2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district
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←  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  →
  Peter Welch official photo (cropped).jpg MiriamBerry.png
Nominee Peter Welch Miriam Berry
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote238,82795,830
Percentage67.3%27.0%
Vermont House Election Results by County, 2020.svg
2020 United States House of Representatives Election in Vermont results map by municipality.svg
VT House 2020.svg
Welch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80-90%     >90%
Berry:     40–50%     50–60%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district . The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democrat Peter Welch would win re-election to his eighth and final term, defeating Republican Miriam Berry by 40 points in the process. Welch would run for and win a seat in the United States Senate in 2022.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Ralph Corbo, activist [1]

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Welch-->90% 2020 VT-AL Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Welch—>90%
Democratic primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 101,566 95.45
Democratic Ralph Corbo4,5994.32
Write-in 2370.22
Total votes106,402 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Miriam Berry, nurse and screenplay writer [3]

Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Miriam Berry 14,368 32.51
Republican Justin Tuthill10,91524.70
Republican Anya Tynio8,83019.98
Republican Jimmy Rodriguez8,29018.76
Write-in 1,7894.05
Total votes44,192 100.00

Progressive primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Progressive primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Progressive Chris Brimmer 469 58.04
Progressive Cris Ericson 23629.21
Write-in 10312.75
Total votes808 100.00

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

  • Peter R. Becker
  • Christopher Helali (Party of Communists USA), former U.S. Army officer, chair of the Orange County Progressive Committee, and organic farmer [5]
  • Marcia Horne, Republican nominee for the Essex-Orleans district in 2014 and 2016 [6]
  • Shawn Orr
  • Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, and perennial candidate [7]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Peter
Welch (D)		Miriam
Berry (R)		Other
Braun Research [14] September 3–15, 2020582 (LV)± 4%57%18%16% [b]

Results

2020 Vermont's at-large congressional district [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 238,827 67.31% −1.89%
Republican Miriam Berry95,83027.01%+1.06%
Independent Peter R. Becker8,0652.27%N/A
Independent Marcia Horne4,3341.22%N/A
Party of Communists USAChristopher Helali3,4320.97%N/A
Independent Shawn Orr1,9260.54%N/A
Independent Jerry Trudell1,8810.53%N/A
Write-in 5420.15%+0.08%
Total votes354,837 100.0%
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Other/not sure/no opinion" and would not vote with 6%; Becker (I) with 2%; Helali (Communist) and Horne (I) with 1%; Orr (I) and Trudell (I) with 0%

References

  1. ↑ Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020). "Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary". Burlington Free Press . Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  2. 1 2 3 "Vermont Election Results – Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio . July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  4. 1 2 Meyn, Colin (August 13, 2020). "Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races". VT Digger. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  5. ↑ Varricchio, Lou. "The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont". The Sun Community News. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
  6. ↑ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
  7. ↑ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 12, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
  8. ↑ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  9. ↑ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  10. ↑ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  11. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  12. ↑ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  13. ↑ "Battle for House 2020". RCP . Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  14. ↑ Braun Research
  15. ↑ "2020 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.

Official campaign websites

Debates and forums

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