2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

For related races, see 2024 United States House of Representatives elections.

Not to be confused with 2024 Alaska House of Representatives election.

2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska's at-large district

←  2022 November 5, 2024 2026  →

Candidate Nick Begich III Mary Peltola Party Republican Democratic First round 159,550 48.41% 152,828 46.37% Maximum round 164,861 51.22% 156,985 48.78%

First round results by borough and census area First round results by State House district First round results by precinct Final round results by borough and census area Begich:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Peltola:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Tie:     40–50%     50%

U.S. Representative before election Mary Peltola Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Nick Begich III Republican

The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of Alaska from its at-large congressional district . The election coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections.

Incumbent Mary Peltola, the first Democrat to represent Alaska in the House since 1972, sought a second full term in office. Peltola had been elected in an August 2022 special election to succeed deceased Republican Don Young. She won a full term the following November.

In accordance with 2020 Alaska Measure 2, the race was conducted using the state's ranked-choice voting procedures. Eleven candidates challenged Peltola in the August all-party primary. Republicans Nick Begich III, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Matthew Salisbury initially qualified for spots in the ranked-choice general election, but Dahlstrom and Salisbury withdrew shortly after the primary in a show of party unity. ^[1] The final general election ballot thus featured Peltola, Begich, Alaskan Independence Party nominee John Wayne Howe, and Democrat Eric Hafner. The Alaska Democratic Party attempted to have Hafner removed from the ballot due to his status as a federal prisoner in New York, but the Alaska Supreme Court rejected their arguments. ^[2]

Given Alaska's conservative lean, Peltola was considered a top target for Republicans throughout the cycle. ^[3] By late October, multiple outlets regarded Peltola as one of the 10 most vulnerable incumbents running for reelection in the House. ^{[4] [5]} Despite Peltola's loss, she did outperform Kamala Harris in the concurrent 2024 presidential election in Alaska by about 10 points, but this was not enough to win.

Begich was declared the winner on November 20, following the tabulation of ranked-choice votes. ^[6] He was sworn in on January 3, 2025. ^[7]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

• Mary Peltola, incumbent U.S. representative ^[8]
• Eric Hafner, federal prisoner and perennial candidate ^[9]

Republican Party

Advanced to general

• Nick Begich III, Alaska Policy Forum board member, grandson of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich Sr., and third-place finisher for U.S. House in 2022 ^[10]

Withdrew after advancing to general

• Nancy Dahlstrom, Lieutenant Governor of Alaska ^[11]
• Matthew Salisbury, property claims adjustor ^[12]

Eliminated in primary

• Gerald Heikes, drywall contractor and perennial candidate ^[13]

No Labels

Eliminated in primary

• Richard Grayson, author, former co-chair of the Pinal County, Arizona Green Party, and perennial candidate ^[14]

Alaskan Independence Party

Advanced to general

• John Wayne Howe, chair of the Alaskan Independence Party, candidate for U.S. House in 2022, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 ^[12]

Independents

Eliminated in primary

• David Ambrose ^[12]
• Samuel Claesson, author ^[15]
• Lady Donna Dutchess, Vicegerent for Shadow Light Monastery, nun, and candidate for U.S. House in 2022 ^[16]
• Richard Mayers ^[12]

Primary election

Endorsements

Nick Begich (R)

U.S. senators

• Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011–present) ^[17]

U.S. representatives

• Byron Donalds, U.S. representative from FL-19 (2021–present) ^[18]

Individuals

• Vivek Ramaswamy, pharmaceutical executive and 2024 Republican presidential candidate ^[19]

Organizations

• Anchorage Young Republicans ^[20]
• Mat-Su Young Republicans ^[20]
• House Freedom Fund ^[21]

Nancy Dahlstrom (R)

U.S. presidents

• Donald Trump, former President of the United States ^[22] (switched endorsement to Begich after Dahlstrom withdrew)

Governors

• Mike Dunleavy, Governor of Alaska ^[23] (switched endorsement to Begich after Dahlstrom withdrew)

U.S. representatives

• Mike Johnson, U.S. Representative from LA-04 and Speaker of the House ^[24] (switched endorsement to Begich after Dahlstrom withdrew)
• Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from NY-21 ^[24] (switched endorsement to Begich after Dahlstrom withdrew)

Organizations

• Congressional Leadership Fund ^[25]
• National Republican Congressional Committee ^[26]

Mary Peltola (D)

U.S. senators

• Lisa Murkowski, U.S. Senator from Alaska (2002–present) (Republican) ^[27]

Labor unions

• AFSCME Local 52 ^[28]
• Alaska AFL-CIO ^[29]
• Association of Flight Attendants ^[30]
• International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 959 ^[31]
• National Education Association ^[32]

Organizations

• AIPAC ^[33]
• Democratic Majority for Israel ^[34]
• EMILY's List ^[35]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[36]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America ^[37]
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs ^[38]
• Koniag, Incorporated ^[39]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[40]
• National Women's Political Caucus ^[41]
• National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund ^[42]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[43]
• Swing Left ^[44]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Mary Peltola (D)	$7,541,673	$5,396,920	$2,836,013
Nick Begich (R)	$982,905	$851,591	$172,548
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)	$912,308	$912,308	$317,617
Source: Federal Election Commission [45]

Polling

Top four primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Nick Begich (R)	Nancy Dahlstrom (R)	Mary Peltola (D)	Other	Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [46]	February 23 – March 4, 2024	1,120 (LV)	± 3.0%	35%	10%	44%	2% [b]	8%
Remington Research (R) [47] [A]	December 11–14, 2023	672 (LV)	± 4.0%	28%	9%	42%	9% [c]	11%

Results

Results by state house district:

  Peltola—70–80%

  Peltola—60–70%

  Peltola—50–60%

  Peltola—40–50%

  Peltola—30–40%

  Begich—30–40%

  Begich—40–50%

Peltola performed well in the primary, securing slightly more than 50% of the vote. She received the plurality of the vote in 33 out of 40 Alaska House of Representatives districts. ^[48] Her top three districts were the fourth district in Southeast Alaska (79.5% of the vote) as well as the 17th and the 19th districts located in Anchorage (75.3% and 71.0% of the vote respectively).

Blanket primary results ^[49]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Peltola (incumbent)	55,166	50.89%
	Republican	Nick Begich III	28,803	26.57%
	Republican	Nancy Dahlstrom (withdrew)	21,574	19.90%
	Republican	Matthew Salisbury (withdrew)	652	0.60%
	Independence	John Wayne Howe	621	0.57%
	Democratic	Eric Hafner	467	0.43%
	Republican	Gerald Heikes	424	0.39%
	Independent	Lady Donna Dutchess	195	0.18%
	Independent	David Ambrose	154	0.14%
	No Labels	Richard Grayson	143	0.13%
	Independent	Richard Mayers	119	0.11%
	Independent	Samuel Claesson	89	0.08%
Total votes			108,407	100.00%

General election

On August 23, Nancy Dahlstrom withdrew from the general election. ^[11] Despite initially stating he had no plans to withdraw, Matthew Salisbury also dropped out of the race. ^{[50] [51]} They were replaced by fifth-place finisher John Wayne Howe of the Alaskan Independence Party and sixth-place finisher Eric Hafner, a Democrat. ^[51] Hafner remained on the ballot even though he has never been to Alaska, and was serving a 20-year sentence in a federal penitentiary in New York. ^[52] The Alaska Democratic Party sued to remove Hafner from the general election ballot, but an Anchorage Superior Court judge dismissed the lawsuit. The party appealed to the Alaska Supreme Court, who upheld the lower court's decision, keeping Hafner on the ballot. ^[2]

Post-primary endorsements

Mary Peltola (D)

Statewide officials

• Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present) ^[53]
• Lisa Murkowski, U.S. Senator from Alaska (2002–present) (Republican) ^[54]

Organizations

• Alaska Federation of Natives ^[55]
• National Rifle Association ^[56]

Nick Begich (R)

U.S. presidents

• Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021) (previously endorsed Dahlstrom) ^[57]

U.S. senators

• Dan Sullivan, U.S. senator from Alaska (2015–present) ^[58]

U.S. representatives

• Tom Emmer, House Majority Whip (2023–present) from MN-06 (2015–present) ^[59]
• Mike Johnson, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2023–present) from LA-04 (2017–present) (previously endorsed Dahlstrom) ^[59]
• Jim Jordan, U.S. representatives from OH-04 (2007–present) ^[60]
• Scott Perry, U.S. representative from PA-10 ^[d] (2013–present) ^[59]
• Steve Scalise, House Majority Leader (2023–present) from LA-01 (2008–present) ^[59]
• Elise Stefanik, Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–present) from NY-21 (2015–present) (previously endorsed Dahlstrom) ^[59]
• Bruce Westerman, U.S. representative from AR-04 (2015–present) ^[61]

Governors

• Mike Dunleavy, Governor of Alaska (2018–present) (previously endorsed Dahlstrom) ^[62]

Organizations

• Alaska Republican Party ^[63]
• Americans for Prosperity Action ^[64]
• Club for Growth ^[65]
• Gun Owners of America ^[66]
• National Federation of Independent Business ^[67]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [68]	Tossup	September 6, 2024
Inside Elections [69]	Tilt R (flip)	October 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [70]	Lean R (flip)	November 4, 2024
Elections Daily [71]	Lean R (flip)	November 4, 2024
CNalysis [72]	Tilt D	November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ [73]	Tossup	October 22, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Mary Peltola (D)	Nick Begich (R)	Other	Undecided
American Viewpoint (R) [74] [B]	September 14–17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	40%	44%	6% [e]	10%
Cygnal (R) [75] [C]	August 30 – September 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	45%	–	9%
American Viewpoint (R) [74] [B]	Late August 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	39%	–	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	RCV round	Mary Peltola (D)	Nick Begich (R)	John Wayne Howe (AIP)	Eric Hafner (D)
Cygnal (R) [76] [C]	October 14–16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%
				1	44.5%	49.1%	4.0%	2.4%
				2	45.5%	49.6%	4.8%	Elim
				3	47.9%	52.1%	Elim	Elim

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	RCV round	Mary Peltola (D)	Nick Begich (R)	Nancy Dahlstrom (R)	Chris Bye (L)
Data for Progress (D) [77]	February 23 – March 2, 2024	1,120 (LV)	± 3.0%
				1	47%	39%	12%	3%
				2	48%	41%	12%	Elim
				3	50%	50%	Elim	Elim

Debates and forums

2024 Alaska U.S. House of Representatives debates and forums

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Independence	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Peltola	Begich	Howe	Hafner
1 [78]	Aug. 28, 2024	Alaska Oil and Gas Association	Michelle Egan	YouTube	P	P	N	N
2 [79]	Oct. 8, 2024	Kodiak Chamber of Commerce KMXT (FM)	Terry Haines	YouTube	P	P	P	N
3 [80]	Oct. 10, 2024	Alaska Chamber of Commerce			P	P	N	N
4	Oct. 10, 2024	Alaska Public Media KTUU-TV	Rebecca Palsha Lori Townsend	YouTube	P	P	N	N

Results

2024 Alaska's at-large congressional district election ^{[81] [82]}

Party		Candidate	First choice		Round 1			Round 2			Round 3
			Votes	%	Votes	%	Transfer	Votes	%	Transfer	Votes	%
	Republican	Nick Begich III	159,550	48.41%	159,777	48.49%	+267	160,044	48.77%	+4,817	164,861	51.22%
	Democratic	Mary Peltola (incumbent)	152,828	46.37%	152,948	46.42%	+1,313	154,261	47.01%	+2,724	156,985	48.78%
	Independence	John Wayne Howe	13,010	3.95%	13,210	4.01%	+661	13,871	4.23%	-13,871	Eliminated
	Democratic	Eric Hafner	3,417	1.04%	3,558	1.08%	-3,558	Eliminated
	Write-in		750	0.23%	Eliminated
Total votes			329,555		329,493			328,176			321,846
Inactive ballots [f]					6,360		+1,317	7,677		+6,330	14,007
	Republican gain from Democratic

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Chris Bye (L) with 2%
3. Chris Bye (L) with 7%; Richard Grayson (NL) with 2%
4. Numbered as the 4th from 2013–2019
5. "Someone else" with 6%
6. Includes overvotes, undervotes, and exhausted ballots where another candidate was not ranked.

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Begich's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by the NRCC
3. Poll sponsored by Begich's campaign and the NRCC

References

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25. Schilke, Rachel (April 3, 2024). "Johnson-linked PAC releases first slate of 'trailblazer' House endorsements - Washington Examiner" . Retrieved April 3, 2024.
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External links

Official campaign sites

• Nick Begich (R) for Congress
• Mary Peltola (D) for Congress
• John Wayne Howe (AIP)