2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020  
  MN
TN  
  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count2218
Popular vote174,228139,443
Percentage51.88%41.52%

2016 Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary by county.svg
Results by county
Sanders:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Clinton:     40-50%     50-60%

The 2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Oklahoma as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Oklahoma primary.

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Official Primary results [1] March 1, 2016Bernie Sanders
51.9%
Hillary Clinton
41.5%
Others
6.6%
Monmouth [2]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

February 25–28, 2016Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
9%
Sooner Poll/News 9/News on 6 [3]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 510

February 23–25, 2016Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Others / Undecided
29%
Public Policy Polling [4]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 542

February 14–16,
2016
Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Undecided 9%
Sooner Poll [5]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 360

February 6–9, 2016Hillary Clinton
43.9%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Undecided 28.1%
Sooner Poll [6]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 369

November 12–15, 2015Hillary Clinton
46.6%
Bernie Sanders
12.2%
Martin O'Malley
2.2%
Undecided 39.1%
The Oklahoman/Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates [7]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 550

October 19–22, 2015Hillary Clinton
30%
Bernie Sanders
21%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Undecided 46%

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 91

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders 174,22851.88%21122
Hillary Clinton 139,44341.52%17118
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)7,6722.28%
Keith Judd 4,3861.31%
Michael Steinberg 4,1711.24%
Star Locke (withdrawn)3,4581.03%
Rocky De La Fuente 2,4850.74%
Uncommitted022
Total335,843100%38442
Source: [8] [9]

Results by county

County [10] ClintonVotesSandersVotes
Adair 33.4%58255.8%971
Alfalfa 28.0%9258.1%191
Atoka 28.4%37055.4%723
Beaver 28.9%5252.2%94
Beckham 31.2%46455.4%824
Blaine 37.3%31351.8%435
Bryan 31.2%1,05056.8%1,913
Caddo 36.4%1,06053.0%1,543
Canadian 38.4%3,35756.3%4,922
Carter 32.3%1,24055.0%2,113
Cherokee 38.7%2,02355.4%2,897
Choctaw 29.0%38456.4%745
Cimarron 17.5%2254.0%68
Cleveland 37.6%10,43359.3%16,428
Coal 19.0%13663.6%456
Comanche 44.9%3,52348.5%3,804
Cotton 29.7%20456.4%388
Craig 35.8%60954.5%926
Creek 35.8%60950.9%926
Custer 33.6%75057.1%1,273
Delaware 41.2%1,44750.5%1,773
Dewey 27.5%13455.4%270
Ellis 23.3%7064.1%193
Garfield 41.3%1,40352.2%1,771
Garvin 32.7%90954.1%1,505
Grady 34.2%1,62956.2%2,677
Grant 31.9%12557.1%224
Greer 27.6%16455.8%332
Harmon 37.2%12250.9%167
Harper 26.1%6857.9%151
Haskell 32.8%47551.9%752
Hughes 33.0%53753.7%873
Jackson 38.6%50549.8%652
Jefferson 29.4%19751.7%347
Johnston 24.8%26057.8%606
Kay 38.5%1,28853.5%1,791
Kingfisher 33.2%26858.5%472
Kiowa 34.8%33154.0%514
Latimer 31.2%49953.3%852
Le Flore 33.1%1,49850.5%2,283
Lincoln 38.5%1,16153.8%1,623
Logan 42.1%1,31452.7%1,645
Love 32.0%31451.1%502
Major 34.7%14053.2%215
Marshall 30.3%40056.0%738
Mayes 40.0%1,65951.7%2,144
McClain 35.4%1,15757.1%1,865
McCurtain 28.3%71252.3%1,314
McIntosh 40.2%1,02249.6%1,261
Murray 32.7%54454.6%909
Muskogee 44.8%3,38146.6%3,515
Noble 35.3%36254.8%562
Nowata 38.2%40649.9%530
Okfuskee 36.9%42152.3%1,261
Oklahoma 50.1%34,25547.4%32,368
Okmulgee 45.7%1,86746.1%1,882
Osage 47.5%2,39046.2%2,327
Ottawa 39.3%97250.1%1,238
Pawnee 40.5%60351.1%762
Payne 38.9%2,62256.7%3,829
Pittsburg 31.6%1,71755.8%3,026
Pontotoc 29.6%1,18659.8%2,392
Pottawatomie 37.5%2,30055.5%3,400
Pushmataha 26.7%31756.1%667
Roger Mills 21.6%10058.0%268
Rogers 39.6%2,81052.9%3,757
Seminole 36.0%93250.1%1,194
Sequoyah 36.0%1,35949.6%1,872
Stephens 31.2%1,17456.1%2,108
Texas 31.7%26746.7%393
Tillman 33.2%21453.7%346
Tulsa 47.4%25,37249.6%26,525
Wagoner 43.5%2,49349.1%2,813
Washington 42.4%1,64951.6%2,006
Washita 25.1%29260.1%700
Woods 33.8%21756.5%363
Woodward 30.8%34362.4%694
Total41.5%139,33851.9%174,054

Analysis

As he had managed in other primarily white Great Plains states including neighboring Kansas, Bernie Sanders won a convincing ten-point victory in Oklahoma. This marked a clear difference from 2008 when Hillary Clinton had won the state by 21 points against Barack Obama, winning 76 of the state's 77 counties. According to exit polls, Sanders won men 60-33, younger voters 76-23, white voters 56-36, and Independent voters 69-21. Clinton, for her part, won women 48-46, older voters 50-41, non-white voters 56-40, and Democrats 52-43. A majority of voters in the primary said they thought Clinton was not honest or trustworthy, 51-47. [10]

Sanders swept 75 of Oklahoma's 77 counties. He performed strongly in the major cities of Norman, Stillwater, Enid, and Moore. He narrowly edged out Clinton in Tulsa County by a margin of 2.28%. Clinton narrowly won in Oklahoma County (the only county to vote for Obama in the 2008 primary), home to Oklahoma City, and Osage County, home of the Osage Native American tribe.

Sanders won most of the rural, majority white and deeply conservative counties of the state, including those in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Little Dixie, and Southwestern Oklahoma which are among the most radically conservative areas of the nation. The Little Dixie region in particular was the base of President Bill Clinton's support in the 1992 and 1996 elections, as this area consists of socially conservative but economically liberal Democrats, many of whom were drawn to Sanders's opposition to trade deals like NAFTA.

References

  1. Official Primary results
  2. "Monmouth University Poll" (PDF).
  3. "News9/Newson6: Sanders Closes Gap, But Still Trails Clinton In OK".
  4. Silas Allen. "Poll shows Democratic primary race tightening in Oklahoma".
  5. Madison Grady. "SoonerPoll: Clinton remains frontrunner, but Sanders continues to rise".
  6. "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trump, Clinton Remain Front-runners in Oklahoma". November 20, 2015.
  7. "Poll: Ben Carson leads Republican presidential field in Oklahoma" . Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  8. The Green Papers
  9. Oklahoma State Election Board
  10. 1 2 "2016 Election Center". CNN . Retrieved June 4, 2018.