2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election

Last updated

2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election
Flag of North Carolina.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout73.73% Decrease2.svg 1.62 pp
  Senator Rachel Hunt 2023-25 Legislative Portrait (cropped).jpg Hal Weatherman NC (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rachel Hunt Hal Weatherman
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote2,768,5392,663,183
Percentage49.53%47.64%
2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
NC Lieutenant Governor 2024.svg
Hunt:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Weatherman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes
Lieutenant Governor before election

Mark Robinson
Republican

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Rachel Hunt
Democratic

The 2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the lieutenant governor of North Carolina. Democratic state senator Rachel Hunt won her first term in office, defeating Republican state official Hal Weatherman. She succeeded Republican incumbent Mark Robinson, who did not seek re-election in order to unsuccessfully run for governor. [1]

Contents

In her party's primary, Hunt won the Democratic nomination with 70% of the vote over former state Senator Ben Clark and businessman Mark H. Robinson (no relation to the incumbent). Weatherman won the Republican nomination with 74% of the vote over Forsyth County District Attorney Jim O'Neil in a runoff after no candidate received over 30% of the vote in his party's primary. Hunt won the general election with 49.5% the vote to Weatherman's 47.6%, making her the first Democrat elected lieutenant governor of North Carolina since Walter H. Dalton in 2008.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Hal Weatherman, businessman and former chief of staff to Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest [2]

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jeffrey Elmore
Newspapers
Allen Mashburn
Organizations
Hal Weatherman
State officials
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Deanna
Ballard		Jeffrey
Elmore		Jim
O'Neill		Sam
Page		Hal
Weatherman		Seth
Wooddall		OtherUndecided
High Point University [17] February 16–23, 2024386 (LV)± 6.0%10%11%27%13%7%11%21% [b] –
Capen Analytics [18] February 21, 202412,580 (LV)± 5.0%15%8%16%8%21%18%15% [c] 3%
Cygnal (R) [19] [A] October 8–9, 2023600 (LV)± 3.9%3%1%–4%4%2%2% [d] 84%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Weatherman 40-50% 30-40% 20-30% 10-20% O'Neill 40-50% 30-40% 20-30% 10-20% Ballard 50-60% 40-50% 30-40% 20-30% 10-20% Woodall 50-60% 40-50% 30-40% 20-30% Mashburn 20-30% Elmore 50-60% 30-40% Lt Gov North Carolina Primary Republican 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Weatherman
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
  •   20–30%
  •   10–20%
  O'Neill
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
  •   20–30%
  •   10–20%
  Ballard
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
  •   20–30%
  •   10–20%
  Woodall
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
  •   20–30%
  Mashburn
  •   20–30%
  Elmore
  •   50–60%
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Hal Weatherman 181,818 19.59%
Republican Jim O'Neill 147,042 15.84%
Republican Deanna Ballard 138,82214.96%
Republican Seth Woodall102,49211.04%
Republican Sam Page94,81010.22%
Republican Allen Mashburn83,5509.00%
Republican Jeffrey Elmore 79,8838.61%
Republican Peter Boykin 32,1263.46%
Republican Rivera Douthit23,3982.52%
Republican Ernest T. Reeves22,7602.45%
Republican Marlenis Hernandez Novoa21,4042.31%
Total votes928,105 100.0%

Runoff results

Results by county: Weatherman 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% O'Neill 50-60% Lt Gov North Carolina Primary Republican runoff 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Weatherman
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  O'Neill
  •   50–60%
Republican primary runoff results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Hal Weatherman 96,600 74.44%
Republican Jim O'Neill33,44825.72%
Total votes130,048 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Rachel Hunt
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ben
Clark		Rachel
Hunt		Mark H.
Robinson		Undecided
High Point University [17] February 16–23, 2024321 (LV)± 6.0%14%61%24%–
Public Policy Polling (D) [28] December 15–16, 2023556 (LV)± 4.2%5%23%6%66%

Results

Results by county: Hunt 80-90% 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% 40-50% Clark 60-70% 50-60% 40-50% 30-40% Robinson 50-60% 40-50% Lt Gov North Carolina Primary Democratic 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Hunt
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  Clark
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
  Robinson
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rachel Hunt 477,196 70.35%
Democratic Ben Clark 111,83616.49%
Democratic Mark H. Robinson89,24713.16%
Total votes678,279 100.0%

Libertarian Party

Withdrew after nomination

Replacement nominee

Constitution Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [31] TossupNovember 1, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Hal
Weatherman (R)		Rachel
Hunt (D)		OtherUndecided
ActiVote [32] October 8–26, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%50%50%––
Cygnal (R) [33] [B] October 12–14, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%41%43%3% [e] 13%
ActiVote [34] August 20 – September 22, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%50%50%––
Cygnal (R) [35] [B] September 15–16, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%40%42%3% [f] 15%
YouGov (D) [36] [C] August 5–9, 2024802 (RV)± 3.9%38%40%–22%
Cygnal (R) [37] [B] August 4–5, 2024600 (LV)± 3.99%38%36%5% [g] 22%
Spry Strategies [38] June 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%38%38%–24%

Results

2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election [39]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Rachel Hunt 2,768,539 49.53% +1.16%
Republican Hal Weatherman2,663,18347.64%–3.99%
Libertarian Shannon Bray104,1921.86%N/A
Constitution Wayne Jones53,9380.96%N/A
Total votes5,589,852 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Weatherman won ten of 14 congressional districts. [40]

DistrictWeathermanHuntRepresentative
1st 48%50% Don Davis
2nd 30%67% Deborah Ross
3rd 56%41% Greg Murphy
4th 25%73% Valerie Foushee
5th 55%42% Virginia Foxx
6th 54%43% Addison McDowell
7th 52%45% David Rouzer
8th 56%42% Mark Harris
9th 54%43% Richard Hudson
10th 55%42% Pat Harrigan
11th 51%46% Chuck Edwards
12th 24%73% Alma Adams
13th 54%43% Brad Knott
14th 53%44% Tim Moore

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Peter Boykin with 7%; Allen Mashburn, Marlenis Hernandez Navoa, and Ernest Reeves with 4%; Rivera Douthit with 2%
  3. ↑ Marlenis Hernandez Navoa with 5%; Peter Boykin, Allen Mashburn, and Ernest Reeves with 3%; Rivera Douthit with 1%
  4. ↑ Peter Boykin and Allen Mashburn with 1%; Rivera Douthit with 0%
  5. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Jones (C) with 1%
  6. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Jones (C) with 1%
  7. ↑ Bray (L) with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Carolina Journal
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward

References

  1. 1 2 Mikkelson, Emily (April 22, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson announces run for governor at rainy Ace Speedway rally". FOX 8. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  2. 1 2 Doyle, Steve (March 2, 2023). "State Sen. Rachel Hunt, daughter of former North Carolina Gov. Jim Hunt, announces run for lieutenant governor but not party". Wavy. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  3. ↑ Craver, Richard (December 15, 2023). "Forsyth district attorney O'Neill enters crowded field for GOP lieutenant governor nomination". Winston-Salem Journal . Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  4. ↑ "Adding to the candidate list, ex-North Carolina Sen. Ballard is running for lieutenant governor". Spectrum News 1 . July 24, 2023. Retrieved July 29, 2023.
  5. ↑ Skinner, Victor (May 3, 2023). "She's on a path with the familiar family name". The Center Square. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  6. 1 2 Doyle, Steve (August 25, 2023). "Another Republican enters the race for lieutenant governor in North Carolina". Fox 8 . Retrieved September 17, 2023.
  7. ↑ Mikkelson, Emily (May 9, 2023). "Wilkes County representative Elmore announces run for lieutenant governor". FOX 8. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  8. ↑ Stamps, Brayden (May 27, 2023). "Rockingham County Sheriff Sam Page officially announces run for North Carolina lieutenant governor". FOX 8. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  9. 1 2 "2024 primary candidate list by contest federal and state" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. December 5, 2023. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  10. ↑ Opeka, Theresa (August 23, 2023). "Eden attorney latest to run on GOP ticket in 2024 NC lieutenant governor race". The Carolina Journal. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
  11. ↑ Hammer, John (February 15, 2023). "Jim Kee Announces Run For NC Lieutenant Governor In 2024". The Rhino Times of Greensboro. Retrieved February 16, 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 Woolverton, Paul (May 24, 2023). "Former state Sen. Ben Clark running for NC lieutenant governor; Chris Rey drops out". The Fayetteville Observer. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  13. 1 2 Specht, Paul (May 14, 2024). "O'Neill and Weatherman square off for GOP lieutenant governor nomination". WRAL.com. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  14. 1 2 "Endorsements: Our choices in the crowded GOP and Dem primaries for NC Lt. Governor". The Charlotte Observer . February 18, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  15. ↑ Olson, Troy (November 21, 2023). "Endorsement: Allen Mashburn for Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina". New York Young Republican Club. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
  16. ↑ Hammer, John (February 27, 2024). "Rhino Endorsements In Republican Primary". The Rhino Times of Greensboro. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  17. 1 2 High Point University
  18. ↑ Capen Analytics
  19. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  20. 1 2 "03/05/2024 OFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections . Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  21. ↑ "05/14/2024 OFFICIAL 2NDPRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". NCSBE . Retrieved May 18, 2024.
  22. ↑ "N. Carolina Sen. Rachel Hunt to run for lieutenant governor". AP News . March 1, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  23. ↑ Fain, Travis (June 12, 2024). "Mark Robinson (no, not that one) preps long-shot campaign on a bus named Bessie Murphy". WRAL-TV . Retrieved August 16, 2024.
  24. 1 2 "'Perpetual campaign season:' For some NC candidates, 2024 races have already begun".
  25. ↑ Johnson, Anna (September 7, 2023). "Raleigh clears way for heliport near North Hills over noise, gentrification concerns". The News & Observer . Retrieved October 12, 2023. Delmonte Crawford, who is running for Raleigh mayor in the 2024 election, also spoke against the change and said it contributes to gentrification when the area 'is already trying to rebuild from the pandemic.'
  26. ↑ Alexander, Dave (March 9, 2023). "Smith to Run for Mayor". Goldsboro Daily News. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
  27. ↑ "EMILYs List Endorses Rachel Hunt for Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  28. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  29. ↑ "2024 General Candidate List By Contest Federal And State" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections.
  30. ↑ Zehnder, Katherine (July 18, 2024). "Constitution Party candidates file for November ballot". Carolina Journal . Retrieved July 25, 2024.
  31. ↑ Jacobson, Louis (November 1, 2024). "Updating the Down-Ballot Statewide Races". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  32. ↑ ActiVote
  33. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  34. ↑ ActiVote
  35. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  36. ↑ YouGov (D)
  37. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  38. ↑ Spry Strategies
  39. ↑ "11/05/2024 OFFICIAL GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections .
  40. ↑ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4f133eac-adb1-4bb4-a7fe-92aa8a5f1ed4

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