![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Kehoe: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Quade: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Missouri |
---|
![]() |
The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Mike Parson was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. The Republican nominee, incumbent lieutenant governor Mike Kehoe, defeated the Democratic nominee, minority Leader of the Missouri House of Representatives Crystal Quade, to succeed Parson.
Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024. [1] Mike Kehoe, the incumbent lieutenant governor, won the Republican nomination, while Crystal Quade, the Minority Leader of the Missouri House of Representatives, won the Democratic nomination. [2] Kehoe defeated Quade in the general election with 59.1 percent of the vote. [3]
A former bellwether state, Missouri has politically trended rightward in recent years and is today a Republican stronghold at both the federal and state levels. The last Democrat to hold the office of governor in Missouri was Jay Nixon, who comfortably won re-election in 2012. In 2020, Parson won by 16.41%, the first time a Republican gubernatorial candidate won by a double-digit margin since John Ashcroft's landslide re-election in 1988.[ dubious – discuss ] Major news organizations predicted that the state would elect another Republican governor in 2024. [4]
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Organizations
Executive Branch officials
U.S. representatives
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft | Bill Eigel | Mike Kehoe | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Battleground Connect (R) [24] [A] | July 30–31, 2024 | 896 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 26% | 17% | 26% | 16% [b] | 15% |
Remington Research Group (R) [25] [A] | July 22–24, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 29% | 18% | 29% | 9% | 15% |
ARW Strategies (R) [26] | June 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 19% | 24% | – | 38% |
Remington Research Group (R) [27] [A] | June 19–20, 2024 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 31% | 9% | 29% | – | 31% |
Emerson College [28] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 23% | 6% | 20% | 5% [c] | 46% |
American Viewpoint (R) [29] [B] | June 2–4, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 27% | 16% | 27% | – | 30% |
Peak Insights (R) [30] | May 15–18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 22% | 14% | 20% | – | 42% |
American Viewpoint (R) [29] [B] | May 13–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 33% | 12% | 23% | – | 32% |
Tyson Group (R) [31] [C] | April 23–26, 2024 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 3% | 11% | 9% [d] | 40% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University [32] | February 14–26, 2024 | 414 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 4% [e] | 49% |
Remington Research Group (R) [33] [A] | February 14–15, 2024 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 5% | 22% | – | 38% |
ARW Strategies (R) [34] | February 5–7, 2024 | 611 (V) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 13% | 13% | – | 38% |
Remington Research Group (R) [35] [A] | January 18–19, 2024 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 4% | 20% | – | 42% |
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 6% | 19% | – | 49% |
Remington Research Group (R) [37] [A] | September 27–28, 2023 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 5% | 15% | – | 48% |
Remington Research Group (R) [38] [A] | July 5–7, 2023 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 34% | 4% | 14% | – | 38% |
Remington Research Group (R) [39] [A] | April 11–12, 2023 | 778 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 29% | 4% | 13% | – | 54% |
Remington Research Group (R) [40] [A] | February 8–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 28% | 4% | 9% | – | 59% |
Remington Research Group (R) [41] [A] | November 15–16, 2022 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 4% | 10% | – | 42% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [42] [D] | March 8–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | – | 19% | 8% | 19% |
Dates | Location | Ashcroft | Eigel | Kehoe | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 25, 2024 | St. Louis | Participant | Participant | Absent | YouTube |
Kehoe secured a modest victory, carrying 88 counties, as well as the city of St. Louis. He performed the best in Shelby County, while Eigel, the runner-up, earned his best result in Grundy County. Finally, Ashcroft narrowly surpassed Kehoe in Greene County. [43]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kehoe | 274,840 | 39.4 | |
Republican | Bill Eigel | 227,012 | 32.6 | |
Republican | Jay Ashcroft | 162,086 | 23.2 | |
Republican | Amber Thomsen | 10,627 | 1.5 | |
Republican | Chris Wright | 9,358 | 1.3 | |
Republican | Darrell McClanahan | 5,637 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Robert Olson | 2,975 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Jeremy Gundel | 2,946 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Darren Grant | 1,866 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 697,347 | 100.0 |
Newspapers
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Sheryl Gladney | Mike Hamra | Crystal Quade | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) [55] | July 10–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 9% [f] | 43% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University [32] | February 14–26, 2024 | 396 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 4% | 5% | 21% | 4% | 66% |
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 2% | 39% | – | 58% |
Quade led the race, winning slightly more than half of the votes, as well as 90 county equivalents out of 115. [g] She performed the best in Greene County, where the city of Springfield is located. Conversely, Hamra recorded his best result in Harrison County, with some more than 50% of the vote. Morrison failed to win a single county, but still managed to tie Pemiscot County, earning as many votes there as Hamra did. [56]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Crystal Quade | 189,822 | 50.2 | |
Democratic | Mike Hamra | 119,702 | 31.7 | |
Democratic | Eric Morrison | 36,985 | 9.8 | |
Democratic | Sheryl Gladney | 25,287 | 6.7 | |
Democratic | Hollis Laster | 5,973 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 377,769 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [57] | Solid R | June 13, 2024 |
Inside Elections [58] | Solid R | July 14, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] | Safe R | June 4, 2024 |
RCP [60] | Likely R | July 13, 2024 |
Elections Daily [61] | Safe R | July 12, 2023 |
CNalysis [62] | Solid R | August 17, 2024 |
Newspapers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mike Kehoe (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. [64] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 38% | 3% | 7% |
Remington Research Group (R) [65] [A] | October 28–29, 2024 | 721 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 1% [h] | 8% |
ActiVote [66] | October 11–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – | – |
Remington Research Group (R) [67] [A] | October 2–3, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 41% | 1% [i] | 7% |
ActiVote [68] | September 3 – October 1, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
Emerson College [69] [E] | September 12–13, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 36% | 1% [j] | 11% |
Remington Research Group (R) [70] [A] | September 4–5, 2024 | 940 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | – | 14% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University [71] | August 8–16, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 41% | 3% [k] | 6% |
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 38% | 33% | – | 29% |
Jay Ashcroft vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) [72] [A] | March 6–8, 2024 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 36% | – | 11% |
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 34% | – | 27% |
Bill Eigel vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Bill Eigel (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 34% | – | 33% |
Mike Kehoe vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mike Kehoe (R) | Mike Hamra (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 27% | – | 36% |
Jay Ashcroft vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft (R) | Mike Hamra (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 29% | – | 32% |
Bill Eigel vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Bill Eigel (R) | Mike Hamra (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me Victories (D) [36] | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 30% | – | 37% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Green |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
Kehoe | Quade | Slantz | Lehmann | |||||
1 | Sep. 20, 2024 | Missouri Press Association | David Lieb | YouTube | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kehoe | 1,750,802 | 59.14% | ![]() | |
Democratic | Crystal Quade | 1,146,173 | 38.72% | ![]() | |
Libertarian | Bill Slantz | 40,908 | 1.38% | ![]() | |
Green | Paul Lehmann | 22,359 | 0.76% | ![]() | |
Write-in | 24 | 0.00% | ![]() | ||
Total votes | 2,960,266 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Kehoe won six of eight congressional districts. [74]
District | Kehoe | Quade | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 22% | 75% | Cori Bush (118th Congress) |
Wesley Bell (119th Congress) | |||
2nd | 56% | 42% | Ann Wagner |
3rd | 64% | 33% | Blaine Luetkemeyer (118th Congress) |
Bob Onder (119th Congress) | |||
4th | 70% | 28% | Mark Alford |
5th | 38% | 60% | Emanuel Cleaver |
6th | 69% | 29% | Sam Graves |
7th | 70% | 28% | Eric Burlison |
8th | 76% | 22% | Jason Smith |
Partisan clients
Official campaign websites