2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming

Last updated

2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Flag of Wyoming.svg
  2000 November 2, 2004 2008  
Turnout104.7% (of registered voters)
64.1% (of voting age population)
  George-W-Bush.jpeg John F. Kerry.jpg
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote30
Popular vote167,62970,776
Percentage68.86%29.07%

Wyoming Presidential Election Results 2004.svg
County results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Wyoming was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 39.8% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. This was based on pre-election polling, the fact that the last Democrat to win here was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, the presence of Wyoming native Dick Cheney on the ticket, and how Bush carried this state in 2000 with almost 68% of the vote. On election day Bush won every county with over 65% except for Teton County, which Kerry won with 53% and Albany County, which Bush won with 54% of the vote. Bush thus became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying Teton County.

With 68.86% of the popular vote, Wyoming would prove to be Bush's second strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah. [1]

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. [2]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportSolid R
Associated Press Solid R
CNN Likely R
Cook Political Report Solid R
Newsweek Solid R
New York Times Solid R
Rasmussen Reports Likely R
Research 2000 Solid R
Washington Post Likely R
Washington Times Solid R
Zogby International Likely R
Washington DispatchLikely R

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was conducted. It showed Bush leading Kerry 65% to 29%. [3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $531,380. [4] Kerry raised $466,535. [5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign. [6] [7]

Analysis

Wyoming is a Republican bastion. The last Democrat to win a senate election was Gale W. McGee in 1970. The last Democrat to win the at-large House seat was Teno Roncalio in 1976. The last time the Democrats controlled the Wyoming House of Representatives was 1966. The last time Democrats controlled the Wyoming Senate was 1938. The state, however, did continuously have Democratic governors from 1975 to 2011 with only an eight-year interruption of Jim Geringer's tenure from 1995 to 2003.

In presidential elections, Wyoming is one of the most reliable red states in the country. The last Democrat to carry the state, or even crack the 40% mark, was LBJ in 1964, and before that was Harry S. Truman in 1948. Since 1968, every Republican carried this state by a double-digit margin of victory, except in 1992. As far as popular vote percentage, the 2004 results were the third best performance by the Republican party since 1964, behind only Richard Nixon (69.0%) in 1972 and Ronald Reagan (70.5%) in 1984. With regards to the margin of victory, the 2004 election (at 39.8%) was also the third best performance, behind only George W. Bush (40.1%) in 2000 and Ronald Reagan (42.3%) in 1984.

CNN exit polls showed 72% of the state approved of Bush, and 69% approved of his decision to go to war. [8]

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming [9]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) Dick Cheney (incumbent)167,62968.86%3
Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 70,77629.07%0
Independent Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 2,7411.13%0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 1,1710.48%0
Independent Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin 6310.26%0
Write Ins4800.20%0
Totals243,428100.00%3
Voter turnout (Voting age population)64.1%

By county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Albany 9,00654.17%7,11742.81%5013.01%1,88911.36%16,624
Big Horn 4,23280.11%96018.17%911.72%3,27261.94%5,283
Campbell 12,41582.22%2,46416.32%2201.46%9,95165.90%15,099
Carbon 4,75867.23%2,15830.49%1612.27%2,60036.74%7,077
Converse 4,44777.68%1,18420.68%941.64%3,26357.00%5,725
Crook 2,83683.51%50114.75%591.74%2,33568.76%3,396
Fremont 11,42966.85%5,33831.22%3291.92%6,09135.63%17,096
Goshen 4,11471.19%1,56627.10%991.71%2,54844.09%5,779
Hot Springs 1,81273.06%62325.12%451.81%1,18947.94%2,480
Johnson 3,23180.96%67616.94%842.10%2,55564.02%3,991
Laramie 25,95165.07%13,17133.03%7571.90%12,78032.04%39,879
Lincoln 6,42381.16%1,36417.24%1271.60%5,05963.92%7,914
Natrona 21,51267.08%9,86330.76%6932.16%11,64936.32%32,068
Niobrara 1,06480.97%23017.50%201.52%83463.47%1,314
Park 10,91776.71%3,00721.13%3072.16%7,91055.58%14,231
Platte 3,14968.85%1,32829.03%972.12%1,82139.82%4,574
Sheridan 9,68969.06%4,06628.98%2741.95%5,62340.08%14,029
Sublette 2,84777.98%73019.99%742.03%2,11757.99%3,651
Sweetwater 10,65365.47%5,20832.01%4112.53%5,44533.46%16,272
Teton 5,12445.11%5,97252.58%2632.32%-848-7.47%11,359
Uinta 6,08175.25%1,81522.46%1852.29%4,26652.79%8,081
Washakie 3,20077.78%85520.78%591.43%2,34557.00%4,114
Weston 2,73980.75%58017.10%732.15%2,15963.65%3,392
Total167,62968.86%70,77629.07%5,0232.06%96,85339.79%243,428
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold Wyoming County Flips 2004.svg
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
At-large 68.9%29.1% Barbara Cubin

Electors

Technically the voters of Wyoming cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wyoming is allocated three electors because it has one congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of three electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all three electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged for Bush/Cheney. [10]

  1. Linda Barker
  2. Jack Van Mark
  3. Mike Baker

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Florida took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 27 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Ohio took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 20 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Alabama</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on November 2, 2004. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Arkansas</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Arkansas took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. State voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Colorado</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Colorado took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Idaho</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 12 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Oregon</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Missouri</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in South Dakota</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in South Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Virginia</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 13 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

The 2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. It was the first presidential election since the 2000 United States census, after which Mississippi lost one electoral vote, reducing its elector count from seven to six, leaving Mississippi with the fewest electoral votes since 1848.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in Montana</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia</span>

The 2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States presidential election in Idaho</span>

The 2008 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

References

  1. "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  2. "Archived copy". dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved January 17, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Archived from the original on November 28, 2008. Retrieved October 23, 2009.
  4. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com.
  5. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com.
  6. "CNN.com Specials". www.cnn.com.
  7. "CNN.com Specials". www.cnn.com.
  8. "CNN.com Election 2004". www.cnn.com.
  9. "CNN.com Election 2004". www.cnn.com.
  10. "Wyoming Secretary of State". Archived from the original on November 30, 2008. Retrieved October 23, 2009.