2004 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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2004 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Flag of North Carolina.svg
  1998 November 2, 2004 2010  
  Richard Burr official portrait crop.jpg Erskine Bowles in 2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Richard Burr Erskine Bowles
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,791,4501,632,527
Percentage51.60%47.02%

2004 United States Senate election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
NC Senate 2004.svg
Burr:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bowles:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

John Edwards
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Richard Burr
Republican

The 2004 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator John Edwards decided to retire from the Senate after one term in order to run unsuccessfully for the 2004 Democratic Party presidential nomination, and become his party's vice presidential nominee. Republican Richard Burr won the open seat, making it the fifth consecutive election in which partisan control of the seat changed.

Contents

Primaries

Democratic

Erskine Bowles won the Democratic Party's nomination unopposed. He had been the party's nominee for the state's other Senate seat in 2002.

Republican

Republican primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Richard Burr 302,319 87.92%
Republican John Ross Hendrix25,9717.55%
Republican Albert Wiley15,5854.53%
Total votes343,875 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Both major-party candidates engaged in negative campaign tactics, with Bowles' campaign attacking Burr for special interest donations and his positions on trade legislation, and Burr's campaign attacking Bowles for his connections to the Clinton administration. Both attacks had basis in reality: Burr's campaign raised funds from numerous political action committees and at least 72 of the 100 largest Fortune 500 companies, while Bowles departed from the Clinton administration in the midst of the Monica Lewinsky scandal.

Burr won the election by 4%. He joined the Senate in January 2005. Bowles went on to become the president of the UNC system.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [2] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Richard
Burr (R)
Erskine
Bowles (D)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA October 29–31, 2004616 (LV)± 4.0%50%45%5%

Results

2004 United States Senate election in North Carolina [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Richard Burr 1,791,450 51.60% +4.58%
Democratic Erskine Bowles 1,632,52747.02%–4.13%
Libertarian Tom Bailey47,7431.38%–0.46%
Nonpartisan Walker F. Rucker (write-in)3620.01%N/A
Total votes3,471,720 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. 1 2 "North Carolina DataNet #46" (PDF). University of North Carolina. April 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 25, 2008. Retrieved June 12, 2009.
  2. "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.