2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary

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2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016 March 19, 20242028 
  GU
FL  

43 Republican National Convention delegates
  Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
(withdrawn)
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count430
Popular vote492,299110,966
Percentage78.8%17.8%

2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary results map.svg
County results

The 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. [1] The contest was held alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.

Background

In the 2016 Republican presidential contest, Donald Trump won the Arizona primary with 46.0% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, Senator Ted Cruz, taking 27.6% of the vote. In the 2020 primaries, the Arizona Republican Party canceled their contest. [2]

Candidates

The filing deadline was December 11, 2023. [3] The following candidates filed: [4]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Former federal executive official
Former U.S. Representative
State senators
State representatives
County official
Notable individuals
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Notable individuals
Donald Trump
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Former county official
Notable individuals
Declined to endorse
U.S. Representative

Results

Arizona Republican Primary, March 19, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 492,29978.8%4343
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)110,96617.8%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)10,1311.6%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)5,0780.8%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)2,4790.4%
David Stuckenberg1,3670.2%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)8910.1%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)7140.1%
John Anthony Castro 5050.1%
Total:624,431100.0%4343
Source: [23]

Polling

States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024March 5, 202419.9%77.3%2.8%Trump +57.4
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 2023348 (RV)± 5.25%2%16%8%0%3%9%1%53%7% [lower-alpha 3]
32%68%
Emerson College August 2–4, 2023663 (LV)± 3.7%6%11%3%0%3%4%3%58%11% [lower-alpha 4] 1%
Noble Predictive Insights July 13–17, 2023346 (RV)± 5.3%2%19%4%0%5%9%2%50%7% [lower-alpha 5]
38%62%
J.L. Partners Apr 10–12, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%24%3%0%4%2%1%47%8% [lower-alpha 6] 11%
35%52%13%
Noble Predictive Insights Apr 4–11, 2023371 (RV)± 5.1%21%4%7%0%49%20% [lower-alpha 7]
41%59%
Rasmussen Reports Mar 13–14, 202324%52%24%
OH Predictive Insights Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023350 (RV)± 5.2%1%26%5%8%42%11% [lower-alpha 8] 7%
Blueprint Polling Jan 5–8, 2023303 (V)34%43%23%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022337 (LV)± 4.5%36%53%11%
OH Predictive Insights Nov 1–8, 2021252 (RV)± 6.2%1%16%6%9%48%9% [lower-alpha 9] 9%
0%29%8%21%25% [lower-alpha 10] 16%

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0%
  4. Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9%
  5. Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7%
  6. Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  7. Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%
  8. Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  9. Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
  10. Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%

Related Research Articles

This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

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References

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  2. Stone, Kevin (September 9, 2019). "Arizona GOP won't hold 2020 presidential preference election". KTAR. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
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