2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
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←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
  Elizabeth Warren--2016 Official Portrait--(cropped).jpg John Deaton, 2024.jpg
Nominee Elizabeth Warren John Deaton
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Massachusetts. Primary elections took place on September 3, 2024. [1] Incumbent Senator Elizabeth Warren was first elected in 2012, defeating incumbent Republican Scott Brown. Warren was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2018 and is seeking a third term in office.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Elizabeth Warren (D)$18,486,081$24,658,143$4,920,625
Source: Federal Election Commission [24]

Results

Democratic primary results [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 562,709 98.58%
Write-in 8,0781.42%
Total votes570,787 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • John Deaton, attorney [26]

Eliminated in primary

  • Robert Antonellis, nutrition software company owner [27]
  • Ian Cain, president of the Quincy City Council [28]

Declined

Endorsements

Ian Cain
U.S. senators
Governors
John Deaton
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Individuals


Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Robert Antonellis (R)$43,352 [lower-alpha 1] $37,250$9,667
Ian Cain (R)$361,115$312,722$48,393
John Deaton (R)$1,690,411 [lower-alpha 2] $715,642$974,769
Source: Federal Election Commission [24]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Robert
Antonellis		Ian
Cain		John
Deaton		OtherUndecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 1] May 17–30, 2024292 (A)± 4.4%19%5%15%25% [lower-alpha 4] 36%
Suffolk University [upper-alpha 2] April 16–20, 202499(LV)± 4.4%4%2%4%1% [lower-alpha 5] 89%

Results

Results by municipality: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Deaton--90-100% Deaton--80-90% Deaton--70-80% Deaton--60-70% Deaton--50-60% Antonellis--50-60% Antonellis--40-50% Cain--40-50% No Data/Vote 2024 United States Senate Election Republican Primary in Massachusetts by Municipality.svg
Results by municipality:
  Deaton—90–100%
  Deaton—80–90%
  Deaton—70–80%
  Deaton—60–70%
  Deaton—50–60%
  Antonellis—50–60%
  Antonellis—40–50%
  Cain—40–50%
  No Data/Vote
Republican primary results [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Deaton 136,773 64.51%
Republican Robert Antonellis54,94025.91%
Republican Ian Cain19,3749.14%
Write-in 9240.44%
Total votes212,011 100.0%

Workers Party primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Brandon Griffin, activist [35]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Deceased

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [37] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [38] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [39] Safe DNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [40] Safe DJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [41] Safe DMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [42] Solid DNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [43] Solid DAugust 5, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		John
Deaton (R)		Other/Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 1] May 17-30,2023700 (A)± 4.4%47%24%29%
Hypothetical polling
Elizabeth Warren vs. Robert Antonellis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Robert
Antonellis (R)		Other/Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 1] May 17-30,2023700 (A)± 4.4%50%23%27%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Charlie Baker
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Charlie
Baker (R)		Undecided
Fiscal Alliance Foundation May 6–7, 2023750 (LV)± 3.6%34%49%17%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Ian Cain
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Ian
Cain (R)		Other/Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 1] May 17-30,2023700 (A)± 4.4%48%24%28%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Jonathan Kraft
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Johnathan
Kraft (R)		Undecided
Suffolk University February 2-5, 20231000 (LV)± 3.1%56%33%11%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Aaron Packard
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Aaron
Packard (R)		Other/Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 1] May 17-30,2023700 (A)± 4.4%48%23%29%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Karyn Polito
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Karyn
Polito (R)		Undecided
Fiscal Alliance Foundation July 21–22, 2023750 (LV)± 3.6%41%29%30%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent)
Republican John Deaton
Total votes

Notes

  1. ↑ $24,296 of this total was self-funded by Antonellis
  2. ↑ $1,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Deaton
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ Aaron Packard with 9%; "Other" with 16%
  5. ↑ Aaron Packard with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll commissioned by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and WCVB-TV
  2. ↑ Poll commissioned by The Boston Globe

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ↑ Kamisar, Ben; Shabad, Rebecca; Vitali, Ali (January 20, 2023). "Democrats Kaine, Warren and Gillibrand are all running for re-election". NBC News . Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (February 9, 2023). "Rumor has it". Politico .
  4. 1 2 3 4 Kashinsky, Lisa (April 26, 2023). "N.H. Dems sort of back Biden". POLITICO. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  5. 1 2 Kashinsky, Lisa (October 14, 2022). "Pressley for president?". Politico. Retrieved October 14, 2022.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 Quinn, Melissa (March 27, 2023). "POLITICS: Elizabeth Warren announces Senate reelection bid". CBS News . Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  7. 1 2 "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren for Reelection". Giffords. April 25, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  8. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (April 24, 2023). "Healey's early flexes". Politico . Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  9. ↑ Chou, Lauren (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Elizabeth Warren for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  10. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  11. ↑ "Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨". www.instagram.com. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  12. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  13. ↑ "Elizabeth Warren". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  14. ↑ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  15. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  17. ↑ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  18. ↑ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund . Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  19. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  20. ↑ @BoldProgressive (March 27, 2023). "BIG news for your Monday morning: @ewarren is formally running for re-election! The fight for big, structural change continues. Pitch in to become a founding donor to her re-election campaign". Twitter . Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  21. ↑ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  22. ↑ "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
  23. ↑ Working Families Party (@WorkingFamilies) (March 28, 2023). "We're endorsing @ewarren in her re-election for U.S. Senate. We've won some big things for working people. But we have a lot more to do, and Elizabeth has proven she's able to take the battle against right-wing Republicans and corporate Democrats — and for working people — on". Twitter . Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  24. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Massachusetts". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  25. 1 2 "2024 Primary - U.S. Senate". Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.
  26. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa; Garrity, Kelly (February 20, 2024). "Crypto attorney launches Senate bid against Elizabeth Warren". Politico . Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  27. ↑ Brissette, Kristen (July 2023). "Senator Warren to Face Senate Race Competition". Barnstable Broadside. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
  28. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (April 24, 2024). "Ian Cain launches senate bid against Warren". Politico.com . Retrieved April 24, 2024.
  29. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa; Gardner, Sophie; Garrity, Kelly (May 12, 2023). "Republicans search for a standard-bearer". POLITICO. Retrieved May 12, 2023.
  30. ↑ Wright, Turner (July 8, 2024). "Cynthia Lummis backs Ian Cain over crypto lawyer John Deaton for Senate". CoinTelegraph. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
  31. ↑ Micek, John (June 30, 2024). "Debates and defeats. A rough week of lessons for Dems". MassLive . Retrieved July 4, 2024. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ian Cain notched the backing of former Gov. Jane Swift last week
  32. 1 2 Micek, John (April 13, 2024). "Who is John Deaton, the long-shot Republican trying to unseat Mass. Sen. Elizabeth Warren?". MassLive . Retrieved July 4, 2024.
  33. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa; Goodman, Jasper; Garrity, Kelly (April 12, 2024). "Crypto executives put money behind longshot bid to oust Elizabeth Warren". Politico . Retrieved May 20, 2024. Deaton has also been endorsed by Mark Cuban, who has criticized the SEC's approach to crypto enforcement
  34. ↑ Massachusetts College Republicans [@macollegegop] (April 20, 2024). "🚨🚨 ENDORSEMENT ALERT 🚨🚨: MACR is proud to endorse @DeatonforSenate in his U.S. Senate Race against Washington Establishment darling Elizabeth Warren. We will do everything to help him retire Elizabeth Warren in November! Read our endorsement of Mr. Deaton below. #mapoli" (Tweet). Retrieved April 30, 2024– via Twitter.
  35. ↑ "Meet Elizabeth Warren's newest opponent for Senate, Socialist Brandon Griffin". The Republic . September 9, 2023.
  36. ↑ Evans, Jordan (September 18, 2023). "Two Massachusetts Libertarian Candidates Will Not Appear on the Ballot". Independent Political Report. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  37. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  38. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  39. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  40. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  41. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  42. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  43. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
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