2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas

2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas
Turnout	38.39%
	Boozman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Eldridge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50% 50%; No votes
U.S. senator before election; John Boozman ; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator; John Boozman ; Republican

Last updated March 30, 2024

The 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent senator John Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1.^[1] This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

John Boozman, incumbent U.S. Senator^[2]
Curtis Coleman, businessman, candidate for governor in 2014 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Boozman	Curtis Coleman	Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College	February 4, 2016	457	± 4.6%	68%	23%	9%

Results

Republican primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Boozman (incumbent)	298,039	76.45%
	Republican	Curtis Coleman	91,795	23.55%
Total votes			389,834	100.00%

Democratic primary

Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Conner Eldridge, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas ^[4]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Conner Eldridge	214,228	100.00%
Total votes			214,228	100.00%

Third parties

The Libertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.^[5]

Candidates

Nominated

Frank Gilbert, DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014 ^[5]

General election

Candidates

John Boozman (R), incumbent senator
Conner Eldridge (D), former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas
Frank Gilbert (L), DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014

Debates

Dates	Location	Boozman	Eldridge	Gilbert	Link
October 12, 2016	Little Rock, Arkansas	Participant	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report ^[6]	Safe R	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^[7]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report ^[8]	Safe R	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos ^[9]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics ^[10]	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Boozman (R)	Conner Eldridge (D)	Frank Gilbert (L)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	930	± 4.6%	56%	41%	—	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 31 – November 6, 2016	798	± 4.6%	55%	42%	—	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 28 – November 3, 2016	696	± 4.6%	56%	43%	—	—	1%
SurveyMonkey	October 27 – November 2, 2016	593	± 4.6%	54%	43%	—	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 26 – November 1, 2016	475	± 4.6%	52%	46%	—	—	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	484	± 4.6%	54%	44%	—	—	2%
University of Arkansas	October 18–25, 2016	800	± 3.5%	61%	38%	—	1%	—
Talk Business/Hendrix College	October 21, 2016	463	± 4.6%	52%	34%	4%	2%	8%
Talk Business/Hendrix College	September 15–17, 2016	831	± 3.4%	55%	29%	5%	3%	8%
Emerson College	September 9–13, 2016	600	± 3.6%	44%	30%	—	11%	15%
Talk Business/Hendrix College	June 21, 2016	751	± 3.6%	51%	29%	6%	—	14%

Hypothetical polling

with Mike Beebe

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Boozman (R)	Mike Beebe (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 1–3, 2014	1,066	± 3%	40%	46%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	September 18–21, 2014	1,453	± 2.6%	39%	49%	—	12%
Talk Business/Hendrix College	June 8–11, 2015	1,183	± 1.84%	37%	45%	—	18%

Results

United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2016^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	John Boozman (incumbent)	661,984	59.77%	+1.87%
	Democratic	Conner Eldridge	400,602	36.17%	-0.78%
	Libertarian	Frank Gilbert	43,866	3.96%	+0.72%
	Write-in		1,070	0.10%	N/A
Total votes			1,107,522	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Arkansas (Largest city: Stuttgart)
Fulton (Largest city: Salem)
Monroe (largest city: Clarendon)
Mississippi (largest city: Osceola)
Lincoln (largest city: Star City)
Jackson (largest city: Newport)
Lawrence (largest city: Walnut Ridge)

Related Research Articles

John Nichols Boozman is an American politician and former optometrist serving as the senior United States senator from Arkansas, a seat he has held since 2011. A member of the Republican Party, he was the U.S. representative for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district from 2001 to 2011. He is the dean of Arkansas's congressional delegation.

The 2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas took place on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The 1998 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 3, 1998. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dale Bumpers chose to retire instead of running for reelection to a fifth term. Making this was the first open seat with no incumbent held in this seat since the 1884 election. Democratic former U.S. Representative Blanche Lincoln won the open seat against Republican State Senator Fay Boozman. At 38, Lincoln was the youngest woman ever elected to the United States Senate. In 2010, Lincoln lost re-election to a third term by Fay Boozman's younger brother John Boozman.

Arkansas's 2010 general elections were held November 2, 2010. Primaries were held May 18, 2010 and runoffs, if necessary, were held November 23, 2010. Arkansas elected seven constitutional officers, 17 of 35 state senate seats, all 100 house seats and 28 district prosecuting attorneys, and voted on one constitutional amendment and one referred question. Non-partisan judicial elections were held the same day as the party primaries for four Supreme Court justices, four appeals circuit court judges, and eight district court judges.

The 2016 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2016. The presidential election, House elections, 14 gubernatorial elections, and many state and local elections were held concurrently.

The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This was the last time the Arkansas Governor’s changed partisan control.

The 2014 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arkansas, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Arkansas, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Mexico was held on November 4, 2014 to elect a member of the United States Senate. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Udall won reelection to a second term. As of 2023, this is the last time that a non-Hispanic won the Class 2 Senate seat in New Mexico.

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Georgia, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including Governor of Georgia and U.S. Senator.

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014 to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the governor of Arkansas and a United States senator.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Conner Eldridge</span> American politician

William Conner Eldridge Jr. is an American lawyer and politician who served as United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas. He is a member of the Democratic Party and was his party's nominee for the 2016 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas.

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Arkansas on November 4, 2014. All of Arkansas' executive officers were up for election as well as a United States Senate seat, and all of Arkansas' four seats in the United States House of Representatives. Primary elections were held on May 20, 2014, for offices that need to nominate candidates. Primary runoffs, necessary if no candidate wins a majority of the vote, were held on June 10, 2014.

The 2016 United States Senate election in Washington was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democratic Senator Patty Murray ran for re-election to a fifth term, and won by a significant margin, winning 59% of the vote, to Republican Chris Vance's 41%.

The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. As of 2023, this is the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 7.

The 2018 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections, including Missouri's quadrennial State Auditor election.

The 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada took place November 6, 2018, to elect one of two U.S. senators from Nevada. Democratic nominee Jacky Rosen defeated incumbent Dean Heller.

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the state of Arkansas. Incumbent senator John Boozman was first elected in 2010, defeating Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln. Boozman was re-elected for a second term in the 2016 with 59.8% of the vote and ran in 2022 for a third term. Boozman won the May 24, 2022 Republican primary with 58.03% of the vote and subsequently defeated Democrat Natalie James in the general election by 34.64 percentage points. This was the best performance for a Republican senator in the state's history, and the third consecutive Republican win of this seat.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

The 2022 Arkansas lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the lieutenant governor of the state of Arkansas. The election coincided with various other federal and state elections, including for Governor of Arkansas. Primary elections were held on May 24. Arkansas is one of 21 states that elects its lieutenant governor separately from its governor.

References

↑ "Conner Eldridge to Challenge Boozman for U.S. Senate Seat | Times Record". Archived from the original on October 3, 2015. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
↑ DeMillo, Andrew (June 9, 2014). "Boozman, back at work post-surgery, to run in '16". Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2014.
↑ "Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan General Election official Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
↑ Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2015). "Former U.S. Attorney Will Challenge Boozman in Arkansas". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 9, 2015. Retrieved September 9, 2015.
1 2 Brawner, Steve (October 25, 2015). "Arkansas Libertarians Nominate 23, Including Full Congressional Slate". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved October 27, 2015.
↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
↑ "2016 General Election and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Unofficial County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.

[1] "Conner Eldridge to Challenge Boozman for U.S. Senate Seat | Times Record". Archived from the original on October 3, 2015. Retrieved October 30, 2015.

[DeMillo-2] DeMillo, Andrew (June 9, 2014). "Boozman, back at work post-surgery, to run in '16". Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2014.

[ARprimaryresults-3] "Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan General Election official Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 22, 2016.

[4] Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2015). "Former U.S. Attorney Will Challenge Boozman in Arkansas". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 9, 2015. Retrieved September 9, 2015.

[libertarians-5] 1 2 Brawner, Steve (October 25, 2015). "Arkansas Libertarians Nominate 23, Including Full Congressional Slate". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved October 27, 2015.

[6] "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.

[7] "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.

[8] "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.

[9] "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.

[10] "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.

[ARGeneralElection-11] "2016 General Election and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Unofficial County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2016.

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v t e Elections in Arkansas
General	1844 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1900 1902 1903 1904 1906 1907 1908 1910 1912 1913 1914 1916 1917 1918 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1926 1927 1928 1930 1932 1933 1934 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1942 1943 1944 1946 1949 1950 1952 1953 1954 1956 1958 1959 1960 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1972 1973 1974 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Governor	1836 1840 1844 1848 1849 S 1852 1856 1860 1862 1864 U 1868 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1913 S 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
U.S. President	1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
U.S. Senate	Class 2: 1833 1839–40 1848 S 1853 1859 1868 S 1870 1876 1883 1885 S 1889 1895 1901 1907 1913 S 1913 1918 1924 1930 1936 1937 S 1942 1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 Class 3: 1837 1843 1845 S 1849 1855 1861 1867 1873 1879 1881 S 1885 1891 1897 1903 1909 1914 1916 S 1920 1926 1932 S 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 2022
U.S. House	1837 1838 1840 1842 1844 1846 1848 1851 1853 1854 1856 1858 1860 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 (4th S) 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 (6th S) 1962 1964 1966 (4th S) 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
'S,' denotes special election; 'U,' denotes election under Federal (Union) military occupation See also: Political party strength in Arkansas

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2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Third parties

Candidates

Nominated

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Related Research Articles

References

External links