2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

Last updated

2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
Flag of South Carolina.svg
  2016 February 24, 20242028 
  VI
MI  

50 Republican National Convention delegates
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count473
Popular vote452,496299,084
Percentage59.79%39.52%

2024 South Carolina Republican Primary Results.svg
2024 South Carolina Republican Primary Results by Congressional District.svg

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024, [1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis. [2]

Contents

Held following the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, the Nevada primary and caucuses, and the United States Virgin Islands caucuses, the South Carolina primary was the fifth Republican contest in which delegates were awarded to take place this election. [3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties. [4]

Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023. [5] He suspended his campaign on November 12, 2023 [6] and endorsed Trump on January 19, 2024. [7]

Immediately after polls closed at 7:00pm EST, multiple media outlets called the primary for Trump. [8] [9] Trump received the highest number of votes of any candidate for either party in the history of the South Carolina primaries, breaking the record previously held by George W. Bush in 2000. [8] [9]

Background

The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters. [10] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters. [11]

In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%. [12]

Procedure

29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.

Candidates

The following 10 candidates had filed by the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023, and secured ballot access. [13]

Endorsements

Nikki Haley

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Mayors

Former party official

Donald Trump

Former federal executive officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governor

State executive officials

State senator

State representatives

Notable individuals

Withdrawn candidates

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

Former federal executive official

State senators

State representatives

Tim Scott (withdrawn)

Former U.S. Representative

Former governor

State senators

State representatives

Mayor

Maps

Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.

Endorsed Donald Trump (61)
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (4)
Endorsed Tim Scott (2) (withdrawn)
No endorsement (17)
Non-Republicans (36) 2024 United States presidential election Republican primary South Carolina House endorsements.svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (61)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (4)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (2) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (17)
  Non-Republicans (36)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina Senate.

Endorsed Donald Trump (7)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (5)
Endorsed Tim Scott (4) (withdrawn)
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
No endorsement (13)
Non-Republicans (16) 2024 United States presidential election Republican primary South Carolina Senate endorsements (2).svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina Senate.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (7)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (5)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (13)
  Non-Republicans (16)

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided [a]
Margin
270toWin [50] February 16–20, 2024February 21, 202434.6%61.6%3.8%Trump +27.0
FiveThirtyEight [51] through February 23, 2024February 24, 202434.0%61.6%4.4%Trump +27.6
RealClearPolling [52] February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024February 23, 202437.5%60.8%1.7%Trump +23.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Trafalgar Group [53] Feb 21–23, 20241093 (LV)± 2.9%37.5%58.9%3.6% [c]
Suffolk University/USA Today [54] Feb 15–18, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%35%63%2% [d]
Emerson College/The Hill [55] Feb 15–17, 20241197 (LV)± 2.8%35.4%57.9%6.7%
Insider Advantage [56] Feb 14–15, 2024800 (LV)± 3.9%38%60%1%1%
Trafalgar Group [57] Feb 13–15, 20241,089 (LV)± 2.9%33.6%63.3%3%
The Citadel [58] Feb 5–11, 2024505 (LV)± 5.7%31%64%3%2%
Winthrop University [59] Feb 2–10, 2024749 (LV)± 3.6%28.7%64.9%3.3%2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University [60] Jan 26–30, 2024815 (LV)± 3.9%32%58%2%8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [61] Jan 28–29, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%31%66%4%
The Tyson Group/The American Promise [62] Jan 24–26, 2024543 (LV)± 4.4%31%58%11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [61] Jan 17–18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%28%68%4%
Emerson College [63] Jan 2–3, 2024584 (LV)± 4.0%4.8%6.6%25.1%0.2%3.1%54.4%1.9%
Trafalgar Group [64] Dec 6–8, 20231,087 (LV)± 2.9%5.8%14.4%22.8%0.3%6.1%48.7%1.9%
Morning Consult [65] Nov 1–30, 2023856 (LV)0%2%13%19%3%7%57%
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research [66] Nov 4–12, 2023780 (RV)± 3.51%0.3%1.6%12.5%18.7%0.4%3.4%10.6%47.6%2.1% [e] 2.7%
Morning Consult [65] Oct 1–31, 2023927 (LV)0%1%11%15%0%3%6%7%58%
CNN/SSRS [67] Oct 18–25, 2023738 (LV)± 4.8%0%2%11%22%0% [f] 2%1%6%53%0% [g] 1%
Morning Consult [65] Sep 1–30, 2023854 (LV)1%10%13%0%3%6%7%59%0% [h] 1%
Fox Business [68] Sep 14–18, 2023809 (LV)± 3.5%<0.5%4%10%18%1%4%5%9%46%1% [i] 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University [69] Sep 6–11, 2023506 (LV)± 4.6%0%5%9%18%2%3%3%10%46%1% [j] 4%
Morning Consult [65] Aug 1–31, 2023910 (LV)1%14%11%0%4%8%7%55%0% [h]
Trafalgar Group (R) [70] Aug 17–19, 20231,054 (LV)± 2.9%0%2%14%8%0%2%6%14%48%0% [k] 1%
Morning Consult [65] July 1–31, 2023907 (LV)0%1%15%12%1%3%6%7%54%0% [l] 1%
Fox Business [71] Jul 15–19, 2023809 (LV)± 3.5%<0.5%2%13%14%1%4%3%10%48% [m] 4%
Morning Consult [65] June 1–30, 2023907 (LV)0%1%20%12%0%4%3%10%48%1% [n] 1%
National Public Affairs [72] Jun 20–21, 2023809 (LV)1%5%18%12%2%2%2%10%41%6%
Morning Consult [65] May 1–31, 2023875 (LV)19%13%0%4%3%7%52%1% [o] 1%
National Research [73] [A] May 24–25, 2023500 (LV)± 4.38%18%10%1%1%1%12%43%1% [p] 13%
National Public Affairs [74] May 15–17, 2023590 (LV)± 4.0%23%15%3%2%2%10%38%8%
Morning Consult [65] Apr 1–30, 2023810 (LV)17%17%0%5%1%4%52%3% [q] 1%
National Public Affairs [75] Apr 11–14, 2023588 (LV)± 4.2%21%19%1%2%1%7%43%1% [r] 6%
Winthrop University [76] Mar 25 – April 1, 2023485 (RV)± 4.6%20%18%0%5%7%41%5% [s] 4%
Morning Consult [65] Mar 1–31, 2023806 (LV)22%15%5%0%4%49%3% [t] 2%
Morning Consult [65] Feb 1–28, 2023689 (LV)24%18%5%7%43%4% [u]
Neighbourhood Research and Media [77] [B] Feb 7–14, 2023300 (LV)± 5.9%22%16%2%2%35%23%
Morning Consult [65] Jan 1–31, 2023974 (LV)31%14%2%5%45%2% [v] 1%
Trafalgar Group [78] Jan 24–26, 20231,078 (LV)± 2.9%33%6%52%9% [w]
21%3%23%48%5% [x]
29%22%4%43%2% [y]
28%12%2%14%43%1% [z]
Moore Information [79] Jan 18–24, 2023450 (LV)± 5.0%31%12%4%5%41%7%
29%62%9%
42%49%15%
Spry Strategies [80] Jan 17–19, 2023386 (LV)52%33%15%
Morning Consult [65] Dec 1–31, 2022530 (LV)28%13%4%5%44%6% [aa]
Winthrop University [81] Oct 22 – November 5, 20221,298 (A)± 2.8%37%45%19%
Echelon Insights [82] Aug 31 – September 7, 2022294 (LV)± 5.1%33%58%9%
Trafalgar Group [83] Mar 25–29, 20211,014 (LV)± 3.0%64%11% [ab] 25% [ac]

Results

South Carolina Republican primary, February 24, 2024 [84]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 452,49659.79%4747
Nikki Haley 299,08439.52%33
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)2,9530.39%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)7260.10%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)6580.09%
Ryan Binkley 5280.07%
David Stuckenberg3610.05%
Total:756,806100.00%50050
Source: [85]

Results by congressional district

Trump won 6 of the 7 congressional districts.

DistrictTrumpHaley
1st 46.8%52.5%
2nd 55.5%43.8%
3rd 67.5%31.8%
4th 59.6%39.5%
5th 65.5%33.9%
6th 53.7%45.6%
7th 67.8%31.7%
Source: "Election Night Reporting" . Retrieved February 25, 2024.

Results by county

CountyDonald TrumpNikki HaleyOthersMarginTotal

votes

%#%#%#%#
Abbeville 76.35%2,85723.01%8610.64%2453.34%1,9963,742
Aiken 60.79%15,17938.66%9,6530.55%13722.13%5,52624,969
Allendale 71.26%23828.74%960.00%042.51%142334
Anderson 68.69%23,73530.60%10,5720.71%24538.10%13,16334,552
Bamberg 64.60%63734.89%3440.51%529.72%293986
Barnwell 77.15%1,60422.37%4650.48%1054.79%1,1392,079
Beaufort 43.87%17,08355.44%21,5910.69%269-11.58%-4,50838,943
Berkeley 59.43%17,97639.83%12,0460.74%22319.61%5,93030,245
Calhoun 70.24%1,39729.26%5820.50%1040.98%8151,989
Charleston 37.72%23,88161.71%39,0720.57%364-23.99%-15,19163,317
Cherokee 85.26%7,03414.13%1,1660.61%5071.13%5,8688,250
Chester 78.15%2,93021.37%8010.48%1856.79%2,1293,749
Chesterfield 78.57%3,44020.76%9090.66%2957.81%2,5314,378
Clarendon 72.09%2,84627.51%1,0860.41%1644.58%1,7603,948
Colleton 70.05%3,13429.50%1,3200.45%2040.55%1,8144,474
Darlington 73.56%5,60825.91%1,9750.54%4147.65%3,6337,624
Dillon 84.61%2,01815.18%3620.21%569.43%1,6562,385
Dorchester 57.11%11,72542.03%8,6290.86%17715.08%3,09620,531
Edgefield 73.92%2,88225.24%9840.85%3348.68%1,8983,899
Fairfield 65.63%1,57733.71%8100.67%1631.92%7672,403
Florence 70.42%10,40128.98%4,2800.60%8941.44%6,12114,770
Georgetown 57.14%7,61742.34%5,6440.52%6914.80%1,97313,330
Greenville 56.97%54,12342.06%39,9520.97%92314.92%14,17194,998
Greenwood 63.77%6,42735.66%3,5940.57%5728.11%2,83310,078
Hampton 72.43%99326.84%3680.73%1045.59%6251,371
Horry 66.81%47,98632.70%23,4890.48%34834.11%24,49771,823
Jasper 57.06%3,17442.35%2,3560.59%3314.70%8185,563
Kershaw 65.89%6,18233.58%3,1510.53%5032.30%3,0319,383
Lancaster 60.55%9,48538.78%6,0750.67%10521.77%3,41015,665
Laurens 76.22%7,83823.13%2,3790.65%6753.08%5,45910,284
Lee 78.89%99420.24%2550.87%1158.65%7391,260
Lexington 58.11%27,46041.21%19,4750.68%32316.90%7,98547,258
Marion 77.07%1,90622.40%5540.53%1354.67%1,3522,473
Marlboro 81.92%1,40517.43%2990.64%1164.49%1,1061,715
McCormick 62.36%1,43336.51%8391.13%2625.85%5942,298
Newberry 64.89%3,81934.43%2,0260.68%4030.47%1,7935,885
Oconee 60.19%10,23039.21%6,6640.61%10320.98%3,56616,997
Orangeburg 67.26%3,81532.18%1,8250.56%3235.08%1,9905,672
Pickens 67.58%15,61331.76%7,3370.66%15235.82%8,27623,102
Richland 41.40%13,69757.72%19,0980.88%292-16.32%-5,40133,087
Saluda 72.31%2,30927.00%8620.69%2245.32%1,4473,193
Spartanburg 69.75%33,03929.44%13,9460.80%38140.31%19,09347,366
Sumter 64.85%5,55634.44%2,9510.71%6130.40%2,6058,568
Union 84.18%3,19315.45%5860.37%1468.73%2,6073,793
Williamsburg 80.01%1,78919.54%4370.45%1060.47%1,3522,236
York 57.91%24,23141.39%17,3180.70%29216.52%6,91341,841

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Listed as undecided and other
  4. Listed as undecided/other
  5. Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
  6. No voters
  7. Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
  8. 1 2 Will Hurd with 0%
  9. Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
  10. "Someone else" with 1%
  11. Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
  12. Francis Suarez with 0%
  13. Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  14. Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  15. Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  16. Chris Sununu with 1%
  17. Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  18. Mike Pompeo with 1%
  19. Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  20. Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  21. Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
  22. Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  23. Mike Pompeo with 9%
  24. Mike Pompeo with 5%
  25. Mike Pompeo with 2%
  26. Mike Pompeo with 1%
  27. Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  28. "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  29. "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  2. Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

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References

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