [43]	Safe D	May 4, 2023
CNalysis [44]	Solid D	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [45]	Solid D	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket [46]	Safe D	October 23, 2024
538 [47]	Solid D	October 23, 2024

Endorsments

Kirsten Gillibrand (D)

Individuals

• Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Jewish Labor Committee (1998–present) and board member of the National Endowment for Democracy (2022–present) ^[9]

Labor unions

• District Council 37 ^[10]
• New York State AFL–CIO ^[11]
• New York State Nurses Association ^[12]
• Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union ^[9]

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) ^[13]
• Democratic Majority for Israel ^[14]
• EMILY's List ^[15]
• End Citizens United ^[16]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[17]
• Giffords ^[18]
• Humane Society Legislative Fund ^[19]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America ^[20]
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs ^[21]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[22]
• Natural Resources Defense Council ^[23]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[48]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[25]
• Stonewall Democratic Club of New York City ^[26]
• Vote Mama ^[27]

Political parties

• New York State Democratic Committee ^[28]

Mike Sapraicone (R)

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[32]

Governors

• Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas (2015–present) ^[33]

U.S. representatives

• Nick LaLota, U.S. representative NY-01 ^[33]
• Anthony D'Esposito, U.S. representative NY-04 ^[33]
• Mike Lawler, U.S. representative NY-07 ^[33]

Party chapters

• Nassau County Republican Party ^[34]
• Queens Republican Party ^[34]
• Suffolk County Republican Party ^[34]
• Westchester County Republican Party ^[34]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	$15,120,750	$23,896,091	$1,540,060
Michael Sapraicone (R)	$1,110,275 [b]	$771,871	$338,403
Diane Sare (I)	$457,732 [c]	$455,244	$8,933
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	Mike Sapraicone (R)	Undecided [d]	Margin
538 [49]	through November 3, 2024	November 4, 2024	57.2%	33.9%	8.9%	Gillibrand +23.2%
RealClearPolitics [50]	September 23 – October 27, 2024	October 29, 2024	55.0%	34.3%	10.7%	Gillibrand +20.7%
270ToWin [51]	September 30 - November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	55.8%	32.8%	11.4%	Gillibrand +23.0%
TheHill/DDHQ [52]	through November 3, 2024	November 4, 2024	58.9%	34.8%	6.3%	Gillibrand +24.1%
Average			56.7%	34.0%	9.3%	Gillibrand +22.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	Mike Sapraicone (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co. [53]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	61%	33%	2% [e]	4%
ActiVote [54]	October 4–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	60%	40%	–	–
Cygnal (R) [55]	October 26–27, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	58%	39%	1% [f]	2%
Siena College [56]	October 13–17, 2024	872 (LV)	± 4.1%	57%	31%	2% [g]	9%
YouGov [57] [B]	October 7–17, 2024	1,089 (RV)	± 3.41%	57%	32%	–	11%
Emerson College [58] [C]	September 23–25, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	33%	1% [h]	15%
ActiVote [59]	August 24 – September 25, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	60%	40%	–	–
Siena College [60]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	54%	31%	3% [i]	13%
ActiVote [61]	July 8 – August 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–	–
Siena College [62]	July 28 – August 1, 2024	1,199 (LV)	± 4.0%	56%	33%	1% [j]	10%

Hypothetical polling

Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	Generic opponent	Undecided
Siena College [63]	June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024	805 (RV)	± 4.1%	42%	42%	16%
Siena College [64]	May 13–15, 2024	1,191 (RV)	± 3.9%	39%	41%	20%
Siena College [65]	April 15–17, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.1%	42%	39%	19%
Siena College [66]	February 12–14, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.2%	39%	37%	23%
Siena College [66]	January 14–17, 2024	807 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	38%	19%
Siena College [67]	November 12–15, 2023	893 (RV)	± 4.6%	40%	35%	25%
Siena College [68]	October 15–19, 2023	1,225 (RV)	± 3.4%	39%	38%	23%
Siena College [69]	September 10–13, 2023	804 (RV)	± 4.3%	41%	37%	22%
Siena College [70]	August 13–16, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	41%	19%
Siena College [71]	June 20–25, 2023	817 (RV)	± 3.9%	40%	40%	20%
Siena College [72]	May 7–11, 2023	810 (RV)	± 4.1%	43%	38%	19%
Siena College [73]	March 19–22, 2023	802 (RV)	± 4.6%	43%	38%	19%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in New York ^[74]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kirsten Gillibrand	4,318,903	54.01%	−8.01%
	Working Families	Kirsten Gillibrand	392,395	4.91%	+2.27%
	Total	Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent)	4,711,298	58.91%	–8.09%
	Republican	Mike Sapraicone	2,917,044	36.48%	+7.90%
	Conservative	Mike Sapraicone	329,070	4.12%	+0.05%
	Total	Mike Sapraicone	3,246,114	40.59%	+7.59%
	LaRouche	Diane Sare	39,413	0.49%	N/A
Total votes			7,996,825	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Shift by county

Trend by county

Legend

•   Republican — >15%
•   Republican — +12.5−15%
•   Republican — +10−12.5%
•   Republican — +7.5−10%
•   Republican — +5−7.5%
•   Republican — +2.5−5%
•   Republican — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5−5%
•   Democratic — +5−7.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +10−12.5%
•   Democratic — +12.5−15%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Cayuga (largest municipality: Auburn)
• Cortland (largest municipality: Cortland)
• Franklin (largest municipality: Malone)
• Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
• Oneida (largest municipality: Utica)
• Otsego (largest municipality: Oneonta)
• Seneca (largest municipality: Seneca Falls)
• St. Lawrence (largest municipality: Massena)
• Sullivan (largest municipality: Monticello)
• Washington (largest municipality: Hudson Falls)
• Nassau (largest municipality: Hempstead)
• Richmond (Staten Island, borough of New York City)
• Suffolk (largest municipality: Brookhaven)

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. $550,050 of this total was self-funded by Sapraicone
3. $6,000 of this total was self-funded by Sare
4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
5. "Some other candidate" with 2%
6. Sare (I) with 1%
7. "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
8. Sare (I) with 1%
9. "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
10. "Wouldn't vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Save the Senate
2. Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
3. Poll sponsored by The Hill and WPIX

References

1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
2. Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023). "N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign". New York Daily News . Retrieved February 22, 2023.
3. Roy, Yancey (May 1, 2024). "NYS elections board disqualifies primary challengers for Gillibrand, Sapraicone". Newsday . Retrieved May 10, 2024.
4. Otterbein, Holly; Gibson, Brittany (April 30, 2023). "AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024". Politico . Retrieved April 30, 2023. Former New York Rep. Mondaire Jones, a progressive, has decided he won't run for Gillibrand's seat...Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) also told POLITICO they are not interested in the race.
5. Bocanegra, Michelle (January 25, 2024). "NY Rep. Jamaal Bowman launches re-election campaign in Yonkers, facing primary challenge". Gothamist . Retrieved January 25, 2024.
6. Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022). "Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
7. Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023). "Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York". POLITICO. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
8. Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023). "Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term". The New York Times . Asked by text on Wednesday if he was considering a primary, [Ritchie] Torres said, 'The answer to your question is no.'
9. Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023). "Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
10. "District Council 37 Political Action and Legislation". District Council 37. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
11. "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
12. "2024 Primary Election Endorsements". New York State Nurses Association. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
13. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC . Retrieved April 6, 2023.
14. Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico . Retrieved May 20, 2024.
15. Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
16. "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection". End Citizens United. August 10, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
17. "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
18. "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
19. "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
20. "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
21. "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
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23. Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
24. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
25. "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
26. "Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC". Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
27. "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
28. Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
29. American Pulse & Research Polling (R)
30. "2024 Election United States Senate - New York". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved July 22, 2024.
31. Campanile, Carl (February 18, 2024). "Retired NYC detective Mike Sapraicone winning GOP support in bid to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Post . Retrieved February 19, 2024.
32. "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
33. "Endorsements" . Retrieved November 28, 2024.
34. Coltin, Jeff (February 20, 2024). "Gillibrand vs. Who?". Politico . Retrieved February 20, 2024.
35. "Former NY Gov. Pataki backs GOP hopeful Eisen in Senate race against Gillibrand". February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
36. Kiprilov, Nicole (January 22, 2024). "Endorsement: Josh Eisen for United States Senate in New York". New York Young Republican Club. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
37. Danielle Wallace, Houston Keene (August 31, 2023). "NYC voters explain why they're voting for RFK Jr. over Biden: 'Going to unify the nation'". Fox News. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
38. "2024 TLO Endorsements: So Far, There's Only One! | The LaRouche Organization". www.laroucheorganization.com. November 8, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
39. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
40. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
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42. "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
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44. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
45. "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
46. "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. May 25, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
47. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 11, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
48. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
49. 538
50. RealClearPolitics
51. 270ToWin
52. TheHill/DDHQ
53. Research Co.
54. ActiVote
55. Cygnal (R)
56. Siena College
57. YouGov
58. Emerson College
59. ActiVote
60. Siena College
61. ActiVote
62. Siena College
63. Siena College
64. Siena College
65. Siena College
66. Siena College
67. Siena College
68. Siena College
69. Siena College
70. Siena College
71. Siena College
72. Siena College
73. Siena College
74. "Certified November 5, 2024 General Election Results, approved 12.09.2024". Ny.gov. Retrieved December 9, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Josh Eisen (R) for Senate
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) for Senate
• Mike Sapraicone (R) for Senate
• Diane Sare (I) for Senate
• Will Schweitzer (D) for Senate