2016 United States Senate election in Colorado

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2016 United States Senate election in Colorado
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  Michael Bennet Official Photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Michael Bennet Darryl Glenn
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,370,7101,215,318
Percentage49.97%44.31%
2016 United States Senate election in Colorado results map by county.svg
2016 United States Senate election in Colorado by Congressional District.svg
2016 United States Senate election in Colorado by State House District.svg
CO Senate 2016.svg
Bennet:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Glenn:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Michael Bennet
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Michael Bennet
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Colorado was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Major party candidates can qualify for the ballot through party assemblies or by petition. [1] To qualify by assembly, a candidate must receive at least 30 percent of the vote from the party's state assembly. [1] To qualify by petition, the candidate must file at least 1,500 signatures from each congressional district by April 4, 2016. [1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet won re-election to a second full term in office. Bennet's main challenger was Republican nominee Darryl Glenn, an El Paso County commissioner. Glenn won a crowded, five-way Republican primary in June. Three other candidates were on the ballot: former Eagle County Commissioner Arn Menconi was the Green Party nominee; Lily Tang Williams was the Libertarian Party nominee; and Unity Party of America chairman Bill Hammons was the Unity Party nominee. [2] [3]

Background

Democratic U.S. Senator Ken Salazar resigned in January 2009 to become United States Secretary of the Interior and Governor Bill Ritter appointed Bennet, the Superintendent of Denver Public Schools, to replace him. Bennet was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Republican Ken Buck by 48.1% to 46.4%.

Democratic primary

Incumbent senator Michael Bennet was unopposed for renomination.

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 262,344 100.0%
Total votes262,344 100.0%

Republican primary

The Colorado Republican Party State Assembly was held April 9, 2016. [6] Darryl Glenn won the convention with 70% of the vote. [7] Robert Blaha, Jack Graham, Jon Keyser, and Ryan Frazier sought to qualify for the ballot by petition instead of through the State Assembly. [8]

Glenn won the June primary with about 37.5% of the vote in the crowded, five-candidate Republican primary field. [9]

Candidate controversies

In early May, the Denver ABC affiliate uncovered over 10 forged voter signatures on the petition which placed Republican candidate Jon Keyser on the June Republican primary ballot. The circulator who forged the signatures was arrested for 34 felonies. A late May lawsuit claiming at least 60 forged signatures based on the analysis of a handwriting expert and challenging Keyser's placement on the primary ballot was dismissed because it didn't fall within the five-day window to challenge a ballot placement. [10] [11]

When asked on-camera about the forgeries, Keyser didn't address the issue and proceeded to inform the interviewer that Keyser's dog was larger than the interviewer. [12]

In early June, when asked by a fellow Republican candidate and a retired air force lieutenant colonel whether Keyser received his Bronze Star for work on a software program or for "kicking in doors" in combat as "represented to the community", Keyser refused to answer the question and claimed he had "no idea" what software program his rival was talking about. Yet, according to the article announcing Keyser's citation, Keyser "developed and implemented a unique and effective technique to provide critical force protection and situational-awareness data to ground counter-terrorism operations." [13] [14]

In August 2014, Republican candidate Jack Graham was fired as Colorado State University Athletic Director for reasons that were not specified, though he would continue to be paid through the November 2016 election. [15] [16]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Rejected at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Robert Blaha
Darryl Glenn
Governors
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
Jon Keyser
Individuals
Tim Neville
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Glenn 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Graham 20-30% 30-40% Colorado U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
  Glenn
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Graham
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Darryl Glenn 131,125 37.74%
Republican Jack Graham85,40024.58%
Republican Robert Blaha57,19616.46%
Republican Jon Keyser43,50912.52%
Republican Ryan Frazier30,2418.70%
Total votes347,471 100.0%

Darryl Glenn won the general primary on June 28 and went on to face the other candidates in the November election. [85]

Third party and independent candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Lily Tang Williams

General election

Debates

DatesLocationBennetGlennWilliamsLink
September 10, 2016 Grand Junction, Colorado ParticipantParticipantParticipant Full debate - YouTube
October 11, 2016 Denver, Colorado ParticipantParticipantNot invited Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [92] Likely DNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [93] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Inside Elections [94] Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [95] Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [96] Lean DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Michael
Bennet (D)		Darryl
Glenn (R)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 20162,777± 4.6%52%45%—3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 20162,412± 4.6%51%45%—4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2016704± 3.7%50%40%5% [97] 6%
Keating Research November 2–3, 2016605± 4.0%49%38%5% [98] 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 20161,927± 4.6%51%45%—4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 20161,125± 2.9%47%44%—9%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 20161,631± 4.6%50%46%—4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 28–November 1, 2016972± 3.0%49%41%—10%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 20161,402± 4.6%49%47%—4%
University of Denver October 29–31, 2016550± 4.2%48%40%3%9%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2016750± 3.5%47%42%6%5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 20161,532± 4.6%48%46%—6%
CBS News/YouGov October 26–28, 2016997± 4.1%46%41%3%10%
University of Colorado Boulder October 17–24, 20161,037± 3.6%54%40%6%0%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 10–16, 2016685± 3.7%56%38%—6%
Magellan Strategies (R) October 12–13, 2016500± 4.4%47%32%9% [99] 12%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 8–16, 2016956± 0.5%52%42%—6%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 12–13, 20161,226± 2.8%48%38%—13%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing Archived February 25, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 3–4, 20161,246± 2.8%47%39%—15%
Monmouth University September 29–October 2, 2016400± 4.9%53%35%7% [100] 5%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016694± 3.7%44%34%7% [101] 15%
50%40%—10%
CNN/ORC September 20–25, 2016784 LV± 3.5%53%43%1%2%
896 RV53%41%1%2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2016799± 3.5%43%45%—12%
Quinnipiac University Archived September 24, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 13–21, 2016644± 3.9%52%43%1%4%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS September 14–18, 2016350 LV± 6.3%42%31%4% [102] 22%
45%32%2%20%
540 RV± 5.1%38%26%5% [103] 31%
44%28%3%26%
Emerson College September 9–13, 2016600± 3.6%46%39%7%8%
Magellan Strategies (R) August 29–31, 2016500± 4.4%48%38%7% [100] 7%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 14, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 9–16, 2016830± 3.4%54%38%—8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 4–10, 2016899± 3.3%53%38%2%7%
FOX News July 9–12, 2016600± 4.0%51%36%1%9%
Monmouth University July 9–12, 2016404± 4.9%48%35%5% [98] 12%
Harper Polling Archived July 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 7–9, 2016500± 4.4%46%40%—14%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–11, 2016794± 3.5%53%38%2%7%
Senate Conservatives Fund July 1–6, 2016500–47%42%—11%
Hypothetical polling
with Scott Tipton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Michael
Bennet (D)		Scott
Tipton (R)		OtherUndecided
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived February 28, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 24–28, 20151,600± 3.2%50%44%—16%
with Mike Coffman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Michael
Bennet (D)		Mike
Coffman (R)		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University Archived April 17, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 29–April 7, 2015894± 3.3%40%43%4%14%
with Cynthia Coffman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Michael
Bennet (D)		Cynthia
Coffman (R)		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University Archived April 17, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 29–April 7, 2015894± 3.3%44%36%5%15%

Results

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016 [104]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 1,370,710 49.97% +1.89%
Republican Darryl Glenn1,215,31844.31%-2.09%
Libertarian Lily Tang Williams99,2773.62%+2.35%
Green Arn Menconi 36,8051.34%-0.85%
Unity Bill Hammons9,3360.34%N/A
Independent Dan Chapin8,3610.30%N/A
Independent Paul Fiorino3,2160.12%N/A
Total votes2,743,023 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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  2. ↑ "Lily Tang Williams announces candidacy for Colorado U.S. Senate seat as a Libertarian". Independent Political Report. January 12, 2016. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
  3. ↑ "2016 General Election Candidate List". sos.state.co.us. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  4. ↑ Stephen Hobbs (January 16, 2015). "Glenn: Early announcement for U.S. Senate run shows he is 'very serious'". The Gazette. Retrieved January 19, 2015.
  5. 1 2 "June 28, 2016 Primary Election Official Results". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2016.
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  8. ↑ "Jerry Natividad Changes Course, Seeks Ballot Through GOP Convention". ColoradoPols. March 8, 2016. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
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  11. ↑ "Judge dismisses lawsuit challenging Jon Keyser's U.S. Senate bid". The Denver Post. June 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
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  32. 1 2 Goodland, Marianne (June 2, 2015). "Coffman's departure opens up Colorado's U.S. Senate race". The Colorado Independent . Retrieved June 3, 2015.
  33. ↑ Matthews, Mark K. (January 20, 2016). "El Paso County's Peg Littleton joins U.S. Senate race". The Denver Post . Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  34. 1 2 Frank, John (March 1, 2016). "Lucky No. 13: Republican Jerry Natividad launches U.S. Senate bid". The Denver Post . Archived from the original on March 2, 2016. Retrieved March 1, 2016.
  35. ↑ Frank, John (September 28, 2015). "Tim Neville to announce U.S. Senate bid as GOP race heats up". The Denver Post . Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  36. ↑ "Tim Neville Wastes No Time, Announces for U.S. Senate". Colorado Pols. October 5, 2015. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  37. ↑ "JEFFCO SHOWDOWN? With Brauchler Out, Another Jeffco Republican Rumored to Consider a Run". Colorado Peak Politics. October 1, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  38. ↑ Bunch, Joey (December 9, 2015). "Jefferson County commissioner to join race for U.S. Senate Thursday". The Denver Post . Retrieved December 10, 2015.
  39. ↑ John, Frank (April 9, 2016). "Darryl Glenn surprises Colorado GOP Senate field at state convention". The Denver Post. Retrieved April 9, 2016.
  40. ↑ "Chatter: Neville prays about Senate bid while Bennet leadership flails". The Colorado Statesman. September 3, 2015. Archived from the original on September 5, 2015. Retrieved September 10, 2015.
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  45. ↑ "GOP Senate candidates emerge, others in wings?". The Colorado Statesman. July 9, 2015. Archived from the original on July 12, 2015. Retrieved July 18, 2015.
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  47. 1 2 3 Levinson, Alexis (May 20, 2015). "What Happens If Coffman Says No". Roll Call . Archived from the original on May 21, 2015. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  48. 1 2 Bartels, Lynn (June 1, 2015). "GOP scrambles after Mike Coffman rejects overtures to take on Bennet". The Denver Post . Retrieved June 2, 2015.
  49. ↑ Pathé, Simone (July 10, 2015). "Republicans Search for Another Cory Gardner to Challenge Bennet". Roll Call . Archived from the original on July 15, 2015. Retrieved July 19, 2015.
  50. 1 2 "The 10 states that could decide the next Senate". Politico. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  51. 1 2 3 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico . Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  52. ↑ "Seeking the next Gardner in Colorado". The Hill. November 18, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  53. ↑ Sylte, Allison (September 30, 2015). "George Brauchler says he won't run for Senate". KUSA . Retrieved September 30, 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  54. ↑ "Rep. Ken Buck addresses ranchers' concerns". La Junta Tribune-Democrat . March 11, 2016. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  55. ↑ Luning, Ernest (September 19, 2015). "Neville listens, prays as he weighs U.S. Senate run". The Colorado Statesman. Archived from the original on September 26, 2015. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  56. 1 2 Luning, Ernest (November 6, 2015). "Littleton exploring U.S. Senate bid". The Colorado Statesman. Archived from the original on November 10, 2015. Retrieved November 10, 2015.
  57. ↑ Levinson, Alexis (June 18, 2015). "Colorado AG Coffman Rules Out Senate Bid". National Review . Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  58. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (June 1, 2015). "Rep. Mike Coffman won't challenge U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet in 2016". The Denver Post . Retrieved June 1, 2015.
  59. ↑ Cahn, Emily (June 18, 2015). "@ColoradoForKopp was exploring a bid for #COSEN, but isn't anymore, according to a source". Twitter. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  60. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (June 23, 2015). "Ellen Roberts cites fundraising as why she won't take on Sen. Bennet". The Denver Post . Retrieved June 23, 2015.
  61. ↑ Raju, Manu (August 31, 2015). "Chaos in Colorado risks key Senate seat for GOP". Politico . Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  62. ↑ "OUT: Mitt Romney's Nephew, Doug Robinson, Declines Senate Run, But Will Endorse". Colorado Peak Politics. January 4, 2016. Retrieved January 6, 2016.
  63. ↑ "Ghosts of Senate Past and Mark Scheffel Stir Up 2016". Colorado Pols. September 18, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  64. ↑ "Republicans are circling, not yet pouncing on Bennet". The Colorado Statesman. September 19, 2015. Archived from the original on September 23, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  65. ↑ Luning, Ernest (October 8, 2015). "Scott considers jumping in GOP U.S. Senate primary". The Colorado Statesman. Archived from the original on October 11, 2015. Retrieved October 8, 2015.
  66. ↑ Bunch, Joey (January 30, 2016). "Sen. Ray Scott says he's considering a run for governor in '18". The Denver Post . Archived from the original on January 31, 2016. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
  67. ↑ Bunch, Joey (October 23, 2015). "Sheriff Justin Smith picks Larimer County over run for U.S. Senate". The Denver Post . Archived from the original on October 24, 2015. Retrieved October 23, 2015.
  68. ↑ Salzman, Jason (October 15, 2015). "Sonnenberg decides against U.S. Senate run but says two or three more candidates may jump in". Colorado Pols. Retrieved October 17, 2015.
  69. ↑ Pathé, Simone (December 11, 2015). "Scott Tipton Not Running for Colorado Senate Seat". Roll Call . Archived from the original on December 14, 2015. Retrieved December 13, 2015.
  70. ↑ "PRESS RELEASE: Family Research Council Endorsement". Robert Blaha for Colorado. Retrieved June 6, 2016.[ permanent dead link ]
  71. ↑ "ENDORSEMENT: Bold Blaha best choice". Robert Blaha for Colorado. Retrieved June 10, 2016.
  72. ↑ "Sarah Palin endorses Darryl Glenn in Colorado's U.S. Senate primary". denverpost.com. June 7, 2016. Retrieved April 14, 2019.
  73. ↑ "In Colorado, Cruz backs Glenn, rips Obama over Orlando shooter". The Denver Post . June 20, 2016. Retrieved June 20, 2016.
  74. ↑ Frank, John (July 9, 2016). "Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner endorses Darryl Glenn in unusual political marriage". The Denver Post . Retrieved October 7, 2016.
  75. ↑ on 10/13/2016 - 10:33pm, The Associated Press. "Utah Sen. Lee Will Campaign For Darryl Glenn". Colorado Public Radio. Archived from the original on October 31, 2016. Retrieved April 14, 2019.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  76. ↑ Glenn, Darryl [@DarrylGlenn2016] (October 5, 2016). "A message from @RandPaul! Thank you for your support and endorsement! #cosen #copolitics" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 8, 2016 – via Twitter.
  77. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Proud to be on Team Glenn!". Darryl Glenn for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on October 3, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2015.
  78. 1 2 3 4 "El Paso County Law Enforcement Members Endorse Darryl Glenn for US Senate". Darryl Glenn for U.S. Senate. February 7, 2015. Archived from the original on October 3, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2015.
  79. ↑ Fiorina, Carly (October 1, 2016). "Darryl Glenn is the conservative leader Colorado needs. Here's why I'm proud to endorse him for U.S. Senate: facebook.com/CarlyFiorina/p..." Twitter . Retrieved October 5, 2016.
  80. ↑ "Mark Levin interviews Darryl Glenn". Youtube.
  81. ↑ "SCF Endorses Darryl Glenn for U.S. Senate". Senate Conservatives. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
  82. 1 2 3 "Tom Tancredo, Bill Owens and Hank Brown endorse Jon Keyser". The Denver Post. March 14, 2016. Archived from the original on March 15, 2016. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
  83. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Neville Rolls Out First Slate of Endorsements". Tim Neville for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 19, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2015.
  84. ↑ "Phyllis Schlafly Endorses Tim Neville for U.S. Senate". Eagle Forum. April 4, 2016.
  85. ↑ "United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016". Ballotpedia. June 28, 2016. Retrieved June 28, 2016.
  86. ↑ "Boulder County Republican, Democratic party chiefs prepare for 2016 election battles". timescall.com. November 13, 2015. Retrieved November 15, 2015.
  87. ↑ "2016 General Election Petition Candidates". sos.state.co.us. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  88. ↑ "Greater Boulder Green Party Endorses Arn Menconi for U.S. Senate". January 9, 2016. Archived from the original on March 31, 2016. Retrieved March 20, 2016.
  89. ↑ Vela, Vic (November 6, 2015). "Mr. Frog: A slowly boiling candidate leaps into the U.S. Senate race". The Colorado Statesman. Archived from the original on November 9, 2015. Retrieved December 13, 2015.
  90. ↑ Craig, Andy (January 12, 2016). "Lily Tang Williams announces candidacy for Colorado U.S. Senate seat as a Libertarian". Independent Political Report. Retrieved January 12, 2016.
  91. ↑ "Austin Petersen - She's one of a very few select candidates I've endorsed, so I'll be doing whatever I can to help her". Facebook . Retrieved September 7, 2016.
  92. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  93. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  94. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  95. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  96. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  97. ↑ Williams (L) with 3%, Menconi (G) with 1%, and "Other" with 1%
  98. 1 2 Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 2%
  99. ↑ Williams (L) with 3%, Menconi (G) with 4%, and "Other" with 2%
  100. 1 2 Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 3%
  101. ↑ Williams (L) with 4%, Menconi (G) with 2%, and "Other" with 1%
  102. ↑ Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 1%
  103. ↑ Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 1%
  104. ↑ "Official Results November 8, 2016 General Election". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2016.
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