2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

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2020 Missouri gubernatorial election
Flag of Missouri.svg
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Turnout69.75% Increase2.svg
  Mike Parson official photo (cropped).jpg Nicole Galloway Photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Parson Nicole Galloway
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,720,2021,225,771
Percentage57.11%40.69%
2020 Missouri gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2020 MO GOV CD.svg
MO Governor 2020.svg
Parson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Galloway:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Mike Parson
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike Parson
Republican

The 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson ran for and was elected to a full term in office. [1] Parson was elected as lieutenant governor in 2016 but became governor on June 1, 2018, after incumbent Eric Greitens resigned under threat of impeachment by the state legislature. Parson declared his bid for a full term on September 8, 2019. [2] State Auditor Nicole Galloway, Missouri's only Democratic statewide officer and only female statewide officer, was the Democratic nominee and if elected, would have become Missouri's first female governor.

Contents

In October 2020, The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affect partisan balance during post-census redistricting. [3]

Despite most news agencies characterizing the race as only leaning Republican, Mike Parson went on to win the election by a landslide of 16.4%, widely outperforming all election polling as well as justifying the former swing state's trend towards the GOP. He even exceeded Donald Trump's statewide victory margin in the concurrent presidential election, which was actually greater than that in neighboring Kansas for the first time in 104 years. Galloway suffered the largest margin of defeat for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Missouri since Betty Hearnes' 29-point loss in 1988.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Neely
State officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson		Eric
Greitens		Other /
Undecided
March 31, 2020Filing deadline, by which Greitens had not declared his candidacy
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Jan 29–30, 20201,155 (LV)± 2.9%52%22%26%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri [upper-alpha 1] Jan 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–56%30%11%

Results

Results by county: Parson .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} >90% 80-90% 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% <40% Missouri Governor Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
Parson
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Parson (incumbent) 511,566 74.93%
Republican Saundra McDowell84,41212.36%
Republican Jim Neely 59,5148.72%
Republican Raleigh Ritter27,2643.99%
Total votes682,756 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Eric Morrison, community leader and pastor [15]
  • Antoin Johnson [16]
  • Jimmie Matthews [16]
  • Robin Quaethem [16]

Declined

Endorsements

Nicole Galloway
Federal politicians
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by county: Galloway >90% 80-90% 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% Missouri Governor Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
Galloway
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Nicole Galloway 455,203 84.62%
Democratic Eric Morrison32,4036.02%
Democratic Jimmie Matthews20,5863.83%
Democratic Antoin Johnson20,2543.77%
Democratic Robin Quaethem9,4811.76%
Total votes537,927 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee Rik Combs portrait.jpg
Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee

Nominee

  • Rik Combs, U.S. Air Force veteran [16]

Results

Libertarian primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Rik Combs 4,171 100.00%
Total votes4,171 100.00%

Green Party

Nominee

Results

Green primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Jerome Bauer 862 100.00%
Total votes862 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Lean ROctober 23, 2020
Inside Elections [27] Lean ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [29] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [30] Likely ROctober 28, 2020
RCP [31] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
270towin [32] Lean RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson (R)		Nicole
Galloway (D)		Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 28–29, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%50%44%5% [lower-alpha 2]
Cygnal October 18–20, 2020600 (LV)± 4%48%42%10% [lower-alpha 3]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 14–15, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%51%43%6% [lower-alpha 4]
YouGov September 24 – October 7, 2020931 (LV)± 3.9%50%44%7% [lower-alpha 5]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] September 28 – October 2, 2020600 (LV)± 4.1%50%48%–
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 30 – October 1, 2020980 (LV)± 3%51%44%5% [lower-alpha 6]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 16–17, 20201,046 (LV)± 3%52%43%5% [lower-alpha 7]
We Ask America September 1–3, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%54%41%5% [lower-alpha 8]
Trafalgar Group August 26–28, 20201,015 (LV)± 2.99%51%36%13% [lower-alpha 9]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 12–13, 20201,112 (LV)± 3.0%50%43%7% [lower-alpha 10]
Saint Louis University Archived July 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine June 23 – July 1, 2020900 (LV)± 4.0%41%39%20% [lower-alpha 11]
Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D) [upper-alpha 2] June 16–22, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%47%40%–
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 10–11, 20201,152 (LV)± 2.9%50%41%9%
We Ask America May 26–27, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%47%39%15% [lower-alpha 12]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 28–29, 20201,356 (LV)± 2.6%52%39%9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout March 11–12, 20201,241 (LV)–52%39%7%
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 3] January 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–54%36%7%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout December 20–24, 2019415 (RV)± 5%51%36%13%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) November 17–20, 2019400 (RV)± 5.0%51%35%14%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 4] November 14–15, 2019921 (LV)–45%36%19%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) October 18–20, 2019550 (RV)± 4.0%50%34%16%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) October 9–10, 20191,451 (LV)± 2.5%53%41%6%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) September 16–18, 2019825 (RV)± 4.0%45%36%19%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) August 14–15, 2019855 (LV)± 3.3%50%39%11%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) June 26–27, 2019960 (LV)± 3.2%50%37%13%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019893 (LV)± 3.4%51%40%9%
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs Nicole Galloway
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Nicole
Galloway (D)		Other /
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 3] January 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–44%45%7%
Mike Parson vs Jason Kander
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson (R)		Jason
Kander (D)		Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019893 (LV)± 3.4%51%36%13%
Mike Parson vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019893 (LV)± 3.4%52%32%16%

Endorsements

Nicole Galloway (D)
Federal politicians
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Unions
Organizations

Results

Missouri gubernatorial election, 2020 [43] [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mike Parson (incumbent) 1,720,202 57.11% +5.97%
Democratic Nicole Galloway 1,225,77140.69%-4.88%
Libertarian Rik Combs49,0671.63%+0.16%
Green Jerome Bauer17,2340.57%-0.18%
Write-in 130.00%±0.00%
Total votes3,012,287 100.0%
Turnout 3,026,02869.75%
Registered electors 4,318,758
Republican hold
State Senate districts results MO GOV 2020 SS.svg
State Senate districts results
State House districts results MO 2020 GOV SH.svg
State House districts results

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  3. ↑ Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  4. ↑ Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  5. ↑ "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  6. ↑ Undecided with 5%
  7. ↑ Undecided with 5%
  8. ↑ Undecided with 5%
  9. ↑ Combs (L) with 3%; Bauer (G) with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  10. ↑ Undecided with 7%
  11. ↑ Undecided with 17%; "Other" with 3%
  12. ↑ Undecided with 15%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign.
  3. 1 2 Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association

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References

  1. ↑ Clare Foran (May 29, 2018). "Embattled Missouri Governor Eric Greitens resigns amid scandals". CNN . Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  2. 1 2 Suntrup, Jack (September 8, 2019). "Missouri Gov. Mike Parson, a cattle-farming former sheriff, announces bid for 4-year term". St. Louis Post-Dispatch . Retrieved September 8, 2019.
  3. ↑ Phillips, Amber (October 2, 2020). "The state legislative battles to watch in 2020". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  4. ↑ Parks, MaryAlice (May 30, 2018). "Missouri governor to be replaced by longtime traditional politician". ABC News. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
  5. ↑ Gerber, Cameron (March 31, 2020). "Saundra McDowell files to run for governor, challenging Parson". The Missouri Times.
  6. ↑ Erickson, Kurt (August 28, 2019). "State lawmaker announces plan to challenge Parson for GOP nomination for Missouri governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
  7. ↑ Governor, Raleigh Ritter For Missouri. "Raleigh Ritter". Raleigh Ritter For Missouri Governor.
  8. ↑ Star, Jason Hancock and Lindsay Wise Kansas City. "Parson faces unrest among Missouri conservatives as he heads into 2020". Columbia Daily Tribune. Retrieved April 2, 2019.
  9. ↑ Suntrup, Kurt Erickson, Jack (January 19, 2020). "A Greitens comeback? Supporters of the ex-Missouri governor are hopeful". STLtoday.com. Retrieved January 9, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  10. ↑ "Greitens 2020? Could former Gov. Greitens run for governor again?". KOMU.com. Archived from the original on February 19, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  11. ↑ Hancock, Jason [@J_Hancock] (April 8, 2019). ". @MonettiforMO went on @PeteMundo show this morning to announce he will not challenge @GovParsonMO in the GOP primary for governor in 2020. He'll dissolve his exploratory committee. #MoLeg #MoGOv" (Tweet). Retrieved April 8, 2019– via Twitter.
  12. 1 2 "Jim Neely for Missouri Governor 2020". Jim Neely. Archived from the original on July 14, 2020. Retrieved July 16, 2020.
  13. 1 2 3 4 "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 04, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State.
  14. ↑ Lieb, David A. (August 12, 2019). "Democrat Galloway launches Missouri gubernatorial campaign". Associated Press News. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
  15. ↑ "Eric Morrison for Missouri |". Archived from the original on January 24, 2021. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov.
  17. ↑ Rosenbaum, Jason (December 4, 2018). "New Missouri Democratic vice chair says the party can attract both urban and rural voters". KSMU. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
  18. ↑ Salter, Jim; Stafford, Margaret (July 28, 2019). "Jason Kander is back after quietly working through PTSD". Military Times. Associated Press. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  19. ↑ Raasch, Chuck (December 12, 2018). "McCaskill: I'll never run again, but I'll stay involved in politics". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved February 27, 2019.
  20. 1 2 3 Suntrup, Jack (July 2, 2019). "Missouri lawmaker from Affton who considered run for governor backs Democratic auditor instead". stltoday.com. Retrieved July 2, 2019.
  21. 1 2 "Show-Me Senator Kamala Harris Sending Support To Missouri Lady Candidates". May 23, 2020. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  22. 1 2 "State & Local". 3.14 Action. Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. Retrieved June 15, 2020.
  23. 1 2 Schriock, Stephanie (November 19, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  24. 1 2 "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  25. 1 2 Rodríguez, Yamelsie; Hill, Brandon (November 7, 2019). "Planned Parenthood Advocates and Votes Endorse Reproductive Health Champion Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Great Plains Votes; Advocates of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  26. ↑ "2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  27. ↑ "2020 Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  28. ↑ "2020 Gubernatorial race ratings". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  29. ↑ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  30. ↑ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  31. ↑ "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  32. ↑ "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  33. ↑ "Biden endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri governor. Here's why it matters". The Kansas City Star.
  34. ↑ "Nicole Galloway for Missouri". Nicole Galloway for Missouri. Archived from the original on October 17, 2020. Retrieved October 17, 2020.
  35. ↑ "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium. September 25, 2020.
  36. ↑ "Nicole Galloway Tops Week of Momentum with Endorsement From Sen. Elizabeth Warren". Democratic Governors Association. July 10, 2020.
  37. ↑ "Former Missouri Governor Jay Nixon hopeful that Galloway will unseat his successor in November election". October 29, 2020.
  38. ↑ "Join Pete Buttigeig in supporting Nicole Galloway!". ActBlue.
  39. ↑ "KC mayor endorses Galloway over Parson for Missouri governor". The Kansas City Star . October 12, 2020.
  40. ↑ "Nicole Galloway, CPA on Instagram: "You won't wanna miss this: Join me, @bravoandy, @karliekloss, and @derekblasberg on Monday for a virtual grassroots fundraiser for our…"". Instagram. Archived from the original on December 23, 2021. Retrieved October 19, 2020.
  41. ↑ "2020 Labor Endorsed Candidates". moaflcio.org. July 14, 2020.
  42. ↑ Gerber, Cameron (July 23, 2020). "Galloway endorsed by national gun violence prevention group". The Missouri Times.
  43. ↑ "All Results State of Missouri - State of Missouri - General Election, November 03, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
  44. ↑ "Statistiques" (PDF). www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved December 18, 2020..

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