2024 California Republican presidential primary

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2024 California Republican presidential primary
Flag of California.svg
  2020 March 5, 20242028 
  AR
CO  

169 Republican National Convention delegates
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count1690
Popular vote1,962,905431,876
Percentage79.25% [1] 17.44% [2]

2024 California Republican presidential primary results map.svg
2024 California Republican presidential primary results map by congressional district.svg

The 2024 California Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 169 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis. [3] The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.

Background

Procedure

If a candidate gets over 50% of the total statewide vote, they are awarded all of the state's delegates. Otherwise, the delegates are allocated proportionally.

Candidates

The following candidates were certified: [4]

Campaign

Events

On June 19, 2023, Ron DeSantis held a private breakfast event at the Del Paso Country Club in Sacramento, California, hosting business leaders in the region to raise funds for his campaign. It was his first campaign stop in California since his administration in Florida transported migrants from the border with Mexico to Sacramento. The event was attended by state legislators Joe Patterson and Tom Lackey, who endorsed DeSantis after the event. [6]

The California Republican Party held its annual fall convention from September 29 to October 1, 2023, in Anaheim. Featured speakers included DeSantis, Donald Trump, Tim Scott, and Vivek Ramaswamy. [7] Trump's speech included calling on police to enact violent retribution on criminals, stating he will "immediately stop all of the pillaging and theft." [8]

Debate

The second Republican primary debate was held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, on September 27, 2023. It was hosted by Fox Business, Rumble, and Univision, and moderated by Stuart Varney, Dana Perino, and Ilia Calderón. Seven of the eight candidates who attended the first debate were present: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott. [9]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

U.S. Representatives

State assemblymen

Donald Trump

U.S. Representatives

Notable individuals

Nikki Haley

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight [25] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202419.0%73.1%7.9%Trump +54.1
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Morning Consult [26] Nov 1–30, 20232,347 (LV)2%10%8%0%7%71%1% [lower-alpha 3]
Public Policy Institute of California [27] Nov 9–16, 2023276 (LV)5%12%13%0%2%2%56%1% [lower-alpha 4] 9%
Emerson College [28] Nov 11–14, 2023331 (LV)4%11%-5%2%3%-63%1% [lower-alpha 5] 11%
UC Berkeley IGS [29] Oct 24–30, 20231,234 (LV)± 4.0%2%12%1%9%3%1%57%5%11%
Public Policy Institute of California [30] Oct 3–19, 2023316 (LV)4%12%0%9%0%6%5%3%53%5% [lower-alpha 6] 1%
Data Viewpoint [31] October 1, 2023533 (RV)± 4.3%5.5%17.5%15.2%<1%3.0%3.6%2.9%49.8%1.7% [lower-alpha 7]
California's Choice [32] Aug 27–29, 2023750 (LV)4.8%21.6%15.6%0.5%4.4%9.6%0.8%43.4%2.6%
UC Berkeley IGS [33] Aug 24–29, 20231,175 (LV)± 4.0%3%16%1%7%3%4%2%55%9%
Public Policy Institute of California [34] Jun 7–29, 2023267 (LV)3%24%3%6%1%5%50%7% [lower-alpha 8] 1%
Emerson College [35] Jun 4–7, 2023329 (LV)± 2.9%2%19%6%10%2%4%53%7% [lower-alpha 9]
Public Policy Institute of California [36] May 17–24, 2023295 (LV)± 7%1%21%3%10%1%2%50%11% [lower-alpha 10] 2%
UC Berkeley IGS [37] May 17–22, 20231,835 (RV)± 3.5%1%26%0%3%0%4%2%1%44%6% [lower-alpha 11] 13%
UC Berkeley IGS [38] Feb 14–20, 20231,755 (RV)± 3.5%37%7%3%1%29%8% [lower-alpha 12] 10%
50%33%6% [lower-alpha 13] 11%
UC Berkeley IGS [39] Aug 9–15, 20229,254 (RV)± 3.0%0%27%3%7%0%38%10% [lower-alpha 14] 14%
0%53%4%9%1%15% [lower-alpha 15] 17%

Results

California Republican primary, March 5, 2024 [40] [41] [42]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 1,962,90579.25%1690169
Nikki Haley 431,87617.44%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)35,7171.44%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)20,2100.82%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)11,1130.45%000
Rachel Swift4,2530.17%000
David Stuckenberg3,9090.16%000
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)3,5770.14%000
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)3,3360.13%000
Total:2,476,896100.00%1690169

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Burgum at 1%
  4. Kristi Noem at 1%; Perry Johnson at 0% and Glenn Youngkin at 0%
  5. Doug Burgum with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Kristi Noem & "Would not vote" with 0%
  7. Doug Burgum with 1.7%; Glenn Youngkin with <1%
  8. Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 2%
  9. Doug Burgum and Chris Sununu with 1%
  10. Liz Cheney with 7%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Chris Sununu with 1%
  11. Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem, Chris Sununu with 1%; Perry Johnson and John Bolton with 0%
  12. Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Chris Sununu and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  13. Neither with 6%
  14. Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio and Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  15. Mike Pompeo with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%

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  32. California's Choice
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  37. UC Berkeley IGS
  38. UC Berkeley IGS
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