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Elections in Missouri |
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The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024. [1]
The former bellwether state has politically trended rightward in recent years and is today a Republican stronghold at both the federal and state levels. The last Democrat to hold the office of governor in Missouri is Jay Nixon who comfortably won re-election in 2012. In 2020, Parson won by 16.41% in the first election in which Missouri elected a Republican for governor by double digits since 1988. Missouri is expected to soundly elect another GOP governor in 2024. [2]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft | Bill Eigel | Mike Kehoe | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/Saint Louis University | February 14–26, 2024 | 414 (LV) | ± 5.54% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 4% [lower-alpha 2] | 49% |
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout | February 14–15, 2024 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 5% | 22% | – | 38% |
ARW Strategies (R) | February 5–7, 2024 | 611 (V) | ± 3.96% | 36% | 13% | 13% | – | 38% |
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout | January 18–19, 2024 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 4% | 20% | – | 42% |
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 6% | 19% | – | 49% |
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout | September 27–28, 2023 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 5% | 15% | – | 48% |
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout | July 5–7, 2023 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 34% | 4% | 14% | – | 38% |
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout | November 15–16, 2022 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 4% | 10% | – | 42% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] | March 8–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | – | 19% | 8% | 19% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jay Ashcroft | |||
Republican | Bill Eigel | |||
Republican | Darren Grant | |||
Republican | Jeremy Gundel | |||
Republican | Mike Kehoe | |||
Republican | Darrell McClanahan | |||
Republican | Robert Olson | |||
Republican | Amber Thomsen | |||
Republican | Chris Wright | |||
Total votes |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 3] | Margin of error | Sheryl Gladney | Mike Hamra | Crystal Quade | Sarah Unsicker | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/Saint Louis University | February 14–26, 2024 | 396 (LV) | ± 5.57% | 4% | 5% | 21% | 4% | 66% |
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 2% | 39% | – | 58% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sheryl Gladney | |||
Democratic | Mike Hamra | |||
Democratic | Hollis Laster | |||
Democratic | Eric Morrison | |||
Democratic | Crystal Quade | |||
Total votes |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | July 21, 2023 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | July 14, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | July 13, 2023 |
Elections Daily [31] | Safe R | July 12, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Kehoe (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 38% | 33% | – | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group [upper-alpha 2] | March 6-8, 2024 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 36% | – | 11% |
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 34% | – | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Eigel (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 34% | – | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Kehoe (R) | Mike Hamra (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 27% | – | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft (R) | Mike Hamra (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 29% | – | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Eigel (R) | Mike Hamra (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 30% | – | 37% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | TBD | |||
Democratic | TBD | |||
Libertarian | Bill Slantz | |||
Total votes |
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